DNT / BTC Perhaps a shape will be formed Bowl +200DNT / BTC It is possible that a Bowl shape will be formed (Saucer, Rounded Bottom) + 200% Price at historical minimum. 3 months in sideways movement. Price begins to rise slowly. It seems that we are at the beginning of the 3rd phase of the formation of the "Bowl" figure.
The goal is the zone of the resistance level of the "Bowl". Further on the situation, how the price will fix.
Stop Loss - the level of support of the "Bowl".
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I will describe this figure a bit:
The Saucer shape, or as it is often called the Chalice, the Rounded bottom is a long-term figure that predicts long-term growth that looks like a concave arc. The figure is found on large timeframes. In most cases, on weeks, but on instruments that quickly go through their cycle (cryptocurrency), they can occur on a daily timeframe.
The rounded bottom is quite rare, but very reliable bullish pattern. Typically, a pattern is formed at the end of a long-term “bearish trend” and usually gives a signal of a market reversal.
It should be noted that the ideal symmetry of the figure is not a prerequisite. The main thing is the presence of its key components: the descent of the price, the bottom, the rise in price and the breaking of resistance.
Ideally, the formation of the “Saucer” pattern usually occurs in a narrow price range, in a calm market with the least volatility, when a trend reversal occurs smoothly, without strong price spikes. If, however, price spikes occur, then very soon the price will return to its usual range. The figure signals the long-term nature of the formation of a trend movement. The longer the figure forms in time, the stronger the signal is considered. The most reliable are the figures formed on weekly charts for at least several months. The older the time frame, the more reliable the signal. The rounded bottom is a long-term figure, and can stretch on the chart for a long period.
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Stages of the formation of the figure.
The Saucer figure consists of the following steps:
1) The descent of the price is the first phase of the figure. Price decline trend with a gradual slowdown. In the classical case, it should be a smooth arc, but in practice its shape can be flat or contain, on the contrary, correction minima and maxima. The main condition in this case is the gradually decelerating pace of price reduction.
2) The bottom is the lowest point of prices. It is the geometric center of the figure. It should be located on a gentle bottom (smooth bottom, without peaks). Although sometimes such a formation as the "Thorn" down or closed squeezes comes across at the bottom. The main thing is that these local formations do not violate the overall picture of the figure and movement in the global. If the lower point of the price forms the so-called platform on the chart, then the trading volumes gradually decrease, and at the moment of the price jump up sharply increase. Another surge in prices may be a signal to buy if the maximum of current prices is higher than the previous maximum.
3) Ascent of the price - after the minimum follows the ascent, which should ideally be symmetrical to the descent, and should last as long as the first phase (the descent of the price). There is a tendency to increase prices with a gradual acceleration.
4) The intersection of the resistance formed by the upper boundary of the whole figure (passes through the maximum point of the figure at the beginning of the period of its formation) is an additional confirmation of the rounded bottom and the final phase of the formation of the figure. After breaking through and fixing the price, the resistance level turns into a support level.
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Setting sales targets when working with a figure.
At the expense of selling goals, there is no exact opinion among traders. You need to understand that this is a long-playing figure and has a pronounced bullish character. In most cases, phase 3 (price rise) ends with phase 4 breaking through resistance and fixing the price above it. Thus fully confirming this figure of technical analysis. But you need to understand that this does not always happen! There are exceptions.
It is also important if the price is being traded in your favor, and according to the plan you should already fix the profit, then it is advisable to stay in position while you get additional profit instead of the planned one.
There should be a strategy and plan. At the same time, your strategy and plan should be plastic from market situations.
I trade such formations like that. As a rule, I enter the 2nd phase on the “Day”, but then when the trading volume starts to increase (the beginning of the 3rd phase is the ascent). It is very important not to "stay at the bottom" for a long time. Time is money.
I leave the position in 2 stages according to the situation:
a) I sell a large part of the position at about 70% just before the resistance (before the start of phase 4).
b) if the price failed to break through or gain a foothold, I will sell the remaining 30% of the market.
c) if the price was able to break through the resistance and consolidate. Resistance has become support. I buy back at the pullback prices the same 70% that I sold in advance before the resistance. Very often the price differs by a couple%. The confirmed new support gives great potential for further growth. It is very important that there is not a big gap between the sale and the purchase. If the price after confirmation of support has gone high - I trade the remaining 30% of the position.
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