DOW JONES NOT REVERSING YET: WEEKLYThe Dow Jones Industrial Average is still looking like a strong bull on the weekly timeframe. The candles have not yet formed a reversal pattern, there is still potential for the upside after breaking the previous top. On a weekly candle once a pin bar formation of a strong reversal Doji forms then we can talk about the potential downside. For now, the target is still the top of the channel at 28650-28700.
There is a potential for a slight retrace but price should not get much below 27300 on a long-term perspective. That will ensure structure holds well bullish. Each failure off the top of the channel was followed by a 6.60% retrace, for that to occur price has to move up to the top of the channel, IF there is a 6+% retrace, the channel and bull structure is broken and the move lower can price the Dow Jones into correction territory.
Djiaprediction
DJIA Stay In A Risk-On MoodUS equities rallied last week to new record levels with the Dow Jones Industrial Average breaching 28,000 for the first time. Soft economic data, Trump’s impeachment hearing, Hong Kong protests, and Middle East unrest were all considered secondary factors in investment decisions.
Today European stocks kick off a new week a little flat, with more talks between the US and China failing to excite investors in the way they have been recently.
So, what now? With the economic calendar being empty to during the start of the week, any trade updates will dictate the mood in markets. As things around the trade talks stand optimistic, the Dow is set to hold above the 28K level at the open. The market is trading on the strong side of an uptrending Gann angle from the 25,743 main bottom on October 3. Look for the uptrend to continue as long as the Dow futures contract holds above this angle.
The 55-day moving average has risen to 26,972 and could provide support if the price begin to fall. A move through 27,400 will shift momentum to the downside. This will not mean the main trend has changed, but it will indicate the selling is greater than the buying at current price levels. While the nearest main bottom 25,743 hold, the uptrend is safe for now.
Thoughts on the Dow Jones Heading Into the WeekendHope you guys enjoy the video, be sure to leave a like, comment, and follow for future posts!
The Dow Jones was down about 600 points today as President Trump continued his sparring session with China, and increased tariffs yet again. We can see a dangerous M forming on our 1 day time frame and I indicated crucial support levels with the fibonacci as well as the dashed red line. If those levels do not hold, we will see the Dow take a plummet in the next week, and the talk of a recession may become a reality. Looking at our shorter time frame, we can see the Megalodon timer giving us a green. I hope that this is a sign that buyers will hold the support levels for the Dow Jones, and hopefully the US and China can come to an agreement soon, so that we may continue our bullish run in the stock market!
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What's Next For the Dow Jones?The Dow Jones has been all over the news as always, but very volatile as of late. With trade wars escalating, the question of a recession is at the front of the headlines. If we look at our 1 day time frame we can see our fibonacci retracement level right below the dashed line I put on the chart. This is the danger zone. Looking at the chart pattern we can see a dangerous M beginning to form. The MacD also looks suspect as the DJI had a rough day. If the Dow cannot hold these levels between the dashed line and the fibonacci line, we may really see a volatile downwards movement. It is not looking great. If we turn to our shorter time frame though, we can see that the Megalodon timer is giving us a green. Hopefully this will be enough to boost us back upwards, because if not... the talk of a recession may become a reality!
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DJI big fall aheadThe Dow Jones hit historical maximums. I believe this is just a bull trap and a big fall is on the cards.
We see on the chart a big RSI divergence and the price printed somewhat of a doji just before season earnings started. Also MACD (not in picture) confirms the bearish momentum. It has been reported that earnings this quarter are going to be pretty bad and the Fed rate cut has probably already been weighted in.
A fall to the 26700 area will happen in a quick way. I believe the correction will be stronger and a fall all the way to the 25400 area is very very plausible.
I am ready to short this market at the minimum retracement.
Do you have different ideas? Let me know in comments!
Recession Part 1 : The Dow CrashSince last recession(2007-09) DJI have been growing steadily in last 10 years without any break.
All impulsive trends comes with pullback/recession/ and DJI is no such exception..
If dow jones cant hold above the redline (21640) we might see big down trend coming in markets which has already been started.
Few reason:
www.nasdaq.com
www.theguardian.com
www.washingtonpost.com
If recession comes then it would be a new opportunity in coming decade and can make you super rich and wealthy.But the question is will you be at the right side of the trend?
DOW/DJI Market Analysis - Entering Consolidation PeriodDOW/DJI graph looks like it's in consolidation.The blue lines (solid and dotted) represent areas where I expect the price to go up/down to. They are the support and resist.
The green circle represents a period of time where I think the consolidation will come to an end.
What is consolidation? It's when the market is undecided if it will go up or down.
What happens when the consolidation comes to and end? We will see a move that will "break" the blue lines and head up or down.
The way current conditions are, this consolidation period will come to and end between January 2020 and May 2021. We could then see a crash or break-out. The move up or down, when we come out of consolidation, might be slow as well.
The lowest the price will go (before the end of consolidation) is around 22000, the highest around 26500.
This is not financial advice. Remember that everything is dynamic and up to interpretation of the trader and the tools they use. I will keep updating this graph every so often as conditions change.
The Great "FOMO" DEPRESSION - When to sell BITCOIN & buy STOCKSHi,
i zoomed out as far as i could (Dow Jones, logarithmic Chart)
My assumption is based on the believe of an historic trend channel.
At first, some Events, to put things into perspective:
The "Great depression" of 1929 - 1930
had Around 88 % Correction from Top to bottom.
Bretton Woods: 1971, the USA rendering the dollar a fiat currency
Lehman Brothers Collapse, Small Crash of 2008
Around 50 % Correction from Top to Bottom.
The Top of BTC will correlate
with the bottom of the Stock Market.
(Tripple Bottom in the end of 2020)
The Crash of 2019 - End of 2020.
Around 70 % Correction from Top to bottom.
Liquidity Crisis, Trade War & the Rise of Bitcoin.
BTC acting as a non-correlating asset due to decreasing global liquidity, + the BTC halvening May 2020.
XRP value will also increase & flood payment corridors with needed liquidity. (Nostro Accounts no longer needed)
Nostro Accounts are needed, if a Bank uses the Swift System to transfer money international.
In this Accounts is a lot money "Frozen" for settlement.
DJI SHORT 1 HR My Trading DiaryHere the turning point sin DJI
new highs
(Blue Line)
and new lows
(red line)
But with the real points where you had the chance to trade that system.
In many cases the shwon trades of trading services have never been
there in realtime.
In also many other cases it has not been for normal traders
any chance to do it like the pros.
But here you are able if you watch my 1 HR Charts
to start a long position at
25848
and to go short and out of this position at
26320
in Realtime = 470 Points Long + 180 Points Short at the moment 9.4. end
of trading day
as shown with the RED VERTICAL Lines.
Good trades for all
DJI Situation end of 15.3.2019 LONG
Hello everyone who is watching my charts.
Here is the update to the end of today's DJI trading day
The situation remains unchanged.
What should we pay attention to on Monday?
We now have 2 long trend lines
the one in the steep Long channel I have marked blue.
But I'm afraid this steep uptrend will not last long.
But below that we have an interesting 2nd new long trend line which has developed the last few days and which I marked red.
This trendline seems to me to be the more important in the longer term,
As long as they do not break the situation continues long.
First a break of this red line puts the Long Setup in a neutral setup.
Underneath there is an important support in the area 25550 which I marked black.
If it breaks we are in Short Terrain.
But at least there is no sign of this level tonight.
---------------------------
--This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only .Alllways do your own research---
----------------------------
DJI LONG BREAKOUT 15.3.2019 11:30 NYTNow we have an interesting sign here.
DJI has break ot of the short channel (i have marked them in red)
and comes bak to our well known blue trendline from 11.3.2019
Thats a really strong sign.
DJI managed not only to go sideways out .
Strong up and trading along the long line in blue.
I exspected now higher prices
Also to notice
We have taken out the resistance at 25757 and thats also a fine
long sign.
I will update that at end of todays trading.
DJI Situation 14.3. 10:00 NYT SHORT but possible tredn changeDJI has managed to get our off the sharp short channel
i had marked fe day ago into a more wider short channel
now i have marked in red to see them easily.
But since 2 days we have also an established long trend
to see at the blue long trendline which i have marked
as support on the long side.
Now we only can wait what will happens next.
a) a brake of the blue long line as stay in short
or
b) a brake of the red line to get in a neutral and maybe long aerae.
Both possibilities are equal weighed in my eyes
and i cant see any advantage for one of them to forecast
Lets check the DJI end of today trading, i am shure
we can see more clearly the situation.
DJI SHORT end of 12.3.2019In the opposite direction to the Nasdaq situation we have here now the DJI.
DJI is still caught in the bigger short channel i have marked in red lines.
He tried to go out at end of yesterday and start of todays trading but
the outbreak failed.
Now the upper line (i have matrked the channel in red lines)
is the important resistance line for the ext trading days.
Unfortunately for the bulls the yesterday established
long trendline has been broken today (now in orange color)
That not a strong sign.
It is to exspect either a fall dwon in the trend channel or a
sideways go out, but also these possibility is NOT a long
setup.
If that occures we have to check the situation new
whether there comes up a new long trendlie or similar strong signs
or not.
So for now situation is still Short in the channel
--This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only .Alllways do your own research---
DJI SHORT end of 8.3.2019 Short trendchannels establishedDJI is now rading in he new short trendchannel
i have marked them with red lines.
These channel is split in a smaller more shorter range
i have marked ht upper line of that part of channel in purple and the its own lower side , marked in red.
So in a few words:
Between the lower red and the purple line
has been the shortest range.
1 Time Buyers have tried to put DJI out of them
but since end to 8.3. they have not really been succesfull.
We have to check on monday whether the next try which has been started at end of yesterdays trading (25548) will be now successfull.
That would be a first sign of a litte bit revocery.
Next step would be to get on the upper side and upper trendline
(upper red line) of the channel
If DJI reach the level of 25600 till end of monday trading
and climb avove that aerea the setup will going to neutral.
All below this is stay in short
Situation DJI at end of 7.3.2019 SHORTAt end of trading day 7.3.2019 there is now really news to tell. We have
established now a new short downtrend channel
i have marked in purple to have a road for the next days.
There is also as you can see a trend resistance channel with
a deeper fall, i have marked with orange resistance line.
I think in 1 of these channels we will se DJI tomorrow
and than we check situation again.
There is a added resistance zone also marked in orange now at 25560 we have to check to see
a first sign of end of short.
(Whether DJI climbs above that)
But even IF, that only a sign, that NOT a new long signal.
Situation DJI end of 6.3.2019 SHORTExactly as described in the last Ideas
the DJI is in Short Mode.
I have added the new short trendline which is very steep.
Maybe the will break and we eill get a more flat short lower trendline
but that will not change the setup.
The Make or break is again 25890
If its going not above thet level the setup still is short.