Am I Crazy to Expect DJIA to Drop by 8000 points Long Term?Markets are strong and the outlook currently is very bullish. So anyone who thinks that markts will drop significantly in the mid to long term would be laughed at right?
But i just cant help but notice that markets are way too high at the moment. everything seems pretty over valued - although market analysts will say the valuations are just about at the right level if not still low.
Could all these excellent company earnings be transitory, thus skewing the markets?
or perhaps theres something more to come, such as another wave of teh pandemic that could pull the markets down.
Whilst we are yet to see what it could be... my better judgement of technical alalysis tells me we could see a big correction in the markets over the long term.
Im aiming for around 26,000 for teh DJIA. Time will tell.
Djiasell
4-digit Dow (DJIA) - SHORT; Let the (long!!) descent begin!As the ol' southern colloquialism would have it: "Darn theng (The Dow) is fixin' to be done foh, rat cheer, right about naw!"... And this where the Long March (to < 9999) bound to start, rather sooner than later. (There is also a perfect Fib. Time Cycle lurking in the background. - Look closely!) If one is afraid to Short the index outright, no problem! - You're in luck. Just (continue to) SHORT the DJIA/Gold Ratio that is already well on it's way, still with miles and miles to go (down), with no end in sight. Here is that post;
The Best (passive) Index SHORT in the world. - The Dow!The Title Chart is the DJIA/Nikkei225 - the best of them all.
Here are the rest;
This one is not very representative since it reflects the weakness in the Pound.
Still, it is a country-mile better deal than holding the Dow (Long).
Well, you get the idea as the rest of the worldwide indexes reflect the same story, across the board. (With the Asian Indexes leading the pack vs. the DJIA!)
One other, important issue to consider that these - above -declines haven't even factored in the Currency Differential(s) between between local currencies and the U$D. - Doing so, the Dow has an even grimmer future.
YM1! @ 30 min @ give him time until Christmas (until evening)basic upside trend is still intact - and runs around 19500 (today) and even around currently prices around 19838 (while 23rd december`16). How ever much more important is the 19810 price are, in my opinion! `Cause this price was the low before yesterdays fed rate hike. And from this point of view, technicly bulls need to defeat this price areafirstly, to get accumulate more bulls for higher prices.
The targets are clear:
19900 last alltime high (tuesday)
19911 alltime high (1st reaction - while fed rate hike releases)
19930 target of lows (before and while fed decission yesterday)
20140 high & low projection while yesterdays fomc press conference
But as i am trying to say: "give him time until Christmas"
- it`s not forbidden to buy lows tomorrow or even next week :)
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a analysis (for swing traders) - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
SHORT DJI ::: REVERSAL CALLDJI is expected to sink now.
There are many reason why we feel it may sink.
01. It is below quarterly buy level.
02. hammerl in daily Chart.
03. To sink and may come near 16150
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) is not clear.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is Bearish.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also sinking.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. Our sell call shall be from sell bellow:16628 with a SL @: 16839 Tgt01: 16334 Tgt02: 16150 . We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.