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Djt

Which camp are you in? SPY based off of Elliot Wave TheoryBased on the Elliot Wave theory, there are three things that I think ya'll should check out. We are close to a correction but one of them is a two year bear market and the other is a 2-3 month correction before the next impulse wave to the upside. If you guys don't know anything about Elliot Wave theory, I highly recommend reading up on it. There are rules that must be followed but its pretty simple once you study it for a couple of days. Anyways if we sit below 320 on the SPY, we are in for a melt down that basically back tracks to March 2020 lows. If we bounce from 360, we're in for a big ride up to all new highs (SPY 500). But...that maybe the last leg of a real bull market that started in the 1990s (the beginning of digital age). The question is what camp am I in? I think the Fed wants inflation. And I think there is inflation. I literally paid close to $80 for 15lbs of Brisket at Costco when it used to be $35 a year ago. Chicken just got really expensive too. Cost of food is up. I think the Fed wants to raise interest rates. The Fed knows it doesn't have ammunition to soften the blow when a true problem erupts e.g. 2008 crash. With Fed Funds rate at 0, there is no room for mistakes. So my answer is we are in for a big pull back down to 320 but less steep like 2020 and the start of the big correction ABC like 2003 - 2008. Which camp are you in? What are your thoughts? Please like and share.
AMEX:SPY
by CTRLZEEE
1
If Country Indexes Had PersonalitiesThis is always a fun way to view the markets. Today we are going to look at a risk on barometer that may be unknown to most. When Finland is breaking out, we tend to take notice. This is a good indication that money is flowing to risk on assets. If country indexes had personalities, Finland would be on a motorcycle pole vaulting with a hockey stick! All jokes aside, let's hop into the chart. We saw Finland basing for a couple months and now we have a breakout. We have to clear through some of the overhead supply first, but we are not far from all time highs. If we were to see all time highs in Finland, that would surely be bullish right? Here on the weekly chart, we have a bullish cross on the stochastic RSI and a bullish regime on the %SMA oscillator. Don’t fight an uptrend. As far as next major resistance levels, we have some Fibonacci levels that coincide with all time highs from the last two swing high/swing low market structures. This is the “super risk on” environment and would be a blue sky breakout in Finland. These are all signs of good macro market breadth. Rather than looking at the SPY’s all day as an analyst, remember that there are many things you can do to analyze the markets. Happy Trading!
CBOE:EFNLLong
by derzzycharts
10
Bearish reversal underway in S&P, NASDAQ futures and DJTThe recoveries in most US and European stock indexes since late-March are corrective. This especially true in S&P futures and in the Down Jones Transportation Average (charts 1 and 2). The chart that stands out is NASDAQ futures, where prices climbed to a new all-time high, creating one of the broadest bearish non-confirmations of all time (chart 3). The ideal trajectories are outlined on the chart with measured targets at 2003 and 5228 for S&P futures and DJT, where we would achieve equality with the February/March downleg. As for NASDAQ futures, a strong target zone is the 8555 - 8386 area of the wave (iv) low and 50% retracement level, although greater downside potential exists. Ivo Z Disclaimer: This is not trading advice! I am merely expressing my opinion, utilizing the Wave Principle as my main tool. You should always do your own research before risking your hard-earned money. The opinion expressed in this post is only for educational purposes only!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by ivoxpaco
Look out belowI don't always look at the weekly (I'm generally too impatient), but today... I took some time back testing one of the public libraries favorite strategy. I noticed that we haven't touched the lower band since 2008 then again in 2002. Its pretty obvious why- we've been in a crazy non stop rally since the market crash of 2008, but still. HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF. I know it's quite impossible to predict the next crash, but damn if any chart could convince it was going to happen, it'd be this one. Take a look.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by TradeAgainstDaMachine