Dow Jones Wave iv finally in place at 23675 levels ?The Dow Jones managed to rally and close higher yesterday, making intraday highs at 23675 levels. It seems that the corrective rally (3 waves) that began from 21800 levels earlier might have terminated at 23675 levels, just ahead of 24000 as discussed earlier. We could still label this lower top as a potential Wave iv termination, and until prices remain below 24000 levels, a sharp 5 waves decline can be expected. It could either be an impulse drop or an ending diagonal but the termination point could be at least below 21800 levels going forward. The higher degree wave structure also remains intact for now with Waves (1) and (2) in place at 24122 and 26000 levels respectively and Wave (3) into progress now. If the above structure holds true, we could see fresh lows below 21800 levels.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
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Dow Jones ready to drop below 21400 levels now?The Dow Jones is progressing well into its Wave (3) at a higher degree as labelled here. Within the 3rd wave, a lower degree wave iv was unfolding last week and we had discussed the possibility of its termination around 23200/300 levels. Last Friday, Dow Jones managed to hit 23365 levels intraday and closed around 23000 levels as seen on the chart displayed here. It could be a potential wave iv termination and prices could resume lower from here below 21400 levels. If the above structure holds true, prices should remain below 23370 levels and bears in control from here on. Once Wave (3) is terminated lower, it would be interesting to see if Dow Jones turns higher again. At least for now, the bearish pressure remains against 24000 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Diamond pattern should break soonDiamond pattern nearing completion. A break in price down could mean a half staff pattern, with the second leg the same length of the first. Yearly and monthly pivots below provide strong support and price target at 23100 area.
Break up could be a price trend reversal to the monthly R1 at 25100.
The Dow's run to 265 offers a great opportunity for fast cashAfter breaking the symmetrical triangle last Friday, the DJIA's run to 26500 looks likely.
I expect a very good next two week; starting with a price target this week of 26000, and 26500 next week. It is fair to say that the Dow could face a lot of pressure from its January high. Therefore I believe that the price will be dancing between 265-266 for a week before a break-out occurs, and then, I think that a consolidation will follow.
I will be trading it this way:
1. I will buy DIA Calls with a Mar 16 Exp and sell them when the index reach 26500;
2. I will wait for a drop to hopefully 26000 before re-entering the trade but this time with a Apr 20 Exp. My target for this one will be 27000. I will wait a bit after that to see where the market is heading.
Good trading everyone!
CORRECTIVE STRUCTURE IN DJI - 1H CHARTHey Traders,
Just wanted to pull this simple analysis on DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
We had an impulse and a corrective structure, I am sure we can get a brakeout soon, watch for that and then go long for a short term trade.
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Hey Traders,
Simplemente compartir este analisis en DJI (Índice Down Jones)
Tuvimos un impulso y una corrección. Estoy seguro que pronto el mercado rompéra alcista, estad al tanto y en la ruptura de la estructura buscad una oportunidad en largo a corto plazo.
Carlos
YM1! @ 1h @ in front, while & after FOMC press conferencelet me first clarify: "i got cold feets traders - & closed my both long positions in AXP & GS"! I am thinking that we will can buying both shares a little bit cheaper, in the next few days :shades: ...
In the YM1! i am still long, not only `cause the sentiment is by far not so euphoric even like in the banks & financials. And by the way the chart is also looking much better! Not so fast and furios - and much more constructive! I`ve made the effort, that everybody understands what i mean - and why i am slightly optimistic - not sensitive - still restrained (kosher) bullish :)
As long the consolditaion Box holds between 19605 & 19431 Points i don`t see any reason the get in panic about the future - in the YM1! - in the US Major Equities - in the US Blue Chip shares.
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
Best regards
Aaron
Dow to get 23k before crashMorning guys,
Wishing you all a happy weekend - I will not be free much this weekend so wanted to share this chart this morning. The eurusd call was completely as expected which was brilliant for us all, please see the related idea if you have not already plenty more opportunity before we reach parity. There are still plenty of people who continue to think inflation is bad and rising interest rates. Deflation has done nothing to help the European economy. All they keep doing is reading their text books from school.
The Dow has made a thrust up to the late 19k level. We can see technically, the market has closing resistance at 19576 level with the next level up at the 19731 area. I suspect that the majority of the retail public will start to jump in after 23k is exceeded on the Dow. They will keep expecting this to "end any day now" and we may yet get that Phase Transition after getting through the 23,000 level.
The highest PE Ratio took place in 2009 during the crash - not a bull market. Why? Smart money just wanted to park in blue chips. There are times when you just want to park your money when banks and bonds are not a place to be.
Volatility will rise next week, we could pause, retest support then turn back up into January. There is a risk that we then have a correction.
Naturally these moves present great investment opportunities, more on this to come.
LONG DJI ::: RISK CALL :::The reason why we feel DJIA may Rise.
* On weekly basis it has started moving up
* To Rise and come near 17287, 17418 levels .
* Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) is Rising.
* RSI (14,CLOSE) is Rising.
* CCI (20,CLOSE) is Rising.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to Rise. Our Buy call shall be from Buy above :17151, SL:17113, Tgt 01: 17245, Tgt 02: 17287, Tgt 03:17418. The view expressed here is on weekly basis. A WORD OF CAUTION IN LONGING THE DJIA as DJIA has already travelled to far into buy region be ready for a snap back.. [b ]Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
SHORT DJI ::: REVERSAL CALLDJI is expected to sink now.
There are many reason why we feel it may sink.
01. It is below quarterly buy level.
02. hammerl in daily Chart.
03. To sink and may come near 16150
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) is not clear.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is Bearish.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also sinking.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. Our sell call shall be from sell bellow:16628 with a SL @: 16839 Tgt01: 16334 Tgt02: 16150 . We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
DJI LONGDJIA is expected to rise.
There are many reason why we feel it may RISE
01. It is trying to touch Monthly Risk buy level of 16719.
02. BULLISH ENGULFING in WEEKLY Chart.
03. To RISE and come near 16597.
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it may RISE.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is of the same view.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to rise. Our BUY call shall be from 16427 with a SL @: 16379 Tgt01: 16544 Tgt02: 16597 Tgt03: 16759. We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.