DocuSign Shares Surge on S&P MidCap 400 InclusionDocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) saw its shares jump over 8% following the announcement that the e-signature company will be added to the S&P MidCap 400 index. This move, effective October 11, will replace MDU Resources (NYSE: MDU), sparking renewed interest in the stock as it garners attention from index funds and a wider group of investors.
The S&P inclusion isn't the only reason for DocuSign's rise. The company has been on a winning streak, backed by solid fundamentals and an improving technical outlook, which makes it a compelling stock to watch in the coming months.
Strong Earnings and AI Innovations
DocuSign's fundamentals have impressed investors and analysts alike. In its recent Q2 earnings report, the company delivered better-than-expected results. The e-signature and agreement cloud platform posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.97, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.81. Revenue came in at $736 million, a 7% increase year-on-year, and beat Wall Street’s consensus of $727.2 million.
Looking ahead, DocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) raised its guidance for Q3, projecting revenue between $743 million and $747 million, up from its previous range of $725 million to $729 million. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company expects sales to reach between $2.94 billion and $2.952 billion, reflecting continued business stability and efficiency.
CEO Allan Thygesen emphasized the company’s evolution, particularly highlighting the early success of DocuSign's AI-powered contract management platform, Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM). The platform aims to streamline contract workflows with the power of artificial intelligence, and early customer feedback has been promising. As AI adoption spreads, DocuSign is positioning itself to stay ahead in this innovative space.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, DocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) is demonstrating significant strength. The stock has surged 8.19% in recent trading, showing a strong uptrend supported by both fundamental news and positive technical indicators.
One of the most prominent signals is the stock's bullish relative strength index (RSI), which currently stands at 74. This indicates that DocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) is overbought but also suggests that the bullish momentum may continue in the short term. The stock is trading above key moving averages (MA), further reinforcing the bullish outlook. The break above the 200-day moving average is particularly significant, as this is often viewed as a long-term trend indicator for stocks.
Moreover, a gap-up pattern on the daily price chart suggests continued upward momentum. Gap-ups occur when a stock opens higher than its previous closing price, which is often a bullish sign fueled by positive news or investor sentiment. In DocuSign's case, the index inclusion and strong financial results have created a perfect storm for the gap-up, which could lead to further gains in the near term.
The Impact of Index Inclusion
DocuSign’s inclusion in the S&P MidCap 400 index is not just symbolic but could also have significant financial implications. When a stock is added to a major index, it becomes eligible for inclusion in numerous index-tracking funds. These funds are required to buy shares of the company to replicate the index’s performance, leading to increased demand for the stock. This, in turn, can further drive up the share price, as seen in DocuSign's recent price movement.
This inclusion also comes at a time when MDU Resources is shifting to the S&P SmallCap 600, following a planned acquisition of Chuy's Holdings (NASDAQ: CHUY) by Darden Restaurants (NYSE: DRI). As these changes take effect on October 11, investors will be closely watching the impact on DocuSign's liquidity and visibility.
Final Thoughts: A Bullish Case for DocuSign
DocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) is riding a wave of positive momentum. Strong earnings, ambitious AI-powered product launches, and its upcoming inclusion in the S&P MidCap 400 index make DocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) a stock to watch. While the RSI suggests that the stock is in overbought territory, the broader picture indicates that there’s room for further growth as the company continues to innovate and attract investor attention.
Investors looking for an opportunity in the tech space, particularly in companies capitalizing on AI and digital transformation, should keep a close eye on DocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) in the coming weeks.
DOCU
Is the Future of Agreements AI-Powered?In today's rapidly evolving digital landscape, the way we conduct business is undergoing a profound transformation. One area that has seen significant disruption is the management of agreements. Traditional paper-based processes are being replaced by electronic solutions, and at the forefront of this revolution is DocuSign.
DocuSign has not only pioneered the use of electronic signatures but has also taken a significant step forward by integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into its agreement management platform. This strategic move has positioned DocuSign as a leader in the industry, offering unparalleled efficiency and value to its customers.
By leveraging AI, DocuSign's Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM) platform can automate and streamline various aspects of the agreement lifecycle, from creation and negotiation to execution and management. This not only saves time and reduces errors but also provides valuable insights and analytics that can help businesses optimize their operations.
Beyond its technological advancements, DocuSign has also demonstrated a strong financial performance, reflecting its ability to capitalize on market opportunities and execute its growth strategy. The company's expansion into new markets and strategic partnerships further solidify its position as a leader in the industry.
As we look to the future, it is clear that AI-powered agreement management will play a crucial role in shaping the way businesses operate. DocuSign's commitment to innovation and its strong financial performance make it well-positioned to continue leading the way in this transformative field.
DocuSign Posts Strong Q2 Results Amidst Business TransformationDocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) recently announced its Q2 FY2025 financial results, demonstrating continued business stability and efficiency improvements. The company's performance highlights its successful evolution and expansion into the AI-powered Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM) space, with record operating profit and optimistic market reception.
Key Financial Highlights
1. Revenue Growth: DocuSign reported total revenue of $736 million, marking a 7% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst expectations of $727.36 million. Subscription revenue reached $717.4 million, up 7% year-over-year, while professional services and other revenue stood at $18.7 million, reflecting a 2% increase.
2. Earnings Beat: The company posted a non-GAAP net income per diluted share of $0.97, beating analyst estimates of $0.80 per share. This was a significant jump from $0.72 in the same period last year, underscoring the company's improved operational efficiency and cost management.
3. Cash Flow Strength: Net cash from operating activities totaled $220.2 million, up from $211 million a year ago, with free cash flow rising to $197.9 million from $183.6 million. This indicates DocuSign's robust cash generation capabilities and prudent financial management.
4. Stock Repurchase: DocuSign repurchased $200.1 million of its common stock, a substantial increase compared to $30 million in the previous year, demonstrating confidence in its future prospects.
5. Guidance Lifted: For Q3 FY2025, DocuSign expects revenue between $743 million and $747 million, and for the full fiscal year ending January 31, 2025, the company has raised its revenue guidance to a range of $2.94 billion to $2.952 billion.
Operational and Strategic Developments
1. Intelligent Agreement Management Platform: The launch of IAM marks a significant strategic shift for DocuSign, as it integrates AI-powered tools to streamline and automate complex agreement processes. The platform, now available in the U.S., is expected to drive further customer engagement and expand DocuSign’s market share.
2. Leadership Enhancements: The appointments of Paula Hansen as President and Chief Revenue Officer and Sagnik Nandy as Chief Technology Officer bring a wealth of experience from Alteryx, SAP, Cisco, Okta, and Google. These strategic hires are expected to further bolster DocuSign’s market positioning and technology innovation.
Technical Analysis
Current Price Action: As of Friday's trading, DocuSign’s stock was up 3%, trading at $58.56. The stock’s performance follows a gradual recovery, supported by its positive earnings report and strategic business moves. The RSI is currently at 56, suggesting balanced momentum in the stock—neither overbought nor oversold. This level indicates moderate growth potential without signaling a significant immediate correction risk.
DocuSign's price chart reveals a consolidation phase following a prolonged downtrend. The recent earnings beat has provided a catalyst for a potential breakout, with the stock showing signs of forming a bullish flag pattern. This technical setup often precedes further upward movement, especially when paired with improving fundamentals.
Support and Resistance Levels: The key support level stands at $55, while immediate resistance is observed around $59—close to the revised price targets set by analysts post-earnings. A break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward $65, especially if the company continues to deliver on its guidance and operational goals.
Fundamental Outlook
DocuSign's strong performance in Q2 FY2025 highlights the company's ongoing transformation and its strategic pivot towards AI-driven solutions. The improved revenue guidance and positive reception of the IAM platform underscore a business that is not only stabilizing but also positioning itself for future growth.
The broader market's increasing focus on digital transformation and automation bodes well for DocuSign’s continued expansion. Its ability to integrate advanced technologies like AI into its core offerings sets it apart from traditional competitors, providing a clear pathway to sustained revenue growth and enhanced profitability.
Conclusion
DocuSign's Q2 results mark a pivotal moment in its evolution, as the company demonstrates both operational efficiency and strategic foresight. With a solid financial footing, a robust cash flow profile, and an innovative product lineup, DocuSign is well-positioned to capitalize on growing demand in the digital agreement space.
DOCU DocuSign Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought DOCU before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DOCU DocuSign prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 59usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-6,
for a premium of approximately $2.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DOCU, gettin ready for multi weekly Price GROWTH!DOCU is registering massive net positive volume this past few days /weeks -- with numbers surging exponentially +40% from 6.55M to 9.17M. Buyers are now taking positions of the company's future growth prospect -- buoyed by the last "GREEN" earning calls (EPS beat expectation by almost +29% from 0.56 to 0.72).
On monthly data, higher lows was spotted pricewise -- conveying an upside reversal is in order in the next few months. A significant ascend from the current level is expected.
A bubble up volume (bottom indicator) -- has made its 4th appearance for this year with the latest one this month, -- first one since February 2023. A definite sign of things to come -- a good one.
Spotted at 54.0
TAYOR
Safeguard capital always:
FUNDAMENTAL / FINANCIAL REFERENCE:
----------------------------------------------------
Financials
Quarterly financials
APR 2023
(USD) Apr 2023 Y/Y
Revenue 661.39M 12.35%
Net income 539K 101.97%
Diluted EPS 0 100%
Net profit margin 0.08% 101.72%
Operating income 24.55M 227.69%
Net change in cash 221.55M 70.5%
Cash on hand - -
Cost of revenue 135.38M 2.86%
Disclaimer
Earnings calls
Apr 2023
EPS (USD)
Expected
0.56
Reported
0.72
Surprise
28.73%
Revenue (USD)
Expected
641.66M
Reported
661.39M
Surprise
3.07%
--------
DocuSign Shares Rally on Strong Revenue and Billings
By Eric J. SavitzFollow
Updated June 8, 2023 6:35 pm ET / Original June 8, 2023 4:51 pm ET
DocuSign’s quarterly revenue was up 12% from a year earlier.
Courtesy of DocuSign
DocuSign shares were sharply higher in after-hours trading Thursday, after the e-signatures company posted better-than-expected results for the fiscal first quarter ended April 30, and raised its outlook for the fiscal year ended January 2024.
For the April quarter, DocuSign (ticker: DOCU) posted revenue of $661.4 million, up 12% from the year ago quarter, and nicely ahead of both the company’s guidance range of $639 million to $643 million, and Street consensus at $642 million. Billings were $674.8 million, well above the company’s guidance range of $615 million to $625 million. It is an increase of 10%, compared with the company’s original target of 1% to 2%.
The Street is likely to be especially pleased with the strong growth in billings.
DOCU DocuSign Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven't sold DOCU's speculative bubble:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DOCU DocuSign prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 55usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-15,
for a premium of approximately $1.73.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DocuSign (NASDAQ: $DOCU) Stock Surges on Strong EarningsDocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) shares jumped more than 4 % in trading hours on Friday after the e-signature and document management company topped analysts’ quarterly estimates and issued better-than-expected current-quarter and full-year sales outlooks as customers increased their IT spend.
The San Francisco-based company posted fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of 76 per share on revenue of $712.4 million, whereas Wall Street had expected earnings of 65 cents a share on sales of $698.3 million.
Billings for the quarter, which ended Jan. 31, rose 13% from a year earlier to $833.1 million, entwining the company’s earlier guidance range of $756 million to $768 million. DocuSign ( NASDAQ:DOCU ) said closing several deals earlier than expected boosted billings during the period.
Looking ahead, the company projects revenue for the current quarter to range between $704 million and $708 million, with billings of $685 million to $695 million. The lower end of both metrics come in ahead of estimates pegged at $701 million and of $683 million, respectively.
For the 2025 fiscal year, DocuSign ( NASDAQ:DOCU ) expects revenue of between $2.92 billion and $2.93 billion, with the low-point of that band surpassing the Street expectation of $2.91 billion.
DocuSign's CEO Allan Thygesen said the better-than-expected quarterly results were driven by growth from both enterprise and small business customers, further adding that the company had observed improving IT spend versus previous quarters. Thygesen also noted that the company’s addition to Microsoft’s ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) Azure marketplace had helped it connect with large customers.
Technical Analysis
The DocuSign ( NASDAQ:DOCU ) share price has oscillated roughly within a 20-point range over the past 17 months to form clearly identifiable areas of support and resistance. Although the 50-day moving average crossed back above the 200-day moving average in early January to generate a golden cross signal, the price has remained rangebound with a moderate Relative Strength index (RSI) of 60.
Amid follow-through buying after the company’s strong earnings report, keep an eye on the trading range’s top trendline around $64.50 as a potential resistance area. If a breakout occurs, monitor a prior countertrend high near $77 as the next possible level of chart resistance.
DocuSign ( NASDAQ:DOCU ) shares gained 11.1% to $59.50 in after-hours trading Thursday but slid a little bit to $56.26 on Friday's trading session.
DocuSign's Path to Profitability: A Milestone in the MakingShares of DocuSign (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DOCU ) are up 13.7% after The Wall Street Journal reported the e-signature leader is exploring a potential sale.
Why DocuSign is exploring a sale
According to sources familiar with the situation, DocuSign is working with advisors to gauge interest in a potential sale of the company. The conversations remain in the early stages, and there are no guarantees a deal will be reached.
Any number of acquirers could be interested, though whether from the private equity space or publicly traded competitors like Adobe, which offers its own Acrobat Sign solution. Any deal would be substantial, given DocuSign's market cap at just over $13 billion as of this writing, potentially making it one of the largest leveraged buyouts in recent years.
DocuSign thrived during the pandemic as at-home work accelerated the transition to e-signature platforms. However, its shares have pulled back sharply from their late-2021 peak as top-line growth decelerated. Leading up to this news, DocuSign stock was roughly flat year to date in 2023.
Docu Future Outlook?
DocuSign has found solid financial footing in recent quarters. The company achieved better-than-expected 9% revenue growth in its latest quarter (announced last week), has steadily narrowed its losses in recent quarters, and remains on track to deliver its first-ever full-year profit this fiscal year.
That positive momentum could help DocuSign command a higher premium from prospective suitors.
DocuSign Shares Spike on Report Company is Exploring a SaleDocuSign shares rose as much as 15% and closed up 12% on Friday after the Wall Street Journal reported the e-signature software company tapped advisors about a possible sale.
Talks are still preliminary, the Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter. A DocuSign representative didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment on the report.
After losing almost two-thirds of its value last year, DocuSign’s rebound this year has been less dramatic than many of its tech peers. The stock is up 16% in 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite has gained 41%. The company has a market cap of about $13 billion.
DocuSign went public in 2018 and saw business boom during the pandemic as demand soared for technology that allowed people to work together on documents remotely. But growth has slowed dramatically since the economy reopened, and competition remains from Adobe
and Dropbox A year ago, DocuSign hired former Google executive Allan Thygesen to replace Dan Springer as CEO. Layoffs followed days later.
The stock plummeted 22% on March 10, after the company said finance chief Cynthia Gaylor would leave and told investors to expect a single-digit quarterly revenue increase, down from growth above 50% during Covid.
Its worthy to note that NASDAQ:DOCU is trading above all its respective Moving Averages indicating a Bullish Bias or continuation of the present Trend.
DOCU DocuSign Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold DOCU here:
or here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DOCU DocuSign prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 3.10usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $3.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DOCU DocuSign Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold DOCU here:
or here:
Then Analyzing the options chain of DOCU DocuSign prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $57.50 strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-6-16,
for a premium of approximately $4.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
4/6 Watchlist + NotesInitial Thoughts: Incredible day, markets closed friday, minimal inside day setups
SPY - Mentioned yesterday that we were bearish going into today for a number of reasons. Early on in the session we saw SPY push up slightly only to be rejected by a downward trend line created in premarket. We hit our downside target at the mid 406 level and even pushed lower than that before making an afternoon reversal. We also hit our lower trend line on the broadening formation created yesterday on the daily. Overall played out perfectly, only could have asked for more downside to 404 if anything
TOMORROW: Due to how we closed and previous daily patterns similar to the one we're in now, I am still slightly bearish going into tomorrow, but I think we need to be cautious. With this week being a 4 day trading week, and being at the beginning of a potential daily/weekly reversal point, I think we could see some consolidation just as easily as we could see more downside. Full disclosure, I am not extremely confident in us seeing more downside tomorrow, but it makes the most sense based on our situation. Ideally I would like to see a move lower to the 404 area before consolidating. OVERALL BIAS: Cautiously Bearish
Watchlist + Bias:
BABA 2-1 Daily: Slightly Bearish (Only inside day to show up on the scanner)
SQ - 3-1 Weekly: Neutral (Still has not broken out)
DOCU - 1-1-2D Weekly: Bearish (Finally broke out of inside week setup. Watching for continuation going into tomorrow and next week)
SHOP - 50% Rule Weekly: Bearish (Finally saw the downside we wanted the other day due to a failed 2U reversal today. Looking to see SHOP hit 44.01 between tomorrow and next week)
Main Watch:
SQ - Not a crazy good setup, but definitely interested with the weekly chart. We still remain within our inside week setup. I am watching tomorrow to see if we can breakout in either direction to pick up a swing position for next week. I would prefer downside due to my bias with SPY, but I will be open to playing upside as well since SQ is set up to do well in either direction. It is worth noting we made a failed 2D on the daily, which gives us a small bullish bias for tomorrow on SQ, but the past 4 days have been failed 2s, so that may be irrelevant. Entry Long: above 68.24. Upside Targets: 69.74, 70.53, 72.64. Entry Short: Under 66.62 Downside Targets: 65.81, 64.56, 63.51, 61.55
Yesterday's Main Watch:
DOCU: What a solid trade. Opened at our short entry, and then dropped steadily throughout the day until reversing with SPY. Cons ran well over 400% from entry (.21 -> 1.06 If I remember correctly). I hope you all can take this play and learn from it, specifically how powerful trades can be if you have a crazy setup like we did with the double inside week. Hope everyone was able to make some money on this one.
Watchlist Stats:
3/3 SPY predictions
3/4 Main Watch Plays
Top Winner: DOCU (400%+)
Personal Stats:
2/3 On The Week
Overall: Green
- Completely turned the week around for myself after being barely red from monday's session. I credit this to patience and discipline. Most traders would be super eager to start trading again after a losing day. Having patience and waiting for that right trade to turn things around is absolutely key to mastering emotions and being successful in trading. All it takes is 1 good trade per day. Don't overtrade (I know it is very easy to do, and I used to struggle with this), have patience, and most importantly, be comfortable with taking losses, not conditioned to taking losses.
Tomorrow will be tricky if I had to guess. Trade smart, and be careful as it is the end of the trading week. And if I am unable to make monday's watchlist until later this weekend, enjoy the holiday for those who celebrate it!
4/5 Watchlist + NotesInitial Notes - Personally did not trade today, Analysis was on point, rest of week should be exciting
SPY - So it looks like scenario 3 that I mentioned on my list last night played out today. We saw both targets to the upside and downside get hit. Premarket we were about 15 cents off of the upside target before opening and pushing higher than yesterdays high. We then saw a sell off during the day to hit our downside target and also create a bearish engulfing, which was scenario 3 mentioned yesterday. I did not get to trade today due to being extremely busy with my personal life, but I was still very happy to see that my analysis was on point, making us 2/2 on the week for predictions. (FOR TOMORROW) Tomorrow I am looking for downside, plain and simple. With the bearish engulfing now created, overextension/exhaustion starting to kick in, and potential for us to create a failed 2U on the weekly chart all tells me that we have some decently bearish catalysts for tomorrow's session. I do not have a specific target for tomorrow to the downside, but if you look at the chart attached to this watchlist, you can see that we formed a broadening expansion on the daily. I am hoping to get close to, test, or surpass the bottom trend line. We must keep in mind that although these engulfing setups typically play out well (The last 7 on SPY's daily have resulted in correct movement in the engulfing candles direction or inside days following), it does not guarantee that we follow suit and see downside. We are still not confirmed reversing yet on longer time frames, but today could very well be the beginning, or sign that we are close to reversing. OVERALL: I want to see us head further down. My rough estimate/target to the downside is 406.43. IF we are lucky then we could see as low as 404.
Watchlist + Bias
MRK 2-1 Daily: Neutral
CRM 2-1 Daily: Bearish
MRNA 2-1 Daily: Neutral
UNH 2-1 Daily: Slightly Bearish
DOCU - 1-3 Daily and 2-1-1 Weekly: BEARISH
SQ - 3-1 Weekly: Neutral
Previous and Tomorrows Main Watch: DOCU + SHOP
SHOP - Neutral on this one. It played out the way we wanted too, but did not hit the target we expected, and was choppy all day. Overall I count this as a win because it followed our criteria and played out as expected, but was hard to catch an entry on if anyone did/tried to, and did not move as much as I had hoped for.
DOCU - We STILL have not broken out of the weekly inside setup. Today ended the same as SPY. Bearish Engulfing, with SPY looking like it could reverse any day now, I have to be bearish on DOCU as well. As far as winner/loser status goes for today, I respectfully think this one was an L. It opened under long entry and pushed up slightly above that entry during the first 10 mins of market open before being shot down along with SPY. I personally did not take this trade, but I can see why it may have been a losing trade. For tomorrow, I think a test of the weekly short entry is inevitable, and I will be watching closely to get in some 1-2 week out puts, as well as some close expiry contracts for a day trade. Weekly short trigger is at 56.01. Targets set at 55.24 and 54.86
Watchlist Stats:
2/2 SPY Predictions
2/3 Main Watch Plays
Top Winner: SQ 23%+
Personal Stats:
0/1 on the week
Overall Red
- Did not trade today so stats remain the same.
Lets make some money tomorrow! Good Luck all!
4/3 Watchlist + NotesInitial Notes: Didn't trade on Friday, new month begins, SPY confirmed breakout on weekly, and light economic news coming this week.
SPY - (FRIDAY) Unfortunately, my SPY prediction for Friday was off. I underestimated the short term strength of the markets as evident by Friday's big green trend day. I'm not afraid to admit I was wrong on my analysis, because nobody can always perfectly predict the markets, and because ultimately, the markets surprise us once in a while. A good trader knows when they are right, but an even better trader knows when they are wrong. I choose to believe that I was missing info and/or not seeing the bigger picture for Friday's session. Going forward I would like to try to shoot for at least 80% accuracy with my SPY predictions, trades, and general analysis of setups that show up on the scanner. I will document all stats per usual at the bottom of my lists.
(MONDAY) Going into Monday, we have a few things to consider. We broke out of the upper trendline on the weekly chart, which is extremely bullish in my opinion. We also had a really strong and big green day friday with little to no upside wick. This tells me that we are looking very bullish just based on the weekly chart breakout, and the strength of the most recent daily candle. My guess is that we will see a push higher than Friday's high, but I am unsure of how much higher SPY can/will go. We are still at risk of short term exhaustion, and therefore, I am skeptical to see if we will see strong continuation or just consolidation/pullback before making the next real move. The most reasonable expectation for tomorrow in my opinion, is a day where we can be green or red, but regardless see a push higher while staying within a 1% range's movement on the day. Id love to create an inside day tomorrow but I sort of doubt we will be that lucky. Weekly targets are set at 415 and 402 respectively. More analysis to come as the week goes on(Apologies for the super long analysis, just had a lot to say with Friday's fail)
Watchlist + Bias:
SQ - 2-1 Daily and 3-1 Weekly: Slightly Bearish
BABA - 2-1 Daily : Bullish
LULU - 2-1 Daily : Neutral
MMM - 3-1 Weekly: Bullish
DOCU - 3-1-1 Weekly: Bullish
Main Watch:
SQ - Great setup on this one. 3-1 Weekly is the main catalyst I am watching. Would love to play downside on this and get a good entry on a break to the downside tomorrow with the 2-1 setup we have on the daily. My main concern is the bullish strength of the markets currently because another day of bullish movement could invalidate our short entry. I am open to playing both sides, but I would definitely prefer downside as there is better R/R.
Main Watch From Previous Watchlist:
DOCU: (Status:) Loser (Personally Trade?) No
DOCU had a solid setup, but even the best setups can be ruined when the overall markets are incredibly strong in the opposite way as your bias. This was the case for DOCU on friday. What is interesting is that we are now bullish on the daily with DOCU, but still remain in an inside setup on the weekly. Im keeping this on the watchlist for now as I think the weekly breakout could hold a bigger move because DOCU has a pretty large average daily range.
FDX - this wasnt a main watch but was something I watched throughout the whole week, Study the weekly and daily chart because although I missed the move, it played out exactly as we had hoped for. Cons if swung from daily entry went from about 3.5 to 5.85.
Last Week's Watchlist Stats:
3/5 SPY predictions
3/6 Main Watch Winners
Top Winner: NVDA 75%+
Personal Stats:
5/7 on the week (71.4% win rate)
Overall: Green week. Happy with the results, but I know we can do way better than that. Green week is a green week though. Lets do it again.
Best of luck tomorrow everyone !
3/31 Watchlist + Notes SPY - Going into todays session, I mentioned that I had a bullish bias that I was only 75% confident in due to the downside gap that remains unfilled on the daily, and because we were sitting on a daily upper trendline. SPY gapped up for the second day in a row and closed green, confirming our overall analysis, but created a failed 2U, which leads me to believe that we could be overextended short term and may see some downside going into Friday's session. The weekly chart is strong and is showing that we are breaking out of this downtrend we have been in looking at the weekly chart. I have a feeling tomorrow could be a day of consolidation or pull back to try to fill in the small gap created in the daily from yesterday and today. Final Thoughts: I am Neutral/Bearish going into tomorrow. If we do see upside, I would imagine we peak at the 405 area on SPY. I can't Imagine we push too much higher until next week.
Watchlist+ Bias:
(No daily chart inside setups showed up on the scanner from today's session)
FDX - 3-1-2U weekly : Bullish. Looking to test 226.06 tomorrow/Monday
DOCU - 2-1 Weekly: Bearish
CAT - 2-1 Weekly: Neutral
Main Watch:
DOCU - Interesting setup with this one. DOCU has a 2-1 weekly that is still not broken out of, even this late in the week. It also has a 2-3-3 daily, which is what I am most interested in for this play. The 2-3-3 setup has created a big broadening formation. Today was a huge red engulfing day, which is why we have bearish bias going into tomorrow. Additionally, DOCU is in a pretty neutral place currently after being in a 14 Month downtrend, which tells us that we are now consolidating and looking to either continue further down or reverse according to longer timeframes. My targets to the downside are 56.01 and 55.24. I will only play downside, not upside.
Yesterday's Main Watches:
JNJ - (Status:) Loser (Personally Trade?) No
JNJ gapped up over yesterdays high during the premarket session, invalidating the setup because I usually do not play inside setups if we open above/below a long/short entry level. JNJ quickly fell back into yesterdays range and rejected yesterday's high a few times showing that it was weak to the upside. Overall just didn't play out how we wanted, but that's just part of trading
GOOG - (Status:) Winner (Personally Trade?) No
GOOG opened within yesterday's range, then broke yesterday's low, which was our entry short. GOOG immediately dropped down to our target at 100.28. It hit 100.29 before reversing. The main takeaway from this play is that it was nearly textbook perfect in terms of entry, and target. Cons ran just over 50% in a matter of 2 minutes. Unfortunately, this trade would have been very tough to realistically take due to how fast it moved and completed the move we wanted. Situations like this are sort of a win because we know our analysis was spot on, but the price action moving too fast was the only reason we couldn't capitalize on this trade.
Watchlist Stats For The Week:
3/4 on SPY Predictions
3/5 on Main Watch Plays
Top Winner: NVDA (75%+)
Personal Stats:
5/7 For The Week
Overall Green/Red?: Green
Personal Note: Most likely will not have time to trade tomorrow, but regardless if I do or don't, on Sunday night I will provide analysis about tomorrow's session and what I am looking at going into Monday
Watchlist 3/16 + Notes Very little amount of tickers coming through the scanner today after hours. Only two tickers I am watching include:
HD (2-1) daily
DOCU (2-1) daily
Main focus is on DOCU as it has a massive gap to the upside to fill. I don't think it will fill this gap anytime this week, but I think tomorrow we may see it push up to the 50% retrace of the previous weekly candle, and possibly even 50% retrace of the entire gap itself as it has already begun to fill it partially
SPY closed strong and was a failed 2D, so I am expecting more upside with the markets in general tomorrow, which may play into our bullish bias on DOCU very well. Targets on DOCU to the upside are at 58.24, and 59.61
DOCU DocuSign Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold DOCU here:
Then you should know that looking at the DOCU DocuSign options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $62.5 strike price Puts with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$8.10 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DocuSign Inc. is getting ready for uptrendAfter going down, I see that there is uptrend is starting for #DOCU. It was important to close above $54.26 yesterday and It did. I am looking for a pull back to get in. This is my set up at the moment.
Entry; $50.51
S/L; $48.55
TP1; $54.43
TP2; $60.31
Please always do your own search and analysis before you take any trade. Do not rely on anyone :)