Sector early indicator? Yes, Real Estate can be sometimes.The Real Estate sector - here represented by iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR, in orange), Simon Property Group (SPG, in purple), Equity Residential (EQR, in red), - can sometimes act as an early indicator against the broader market (here represented by the DJIA in gray, and the NASDAQ in black)... falling from peaks in 1998, Feb 2007, Mar 2015, Nov 2017.
Djia
DOW JONES touched the 1D MA50. Time to rebound?Dow Jones is trading within a wide Channel Up on the 1D time-frame since the November U.S. elections break-out. Applying the Fibonacci Channel levels really gives this a better perspective.
Yesterday the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As you see every contact within the 1D MA50 since January has been a buy opportunity. So far even when the 1D MA50 breaks slightly, the price never goes below the Ichimoku Cloud. Yesterday we had a hit both on the 1D MA50 and the Ichimoku. I believe that should be enough to initiate a rebound within the current phase of the Channel Up.
The question is, will that be like the March 04 rebound which broke above that Channel and took the index to the higher Fibonacci levels? What do you think?
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DJI (& certain sectors) falling ovr aftr May volatility stressesDow DJIA (& certain sectors - but not yet the NASDAQ) falling over in June after May VIX volatility stresses, and diverging from a strongly rising IXIC Index (NASDAQ)... Sectors shown are Transportation, Finance, Consumer Staples and Natural Resources.
Dow Jones Transportation Signal Market Sell Off?The Dow Jones Transportation index usually tops and reverses prior to the Dow or S&P. The Transportation index has also fell below its support line while the Dow is in the apex of a bearish rising wedge pattern. Will the Fed save the markets again or will Wall Street finally meet reality? If the Fed didn't exist this would be the easiest short play.. I still think a pullback or consolidation is extremely likely
Dow Jones: Heart Eyes! 😍😍😍It increasingly seems that the global indices are gaining momentum and that we are entering another bull market. The Dow Jones, too, is looking healthier by the day. We expect the index-giant to rise between 35314 – 35513 points. There, a correction should add to the momentum for even stronger increases.
Good days ahead!
Dow Jones CYCLE? EXPECT VOLATILITY AROUND JUNE 11 - 18?Dow Jones CYCLE? EXPECT VOLATILITY AROUND JUNE 11 - 18? Is the Dow Jones about to end a cycle and start a new cycle? Will price pull back significantly after the push towards $36,000? Or, will it explode to the upside? We will see? Manage your risk? Not financial advice.
2021-05-29 DJIA Birdseye view 1929 till 2021Sometimes one needs to take a step back to see the bigger picture on what is going, to learn from the past and start making plans of actions on what to do next ✌
1929 Crash (Wikipedia article)
en.wikipedia.org
1987 Black Monday Crash (Wikipedia article)
en.wikipedia.org(1987)
1999-2000 Dot-Com Bubble (Wikipedia article)
en.wikipedia.org
2007-2008 Subprime Mortgage Crisis (Wikipedia article)
en.wikipedia.org
Dow Jones Industrial Average - Final push to $36,000?Dow Jones Industrial Average - Final push to $36,000? Will it happen during the First week in June? After price hits around $36,000, we may get a major pullback. We will have to monitor the market closely and expect volatility at that point. Expect some sort of shake up around early to mid June. We will see. For now the market is still bullish.
DOW JONES Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the zone within the 1D MA50 and the 4H MA400 (yellow trend-line) has been a buy opportunity within the Channel Up. Also the previous -5% pull-backs have been buy opportunities, both of which made a bottom within that zone. In addition, the RSI bounced on its Support Zone.
Target: 35800 (every such pull-back has rallied +8% to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension).
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DJIA is my wave count correct ?There is not much to write here if My count of the Elliot waves is correct I would say that 35k up to 38k will bring solid correction.
I would expect harmonic pattern of 3 correcting waves if this analyse is correct.
Expecting also USD to grow stronger and BTC to go lower than current price.
I have not much experience with DJIA index but after what I saw the very low GDP of most of the coutries and huge spike in prices of equites commodities
I suspect that the bubble might be hiding somewhere
Dow Jones: Good Things Take Time 🌱🌱🌱Yes, we are in the middle of a global correction and the Dow Jones will still lose strength going forward. However, we expect the industrial index giant to fall between 33286 – 32756 points at max, before planting the seed for more sustained growth afterward. In total, we should see the Dow rise to somewhere around 36981 points, given that it stays above 31951 points during the current movement.
Be patient!
Dow Jones - Elliott Wave Technical Analysis5th wave has still some room to go up as usually it's as long as 1st wave.
Fib Extn for this wave from bottom of 1st wave to top of 3rd and extending it to 4th (bottom):
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- We are now at 0.236 Fib Extension $34,550, 0.382 is around ~$35,090, 0.5 is at ~$35,500, 0.618 around $35,958
Good Luck!
Dow Jones: C’mon Do Something! 😴😴😴The Dow Jones has been relatively quiet for the past couple of weeks. Our primary expectation is that the course is going to decline and dip into the target zone with the coordinates of 32850 – 32430 points. From there, we expect the course to increase again and reach new all-time highs. As long as we are above 33646 points, however, there is a 45% chance that the Dow is directly pushing up North.
Stay patient!
$CINF (Cincinnati Financial Corp) - Long to $160 Here is the analysis behind my latest stock purchase $CINF (Cincinnati Financial Corp)
PE Ratio (Trailing) = 5.42
ROE = +29.9%
ROA = +11.4%
ROIC = +10.9%
Solid data there and then the cash situation looks very strong. cash flow is growing but capital expenditures are not meaning the free cash flow is growing in recent years with the most recent 12 months bringing in 1.65 billion
We have 947 million in total cash and 905 million in total debt so this is a well balanced company from that aspect. Considering the debts are well managed and the growing cash flow inline with the average growth of just over 7% for the last 10 years, this to me looks like a strong company that is currently undervalued.
I believe the intrinsic value of this stock to be at $160 based on the current fundamental data
DJIA - Long and short Setup Breakout or Breakdown US30LTF Analysis on the Dow
Closing in on the Apex so a break to the upside or downside is Iminent.
See chart for trade setup if you take it ..
Ensure to know your Invalidation and use a SL
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