Copper breaking outTechnical Analysis
As you can see in the chart, every red square is showing a consolidation period, followed by a strong rally.
Today's action is showing strength as we are seeing a potential breakout, outside the 1-month consolidation period.
Trade setup
The light-blue arrows are potential measured moves. However, I would follow the 5sma or 10sma, as a stop-exit for 50% of your position.
Fundamental Analysis
There is some concern around inflation, all though the Fed maintains he believes it will be transitory.
Here is the way I follow inflation, which is a free chart by the Federal Reserve Economic Data :
fred.stlouisfed.org
Another way is with the TIP etf.
Doctorcopper
Copper - Macro OutlookWelcome to my series of macro outlooks where I put together threads focused on long term perspectives for major asset classes. My goal is to provide you with a long term view that I update on a monthly and sometimes weekly basis so that you can have the means to make wise and calculated trades in the shorter term.
I have threads for assets that are typically viewed by investors and traders as market leaders. Having an idea where the market leaders are heading will give you a compass to make decisions in smaller cap assets that tend to follow.
I will do my best to keep these threads purely technical in nature.
Doctor Copper
Copper is a vital commodity to the economic machine. One use that comes to mind is in commercial and residential building wiring. An increase in price signals a strengthening in demand and the underlying economic activity. A decrease in price may signal a contracting economy. Keep an eye of the price of copper to see where economic activity is headed.
Enjoy!
Copper Long- Breaking downtrend (purple line)
- I am a buyer at confirmed breakout of first Retracement level (yellow line)
- Volume Profile suggest we could see the price move from current levels to 2.83 and even 2.9 with little resistance (according to 1D volume profile)
- This kind of attempted breakout, seems to common amongst the commodities complex.
Counters:
- as always, short squeeze
- DXY strengh
- continued CNY/CNH weakness