Quality never fails the publicLooking at the financials of the Woolworths here in this South Africa the brand is staple to high middle income class groups, year on year the company's EPS has been steadily improving after Covid. Just waiting for price to fall to a suitable price before the earnings reports are out in September. Looking at price, I am also waiting for clear Elliot Wave count to complete (near the R5100 - R4900 per share) and clear price candle confirmation.
Dividends
AMZN Under Pressure to Offer a DividendInventory adjustments are underway for $NASDAQ:AMZN. These adjustments are minor as Dark Pools are holding AMZN long-term, but there are other opportunities to boost ROI in younger companies.
AMZN needs to provide a dividend now that it is a Dow 30 stock. The mild rotation is a gentle reminder to the Board of Directors from their most critical and important investors, the Giant Buy Side Institutions. AMZN is the only fortune 500 company on the S&P500 that doesn't provide a dividend YET. The company's CEO is seasoned and aware that the Board must soon offer dividends, as it is no longer merely a "growth" company.
The pressure is increasing to force a dividend by the Giant investors. This should happen this year. There are no buybacks going on right now either. So the lowering of inventory is a warning to get this done. The Buy Side has the clout to influence the Board's decisions. This would benefit all investors big and small.
The support is at the lows of the red box on the chart, as indicated by the gap down white candle that quickly ended the previous selling by smaller funds.
WHEN, not if, AMZN announces a dividend, there is likely to be some brief momentum activity to the upside.
Liquity / LQTY & Binance The price of LQTY is $2.3 today with a 24hour trading volume of 80 million dollars. This represents a 80% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 250% price increase in the past 30 days. With a circulating supply of 91 Million LQTY, Liquity is valued at a market cap of 200 million dollars thanks to CZ!
Liquity is a decentralized borrowing protocol built on Ethereum that utilizes LQTY, a USD-pegged stablecoin. Ether holders can draw loans in the form of LQTY with algorithmically adjusted redemption and loan issuance fees
as you see LQTY whales are notorious for dumping on retails so don't forget the stop loss(rug). next targets are 2.7 and 2.9$
CONY: A Very Speculative Buy w/ Chart Pattern w/Bitcoin&CoinbaseFundamentals:
CONY is a covered call strategy. If bitcoin collapses again, the CONY will go bust. It could turn into a dividend trap. It is highly speculative. However, if bitcoin propels forward or goes sideways, then these two scenarios will be best for CONY.
Technicals:
Plan: To trade CONY buy observing health signals from bitcoin (BTCUSD).
Theory: Reading the tape is the same as identifying chart patterns with transaction volume.
BTCUSD is retesting its all time highs and consolidating.
BTCUSD has given two buy signals after re-testing all time highs: two morning stars on the daily chart.
BTCUSD daily uHd with extreme buy indicator.
Note: CONY today has issued a dividend of $2.7944 per share today; hence, the drop in the chart on CONY. Meanwhile, bitcoin has given a buy signal today. It is worth the risk.
Here is a daily chart of bitcoin with the buy signal:
CONY, itself, is within the 23.8% - 38% buy zone area of a large cup-with-handle pattern, after a minor successful cup-with-handle pattern within it that appear in February 2024.
If bitcoin does not collapse, then this could be the beginning of "wave b" or "wave 2" and end of minor 4th wave.
Comment:
I speculate that CONY will reach around $38 buy July or August 2024. The plan is to re-invest dividends along the way. I am treating the money invested as though all of it is gone, for now.
ZIM: Crown PatternFundamentals:
high dividend
Earnings report projection seems positive.
Sales has been accelerating and expected sales and earnings going in to the second quarter and third quarter should be positive.
This company is cyclical and is affected by freight prices. So, something like FREIGHTOS BALTIC INDEX (FBX): GLOBAL CONTAINER FREIGHT INDEX at freightos.com is something to monitor; or Worldwide Container Index: www.drewry.co.uk
If freight prices go up, then this is good for the company. If they are relatively stable, that is ok too.
Technicals:
Weekly d3 volume w/ doji bar
Weekly NR4/7 bar
61.85 fib support
uHd on weekly MACD histogram
Weekly Crown with good volume.
Comment: I would like it if the price moved back above the weekly kijun. Below that invalidates the Crown.
Daily:
hit daily a-b-c completion area which is also the weekly 61.8% fib support area (confluence).
Comment: If this is the bottom and prices begin to rise, then I project 18 or 20 by August 2024 if it does not consolidate before that. If the stock prices do rise to 18 or 20, then it would be good to hold just for the dividend yield alone if it consolidates.
EIC: EAGLE POINT INCOME COMPANY Extension Buy ZoneFundamentals:
Eagle Point Income Company (EIC) is not a super stock, but a solid monthly dividend payer. The dividend seems stable, and the outlook of the company is stable. Eagle Point Income is a closed-end investment company whose primary investment objective is to generate high current income, with a secondary objective to generate capital appreciation. Eagle Point Income invests primarily in junior debt tranches of CLOs in addition to investing up to 35% of their total assets (at the time of investment) in CLO equity securities and related securities and instruments.
CLO Junior Debt is an Attractive Asset Class because BB-rated CLO debt has had a relatively low historical default rate of 4 bps per annum. BB-rated CLO debt offers the potential for higher returns as compared to senior secured loans and high yield bonds. The Credit Suisse Leveraged Loan Index has generated positive returns in 29 of the past 32 full calendar years.
EIC currently is paying a 13% to 15% annual dividend yield with a monthly payout.
Technicals:
Weekly:
Weekly Triangle breakout on top of horizontal support test from Feb. 2023's high.
Weekly Crown pattern
Stage 3 ichimoku crown trend (strategy 3).
ADX trending
MACD and MACD Ichimoku up
1st pb of a new trend after a-b-c extension
Retracement to weekly 38%-50% area. It could turn into a kijun trend bounce. Could be the "X" point of a W-X-Y wave.
Weekly uHd developing inside 200 EMA wave
Plan:
I plan to reinvest the monthly dividend of this stock as long as I hold it. It is a place to park a little bit of unused capital for primarily dividend income and capital appreciation is seen as a bonus.
The target will be the October 2021 all-time-high (19.54ish). I believe the price will reach 17 to 20 by December 2024 or March 2025.
New Lower High near previous recent higher low.(IDaily) Over the next the few months , this seasonal analyses is based on the idea that the Dollar could gain in strength over the next few months because of all the money that was used in the purchase of gold and ended pushing the price of it higher. Gold prices are priced in US dollars but not only that situation but also the money that has been flood in the exchanges also has an positive impact on the currency. To simply put it; demand and supply. The idea that more demand causes a increase in the price to 104.403.
Bayer double bottom Bayer was trending down for last almost a year. Now it's seems to draw the double botton. Stock found the support, bounce twice and seems to be recovering. Moreover, the dividend is incomingin near future what could boost the price additionally.
this is not a recomendation, only my guess what could happen
BTC HALVING APRIL 2024! 479497$As we approach the impending halving event in 2024, slated to commence in a month, speculation arises regarding its potential outcomes. Historical data provides insights into recurring patterns, yet uncertainty looms regarding whether past scenarios will manifest once again.
We invite your insights:
Do you foresee growth or a departure from traditional trends towards decline?
Your perspectives are welcomed and valued.
$KLSE-INFOTEC: EV/EBIT ÷ EBIT Growth Ratio @ RM0.81 @ FYE2023 FRINDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
EV/EBIT ÷ EBIT Growth Ratio @ RM0.81 @ FYE2023 FR Result
EV @ RM0.81
= 0.81×363,229+389+119+407+107-10,780-8,445
= 276,012.49
EBIT
= 25,792+38
= 25,830
EV/EBIT
= 276,012.49÷25,830
= 10.6857332559
EBIT Growth
= 100×(25,830÷16,683-1)
= 54.8282682971%
EV/EBIT ÷ EBIT Growth Ratio @ RM0.81 @ FYE2023 FR Result
= 10.6857332559÷54.8282682971
= 0.194894597 extremely undervalued
Alternative Investment: SIMPLIFY VOLATILITY PREMIUM ETFFundamentals:
SIMPLIFY VOLATILITY PREMIUM ETF (SVOL) tries to minimize volatility with maximizing dividend income. It is an alternative investment that does not correlate with market drops, but attempts to capture profits from volatility in the VIX.
SVOL does not hold stocks and does not use a covered called strategy to generate its dividend yield. This fund makes a profit by betting against the VIX by shorting S&P500 VIX volatility short-term futures while hedging tail events using UVXY calls. It buys call options if volatility suddenly spikes to counter the losing short positions. It sells options and distributes a portion of its profits to investors in the form of a dividend. The value of the VIX contracts in contango (upward slope) will drop over time, generally (similar to time decay or theta decay), but the contango must be present in order to generate its returns; that is, with contango, the long-term contracts must be more expensive than the shorter-term contracts with sufficient spread. This fund minimizes its risk with buying calls on the VIX using UVXY calls with small 25% of asset positions max (less than 1/4 of assets), not 100% of its assets to short like XIV (which dead because of a volmageddom even back in 2018). When things are normal (fear is low) SVOL does well.
Technicals:
Weekly:
Price is on cloud support in stage 3 ichomiku trend
MACD and MACD-ichimoku above zero
Daily:
daily hammer with d3 volume between 38%-50% fib support
Comment: If price breaches the high of the hammer tomorrow, I probably will hop in.
EIC: EAGLE POINT INCOME COMPANYFundamentals:
Eagle Point Income Company is not a super stock, but a solid dividend payer. The dividend seems stable and the outlook of the company is stable.
Technicals:
Weekly:
Weekly Triangle breakout on top of horizontal support test from Feb. 2023's high.
Stage 3 ichimoku crown trend (strategy 3).
ADX trending
MACD and MACD Ichimoku up
Daily:
breakout
$CINF and $AFG long investmentUPDATE: The image I embedded in the TV chart for this idea was somehow rejected on the post. So I posted it on Imgur instead.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The chart I present for this idea doesn't look like a normal TradingView chart. The reason is that this is not a trade, based on chart technicals, but an investment, which I intend to hold for years. So, I don't care quite so much whether the stock wiggles upward or downward or sideways over the next two weeks. If you're looking for a trade, stop reading now. This idea is not for you.
If you're still reading, you're waiting for an explanation of the above chart. I I'll get to that, but first I want to step back a bit further.
I spent the last week looking through US-listed insurance companies for a candidate to invest for the long haul.
Why?
First: Real yields are at 2.5%, a level not seen since the GFC. This favors owning low-risk bond portfolios -- the kind insurance companies have. Both NYSE:AFG and NASDAQ:CINF have about $1.50 in investments for every dollar in market cap.
Second: As rates plateau, the AOCI losses that depress the tangible equity of insurance companies can gradually reverse, becoming a value creation tailwind. AOCI is 6% of NASDAQ:CINF 's tangible BV, and 14% of NYSE:AFG 's. This is very modest. Other insurance companies ($LNC...) ignored duration risk and had their portfolio bludgeoned half to death. From a short-term point of view, that makes NYSE:LNC perversely intriguing. If that stock survives its could get quite the bounce. But owning insurance stock shouldn't be a thrilling experience.
Third: Insurers are raking in big rate increases as they reprice catastrophe risks, inflation, and "social inflation". Florida homeowners know what I'm talking about.
And lastly: NASDAQ:CINF has a beta of 0.65, NYSE:AFG has a beta of 0.8. In other words these are "defensive" stocks, unlike banks, say. In uncertain times, insurers may suffer less than other industries. Though, the record is a bit uneven on that: During the dotcom crash they did well, in the GFC and pandemic, not so much.
So, to finally get to the chart: What even is the Tangible Value Creation Ratio? It's a modification of a key metric that NASDAQ:CINF uses to manage their business. Here's their definition :
“Value Creation Ratio” means the total of 1) rate of growth in book value per share plus 2) the ratio of dividends declared per share to beginning book value per share.
I prefer tangible book value to book value, so that's what I use. But that quibble aside, I really like this metric: It captures what I am truly interested in as an investor: Dividends and growth in the value of common shareholder's tangible equity. And the ratio also doesn't penalize companies for their choices with respect to dividend policy, capital structure, stock splits, and so on. It simply holds management responsible for the outcome to common shareholders. So, I calculate that ratio on a quarterly basis, aggregate it over multi-period spans and then annualize it. I think this ratio is particularly suited for a long-term analysis, since there's a certain variability in the short term, due to catastrophe losses and/or rate fluctiations. I actually did create the chart for a full 20-year span. If anyone wants to see it, let me know. But NASDAQ:CINF 's executive team came on in 2011, and it seems that the performance of the company has improved substantially since then.
Obviously, Berkshire Hathaway is the biggest insurer in the group. And based on this chart it looks very fairly priced for its excellent long-term performance. So why don't I want it? It's not that I don't trust Buffett & Munger, or their eventual replacements. I am more concerned about investors' reaction to these legends passing the baton. Whenever and however that might happen. To me, this just seems like a big event risk. As for NYSE:PGR , I'd love to own it, if it ever comes back from the valuation stratosphere. NYSE:RLI also seems like a very well-run insurer. But the slight edge in long-term performance doesn't seem to justify the huge bump in valuation.
A word about my data: I calculated these metrics programmatically, using financial statements downloaded from public sources. I did verify some of the data and calculations, but the testing is limited at this point. If anyone wants to compare notes, I am happy to.
As a last note: NASDAQ:CINF will report earnings after the close today. (Thursday, 2023-10-26). I bought some yesterday. But I doubt that the stock will jump in a meaningful way after earnings, even if they turn out to be brilliant. This thesis will likely take several years to play out one way or the other.
Bond outlook is improvingThis week the TLT long-term US Treasury bond ETF bounced from a key support level.
Meanwhile, the three-month rate of change on core PCE—the Fed's preferred inflation measure—dropped to 2.2%, near the Fed's 2% target. With a looming government shutdown, we're also seeing the first serious Congressional effort to impose fiscal discipline in a long time. Any serious spending reduction would be positive for US bonds.
I don't think the economy is in imminent trouble, so I don't expect bond prices to rapidly climb from here. But I do think the worst of the selloff is probably done and it's a decent time to lock in that ultra low-risk mid-4% return.
Cheap compounder unduly punished after dividend cutHot take: there's alpha in buying dividend cuts
Here's a contrarian belief I hold: dividend cuts are almost always good, because they extend the life and increase the terminal value of the company.
However, the market almost always punishes companies that cut dividends. There are two reasons for that:
1) A lot of investors don't read financial reports and don't know the financial situation of the company until the dividend cut acts as an information signal.
2) Income/dividend investing tends to be very rules-based, with the main rule being that you should only own "dividend aristocrats" that have steadily increased dividends without a cut.
Thus, there tends to be more sellers than buyers for a while after a dividend cut, because the income investors jump ship faster than the value investors catch on. A dividend cut can therefore present a good buying opportunity for value investors who can time it right.
And there's another factor to consider, too, which is that not every dividend cut is a sign of financial distress. There are two kinds of companies that cut dividends: those that couldn't sustain the payout, and those that see a market opportunity and want to pivot to growth. Uninformed investors often punish both types of dividend cuts identically, even though the meaning of the information signal is quite different in the two cases.
Medifast: an unduly punished compounder
And that brings me to the case of Medifast, a small-cap nutrition and weight-loss company that discontinued its $6.60/share dividend last month. Was this because of financial distress? Actually, no. Medifast had $11.01/share of earnings and $15.57/share of free cash flow over the last 12 months, so it easily could have sustained the dividend. Medifast's explanation for the cut is that it wants to free up capital to pursue a growth strategy. With the recent popularity of GLP-1 weight loss drugs like Ozempic, Medifast wants to add GLP-1s as a core part of its health coaching business and quickly scale the business out. The dividend cut is a sign of distress only in the sense that Medifast earnings and revenue have declined since mid 2022, and the company is moving to arrest that slump and return its trajectory to growth.
How cheap it it really?
Let's look at Medifast's multiples. According to its last financial report, Medifast has zero debt and just $17 million in lease obligations. With a $578 million market cap and $113 million in cash and cash equivalents, that puts Medifast's enterprise value at $482 million.
Over the last twelve months, Medifast generated about $1.2 billion in sales, $119 million in earnings, and $170 million in free cash flow, which gives it the following multiples:
EV/earnings: 4.1
EV/sales: 0.4
EV/FCF: 2.8
That's a 35% trailing twelve months free cash flow yield.
Now, Medifast is definitely more expensive on a price-to-book basis, about 3.0 P/B. But that's not necessarily a bad thing, as it indicates that Medifast is a capital-light business with a high return on invested capital. If it can get anywhere near the same return on its savings from the dividend cut, then there's a lot of growth potential here.
We do have to be a little cautious about the TTM multiples, because Medifast may have been over-earning during this period. But if we use linear-modeled rather than real numbers, the results aren't dramatically different. The EV/earnings and EV/sales multiples change only negligibly, though EV/FCF rises to 4.0 (free cash flow yield of 25%).
To be sure, analysts' forward estimates paint a more subdued picture, with a forward EV/earnings multiple of about 8.9 and forward EV/sales of about 0.6. But those are still good multiples, and it's important to note that Medifast has a long history of crushing analyst estimates. In the last fours quarters, it beat earnings forecasts by 99%, 92%, 53%, and 67%, with revenue beats ranging from about 1% to 10%. So the analysts may be underrating Medifast's prospects here, and I am looking for earnings at least 40% better than forecast.
Even if they fail to monetize GLP-1s, they can buy back stock
Even if I'm wrong, 8.9 and 0.6 are still really good multiples, making this an attractive value stock. And Medifast's dividend cut should free up capital not only for its growth strategy, but also for opportunistic buybacks while the stock is cheap.
Medifast is my largest single name, at about 5% of my portfolio. There is support at the March 2018 low of $50.11 and the March 2020 low of $41.53. I'm looking for a double, to about $107.
2 Accurate Predictions Made by AI for McDonald's (MCD)In the rapidly evolving landscape of financial markets, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative force, revolutionizing the way analysts, investors, and traders interact with stocks, trends, and market predictions. This in-depth analysis explores the multifaceted impact of AI on financial strategies, highlighting significant instances of its application by innovative platforms like Tickeron, and culminating with an exploration of Tickeron Patterns and AI Robots in the contemporary trading environment.
AI in Financial Analysis:
Artificial Intelligence has transcended traditional boundaries in financial analysis, offering unprecedented precision in stock market predictions and technical analysis. By leveraging complex algorithms and machine learning techniques, AI systems can identify patterns and trends that are imperceptible to the human eye. This capability not only enhances the accuracy of market forecasts but also democratizes access to sophisticated analysis, previously the preserve of a select group of highly skilled analysts.
Bearish and Bullish Patterns: Tickeron's AI-driven Insights
One of the most compelling demonstrations of AI's predictive prowess in the financial markets is provided by Tickeron's detection of bearish and bullish stock patterns. These instances not only showcase the accuracy of AI-driven forecasts but also offer valuable lessons for traders and investors.
Prediction #1. Downtrend Detected
Bearish Broadening Bottom Pattern in McDonald's Corp (MCD)
On September 21, 2023, Tickeron's AI, A.I.dvisor, detected a bearish Broadening Bottom Pattern in McDonald's Corp (MCD), with the stock priced at $271.22. This pattern, traditionally associated with increasing volatility and a potential downturn, was confirmed four days later. By October 3, the stock reached the AI-set target price of $257.36, resulting in a significant 5.79% gain for traders who shorted the stock based on the AI's prediction.
Prediction #2. Uptrend Detected
Bullish Broadening Top Pattern in McDonald's Corp (MCD)
Conversely, on March 27, 2023, A.I.dvisor identified a bullish Broadening Top Pattern for McDonald's Corp, with an initial stock price of $273.84. The confirmation of this pattern the following day, with a target price of $286.05, heralded a potential upturn. By April 12, the stock hit the target, culminating in a 4.18% gain for those who invested based on the bullish signal.
AI in Technical Analysis
The instances of Tickeron's AI-driven predictions underscore the significant advantages AI brings to technical analysis. Unlike traditional methods, which rely heavily on historical data and often lag behind real-time market dynamics, AI's predictive models are dynamic. They adapt to new information, enabling more timely and accurate forecasts. This adaptability is particularly crucial in volatile markets, where the ability to anticipate changes can significantly impact investment outcomes.
Financial Analysis
AI's role extends beyond enhancing prediction accuracy; it democratizes access to advanced financial analysis. Tools like Tickeron make sophisticated market insights accessible to a broader audience, leveling the playing field between individual investors and institutional players. This shift not only empowers retail investors but also fosters a more inclusive financial ecosystem.
Patterns and AI Robots:
Tickeron`s AI Robots are recommended to be used when the markets are falling in general. The core algorithm makes only long trades utilizing 15 expert-selected inverse ETFs. A sophisticated risk-management engine builds the position using dynamically calculated trailing stop levels while the market goes in the expected direction. The trajectory of falling markets is analyzed and short-term corrections are used as additional entry points. The Robot closes all trades when a significant market reversal is detected and confirmed.
The robot's trading results are shown without using margin. Every minute, AI Robot scans the ETFs (15) listed in the field “Customized”. A user can adjust the ETFs selected and see changes in the expected number of trades per day and/or other statistics.
Tickeron's AI advancements, particularly in pattern detection and robot-assisted trading, exemplify the transformative potential of AI in the financial domain. As these technologies continue to evolve, they promise to further refine market analysis, enhance trading strategies, and ultimately, redefine the landscape of financial investment.
In conclusion
The integration of Artificial Intelligence into financial markets is not just a passing trend; it is a profound shift that is reshaping the industry. From enabling more accurate predictions through platforms like Tickeron to democratizing financial analysis and fostering innovative trading strategies, AI is at the forefront of a financial revolution. As we look to the future, the continued development and ethical application of AI technologies will undoubtedly play a pivotal role in the evolution of financial markets, offering both challenges and opportunities in equal measure.
MCD sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
MCD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on January 26, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 53 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 43%.
Price Prediction Chart
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MCD moved out of overbought territory on January 03, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 37%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 78 cases where MCD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
MCD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 30, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCD as a result. In 35 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 38%.
The 50-day moving average for MCD moved above the 200-day moving average on January 08, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +0.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCD advanced for three days, in 157 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 396 cases where MCD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Fear & Greed
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 15 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (7.168). P/E Ratio (25.217) is within average values for comparable stocks, (188.716). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.887) is also within normal values, averaging (1.596). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. MCD's P/S Ratio (8.396) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.309).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MCD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The last earnings report on October 30 showed earnings per share of $3.17, beating the estimate of $3.00. With 3.33M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 207.42B.
Notable companies
The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NASDAQ:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NASDAQ:CMG), Yum! Brands (NASDAQ:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NASDAQ:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NASDAQ:YUMC), Domino's Pizza (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NASDAQ:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).
Industry description
The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.
Market Cap
The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.73K to 207.42B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 207.42B. The lowest valued company is AMHG at 6.73K.
High and low price notable news
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. JKHCF experienced the highest price growth at 88%, while DPZUF experienced the biggest fall at -30%.
Volume
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 32%
PFE opportunity or value trap?I have been following PFE for a while last year and almost added it as a staple to my core dividend portfolio which is about 25% of my long-term investing portfolio. The stock just printed its first whole bodied green candle since December of two years ago. The RSI is at historical levels not seen since 2009. The PE ratio has expanded a bit but still offers some multiple expansion here.
With a dividend over 5% and the stock having a huge margin of safety, this could be a strong bet to outperform money markets and provide a decent return. The stock rides the lower end of the Bollinger bands, it also saw 9 straight down months last year, similar to Verizon. I am very close to adding a huge chunk here before 30$. Even a 10% return this year with that 5% dividend is a win in these unsure markets.
Raydium PRICE points - Future Targets - Previous Supports RAYDIUM Levels of interest-
Support Zone : $.8551 - $1.3042
Support Level 2: 1.587
Target 1: $2.3809
Resistance Level 1: $2.6231
Target 2: $3.0505
Target 3: $4.8028
Resistance Zone: $8.3845 - $8.9024
LONG TERM TARGETS:
Target 1: $12.0143
Target 2: $13.9519
Raydium is an automated market maker (AMM) and liquidity provider built on the Solana blockchain for the Serum decentralized exchange (DEX). Unlike any other AMMs, Raydium provides on-chain liquidity to a central limit orderbook meaning that funds deposited into Raydium are converted into limit orders which sit on Serum’s orderbooks. This gives Raydium LPs access to all of Serum’s order flow as well as their existing liquidity. RAY is the native utility token used for:
Staking to earn protocol fees
Staking to receive IDO allocations
Governance votes on protocol decisions
Raydium launched its main net on February 21st, 2021 with 555,000,000 tokens created at genesis. 34% of all tokens will be released as liquidity mining incentives over a 3-year period. 30% of tokens are earmarked for partnerships and the expansion of the Raydium ecosystem. This includes giving grants to projects building projects around Raydium or helping our communities in general. These tokens are generally locked for 1 year and unlock linearly for the next 2 years.
Who are the founders of Raydium Pro
FRONTLINE PLC Long - Dollar Cost AverageThis is an analysis of Frontline PLC - a Norwegian oil transportation company, the following is strictly my own personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice.
Key numbers:
Dividend yield expected 2024 - 17%
P/B - 2.03
P/E - 5.41
Market cap 47 178 MNOK (4.5 BUSD)
Analyst estimates:
Analyst estimate average for FRO is 267.5 NOK which is equivalent to a 32.3% increase from todays price.
Key information:
FRO has had a significant increase in price the past 6 months, and analysts estimate an increase in both dividends and growth for the company in the coming years.
Technical analysis:
FRO made a bullish divergence on the 195-200 support level recently, after a significant sell off the past few weeks the stock did not even drop as a result of dividends being paid out to stock holders, and I see this as a sign of the stock being about to reverse the downwards trend and begin to move back towards my price target of 260-280.
Strategy:
I am currently in possession of FRO shares with a GAV of 150 NOK/Share as well as increasing my position on friday for 200 NOK/Share. I am looking to hold these shares until price reaches 260-300 NOK/Share depending on coming events. If the price keeps moving down, I will look to hold my position until the stock reaches my price target regardless, as the dividend payout is significant. This might change if significantly bearish news arise, but I do not see that as a high probability at this moment.
If price reaches my profit target, I will again look at analyst estimates and given there is no change I will exit my position for a significant gain. If analyst estimates increase I will either close part of my position or hold it until bearish divergence on the 4H timeframes.
chasing $NLY. Can't help myselfI am buying some NYSE:NLY , even though the stock is very overbought in the short term (see Money Flow Indicator at bottom of chart). I like the breakout through the dotted line connecting the highs from Oct 10 and Nov 17. After breaking through this morning the stock pulled back underneath the dotted line, but has now recaptured the high.
I believe that the macro environment supports the idea that the lows may be in for the mortgage REITs. This one trades at roughly 1x book value, while offering a 14%+ dividend. The timing might not be ideal on short time scale (again, it's overbought) but this is intended to be a long-term hold and I don't want NYSE:NLY to completely get away from me.