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DJI potential to Previous Swing high On the H4 chart, the overall bias for DJI is bullish. To add confluence to this, the price is crossing above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. Looking for buy entry at 33607.93, take profit at 35428.85 which is the previous swing high and stop loss at 32611.98 which is an overlap support. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
TVC:DJILong
by Rockqet
1
SPX | What goes up......must come down. Conservation of Energy We all know QE... The god-given gift which made everyone rich! Well, not everyone... Consumers sure took a hit. But who cares about them? We want corporations rich! And they got rich . And boy some of them did go rich... That's the beauty of the American Dream! Sure we were cheating... ...but look at all this money we made! Violets are green, dollars are green, stocks are green, everything is green! And stocks are everything! (This chart shows the stock market "dominance". How much of the wealth one can have is inside the stock market.) And now everything is inside crypto. We are all-in. In a Poker Game where The House always wins. After all that fun party, it is time for the bill, not clinton bill, not treasury bill, not dollar bill. It is time for debt to get paid. As always, nature will do it's trick... Nature seeks equilibrium. Entropy. When we cheat and inflate, it comes and deflates. Nature is a closed circuit. When some deflate, others inflate. And the cycle goes on... Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
SP:SPX
by akikostas
3
The Good, the Bad and the Ugly YieldsI have this question... Why are high yields bad? What is bad? We are in a period of big changes. There are lot's of balances changing, one of them is money. We have just passed (?) the biggest monetary experiment ever (QE) and we are about to enter the successor to that experiment, digital money. Digital money conveniently came about just at the time when hyperinflation became an expected reality. If you talked about hyperinflation 4 years ago, you were crazy, now it is expected (and perhaps actually coming). ... Instinct tells us that the unknown is a threat, rather than an opportunity. Instinct slyly and covertly compels us away from change and progress. ... -Dr. Breen In the center of the stages is the paradigm shift in yields. After decades of consistently lower yields, now we are expecting consistently higher ones. Many (including me) have prejudged themselves into be lie ving that high yields are inherently bad. I cannot conclude into what high yields are bad at. The title suggests that they have 3 faces, good bad and ugly. I can conclude that now, like always throughout history, we are rolling in a cycle. Some things have changed in unpredictable ways. This unorthodox chart shows us that this year, we have lived through something unique. Perhaps this will be the way things move forward. From the charts above I have tried hard to conclude into something. The only thing I have learned is the following: Bonds are the new equities. In QE world, lower yields made more money. How? Money printing and borrowing needs low yields for it to be popular. Immense liquidity bubbled everything and productivity skyrocketed. QE is the fuel of globalism. Equities paid out dividends, so higher equities led to even more money. In QT world, higher yields make more money. How? Money burning and lending needs high yields for it to be profitable. Money makes more money, and every day it makes even more money. Commodity producers (GOLD*PPIACO as an example) and wealthy individuals/corporations/nations can enjoy this new era. QT is the fuel of war. Everything is precious and everyone fights for it. In a globalized world, you could make money by being an intermediate entity. Now to make money you must actually own the resources and money. Rich get richer, and poor get poorer. This is the purchasing power of the consumer dollar. Poor get poorer... Poor get poorer when rich get richer. These charts above are simple to understand and analyze. Down below I will add some of my favorite charts. These charts calculate the value of commodities compared to equities or money supply. Commodity production bull-flags against equities. Commodity production bull-flags against money supply itself. The bull flag is against yields as well. True Production Cost (PPIACO*yields) is bull-flagging (?) PPIACO is used as a historical alternative to USOIL. For some reason, we cannot perform old historical calculations using oil. They show that the commodities prove a big motive for everyone. Especially to those who seek war. Would anyone in their clear mind expect WWIII to be talked about in the 2020s? With the knowledge we have collected throughout all these years, this would be out of the question! Yet, here we are, casually talking about it. Again, changes are happening but we are stuck in a cycle. All we can do about it is to understand where we are, and not constantly deceive ourselves and others into thinking otherwise. So there is a clear benefit into just realizing where we are, it is not financial profit, it is speaking truth. Conclusion? This is a zero-sum game for consumers. Also, with bonds we are committing hubris. Bonds is a mechanism that helps money itself make more money. Have you heard about the Ancient Greeks? They talked about the fact that when money makes money, it is Hubris (something like sin, only worse). Equities gave more output than there was input, if someone includes long-term dividends. You working and making money is not Hubris (according to Ancient Greeks). Making a system which enables money to make money, then you commit Hubris. Consistently higher yields will help money make even more money. Equities are facing Nemesis (compared to bonds). Bonds have just now committed Hubris. There may be many years until they face Nemesis as well. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori PS. This movie "good bad ugly" was released in 1966, a period financially similar to the one we live now.
TVC:US10Y
by akikostas
2
DJI - The Stock Market Enters Wave 5: Blow-Off Top Then CRASH!Although the sentiment is incredibly bearish and the world expects the stock market to underperform, it has left thin order books, low liquidity and volume, and an overly emotional state of the market. Considering how certain most analysts, traders, and investors are that a recession is already here, most are in cash, short, or sidelined. This state of the market will lead to FOMO and a rapid chase of prices higher in the most emotional and hated rally ever. It happens fast, sucking in people very late into the wave, and ultimately ends faster than they are prepared for. Many people will take on debt to buy more very close to the top. Just as sentiment switches back to ultra bullish, everyone will be blind enough for the real recession and markets will collapse. This is really how Elliott Wave works - it is a socio-economic phenomenon based on investor sentiment and human behavior. I'm publishing to be able to look back and see if this trajectory was correct at all.
TVC:DJILong
by CoinChartist
1
Bunch of copy paste quotes on Fed Meeting, $DJI $NDX GREAT DAY!Apologize for the LATE post on this We posted this elsewhere, documented, and bringing it here ---- Yesterday So, #fed tomorrow....... We get 25, likely rally and fade next day or few days later We get 50, likely sell off decently & then rally This could reverse in one day or take week or more #FederalReserve meeting #stocks #crypto #inflation Done for today :) Good day overall ---- Early Today, after announcement- Was at least expecting a pop first before the fall Interesting day today Maybe we get the fall and then the rally... However how we end the day, the next day tends to be a reverse of some sort $DJI $NDX $SPX ---- After- For a second we though we were going to get put (sold a bunch of put options when $DJI was off 340 points and $NDX was closer to day lows) a ton of #stock ROFL Limits being filled, not being greedy #crypto green US #Dollar $DXY hitting lows (did say HISTORICALLY doesn't hold) - We've been cautious #BULL for a bit & we need 2b weary of EUPHORIA We're watching for that, IMPORTANT! $VIX @ bottom trend (we'll know VERY SOON what's up) #yield falling $TNX, 2yr not as much, hmmm #stocks huge turnaround #crypto as well What about volume? Soon ---- $NDX & $DJI BUY volume is still there but it's lowering #DJI looking GOOD atm $NDX NO slouch testing downtrend soon #markets ARE IRRATIONAL Look at volume, patterns & trend!!! ---- Recent Awesome #stock day today! Good for the week! Raised cash again for trading Have some longs still $DOW $META (taking some off here), $KHC $INTC $ATVI & some others BUT aggressive TRADING still 1/3 in bonds, expire soon, & cash for tomorrow & other days Done for day &👀direction --- Look at $RUT $IWM RISK is ON ON ON Has been on Volume is ok #stocks have been looking ok $DJI breaking symmetrical = continuation pattern Staying cautious BULL! More haters of rally = GOOD! Keep eye on EUPHORIA!
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
YOU need to see this now - THE DANGER LINEThis is a wave trend indicator on the S&P 500 index that is based on relative strength with straightforward oversold or overbought conditions. Relative strength is a measure of momentum where both speed (time) and magnitude (change) is measured and plotted with simple or weighted moving averages. What you are seeing above is a snapshot of a RSI/wave trend of the S&P 500 index based on monthly candles. Understand that it takes the measure of a month of time just to get a single plot of data and this particular snapshot represents over two decades. But right before your eyes are very clear trends. The data is just pure and simple math and math does not lie. Ignore the news. Follow price, volume, momentum.. just follow the data. I will try not to state my opinion too much.. and just follow the data. What I see on the chart is concerning. If this decline continues over the next month or two, momentum is going to accelerate and volatility go up while the market basically crashes... i.e. if the DANGER LINE is breached. I found it odd that volatility (VIX) has been quite docile considering the amount of downside we've seen in the indices this year. That is concerning. It is entirely possible that the September thru November monthly candles are positive and this trend finds support.. and the danger line is not breached. On the flipside, this decent can continue and really pick up speed and we see a 2000-2003 correction or 2007-2009. Here is an overlay snapshot with those corrections to similar scale. That is what could happen if the current trend continues.. we could see 12-24 months of recession and very steep drops and sharp bearish reversals. Be careful, manage risk, consider hedging certain positions, and know that you DO NOT know what is going to happen.
SP:SPX
by gghsusa
11
DOW JONES A mix of patterns ahead of the Fed!The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has made a strong medium-term rise since our buy signal 12 days ago: Still within the High Volatility region, hence neutral long-term, the price is rising today after finding Support within the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). The medium-term pattern is a Triangle, the short-term a Channel Up. However the price needs to break above the 2 day Channel Down (red) in order to test the top of the Triangle and if broken extend the Channel Up into the medium-term to test the 34910 December High. A break below the Channel Up, should extend the red Channel Down towards the bottom of the Triangle again. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
U
by TradingShot
3
Dow Jones Harmonic pattern - DJ30 Potential Bearish Bat CFDHi there, Short note from me - This week could be crucial for the next quarter especcialy we have 3 decisions about interest rates: FED, ECB and BOE. But today i want to show you potential bearish bat harmonic pattern what I found on DJI30, which means we are going to test some lower price levels. My scenario for FED on wednesday: - rise interest rate by 50 bps - we all going down, - 25 bps, but- market going down until wednesday: we are going up in short term, - 25 bps, but- market going up: short, sell the news, - 0 bps (unlikely), going up, Outside this I'm still more bearish in particular that the downside formation was formed.
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by NightTerm
2
DJI Potential for Bullish Rise towards previous swing highLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DJI is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 33704.98, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 32948.93, where the recent low is. Take profit will be at 34712.28, where the previous swing high is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
TVC:DJILong
by VantageMarkets
DOW JONES Time to test the December 13 High.Dow Jones (DJI) held the dashed Higher Lows trend-line and rebounded, as we outlined on our last week analysis: That was on the 4H time-frame, now we zoom out to 1D where the index broke again above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but after last weeks 34,390 rejection, it remains within the High Volatility region. As long as the 1D candles close above the (dashed) Higher Lows trend-line, we are expecting not just a re-test of the 34300 August 16 High but also a direct hit on the 34910 December 13 High. The reason is that, as we mentioned last week, the current price action based on RSI terms, looks very similar to that of October 03 - 21. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
ULong
by TradingShot
1
worst months for stock market until febI can feel the super optimism from the NYSE market since friday. yes the powerful volume showed from the market and the last candle and weekly made it would go back to upside from now on. But we need to gear up the pessimistic view again. corporations earning seasons are coming soon, and mostly they will bring the worst momentum and results. last week's Friday job's income report was optimistic, but this can be changed with CPI data on thursday morning. also the FED chairman Powell's speech you need to be aware on tuesday morning. I personally belive that the short term early year bullish effect has finished now.
TVC:DJIShort
by illuminating_trade
22