Dow Jones (DJI) Primed for a Bullish Move – Fresh Long Entry!DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL (DJI) Technical Analysis:
In the 15-minute timeframe, Dow Jones Industrial (DJI) has signaled a fresh long trade entry at 42,406.00 with potential upside movement, supported by the break above the Risological dotted trendline.
Key Levels:
Entry: 42,406.00
Stop Loss (SL): 42,294.50
Target 1 (TP1): 42,543.81
Target 2 (TP2): 42,766.81
Target 3 (TP3): 42,989.81
Target 4 (TP4): 43,127.63
Observations:
The price has gained bullish momentum, with a clean break above the Risological trendline.
If momentum sustains, this trade could see all targets successfully hit.
A solid long trade entry is in play for DJI, with upside potential. The Risological dotted trendline serves as strong support, and if buyers maintain control, higher targets are likely to be reached.
Djisignals
US30 DJI on 20-11-2023 : BEARISH BIASEDUS30 Index can go Bullish if,
H1/H4 closing happens above 35000, it can move bullish upto 35150 level.
or it can go Bearish if,
H1/H4 closing happens below 34880, it can move bearish upto 34730 level
#️⃣ Trend expectations from 8:00AM to 12:30PM USA Time EST.
#️⃣ Trade with 1-2% risk only.
Is Dow's correction really over?As we all know, Dow30 (All American indices in fact) started to drop since the beginning of the year.
However, looking at a longer chart we can see that this drop is overlapping suggesting correction.
At the beginning of October, Dji made a new low under 30k, followed by a second drop in that zone, making a small double bottom.
After the break back above 30k, the index traded to the upside in a very nice and constructive way and recently also broke above the falling trend line.
If this is a bull trap or not remains to be seen, but strictly technical, the index is bullish at this moment and it will stay this way as long as the price is above 32k.
A break above 34k would call for further gains and February's 36k high could be the target.
DOW JONES Critical level separating the Bull from Bear Market!It hasn't been more than a month ago (October 10) when we first posted the 1D MA300 (yellow trend-line) as our long-term target for Dow Jones (DJI):
The index came just a few points below it and so far we see a minor pull-back and consolidation, attributed both to profit taking as well as risk aversion before the important CPI report on Thursday.
As mentioned on the previous analysis, the range Dow is currently in is the technical Rejection Zone that has formed all previous Lower Highs of the 2022 Bear Cycle Megaphone pattern, all of which initiated massive selling legs to new Lower Lows. Even though the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) is the current short-term Support, typically breaking below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) confirms the downtrend. Another strong confirmation of the bearish legs is when the MACD on the 1D time-frame makes a Bearish Cross.
The 1D MA300 (yellow trend-line) is practically what separates the Bull from the Bear Cycle. It is no surprise that since the August 16 Lower High, the 1D MA300 is trading parallel to the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2022 Bearish Megaphone. A closing above it effectively confirms the shift to a long-term bullish trend with first target 34300 (August 16 High) and second the 35550 (April 21 High).
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DOW JONES close to a rejection zone. Bullish if it breaks.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fulfilled our buy signal given in late June after the price made a Lower Low on its long-term Channel Down:
Right now the scene has slightly changed as the 1D RSI broke above its 8 month Resistance Zone and even though the price is now exactly on the Lower Highs (top) trend-line of the Channel Down, this may be the first sign that the trend is about to change from long-term bearish to bullish.
There is still a chance to break above the Channel Down without breaking the bearish trend as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) are above it. Those are the levels where Dow got rejected last time (April 21) and started a downtrend to a new Lower Low on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result a plan that offers excellent R/R opportunities is to sell just above the 0.618 Fib (see rejection zone) with a tight SL on the 1D MA200. Short-term target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), where you can short if it breaks before hitting 0.618. Medium-term target 30450. If we get that candle close above the 1D MA200 then its minimum loss on the SL and switch to a break-out buy on the long-term. In that case the short-term targets can be the previous Lower Highs (33540 and 35875).
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DOW JONES Strong long-term Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price rebounded on the 1D MA50.
Target: 29000 (1.2 Fibonacci extension).
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DOW JONES Sell SignalPattern: Bullish Megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Bearish as the price was rejected on the Megaphone's Higher High trend-line and broke through the (dashed) inner Higher High line.
Target: 24250 (roughly a -6% decline like the previous Higher High rejections, as well as contact with the 4H MA200).
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Previous DOW JONES trade:
DOW JONES Trading PlanPattern: Emerging Channel Down on 4H.
Signal: Bearish as long as the 24395 trend-line is intact. Bullish if it breaks.
Target: 23350, 22950 and 22380 in succession (Supports 1, 2 and 3 respectively) depending on how much risk you want to take (R/R ratio).
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DOW JONES Signs of the Great Depression?This is a DJI comparison of the Great Depression and the phase that preceded it against the current COVID sell-off and the phase since the DotCom bubble that led to it.
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As you see both time phases are Megaphone patterns. Both started on high volatility (A,B,C,D) while the Megaphone was emerging and after testing the Higher High trend line for the longest time of the phase (E), the price broke above it making an over-extension (F). This is usually where most retail and other dumb money are trapped during recessions. What followed (F) during the Great Depression was of course a complete and lengthy collapse of the system, the worst recession in history. Also look how harmonically the 1M MA100 is moving on both patterns.
Will history repeat itself? I want to know your opinion about it.
*For the record the purpose of this comparison is not to spread panic, I will leave it to the mainstream media to do so. But it is so intriguing that I think can make a great discussion in the comment section below! So will it fill the gap?
DOW JONES Sell SignalPattern: 1H Channel Up.
Signal: Bearish as the price failed to break the medium term Higher High trend line (bold black) was rejected sideways and formed a Death Cross (MA50 crossing below the MA200) while the 1H RSI is trading on a bearish divergence.
Target: 28,030 (1H Support) and 27,800 (4H Support).