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DOW JONES: Still bullish inside the Channel Up.Dow Jones has turned neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.990, MACD = 135.700, ADX = 29.049) as it crossed under the 4H MA50 and is on a lengthy consolidation phase inside the two month Channel Up. The 4h RSI is on a Bearish Divergence, which doesn't mean much unless the 4H MA200 breaks, as the very same divergence emerged during the December - January consolidation. If the 4H MA200 breaks, we will prepare our short under the S1 level and target the top of the S2 zone (TP = 37,200). Until then, the Channel Up favors buying (TP = 39,500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30
by InvestingScope
RSI & Money Flow comparison to other time periodsMarkets may remain irrational for an extended period of time. This can happen even when data conflicts. For the moment on the daily TVC:DJI : RSI is weakening. $ Flow is lower, but it is stable. Buys slightly outpace the sells since Mid January. (Only weekly is shown here. Pls see our profile for more information) --------------------------------------------- Things change a bit when seen on weekly data. Daily they seem weak but weekly there's 2 things of importance. Weekly TVC:DJI RECENT indicators show that RSI & $ flow seem OKAY. Let's compare them to years past. Compared to 2021: RSI is lower $ FLOW same Compared to 2017 + 2018: Both indicators are MUCH LOWER! (makes sense as it takes a lot more $ to move things around as indices and prices are higher) Showing 2 previous examples, blue boxes) as no market is identical. But, seeing the past we may get enlightenment to PREPARE for any outcome that may ensue. AMEX:SDOW AMEX:UDOW
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
TARGET REACHED - And ongoing to Target 2 - 40,0042The trade analysis we had for Dow Jones couldn't have played out better. On paper and theory, this just rocked to its first target 37,242. But then, it entered into a trending market. This is where it's very tough for breakout traders to get in. This is very tough for reversal traders to trade. This is very tough for range bounded trades to buy and sell. So, all we can do is wait for the trend to continue up and form a new pattern. Or continue holding and raising the trailing stop loss each week. But it looks like the next target is set for 40,0042. I'll wait and observe as it feels top heavy and I don't really have a good strategy to get in right now.
DJ:DJILong
by Timonrosso
DOW JONES Channel Up with the 4H as the key level.Dow Jones (DJI) is trading within a Channel Up pattern on the 4H time-frame with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting since the January 19 break-out, being right on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). As long as the price action is closing candles above it, we remain bullish, targeting a Higher High at 39100. If it closes a 4H candle below the 4H MA50, we will take the loss and sell instead, targeting the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 37800. Note that the last medium-term Support has been the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on January 18 and being overbought for too long on the 1D time-frame while the 4H RSI is on a Bearish Divergence throughout the index' whole Channel Up, a short-term correction to the 1D MA50, would technically be quite likely here. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30
by TradingShot
1
Russel 2000 WeakLet's take a look at the Russel 2000. This index seems to be the only one between the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P that is failing to break to new ATH while they are. What we're seeing is a triple top/triple resistance in Aug 2022, than again February 2023, and again August 2023 which was confirmed with a break down to the lows of October 2023 before more manipulation came into play. Some will say inflation is declining and talks of rate cuts seems to be the reason markets rose, but from what we are hearing today from the Fed is that rate cuts aren't likely as they continue to backtrack and downplay rate cuts. Perhaps, they know something before we do... perhaps double peak inflation like the 1970s? Just as everyone believes its declining, surprising new data comes out that proves otherwise? Let's see. Once again we see the Russel 2K failed more recently to break and hold above 2020 with constant rejections. This would be the 4th rejection and we could be on the 5th rejection. And why not? Banks once again are starting to shake, with JPMorgan losing deposits, NY Community Bank failing, banks invested in CRE are tanking and this before the big ending to their Bank Term Funding Programme (BTFP) officially ending. Look at the chart for it, it spiked in March 2023 with the failure of SVB, and it is spiking once again Jan and Feb of 2024. Something coming down the pipelines? I shudder when I see markets breaking ATH, because it has ALWAYS meant markets are more vulnerable to bad news (be it financial, economical, or geopolitical). What we're witnessing is a market that is getting fundamentally weaker and weaker. The economy does not support equities hitting ATH, as earnings are revised lower, personal debt is $17 TRILLION dollars (an ATH) and personal savings are at an all time low. This is not including the decaying jobs market, retail, national debt, manufacturing, consumer sentiment and so on. The floor is a 1 centimeter sheet of ice and it's warming up. This bubble is poised to pop any moment now. My advice Obviously, be vigilant. If you are holding positions from a lower price point and you are making profit, I say hold until whatever event happens and breaks the glass floor. If you are new money looking to invest, I can not suggest investing now at the top with such toxic economy and financials. Do your own research, look at the economic data and see if any of it or at least majority of it gives you peace about investing. People are broke, debt is exploding so retail will inevitably collapse and since we're a retail based economy, you can imagine what comes next. Targets for Russel 2K - IWM 1) 1915, if we break that then 2) 1730, if we break that then 3) 1680, if we break that then 4) 1630, if we break that then run for the hills.
CME_MINI:RTY1!Short
by WorldEconomics
1
"SPY Peaks: Signs Point to Market Reaching Pinnacle"SPY ETF Approaching Critical Resistance Amid Bearish Signals The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) has been a focal point for investors seeking exposure to the broader equity market. However, recent indicators suggest a potential shift in sentiment as the ETF nears significant resistance levels, hinting at a looming bearish turn. As of late, SPY has been on a notable uptrend, consistently climbing towards one-year high resistance levels. This trajectory has garnered attention from investors eyeing the possibility of continued gains. Yet, caution flags are waving as the ETF approaches the $500 to $520 range, projected to materialize by March or April of 2024. Market analysts and technicians are closely monitoring this critical juncture, as historical data indicates a propensity for price rejection and subsequent correction around such resistance zones. While past performance is not indicative of future results, the confluence of technical factors underscores the significance of this price range. One factor contributing to the bearish sentiment is the overextension of the current rally. With the market experiencing an extended period of growth, there is growing concern about unsustainable valuations and the potential for a market pullback. Additionally, macroeconomic uncertainties, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions, further amplify the apprehension among investors. Moreover, sentiment indicators such as the fear and greed index are signaling heightened investor optimism, often considered a contrarian indicator suggesting potential market reversals. As greed eclipses fear, complacency may set in, leaving the market vulnerable to downside risks. Investor psychology plays a crucial role in market dynamics, particularly during pivotal moments such as approaching resistance levels. The psychological barrier of reaching a milestone price range can trigger profit-taking among investors, leading to selling pressure and downward price momentum. Institutional investors, who often have the firepower to influence market movements, may also opt to rebalance their portfolios in anticipation of market headwinds. As such, increased selling activity from institutional players could exacerbate the downward pressure on SPY and the broader market indices. While the outlook remains uncertain, prudent investors are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor developments in the coming weeks. Key technical levels and market indicators will offer valuable insights into the potential direction of SPY and the broader market. In conclusion, as the SPY ETF approaches critical resistance levels amidst bearish signals, investors brace for a possible shift in market sentiment. With the $500 to $520 range looming ahead, caution is warranted as historical precedents and technical indicators point to the potential for a corrective phase. Vigilance and adaptability will be essential for navigating the evolving market landscape in the months ahead.
PYTH:SPYShort
by UnknownUnicorn2319099
1
DOW JONES at the top of the 18month Channel Up. Medium-term SellDow Jones has been trading within a 18-month Channel Up pattern since the October 13 2022 global market bottom. The current price action is approaching its top (Higher Highs trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since December 13 2022). With the 1D RSI on Lower Highs, which is a Bearish Divergence against the Higher Highs of the price action, the current levels are a strong candidate for a medium-term pull-back. Even though we are past the transition year of 2023, which got the index out of the 2022 Bear Cycle and into the new Bull Cycle, thus we do not necessarily need a strong correction like those of August - October 2023 and December 2022 - March 2023, a smaller technical pull-back would be natural to normalize the overbought technical indicators and extend the long-term bullish trend. As a result, we are targeting at least 37120, which is Support 1 and just above the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level, the first target of the December 19 2022 pull-back and a typical % correction similar to August 24 and May 25 2023. Not that the 1D RSI was under a Lower Highs trend-line both during the August 2023 and December 2022 corrections. Interestingly enough, both corrected by -9.20%, so technically we can see a correction as low as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 0.236 Fibonacci Channel level at 35000 (even though it is less likely unless very negative fundamentals hit the market). Also it is worth pointing out that there is a technical maximum extension above the Channel Up, which is the red Triangle, in case the current Bullish Leg of the pattern goes for a +21% rise, like the December 01 2022 did. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by TradingShot
4
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to 100% Fibo 38516.Dear colleagues, the waves continue their development. After the correction a b c, wave 1 in the upward movement is completed. At the moment I suppose that the price will either update the maximum of wave 1, or make a correction to the area of 50% Fibonacci level in the area of 37500 (wave 2), then I expect the price in the area of 100% Fibonacci extension level 38516. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TVC:DJILong
by Hellena_Trade
2
BTC - This is Why I Am Now Shorting Bitcoin...In this video, I delve into the considerations that led me to take a short position on Bitcoin at these specific levels. I want to clarify that I'm not advocating for others to follow suit in shorting Bitcoin; rather, I'm elucidating the rationale behind my decision. The video also touches upon the influence of the Dow Jones and Solana on this decision, and I present a slightly less optimistic perspective on BNB. While the medium-term outlook still anticipates all-time highs, the short-term signals suggest a potential impediment to the crypto market's performance due to a looming recession. Despite this, I posit that ongoing stimulus measures during such economic events act as catalysts for the subsequent upward movement. It seems imprudent to adopt a bullish stance before a correction has run its course, underscoring the fundamental principle behind the formation of AriasWave.
Short
by AriasWave
2
🅱️ Bitcoin Is The Dow Jones In 1968 | Elliot Wave TheoryBack in 1968 the two major proponents of the Elliot Wave theory concept where divided as to the wave count of the DJIA. While AJ Frost would consider the 1966 peak as Wave B of an irregular top in a flat correction, Hamilton Bolton was looking at it as the 5th wave of a bullish impulse. One thing is certain, while they disagreed on the count they both agreed that what should follow was a new bull-market regardless of the count and they were right. We ended up with a triple zig-zag followed by a new bull-market: We have the same situation today with Bitcoin, people are divided between the third and fifth waves. One interpretation calls for the top to be April 2021 with the low in November 2022 being Wave C of a flat and Wave 4 of the impulse in a higher degree: While some others are calling for new lows taking the November 2021 irregular top as Wave 5 of the bigger impulse: Well, there is actually a big difference with the Dow Jones forecasters from the past. While they had a different count as to the irregular top, both agreed that what would be now equivalent to the November 2022 low in Bitcoin was the bottom in the Dow Jones before a new major leg up or bull market, our Cryptocurrency analysts, some, are still divided between new lows and a new bull-market. Now, let me offer you my count, it is pretty simple. The 2017 peak is definitely the end of a major 5-up wave, no doubt about that, we can easily draw a 5-up wave pattern with multiple extensions. What follows is a correction, you can draw it in any way you like and here we have an A-B-C or Zig-Zag from Dec. '17 to Dec. '18. The next wave can be either an inverted Zig-Zag or another 5-up wave, makes no difference, from Dec. '18 through June '19. This is followed by another correction ending in March 2020 and here a new 5-up wave pattern starts. From March 2020 through April 2021 we have another impulse and April 2021 marks the orthodox end of this bull market. What follows is a correction, classic EW theory and you can see it on this chart. If you want to be conservative or lets just say not bullish, you can say that another correction can follow after the Nov. 2022 low, this is possible and you can draw an upward Zig-Zag or whatever you like, we can only really confirm the wave count in retrospect. But, if you consider go past market action and the way Elliot Wave theory works, we are set for a new 5 waves up impulse. Which is really just the fifth wave of a higher degree since the correction from April 2021 through November 2022 is only Wave 4, which tends to be complex, hard to read and long. We have all these characteristics here... Bitcoin is going bullish... Can any Elliotter confirm/comment if I am right or wrong? Namaste.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by AlanSantana
121
DOW JONES Why you don't want to miss this rally.Dow Jones (DJI) is pulling back on a technical correction as the 1W RSI got overbought (above the 70.00 mark) on the December 26 1W candle. That was basically the first time since June 01 2021 it got overbought and that time also gave a technical pull-back. What draws our attention more than that time though is the December 19 2016 pull-back when the 1W RSI was again overbought. The difference here is that the price action and patterns that preceded that pull-back/ consolidation are very similar. A Lower Lows bottom on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) that took place on a 1W RSI Higher Lows Bullish Divergence, gave way to a break and sustainable rise above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Following the current pull-back/ consolidation we are at, a very strong Channel Up took place. As a result, even though the sentiment is bearish on the short-term, possibly until the January 31 Fed Meeting, it is clear that the long-term trend is bullish. Every such correction has high probabilities from now on to be a buy opportunity. The target can be as high as 43000 within 2024. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
49