Fly me to the moon...27420-27460 is the overhead trend-line resistance...but how can the US Stock market resist 28000? Or even 30000? They just love hitting the big numbers.
Djiaprediction
US30 - Friday BULL - REVERSE to SHORT by END OF DAYEntered LONG at 26600 and futures gapped up. TP1-26675, TP2-26790.
I plan to reverse my positions probably 1 hour before extended close today. To be ready for BIG SHORT on Monday.
DOW/DJI Market Analysis - Entering Consolidation PeriodDOW/DJI graph looks like it's in consolidation.The blue lines (solid and dotted) represent areas where I expect the price to go up/down to. They are the support and resist.
The green circle represents a period of time where I think the consolidation will come to an end.
What is consolidation? It's when the market is undecided if it will go up or down.
What happens when the consolidation comes to and end? We will see a move that will "break" the blue lines and head up or down.
The way current conditions are, this consolidation period will come to and end between January 2020 and May 2021. We could then see a crash or break-out. The move up or down, when we come out of consolidation, might be slow as well.
The lowest the price will go (before the end of consolidation) is around 22000, the highest around 26500.
This is not financial advice. Remember that everything is dynamic and up to interpretation of the trader and the tools they use. I will keep updating this graph every so often as conditions change.
The Great "FOMO" DEPRESSION - When to sell BITCOIN & buy STOCKSHi,
i zoomed out as far as i could (Dow Jones, logarithmic Chart)
My assumption is based on the believe of an historic trend channel.
At first, some Events, to put things into perspective:
The "Great depression" of 1929 - 1930
had Around 88 % Correction from Top to bottom.
Bretton Woods: 1971, the USA rendering the dollar a fiat currency
Lehman Brothers Collapse, Small Crash of 2008
Around 50 % Correction from Top to Bottom.
The Top of BTC will correlate
with the bottom of the Stock Market.
(Tripple Bottom in the end of 2020)
The Crash of 2019 - End of 2020.
Around 70 % Correction from Top to bottom.
Liquidity Crisis, Trade War & the Rise of Bitcoin.
BTC acting as a non-correlating asset due to decreasing global liquidity, + the BTC halvening May 2020.
XRP value will also increase & flood payment corridors with needed liquidity. (Nostro Accounts no longer needed)
Nostro Accounts are needed, if a Bank uses the Swift System to transfer money international.
In this Accounts is a lot money "Frozen" for settlement.
DJI SHORT 1 HR My Trading DiaryHere the turning point sin DJI
new highs
(Blue Line)
and new lows
(red line)
But with the real points where you had the chance to trade that system.
In many cases the shwon trades of trading services have never been
there in realtime.
In also many other cases it has not been for normal traders
any chance to do it like the pros.
But here you are able if you watch my 1 HR Charts
to start a long position at
25848
and to go short and out of this position at
26320
in Realtime = 470 Points Long + 180 Points Short at the moment 9.4. end
of trading day
as shown with the RED VERTICAL Lines.
Good trades for all
DJI Situation end of 15.3.2019 LONG
Hello everyone who is watching my charts.
Here is the update to the end of today's DJI trading day
The situation remains unchanged.
What should we pay attention to on Monday?
We now have 2 long trend lines
the one in the steep Long channel I have marked blue.
But I'm afraid this steep uptrend will not last long.
But below that we have an interesting 2nd new long trend line which has developed the last few days and which I marked red.
This trendline seems to me to be the more important in the longer term,
As long as they do not break the situation continues long.
First a break of this red line puts the Long Setup in a neutral setup.
Underneath there is an important support in the area 25550 which I marked black.
If it breaks we are in Short Terrain.
But at least there is no sign of this level tonight.
---------------------------
--This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only .Alllways do your own research---
----------------------------
DJI LONG BREAKOUT 15.3.2019 11:30 NYTNow we have an interesting sign here.
DJI has break ot of the short channel (i have marked them in red)
and comes bak to our well known blue trendline from 11.3.2019
Thats a really strong sign.
DJI managed not only to go sideways out .
Strong up and trading along the long line in blue.
I exspected now higher prices
Also to notice
We have taken out the resistance at 25757 and thats also a fine
long sign.
I will update that at end of todays trading.
DJI Situation 14.3. 10:00 NYT SHORT but possible tredn changeDJI has managed to get our off the sharp short channel
i had marked fe day ago into a more wider short channel
now i have marked in red to see them easily.
But since 2 days we have also an established long trend
to see at the blue long trendline which i have marked
as support on the long side.
Now we only can wait what will happens next.
a) a brake of the blue long line as stay in short
or
b) a brake of the red line to get in a neutral and maybe long aerae.
Both possibilities are equal weighed in my eyes
and i cant see any advantage for one of them to forecast
Lets check the DJI end of today trading, i am shure
we can see more clearly the situation.
DJI SHORT end of 12.3.2019In the opposite direction to the Nasdaq situation we have here now the DJI.
DJI is still caught in the bigger short channel i have marked in red lines.
He tried to go out at end of yesterday and start of todays trading but
the outbreak failed.
Now the upper line (i have matrked the channel in red lines)
is the important resistance line for the ext trading days.
Unfortunately for the bulls the yesterday established
long trendline has been broken today (now in orange color)
That not a strong sign.
It is to exspect either a fall dwon in the trend channel or a
sideways go out, but also these possibility is NOT a long
setup.
If that occures we have to check the situation new
whether there comes up a new long trendlie or similar strong signs
or not.
So for now situation is still Short in the channel
--This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only .Alllways do your own research---
DJI SHORT end of 8.3.2019 Short trendchannels establishedDJI is now rading in he new short trendchannel
i have marked them with red lines.
These channel is split in a smaller more shorter range
i have marked ht upper line of that part of channel in purple and the its own lower side , marked in red.
So in a few words:
Between the lower red and the purple line
has been the shortest range.
1 Time Buyers have tried to put DJI out of them
but since end to 8.3. they have not really been succesfull.
We have to check on monday whether the next try which has been started at end of yesterdays trading (25548) will be now successfull.
That would be a first sign of a litte bit revocery.
Next step would be to get on the upper side and upper trendline
(upper red line) of the channel
If DJI reach the level of 25600 till end of monday trading
and climb avove that aerea the setup will going to neutral.
All below this is stay in short
Situation DJI at end of 7.3.2019 SHORTAt end of trading day 7.3.2019 there is now really news to tell. We have
established now a new short downtrend channel
i have marked in purple to have a road for the next days.
There is also as you can see a trend resistance channel with
a deeper fall, i have marked with orange resistance line.
I think in 1 of these channels we will se DJI tomorrow
and than we check situation again.
There is a added resistance zone also marked in orange now at 25560 we have to check to see
a first sign of end of short.
(Whether DJI climbs above that)
But even IF, that only a sign, that NOT a new long signal.
Situation DJI 7.3. at 12:45 NYTNothing news here, Situation is still short.
Resistance at 25890 and also at 25720
are to brek for a new setup.
But the short trendine is also valid as resistance (marked in blue)
Situation DJI end of 6.3.2019 SHORTExactly as described in the last Ideas
the DJI is in Short Mode.
I have added the new short trendline which is very steep.
Maybe the will break and we eill get a more flat short lower trendline
but that will not change the setup.
The Make or break is again 25890
If its going not above thet level the setup still is short.
US30, there is a Rev, short it!Hi traders,
I see at D1 TF there is a potential reversal; so pullback area as depicted on the chart, take a look and keep shorting it.
Happy trading!
SHORT Dow Jones might have topped out around 24860 levelsThe Dow Jones turned bearish yesterday, indicating that a meaningful top could be in place at 24860 levels, but be prepared for yet another high around 25100 levels as well. Kindly note that a major price resistance is seen at 26000 levels, which is potential Wave (2) termination as labelled on the chart view here, and prices should ideally stay below that, to keep the bearish structure intact. Also note that a resistance trend line is passing close to 25000 levels, which is converging with fibonacci 0.786 resistance of the drop between 26000 and 21800 levels respectively. Believe it or not, the 24860 to 25100 region could prove to be a strong resistance zone and a bearish reversal cannot be ruled out.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow is at a fibonacci confluence around 24000 levels!The Dow Jones hits fibonacci resistance at confluence around 24000 levels. It could just be a matter of time, before bears take control back and continue lower, as Wave iii progresses. Believe it or not, the wave counts are clear as highlighted here, and a potential higher degree Wave (3) has been unfolding since the 26000 levels. Furthermore, a lower degree wave iii extension could be potentially unfolding at the moment, since 24800 highs. If the above structures hold good, ideally we should see prices remain below 24800 levels and broadly below 26000 levels going forward. A safe trading strategy still remains on the south side with potential risk at 26000 and targeting below 21800 respectively.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow might be unfolding an extended Wave iii within Wave (3)?The Dow Jones inched higher to 24000 levels yesterday before closing at 23879 levels in the spot segment. If the earlier wave counts discussed were correct, the Wave iv projection stands invalid for now since prices penetrated Wave i termination at 23881 levels. As discussed yesterday, the structure still continues to remain bearish and in fact a lower degree wave iii could be still unfolding as a potential extension. Please note that the recent boundary that is being worked out could be between 26000 and 21800 levels and the rally is seen to be stalling close to fibonacci 0.618 resistance at 23662 levels. Also note that the rally from 21800 through 24000 is just a counter trend (3 waves) and a bearish confirmation here could resume lower again.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones structure still intact as Wave (3) unfoldsDow Jones remained just shy of the critical 23881 levels yesterday and reversed lower from 23864 levels respectively. Until spot prices remain below 23881 levels, we shall maintain a probable wave iv termination count as displayed on the daily chart here. Please note that even if Dow Jones manages to break above the wave i lows, the higher degree wave counts shall still remain valid for further bearish moves. A strong resistance prevails at 26000 levels and until prices remain below that, a corrective rally is always a possibility. For now, we maintain that wave iv termination still remains valid and that prices could resume lower ay time soon. Overall Dow Jones remains a great potential candidate to sell on rallies.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones Wave iv finally in place at 23675 levels ?The Dow Jones managed to rally and close higher yesterday, making intraday highs at 23675 levels. It seems that the corrective rally (3 waves) that began from 21800 levels earlier might have terminated at 23675 levels, just ahead of 24000 as discussed earlier. We could still label this lower top as a potential Wave iv termination, and until prices remain below 24000 levels, a sharp 5 waves decline can be expected. It could either be an impulse drop or an ending diagonal but the termination point could be at least below 21800 levels going forward. The higher degree wave structure also remains intact for now with Waves (1) and (2) in place at 24122 and 26000 levels respectively and Wave (3) into progress now. If the above structure holds true, we could see fresh lows below 21800 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones still carving Wave iv, within Wave (3) lowerThe Dow Jones is seen carving out Wave iv at a lower degree with Wave (3) as labelled on the daily chart view here. Believe it or not, the rally on Friday which saw Dow Jones closing on a higher note at 23430 levels, should not be considered as a change in trend. It could still be carving out a wave iv, as a potential zigzag and resume lower anytime soon. If the above structure should hold, prices should ideally stay below the 24000 mark (please note wave iv ideally stays away from wave i termination) and resume lower towards 21800 levels. Please also note that the 38% fibonacci retracement of the entire drop between 26000 through 21800 levels is also passing through 23400 levels, which could be potential termination of wave iv. Overall bearish bias remains until prices stay below 24000 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
