DLTR Dollar Tree Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DLTR Dollar Tree prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $5.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DLTR
Dollar Tree | DLTR | Long at $67.00Dollar Tree NASDAQ:DLTR has taken a massive hit to its stock price as low-income spenders are cutting back (recession red flag, anyone?). It recently touched my selected "crash" simple moving average area (white lines on the chart) and may take many years before true recovery occurs. However, the Director recently bought $150k+ in shares after this recent drop, showing confidence in the company as a whole. I don't think we'll see all-time highs again for some time, but I believe at $67.00 there is a longer-term opportunity into 2026 and beyond. This does not mean I feel the bottom has occurred yet. I wouldn't be surprised if it hits around the $50.00 mark with more bad economic news. No one truly knows. But, I personally choose to position build over time while using charts and fundamental information. At $67.00, NASDAQ:DLTR is in a personal buy zone. If it drops further and fundamentals don't nosedive, more shares will likely be added.
Target #1 = $81.00
Target #2 = $88.00
Target #3 = $94.00
Dollar Tree Stock Tumbles 18.9%: What's Behind the Plunge?Dollar Tree Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DLTR ) shares plummeted by nearly 19% recently, reflecting the immense pressures the discount retailer faces in today’s challenging economic environment. The company’s Q2 earnings report not only missed analysts' expectations but also highlighted broader concerns about the financial strain on American consumers.
Earnings Miss and Lowered Outlook
Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DLTR ) reported a disappointing Q2 earnings of $132.4 million, a steep drop from $200.4 million in the same period last year. Revenue grew slightly to $7.38 billion but still fell short of market expectations. As a result, the company has slashed its full-year revenue outlook to $30.6 billion to $30.9 billion from a previous range of $31.0 billion to $32.0 billion, with adjusted EPS now expected to be between $5.20 and $5.60, down from $6.50 to $7.00.
Rick Dreiling, CEO of Dollar Tree, acknowledged the pressures from a challenging macroeconomic environment, mirroring sentiments expressed by other discount retailers like Dollar General, which also cited a "financially constrained" consumer base. The latest earnings mark the third consecutive quarter that Dollar Tree has failed to meet Wall Street’s expectations.
Economic Pressures and Shifting Consumer Behavior
The outlook revision comes at a time when Dollar Tree and other retailers are grappling with an increasingly tight consumer market. The company’s core shoppers—middle- and lower-income households—are feeling the pinch from rising prices, making difficult choices about spending on essentials versus discretionary items.
Jeff Davis, Dollar Tree’s CFO, noted that the “increasing effect of macro pressures” has notably impacted purchasing behavior, especially among the retailer’s middle- and higher-income customers. This is a stark shift from past quarters, where the company primarily served lower-income households. The pressure on these customers has now extended to Dollar Tree’s aisles, signaling broader economic distress.
Store Closures, Brand Struggles, and Legal Woes
The retailer’s troubles aren’t just external. Dollar Tree has also been dealing with internal challenges, including the underperformance of Family Dollar, which it acquired in 2015 for nearly $9 billion. The company announced plans to close about 1,000 Family Dollar stores this year, citing market conditions and poor store performance. Furthermore, Dollar Tree is contemplating strategic alternatives, including the potential sale of Family Dollar, as it struggles to turn the brand around.
The retailer is also contending with rising liability claims related to customer accidents and incidents at its stores. According to Davis, these claims have developed unfavorably due to the increased cost of litigation, settlements, and reimbursements, exacerbated by a volatile insurance environment. These challenges have weighed heavily on Dollar Tree’s financial performance, further contributing to the stock’s decline.
A Bleak Outlook
From a technical perspective, Dollar Tree’s stock is showing signs of significant weakness. The stock hit a 52-week low, closing at $81.65, and has lost nearly 43% of its value year-to-date. With the stock’s relative strength index (RSI) reflecting bearish momentum, and continued negative sentiment surrounding its earnings and operational challenges, the near-term outlook remains bleak.
Investors have grown increasingly wary of the retailer’s ability to navigate this turbulent period, as Dollar Tree’s aggressive cost-cutting measures and strategic pivots seem to be doing little to stem the bleeding. The persistent macroeconomic pressures and the ongoing issues within its operations could result in continued volatility for the stock in the coming months.
Can Dollar Tree Bounce Back?
Despite the recent setbacks, Dollar Tree’s management remains committed to turning the tide. The company is actively working on enhancing its product offerings, optimizing store operations, and exploring strategic options to strengthen its core business. However, the road to recovery will be challenging, as economic pressures are expected to persist, and the retailer must carefully navigate both external and internal headwinds.
In conclusion, Dollar Tree’s recent stock slump underscores the retailer’s struggles amid a tough economic landscape and operational hurdles. While the discount giant has been a staple for cost-conscious consumers, its ability to adapt to the evolving market conditions will be critical to regaining investor confidence and achieving long-term growth. For now, the company finds itself at a crossroads, where strategic decisions made today could define its future trajectory.
DLTR - earnings buy ideaToday DLTR gapping down around 7% and I see here a potential long opportunity.
I want the price to confirm 138 support and show bullish momentum.
First potential resist can be 50MA, but the price should break through easily.
If 50MA won't be a problem - first targets are: 143-146.
Dollar Tree ($DLTR) Faces Headwinds Despite Revenue GrowthDollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) encountered a tumultuous start to the year as it grappled with missed earnings estimates and recorded significant charges, signaling challenges in its store closure plan. While the discount retail giant reported revenue growth, uncertainties loom amidst liabilities and a cautious outlook. Let's delve deeper into the implications of Dollar Tree's recent performance and what lies ahead.
Earnings Performance:
Despite a 25% increase in earnings to $2.55 per share and an 11.9% surge in revenue to $8.63 billion, Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) fell short of analysts' expectations. Market projections anticipated earnings to reach $2.66 per share and revenue to hit $8.67 billion. Same-store sales across the business rose by 3%, primarily fueled by a robust 6.3% increase in comparable sales at Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) outlets. However, this growth was tempered by a 1.2% decline in same-store sales at Family Dollar stores.
Store Closure Plan and Charges:
Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) unveiled plans to close approximately 600 Family Dollar stores in the first half of 2024 as part of its portfolio optimization strategy. Additionally, it aims to shutter 370 Family Dollar locations and 30 Dollar Tree stores over the coming years. However, this restructuring incurred hefty charges, including a $594.4 million impairment charge linked to the store review, alongside significant goodwill and intangible asset impairment charges. These charges resulted in a substantial loss of $7.85 per share for the quarter, a stark contrast to the previous year's earnings of $2.04 per share.
Guidance and Outlook:
Looking ahead, Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) provided guidance for fiscal 2024, projecting earnings between $6.70 to $7.30 per share, compared to the adjusted earnings of $5.89 per share in 2023. The retailer anticipates consolidated revenues to marginally increase to a range of $31 billion to $32 billion. Despite challenges in the first half of the year attributed to shrink and mix levels, Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) remains optimistic about favorable freight rates and reduced SNAP benefits providing a boost throughout the year.
Technical Analysis
With a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 63, ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) is poised to maintain its bullish momentum trading above the 200-day Moving Average indicates ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) is in a continual trend.
Market Response and Conclusion:
NASDAQ:DLTR stock witnessed a sharp decline of 7.8% following the earnings report, reflecting investor concerns over the company's performance and outlook. Despite this setback, Dollar Tree ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) had shown resilience earlier in the year, with a 5.4% gain through Tuesday's close, and a 0.46% gain in Wednesday's premarket trading.
Buying Opportunities When the VIX JumpsInvesting or opening long positions when the TVC:VIX jumps can be a profitable strategy if done correctly, as it often signifies elevated market fear and potential undervaluation of assets.
But first, let's figure out what TVC:VIX is!
The Volatility Index, or TVC:VIX , is a real-time market index representing the market’s expectation of volatility over the next 30 days. Often referred to as the "fear gauge," a surge in the TVC:VIX usually signifies increased uncertainty, risk, and investor sentiment that the market will move sharply, either downward or upward.
So, now let’s take a look at the chart!
You probably remember how we opened a position at level 13, and now we have designated a profit zone, and now the price has come exactly to this zone and I have already closed the position, now that the TVC:VIX has grown, this creates a good opportunity to buy heavily oversold securities long.
How to find oversold securities, you can use a screener and filter out securities with RSI < 20 or were less than 20 recently. It is important to consider the quality of securities so as not to buy paper that no longer plans to grow. There are some good securities that I've already bought: NYSE:DG , NASDAQ:DLTR , WBA.
Managing Risk
Investors should consider implementing risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders and portfolio diversification, to protect against significant losses when the VIX is high. Maintaining a well-diversified portfolio and avoiding panic selling are also essential in navigating markets during increased volatility.
WBA - Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc, 1h📈 Market Update: Opportunity Alert! 🚀
Hey everyone!
After thorough analysis, I've observed that many stocks are now heavily oversold. Using a strategy I've developed over the years, there's a significant indication that the probability of profit is high for those considering a long position on NASDAQ:WBA NASDAQ:DLTR NYSE:DG NYSE:M NASDAQ:ULCC 🚀
Remember, all investments come with risks, so always do your own research and consider your own financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives. But, for those who've been waiting for an opportune moment, this might be a window of potential!
#WBA #DLTR #DG #M #ULCC
(Note: This post is intended for informational purposes only. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.)
DLTR drops after earnings follows the market down DLTR dropped on a mild earnings beat. It is now below a volume shelf at 128.
Indicators including the MACD suggest a reversal as bullish divergence is showing.
The mass index supports a reversal. On the dual time frame RSI, the low TF green line
is above the higher TF black line which is weaker. Overall, DLTR could retrace to 133
based on the Fib retracement tool However, I will not take this trade until price crosses
above the POC line. !33 will be the first target and 134.5 the second target being the mean
VWAP. I will take a call on options trade as well. I will only enter if the general market indices
appear to be upgoing which is a challenge given the upcoming Powell speech at Jackson Hole
If the market is down turning, the trade will be paused and reassessed at early next week.
DLTR reverses up on pre-earnings move LONGDLTR has earnings in 3-4 trading days. On the 30 minute chart it has been sideways
and maybe a little down for this past week which is par for the course given the
general market. In the last trading day, price bounced up from the lower of
the two Bollinger band set at 2.618 standard deviations below the mean basis
band. The ZL MACD lines are upgoing and crossed over the zero-line. The
ADX lines both negative direction and positive direction are flat and ad the zero
level. The BB Oscillator demonstrates the bounce at the Friday morning open.
I will take a long trade in DLTR in the next three days anticipating that trader
interest and a little greed will push the price higher. I may take a call option as
well. If you want to know which call I may have an interest in taking, please leave
a comment.
Dollar General (DG) a recession stock is Trending UpDG had a swing low in mid-March. While it has retraced well, it is still 15% below the YTD high
On the 2H chart, the retracement uptrend is accompanied by a persistent volume of about 2X
that of March and before. I am supposing that with an early or light recession underway, value
sensitive consumers are delivering DG more revenue from its retail operations and will continue
to do so. The zero-lag MACD is showing a buy signal; I will take a long position and watch
for signs of overextension or loss of directional strength as an exit in due time.
TEXTBOOK $DLTR #SHORTTextbook $DLTR short. Massive consolidation with a large gap on either side. The consolidation broke down, retested the consolidation, and was rejected. Additionally, even with the cross-market rally, $DLTR did not move as much as other stocks that bounced from the market relief. Lastly, $DLTR is almost exclusively owned by institutions, the setup is textbook, and the gap down allows for a great risk-reward ratio from near-the-money options, making this play a high conviction trade.
Dollar 🌲Tree🌲 Analyze!!!Dollar Tree is an American multi-price-point chain of discount variety stores. Headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, it is a Fortune 500 company and operates 15,115 stores throughout the 48 contiguous U.S. states and Canada. Its stores are supported by a nationwide logistics network of 24 distribution centers.
Dollar Tree made a symmetrical triangle near the trend line, and it lost the lower line of the triangle. I expect Dollar Tree to lose at least 10% of its value.
Dollar Tree Analyze (DLTRUSD), Timeframe 1H (Log Scale /Heikin Ashi)⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Can $DLTR repeat on Earnings?🔸️Ticker Symbol: $DLTR timeframe: 4H 🔸️3X Bull Pattern 🔸️Investment Strategy: Long
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: With $DLTR opening up tomorrow's market with an ER, there may be some positive outlook on the outcome. So far in 2022, $DLTR has been on fire on company operations. The last 3 ER have led to significant jumps on the price action, and top analysis see no difference with tomorrow's report. Technical analysis, money momentum is poised to bounce from the bottom indicators on the dashboard; and price is holding nicely at the middle trend line. I'm not a gambling man, but if I were, I'd stack my chips on green.
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⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
Retail leader $DG with tight baseDollar General is a huge discount retailer that plans to get even bigger.
After a nasty island reversal in May, NYSE:DG has recover very well. This tight action in price has caught my eye and today is making an inside bar with pivot buy at $256.10.
You can even say that is forming a cup & handle.
The bad thing is that it publishes earnings next week so, expect volatility. But, as the I like this base, I'll buy half a position and wait confirmation with a breakout above $262.50.
NASDAQ:DLTR is another retail leader that is making the same pattern.
$DLTR, CMT Investment Challenge - 1st TradeDolar Tree is in a confirmed uptrend and after a retest on support at $125, the price has formed a cup & handle with less of 30% throwback, this correction came after bad news on NYSE:WMT . That's why stocks like NASDAQ:DLTR and NYSE:DG came right back up. This shows strength and leadership in its industry.
Inside the handle it has formed a shark pattern with pivot buy at $169. This volatility contraction usually signals that an agressive move could follow. My stop loss is just below last week's low.
Investors Business Daily gives a RS rating of 96 and Ranks the stock in 2nd in its industry behind NYSE:BJ .
The retail leader has reported 4 quarters in a row with YoY growth. Last quarter published a +6% in revenue, +34% in profit margins and +48% in EPS growth. This fundamentals may act as a driver for institutions to buy the stock.
7/10/22 DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.( NASDAQ:DLTR )
Sector: Retail Trade (Discount Stores)
Market Capitalization: $37.582B
Current Price: $167.36
Breakout price: $174.25
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $160.30-$130.35
Price Target: $207.00-$209.80
Estimated Duration to Target: 359-370d
Contract of Interest: $DLTR 1/20/23 175c
Trade price as of publish date: $16.40/contract