Dow Jones (DJIA) | Best point for sellHello traders, FTSE 100 (UKX) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
According to the count made in this index, waves 1, 2 and 3 are formed and are now at the beginning of wave 4.
Depending on the shape of wave 2, wave 4 will probably move deep, at least to 0.5 fibo, and will lengthen over time, and it can be said that wave 4 will be a flat.
The first movement of the flat to the pink line is formed after the confirmation and failure of the red circle.
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Djia
Dow Jones: Lowwwww!❎❎❎For a moment, the Dow looked like it was serious about rising again. However with the current movement, the course is developing in our predicted direction. We expect the course to turn around at 33518 points and surge again. An alternative breakout has a probability of 35%.
Happy weekend!
DOW JONES Buy opportunity on the 1D MA200 and 0.618 FibPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price reached both the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as well as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The last parameter to fulfil is the RSI Support, so allow margin for one last low at the bottom of the Channel Up.
Target: 36500 (Resistance and All Time High) and 37000 in extension (Higher High of the Channel Up).
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DOW JONES OVERSOLD- BUY 34500 TP 35500 one monthBroad market rally are coming soon with EURO rebound confirmed and USD index starts to weakened.
STOCK MARKET are pretty CHEAP right now so its time to get back into the market.
OIL PRICE ALSO looking to rebound anytime soon.
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This is my own opinion and not Financial Advice,
Do your own Research.
Ex. Bond Dealer
DOW JONES approaching the 1D MA50Following the new top on the Higher Highs trend-line of the multi-month Channel Up, the index got rejected and has been pulling back since. It is approaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) which serves as a technical medium-term Support. If it holds then I expect a strong rally towards the 0.236 Fibonacci extension setting a personal target at 37000. See how the 1D RSI is also near its multi-month Symmetrical Support.
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Future DJI Top - Great Depression cycle overlayStripped the chart down to the 2009-2021 current bull market fibs, and the Great Depression bottom to future top fibs, with an overlay of the DJI chart leading up to the great depression in 1929, with some very stark similarities (outside of covid, and the pullback im expecting here, though we got ahead of the great depression cycle both times to warrant a pullback). Again, I know im getting way ahead of myself here, but these fibs line up too damn well for me to hide these charts in private.. so if this plays out, you heard it here first.
DOW JONES entering a transition Channel as in late 2020.This is not the first time I bring forward the ideal of Dow Jones following this 2020 fractal:
As you see from my October 01 idea above, this fractal comparison accurately projected the bottom of the Channel Up (blue) and the subsequent rally that followed. This time I am expanding this idea on the Fibonacci scale, as DJI broke above the Channel Up and hit the 1.382 Fibonacci extension from the bottom.
On November 09 2020, the price also broke above its Channel Up (blue), hit the 1.382 Fib extension and then entered a new (green) Channel Up, which I call transitional as it took the index from the first Channel Up (blue) towards the higher extension levels of the Fibonacci Channel in early 2021.
During that time the RSI (always on the 1D time-frame) turned sideways, indicating this Transition phase more clearly. I am expecting a similar process until the end of the year, meaning a pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is possible but as long as it supports, we are more likely to see prices above 37000 at the end of the year.
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Am I Crazy to Expect DJIA to Drop by 8000 points Long Term?Markets are strong and the outlook currently is very bullish. So anyone who thinks that markts will drop significantly in the mid to long term would be laughed at right?
But i just cant help but notice that markets are way too high at the moment. everything seems pretty over valued - although market analysts will say the valuations are just about at the right level if not still low.
Could all these excellent company earnings be transitory, thus skewing the markets?
or perhaps theres something more to come, such as another wave of teh pandemic that could pull the markets down.
Whilst we are yet to see what it could be... my better judgement of technical alalysis tells me we could see a big correction in the markets over the long term.
Im aiming for around 26,000 for teh DJIA. Time will tell.
DOW JONES Top of the Channel Up. Pull-back possible.It's been a while since I updated my Dow Jones thesis. The most recent one (Oct 13) was on the short-term 4H time-frame, where I identified a buy signal on this Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern:
The longer-term one though was last updated on October 1 and this is where I come back to today as well:
As you see, the bounce on the 1D MA200 gave a perfect bottom buy signal and the 35900 target has been achieved. Even though the long-term target is the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (36,450), the price is trading very close to the Channel Up with the 1D RSI on Lower Highs. This RSI formation has been recently seen on tops with the price correcting afterwards to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). On this index, it is best to wait for such contact before targeting the eventual 1.382 Fib extension.
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DOW JONES Buy SignalPattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the price is close to completing the Right Shoulder and is on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
Target: 34700 which is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level just below the Lower Highs trend-line.
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$VIX - Key Levels and Analysis - Another View - Daily Timeframe$VIX - Key Levels and Analysis - Another View - Daily Timeframe
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I posted a VIX study earlier today on the 1W timeframe (it’s the post directly before this)
Now bringing it down to the Daily chart - another bearish MA crossover. Always a deep spike when these averages cross. YIKES…
I hate being THIS bearish… but I do not think is is good.
Trade carefully guys. I personally love volatility, but just know your limits - it could get bumpy
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I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you.
My average is in Grey
Red = Resistance
Green = Support
Blue = trendlines
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can.
Have fun, y’all!!
DJIA (Wall Street) sees its worst month of the year – where to nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA / Wall Street) finished the month of September trading down -4.3%, its largest 1-month decline of the year and more than twice the -2.0% drop that it saw in January.
So where does that leave the most popular US index?
In a word: Adrift .
After rising consistently from last November through this September, the Dow has now fallen out of its 10-month bullish channel. In fact, despite unprecedented levels fiscal and monetary stimulus from US policymakers, the index is now unchanged since mid-April.
Moving forward, the most relevant technical structure to watch will be the sideways range between support near 33,700 and resistance up at 35,500. Though the current technical view bias is neutral, a break below the bottom of this rectangle and the rising 200-day EMA near 33,250 would open the door for a deeper retracement 31,000 or even 30,000 next, while a bullish breakout above 35,500 would signal the resumption of the longer-term uptrend.
DOW JONES hit 1DMA200 for the 1st time since the US elections!Dow Jones is trading within a Channel Up that reached today its Higher Lows trend-line (bottom). But perhaps the most important development is that in doing so, it hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since October 30 2020 (the U.S. elections)! That alone is a strong buy signal itself but consider also the following:
* The RSI bounced on the 30.000 level on September 20 which has marked price bottoms on June 18 2021, October 29 2020 (in the post COVID crash era). Also it has been rising since on Higher Lows.
* The pattern resembles the June - October 2020 Channel Up. The price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), 1D MA100 and 1D MA200 in the same order and manner.
Based on the Fibonacci extension model, I am setting a target at 35900 by late October - early November.
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DOW JONES near the 1D MA200/ first time since October 2020!Dow Jones is trading within a Channel Up that has recently broken below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). This is the first time in two months that is giving the first strong buy signals:
* The RSI is near the 30.000 level which has marked price bottoms on June 18 2021, October 29 2020 (in the post COVID crash era).
* The price is approaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), with the last contact dating back to October 30 2020 (the line held and issued an aggressive rally post US-elections).
* The pattern resembles the June - October 2020 Channel Up. The price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), 1D MA100 and 1D MA200 in the same order and manner.
Naturally the market is waiting for Fed's confirmation tomorrow before it engages aggressively on high volume but this is the time technically to start considering a buy entry again. Based on the Fibonacci extension model, a target of 35900 seems very plausible.
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