Tech Booms Versus Emerging MarketsWhen capitalism nearly died in 2008, major stock market indices experienced >50% drawdowns from all-time highs. After unprecedented interventions by the Federal Reserve — and a historic surge in government debt to GDP — tech, growth, and the S&P 500 have seen stellar returns. (QQQ, VUG, & SPY respectively above).
On the other hand — small caps (VB), value (VTV), real estate (VNQ), developed markets (VEA), and emerging markets (IEMG) — have significantly underperformed. Tech companies have become more valuable than most countries’ GDP. Recently, the total market cap for top tech companies has surpassed $14T.
Will the tech boom continue upwards or is it time for small caps plus value to mean revert to a fair historical share of the total market? Tech also leads dominance for the U.S. versus other developed and emerging markets. More recently, the divergence is especially striking in percent returns and drawdown visualizations since 2020.
DM
Green in your DM Desktop Metals pond fishing 3D printer“I would not be a Moses to lead you into the Promised Land, because if I could lead you into it, someone else could lead you out of it.”
“A privately owned world can never be a free world and a society based upon warring classes cannot stand.”
Desktop Metal, Inc. engages in the manufacture of additive manufacturing solutions accessible to engineering, design, and manufacturing applications.
It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe Middle East, and Africa, and Asia Pacific.
The firm offers 3D printing machines.
It was founded by Ric Fulop, Emanuel Sachs, Rick Chin, A. John Hart, Yet Ming Chiang, Christopher A. Schuh, and Jonah Myerberg in October 2015 and is headquartered in Burlington, MA.
go long Desktop Metal $DMTechnical Thesis:
-double bottom
-20 day MA on the verge of a steep cross up through the 50 day MA
-average volume is trending upwards
-it broke out with significant volume
Fundamental Thesis:
-YoY Profit margins are trending upward
-from 2018 to 2020 their debt to assets has fallen significantly
-on the Macro side, with the ability of large-scale production and companies now needing to diversify their suppliers, Desktop Metal should benefit from growing their amount of clients, increasing cash flow allowing for more R&D, paying off debt, and improving margins.
-possibility of being acquired, possibly by an automaker to improve the speed that they can produce. (like Tesla trying to acquire Velo3D)
-currently the 2nd largest holding in Cathie Wood's PRNT ETF at the time of this post. in-flows will help the stock
-they are figuring out a way to 3D print synthetic wood, which would make them an ESG play since it would reduce the need to cut down trees. Becoming an ESG play will only result in more in-flows.
-Oppenheimer and Credit Suisse initiated coverage. The street is starting to take notice.
Price Targets:
Credit Suisse: $14
Oppenheimer: no target
Sources:
www.forbes.com
www.dailyadvent.com
www.streetinsider.com
$DM - Have we bottomed here?Here's a fresh look at Desktop Metal after it broke previous lows and invalidated my last count (linked).
It looks like we weren't finished with the primary wave 2 correction. It looks to be a 5-3-5 zigzag correction, and we're getting pretty close the the all time lows of 9.40. RSI has bottomed out here, so if we're gonna bounce, it has to be here.
DM Reversal? A good Long Term play regardles.$DM - Started reversing from the double bottom with an oversold Stochastic. Desktop Metal is a solid fundamental company as they are industry leaders and are more efficient than their competitors. Fair value targets are ahead of the current price, and the huge pull back from the highs has created a solid entry for the long term. If it can break 19, it’ll go to 21 before another potential pull back.
Bullish on DM(This is not financial advice)
Hello everyone, this is some TA I did for my watchlist over the weekend on Desktop Metal. For anyone not familiar this is a 3D Printing stock and will do very well long term in my opinion. This stock has a had a big sell off and is very oversold.
I am a big fan of Desktop Metal and have done a full fundamental analysis on it. This company is a great long term hold or awesome for short term swing trades. This stock has fallen more than 50% in the past month or so but is a very solid company and will do very well in the 3D Printing space. Like PLTR people are moving into these types of innovation stocks now or will start to soon and all these stocks are on sale right now. If it bounces to all time highs you can see over a 100% gain but if it bounces to a very strong support at 21.50 you will still almost have a 50% gain. The odds of it falling below this strong support are pretty low. The RSI is rating it oversold and coming out of this head and shoulders along with everything else I am very bullish on this stock.
Let me know what you guys think of this trade and the company in the comments. Along with a like and follow if you like my ideas.
Thanks!
- Vlaire
3D printing, I want in $DDD $SSYSI read Ark Invest's Big Ideas for 2021 and according to them NYSE:DDD and NASDAQ:SSYS are the leading companies of the industry. As you can see in this chart, there is a clear winner when it comes of ROE, but I'll be buying the first one that plays by my rules. At the moment NYSE:DDD is ranked 3rd in its group by IBD Investors and NASDAQ:SSYS is ranked 4rd. Both are having a pretty heavy pullback that I intend to capitalize. Patience is the key, is better to get in late than early.
Although, NYSE:DM is ranked 1st in the same group so, is worth to take a look at.
DM 3D Printing StockDesktop Metal is 3d printing company that is backed by Virgin Galactic CEO (Chamath), as he mentioned It is an important company that is fighting climate change. Great Long Term potential and good add for Shares here. Options I would wait to play the the sub wave 5 of wave 3 up as it looks like its going for a continuation to $33 to complete that sub wave 3 of 3.
WHY YOUR WIN RATE IS IRRELEVANT!Afternoon guys! quick video on WIN RATE and why having a higher or lower win rate is IRRELEVANT! Alot of traders out there like to advertise themselves having a 'High win' rate when really it IS irrelevant to how profitable you are as a trader!
in this example we are reviewing ETHUSD.
in the one example we have a win rate of almost 50% but only a net profit of 40%... And then we chnage our TP mode where we then have a WIN RATE of 31% but a net profit of 59%!
MUST WATCH! Quick video explaining our STRATEGY!Afternoon traders!
A lot of messages recently reagding the buy and sell strategy we use and how it works so i thought ill make a quick video for you all explaining how it works, what it does and how you can use it! hopefully this answers alot of your questions but dont hesistate to drop me a message if not. :)
What is our strategy?
Our strategy is a trend following strategy - that is coded in pine script to use with the trading view platform - the entries are shown automatically! NOTHING is done manually, it can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term.
The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc.
This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course.
The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy...
What does this mean?
It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management.
The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too!
Bullish trend to continueMonthly and weekly R4 roof (last week) breakouts.
Last week´s R4 breakout continue the next week usually.
Price pulled back to weekly pivot (as it usually does)
and hit weekly reversal level S3.
DM breakout projection (using daily chart ) sends price to weekly R5.
PS Gold is a class of its own. It trends differently from other commodities ( oil , copper ).
Huge demand for gold in times of covid crisis. I would not expect any big bearish sell offs now.
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For educational purposes only.
Australian dollar AUD exposed vs 3 major global currencies. Monthly.
It will end in the range box. The breakdown is valid. Retest is missing and is likely to occur next.
Prior DM breakdown projection from the innermost shadow sends AUD into the range box.
Top Absolute Correlation
1 AUDUSD - AUDCHF 93.3%
2 AUDUSD - AUDSGD 92.7%
3 AUDUSD - NZDUSD 92.1%
4 AUDUSD - USDNOK -90.9%
5 AUDUSD - AUDCAD 89.0%
6 AUDUSD - AUDJPY 88.3%
7 AUDUSD - USDSEK -88.2%
8 AUDUSD - EURHUF -87.5%
9 AUDUSD - USDHUF -86.4%
10 AUDUSD - XAUAUD -84.4%