SHORT Dow Jones might have topped out around 24860 levelsThe Dow Jones turned bearish yesterday, indicating that a meaningful top could be in place at 24860 levels, but be prepared for yet another high around 25100 levels as well. Kindly note that a major price resistance is seen at 26000 levels, which is potential Wave (2) termination as labelled on the chart view here, and prices should ideally stay below that, to keep the bearish structure intact. Also note that a resistance trend line is passing close to 25000 levels, which is converging with fibonacci 0.786 resistance of the drop between 26000 and 21800 levels respectively. Believe it or not, the 24860 to 25100 region could prove to be a strong resistance zone and a bearish reversal cannot be ruled out.
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Djiaprediction
Dow is at a fibonacci confluence around 24000 levels!The Dow Jones hits fibonacci resistance at confluence around 24000 levels. It could just be a matter of time, before bears take control back and continue lower, as Wave iii progresses. Believe it or not, the wave counts are clear as highlighted here, and a potential higher degree Wave (3) has been unfolding since the 26000 levels. Furthermore, a lower degree wave iii extension could be potentially unfolding at the moment, since 24800 highs. If the above structures hold good, ideally we should see prices remain below 24800 levels and broadly below 26000 levels going forward. A safe trading strategy still remains on the south side with potential risk at 26000 and targeting below 21800 respectively.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow might be unfolding an extended Wave iii within Wave (3)?The Dow Jones inched higher to 24000 levels yesterday before closing at 23879 levels in the spot segment. If the earlier wave counts discussed were correct, the Wave iv projection stands invalid for now since prices penetrated Wave i termination at 23881 levels. As discussed yesterday, the structure still continues to remain bearish and in fact a lower degree wave iii could be still unfolding as a potential extension. Please note that the recent boundary that is being worked out could be between 26000 and 21800 levels and the rally is seen to be stalling close to fibonacci 0.618 resistance at 23662 levels. Also note that the rally from 21800 through 24000 is just a counter trend (3 waves) and a bearish confirmation here could resume lower again.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones structure still intact as Wave (3) unfoldsDow Jones remained just shy of the critical 23881 levels yesterday and reversed lower from 23864 levels respectively. Until spot prices remain below 23881 levels, we shall maintain a probable wave iv termination count as displayed on the daily chart here. Please note that even if Dow Jones manages to break above the wave i lows, the higher degree wave counts shall still remain valid for further bearish moves. A strong resistance prevails at 26000 levels and until prices remain below that, a corrective rally is always a possibility. For now, we maintain that wave iv termination still remains valid and that prices could resume lower ay time soon. Overall Dow Jones remains a great potential candidate to sell on rallies.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones Wave iv finally in place at 23675 levels ?The Dow Jones managed to rally and close higher yesterday, making intraday highs at 23675 levels. It seems that the corrective rally (3 waves) that began from 21800 levels earlier might have terminated at 23675 levels, just ahead of 24000 as discussed earlier. We could still label this lower top as a potential Wave iv termination, and until prices remain below 24000 levels, a sharp 5 waves decline can be expected. It could either be an impulse drop or an ending diagonal but the termination point could be at least below 21800 levels going forward. The higher degree wave structure also remains intact for now with Waves (1) and (2) in place at 24122 and 26000 levels respectively and Wave (3) into progress now. If the above structure holds true, we could see fresh lows below 21800 levels.
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This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones still carving Wave iv, within Wave (3) lowerThe Dow Jones is seen carving out Wave iv at a lower degree with Wave (3) as labelled on the daily chart view here. Believe it or not, the rally on Friday which saw Dow Jones closing on a higher note at 23430 levels, should not be considered as a change in trend. It could still be carving out a wave iv, as a potential zigzag and resume lower anytime soon. If the above structure should hold, prices should ideally stay below the 24000 mark (please note wave iv ideally stays away from wave i termination) and resume lower towards 21800 levels. Please also note that the 38% fibonacci retracement of the entire drop between 26000 through 21800 levels is also passing through 23400 levels, which could be potential termination of wave iv. Overall bearish bias remains until prices stay below 24000 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones Wave (3) still in progress below 21400?The Dow Jones produced an intraday rally towards 23327 levels yesterday but it still remains vulnerable to turn lower one more time and print below 21400 levels. Looking at the wave counts, the Dow Jones seems to have completed Waves (1) and (2) at 24120 and 26000 levels respectively. Since then Wave (3) has been in progress lower and has produced 4 waves. The 4th wave might have terminated at 23381 levels last week and if this holds true, we could witness wave v lower towards 21000 levels, to complete a higher degree Wave (3). Also please note that if the above structure should hold valid, prices should remain below 24000 levels, which is wave i termination point as presented on the chart view here. Overall bearish momentum should remain until prices stay below 24000 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones ready to drop below 21400 levels now?The Dow Jones is progressing well into its Wave (3) at a higher degree as labelled here. Within the 3rd wave, a lower degree wave iv was unfolding last week and we had discussed the possibility of its termination around 23200/300 levels. Last Friday, Dow Jones managed to hit 23365 levels intraday and closed around 23000 levels as seen on the chart displayed here. It could be a potential wave iv termination and prices could resume lower from here below 21400 levels. If the above structure holds true, prices should remain below 23370 levels and bears in control from here on. Once Wave (3) is terminated lower, it would be interesting to see if Dow Jones turns higher again. At least for now, the bearish pressure remains against 24000 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
DJI setting up for bears takeoverDJI had a lovely 5% rally today but as you can see from our 4 hour chart it has been respecting a very strong trend line it has been using as resistance, price is coming up to test this level again and we are expecting another clear bounce.
We can also see another economic crash coming in the not to far future, all signs are pointing toward this.
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$TVIX to hit $99.38, with trials to break $100.27In next 60 days, as $DJI continues to dramatically falls, among other market indices (e.g. oil most likely to hit below $40), thereby high-market caps (e.g., $MSFT, $AAPL, $AMZN) to settle down to new lower valuations, most likely all to hit below $600B, or even lower as it all used to hold on <$500B, thereupon $TVIX becomes a safe bet to break up its old adjusted supports and it is possible to reach to its $115 support.
Please feel free to comment, Happy Holidays, and trade safe!
Dow Jones Industrial Average SHorting.....Mark Douglas on Chart Patterns:
We can use all the various tools to analyze the market’s behavior and find the patterns that represent the best edges, and from an analytical perspective, these patterns can appear to be precisely the same in every respect, both mathematically and visually. But, if the consistency of the group of traders who are creating the pattern “now” is different by even one person from the group that created the pattern in the past, then the outcome of the current pattern has the potential to be different from the past pattern.It takes only one trader, somewhere in the world, with a different belief about the future to change the outcome of any particular market pattern and negate the edge that pattern represents.
The most fundamental characteristic of the market’s behavior is that each “now moment” market situation, each “now moment” behavior pattern, and each “now moment” edge is always a unique occurrence with its own outcome, independent of all others. Uniqueness implies that anything can happen, either what we know (expect or anticipate), or what we don’t know (or can’t know, unless we had extraordinary perceptual abilities). A constant flow of both known and unknown variables creates a probabilistic environment where we don’t know for certain what will happen next. This last statement may seem quite logical.
Why Most Demo Trades result is very much better than "real" money?!"...To be a Consistently Profitable Professional Trader you need to acquire a psychology skill called "Trading without Fear" a carefree state of mind in trading.. In The Zone/In the flow state of mind ..."Mark Douglas :Trading In The Zone : Professionals don't perceive anything about the market as painful; therefore, no threat exists for them. If there's no threat, there's nothing to defend against. As a result, there isn't any reason for their conscious or subconscious defense mechanism to kick in. That's why professionals can see and do things that mystify everyone else. They're in "THE FLOW", because they're perceiving an endless stream of opportunities, and when they're "NOT IN THE FLOW". the very best of the best can recognize that fact and the compensate by either "SCALING BACK" or "NOT TRADING AT ALL"...