Will Dow Jones Extend Fall?The recent fall from early last week, specifically last Thursday after FOMC, has some similarities with the crazy selloff in late February.
One glance at the daily chart should be enough to explain the resemblance.
Now that the price has retraced significantly and undergone a period of resistance, it's about time the price will continue to fall or otherwise.
One thing to take note is that the COVID cases in the US has started to rise again and yesterday's figure just broke 13th June high.
This could potentially increase market fear and cause another wave of a selloff in the stock market.
So, everything seems to lineup pretty well, most importantly the risk-reward ratio is pretty good too.
Dlifestyletrader
NZDUSD Major ReversalNZDUSD topped at 0.6580 after resisted by a major falling trendline in the weekly chart.
The price fell after tested the resistance twice, forming a double top, and broke both a rising trendline and the neckline of the double top.
As the dollar started to rebound amid increasing risk sentiment, NZDUSD is most likely to sustain a falling trend as commodity-currency may also take a toll.
Simply wait for the pullback to the supply zone as shown to sell.
Weekly Forecast: USDCAD Finding Support.USDCAD found support at the zone of previous channel breakout, and has begun a retracement. Price managed to close above a supply zone, and has retested finding support.
As price managed to close above the supply zone before market closing, we could expect further upside this week.
Await pullbacks to buy USDCAD till the next immediate resistance seen at 1.3730 - 1.3800.
Weekly Forecast: EURUSD Retracement after bullish uptrend.EURUSD finally found support near the top of previous high after an uptrend lasting almost a month.
With such a large movement upwards, we could expect price to retrace lower before finding a direction again.
This week, we could await short pullbacks to sell EURUSD, or conversely, await price to find support at previous demand zones before buying EURUSD again.
Dollar Enters Bear MarketSince mid-2018, the dollar has been climbing slowly but steadily, forming a rising channel that lasted over 2 years.
The structure started to deform as volatility picked up violently, causing the price to break below the channel, then above the channel in the next moment.
Well, if you take away the first two breakouts of the bottom and the top of the channel, the dollar forms a very steady rising channel.
And what's happening now is that the bottom of the channel was broken again last week.
A major difference from the previous breakout was that the price came down from a key supply zone just above 102 which means the market is driven by a huge selloff of the dollar.
Additionally, the MACD is crossing below -0.53 for the first time in over 2 years. The MACD is a useful indicator to indicate a bull or a bear market in the higher timeframe.
Fundamentally, the Fed is unlikely to start raising rates any time soon as the US economy just started to unlock.
Therefore, we have enough indications that the dollar has entered a bear market and the first level to watch out for will be the previous low at 95, to see if there's any strong indication of a rebound.
Once the price falls through, the next target will be 93.5 where the price face with a rising trendline in the monthly chart.
Gold Rising with MAsJust a couple of weeks before, the gold reached a new high at 1765 and started pulling back, forming a counter-trend falling channel.
Last week, the price successfully broke above the top of the channel, signalling that price may continue to rise.
The MAs have also started to bend upwards and market has been trending upwards smoothly.
A small pullback into the support zone between 20 and 55 MAs should be sufficient for a rebound.
Weekly Forecast: GBPUSD Broke Bearish StructureGBPUSD has broken the bearish structure formed after a head and shoulders pattern this week, and has begun a new uptrend.
Price has currently broken above previous neckline of head and shoulder pattern and stayed bullish.
This week, we can look to continue buying GBPUSD if price retraces and retest support.
Next strong levels of resistance can be seen at top of head and shoulders pattern, which coincides with an inside bar candle from previous bullish breakout.
Weekly Forecast: USDCAD Start of DowntrendUSDCAD has finally broken out of a 2 month major consolidation pattern and has begun a downtrend. As price broke, and closed below a strong support zone, more downside is to be expected.
This week, we could look to sell USDCAD again if price retraces back to demand turned supply zone.
Next point of major support could be seen at 1.3532 - 1.3450.
EURUSD Break Out of RangeEURUSD shot up and broke above a major consolidation range after news of mobilising 750b EUR for European recovery.
Should the price retrace and find support at previous strong resistance zone, it would be a good opportunity to buy EURUSD with tight SL.
Enter only when support is found at supply turned demand zone, for confirmation that current bullish trend can continue.
Weekly Forecast: GBPUSD Approaching Key SupportAfter forming a Head and Shoulder pattern, GBPUSD managed to break below its neckline. This week, GBPUSD failed to find support at supply/demand zone formed at previous inside bar candle. Price came back up for a retest and continued dipping.
As price is soon approaching a key support zone at 1.2000 again, we are expecting strong support at this level.
Should price be able to fall to 1.2000, we can look to buy GBPUSD again at a good price level if support holds.
Weekly Forecast: Will USDCAD finally break out?USDCAD has been in a major consolidation range ever since price shot up due to WTI crashing.
Demand zone at 1.387 - 1.3921 has shown to be a strong support zone and price has not been able to break below.
This week, price climbed back up to the top of the range and got resisted again. As USDCAD has been forming lower highs, we are expecting price to fall and test the support once again.
Should USDCAD finally break below the strong demand zone, more downside could be seen, and we could sell USDCAD once price retests the demand zone.
Weekly Forecast: EURUSD Visiting the BottomEURUSD climbed steadily last week but faced strong resistance as it reached the top of the major range.
At the same time, a bearish bat was formed which attracted strong selling and now the price is revisiting the bottom again.
As the current bearish trend has just begun, or probably halfway, the price is most likely to fall further.
Therefore, we can first wait for a selling opportunity again should the price retraces upward to somewhere closer to the supply zone around 1.0950.
Whereas if the price continues to fall and reach the bottom, it is most likely going to range first before it starts to rebound and form another bullish trend.
Low Risk High Return at EURUSDHow can you risk small but gain high returns?
The answer is to enter a trade that allows you to set a tight stop loss without compromising the trade setup and has the potential you make at least 3 times more than the risk.
Here's a good example.
EURUSD has completed a Bearish Bat while showing signs of sellers already.
If you sell now, you just have to set your stop loss above point X of the bearish bat and your risk will be about 40 pips
On the other hand, your potential profits are 70, 100 and 160 pips based on the important support levels.
The first target will give you 1.75X return and the last one will give you 4X return.
So as you can see, this is very logical and reasonable.
We can't control how the market move but we choose what kind of trades to make.
Bearish Bat in EURUSDJust awhile ago, EURUSD was testing the top of a symmetrical triangle.
There was resistance but not enough sellers to pick up the momentum.
Since it continues to climb and break higher, we look to the next probable pattern for a turning point.
Here we have a clear bearish bat which technically should cause the market to reverse from 1.0990 onwards.
We can now look to the US session and watch for price action as the price reaches the supply zone.
Sell EURUSD from TopThis is a simple and basic trade setup to sell from the top of a ranging pattern.
So in this case, the price has climbed from the bottom of a symmetrical triangle to the top again.
In that process, 3 bullish waves were formed and the price is likely to pull back before it can climb further into a new trend.
Would you sell at the top right now?
EURUSD Bottom of Consolidation PatternEURUSD had been ranging at the bottom of it's consolidation pattern this week after a sharp fall downwards. As price is still unable to form lower lows, we could see another wave upwards to top of the triangle.
Should price remain supported at current demand zone, we can look to buy EURUSD again.
USDCAD Key Resistance LevelUSDCAD has climbed up to top of consolidation pattern this week, before finding resistance at previous supply zone. Price was unable to drop any further, and came back for a retest before market closing.
This week, should the price be resisted at this supply zone, we can look to sell USDCAD again.
Has Dow Jones Turned Bearish Again?The recovery of the Dow Jones and other stock market started in mid-late March 2020.
The recovery was due to the injection of money by government and central banks, NOT due to economic recovery.
In fact, the pandemic was not getting any better while the stock market kept climbing.
Now that it's getting really exhausting, the rising structure has started to fall apart and the entire trend started to bend downwards.
As of current, the price has recently pulled back from a bearish wave and could continue with the 2nd wave of pullback.
Wait for another pullback towards 24000 to sell again.
Last Stretch for GoldBy now, it is clear that the gold is climbing its 5th wave which is the final wave for the entire motive wave.
The price was ranging previously which turned out to be an ABCDE triangle and thus we are certain that wave 4 has ended.
This week, we will focus on buying the gold simply by waiting for a pullback from the current high.
The price is expected to end its 5th wave as it approaches a critical supply zone 1790 - 1802 in the weekly timeframe.
Dollar Trading at Range TopLast week, the dollar rebounded from the range bottom towards the top to stay.
Buying is seen exhausting as sharp pullbacks can be seen and highs did get lower than the previous sometimes.
The price is expected to climb a little further and retest the supply zone 100.68 - 100.92.
This week, we will still focus on the range and look for an opportunity to sell from the range top again.
USDCAD Top of Consolidation RangeUSDCAD has been trading in a consolidating range ever since the initial spike upwards due to oil prices crashing.
Market has been forming lower highs but faced with strong demand at 1.3872-1.3790. Price has once again reached the top of the consolidation range, giving a good opportunity to sell USDCAD again.
Should the current resistance hold, we are expecting price to retest bottom of the consolidating pattern again.
ABC Correction Completed for GBPUSDGBPUSD has been ranging for almost 2 months after the completion of a motive wave.
The market has ranged and completed multiple waves and it seems to have completed an ABC correction.
2 months worth of consolidation is pretty extensive and thus the belief that a trend is coming soon.
So here's a fair amount of reasons for traders to buy GBPUSD again, while at the same time, the market is moving towards tho 200MA for a retest in the weekly timeframe.
Let's Try Selling Dow Jones AgainDow Jones fell yesterday upon the completion of a bearish Gartley
It stopped falling after one solid bearish wave and turned indecisive
As the price moved up and down, a bearish Cypher was already about to be completed.
This could give traders a good reason why they should give the bear another chance to perform.
The turning point upon the completion of the bearish Cypher will also be boosted by a falling trendline that's connected by the 2 previous high.