XRP The Greatest Deception & Delusion In Crypto History!I cannot believe how many have fallen for this deception. I cant believe how many are about to get scammed and rug pulled by Ripple. The amount of hype this thing has had over the years is simply amazing, just to keep it afloat so Ripple can sell their holdings to unwary, and naive investors. The number of influencers getting paydays because of clicks and subs by pumping this thing with their wild and wacky delusional predictions should be criminal. The amount of people being led to slaughter is going to absolutely be awful. This crypto is going to destroy so many investors wallets, hopes, and dreams. I cant believe this crap. Lets break this piece of turd down so a layman and children can understand because those are the only ones who would invest in something so worthless.
I know, I know but banks, banks, banks, banks! Yeah yeah yeah Garlic Bread shook Trumps hand I know I know. Lets get real here kids!
No banks are going to hold anything that is as volatile as this crap. The new stable coin RLUSD has officially made XRP useless. Why would any bank use something that can change in price within minutes over a stable USD pegged asset. They simply will not.
Also lets clarify some things here:
SANTANDER
Santander does not use XRP to power its One Pay FX service, which is a blockchain-based international money transfer service. Instead, Santander uses Ripple's xCurrent, a blockchain software that enables real-time tracking and settlement of payments
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK
You can't currently send money through Standard Chartered Bank using XRP tokens, but you can send and receive XRP using other services. Standard Chartered Bank works with a number of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, and stablecoins. Standard Chartered offers a variety of services for digital assets, including custody, trading, and banking. NOT JUST XRP
BANK OF AMERICA
You can't currently send money through Bank of America using XRP, but you can send money using Bank of America's wire transfer service. Bank of America (BoA) has been exploring Ripple's blockchain technology and XRP, and may use XRP for payments in the future.
MARKET CAP OF XRP TOKEN VERSUS OTHERS
XRP MARKET CAP $144 BILLION
MONEYGRAM $1 BILLION
WESTERN UNION $3.66 BILLION
SANTANDER BANK $93 BILLION
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK $27 BILLION
PAYPAL $77 BILLION
JP MORGAN CHASE BIGGEST BANK IN WORLD! $785 BILLION
AMERICAN EXPRESS $218 BILLION
BANK OF AMERICA $353 BILLION
CITI GROUP $160 BILLION
So you're trying to tell me that XRP market cap of $144 billion isn't already overvalued like crazy! Its worth more than Moneygram, Santander, Western Union, Standered Chartered Bank, Paypal, and Citigroup. For what reason would it be actually worth that much right now when everything is mostly just hype and speculation and being duped. Even if every bank did use it they arent holding onto it. They are simply buying it and then selling it instantly and converting it to whatever fiat the exchange called for. Simpletons believing that XRP can actually be worth $100 or $500 each is so crazy and stupid its hard to believe no one can do math. This thing will be lucky to double top and let you get out. Its going to crash in an epic fashion because its value to worth is so far off its insane.
Some more facts!
All XRP was pre-issued at launch, unlike cryptocurrencies that use mining
The XRP creators gifted the company 80% of all XRP, keeping 20 billion units for themselves
80% OF XRP WENT TO THE COMPANY FOR CRYING OUT LOUD!
WILL BANKS USE XRP WITH IT BEING SO VOLATILE?
Banks might use XRP despite its volatility because it functions as a bridge currency, allowing them to quickly and efficiently settle cross-border transactions at a lower cost by converting currencies into XRP instead of relying on traditional fiat currency exchange processes, which can be significantly slower and more expensive; essentially, the price fluctuations of XRP become less relevant when used solely as a TEMPORARY intermediary in transactions. KEY WORD TEMPORARY. BUY, SEND, SELL! NO ONE IS INVESTING IT IT ITS MERELY A SETTLEMENT CURRENCY.
The Ripple network, where XRP operates, is designed to provide readily available liquidity for cross-border transactions, meaning banks don't need to hold large reserves of various currencies! Wake up people, and now that the stable coin is running on the Ripple RLUSD, there is NO USE FOR XRP THE TOKEN. XRP was simply a token to dump on clueless investors to keep the company Ripple going.
If you think that all these institutions want to invest in XRP and theres this huge demand for institutional buyers of XRP lets take a look at Grayscale the closest thing available to big investors on the stock market.
SOME GRAYSCALE HOLDINGS
XRP $14 MILLION
ZCASH $13 MILLION
HORIZEN $14 MILLION
XLM $41 MILLION
CHAINLINK $22 MILLION
BITCOIN CASH $134 MILLION
ETHEREUM CLASSIC $240 MILLION
LITECOIN $260 MILLION
XRP is on the same level as Horizen and ZCASH, one of their lowest holdings. This is a clear sign that no big money wants anything to do with XRP the token because if they did they would be investing through the trust. XRP the token was a scam from the get go to get the insiders rich and to pay for the development of Ripple the company. If and when Ripple the company goes public do you really think your precious XRP token will be worth anything. NO IT WONT. THEY WILL HAVE THEIR OWN DAMN TICKER THAT HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH XRP.
Oh and the ETF, No f'ing way that thing will ever get approved while the SEC is still going after it. Get real! Even so even if THE SLIGHTEST CHANCE it did it'll have as much demand as the XRP Grayscale trust, NONE IT'LL BE A DAMN DUD. No big money will touch this with a 1000 foot pole. Not with the company holding still almost 60% of the supply. Its a honeypot for the creators.
None of this is meant to be financial advice just my opinion. Dont lose your shirts.
Doge
Dogecoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?With the recent Correction in Dogecoin, we can say that an ascending triangle has formed, which could be promising and could raise the price to the top of the triangle. It might even form a crab pattern. We should wait for the triangle breakout to reach to 34 cents.
Give me some energy !!
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❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
LTC Litecoin Fireworks Are About To Start ETFs Loading UpHello my friends, Im sorry for not being here for a while, my life was very busy over the past year. Im hoping now that things are settled down I can do these charts again regularly.
That aside lets get into Litecoin. Litecoin has been outperforming almost the entire market lately moving from 25th position on Coinmarketcap to now 12th position over the course of just a couple months or so. Litecoin is showing big time strength over all the others. Every day its holding onto more and more of its gains while others are making new lows or lower highs. We are at the apex now. Litecoin must break over $147 and close that candle on at least the 2 day to be confirmed. Once that happens I don't think there will be many pullbacks from there and if there are they will short lived.
The ETFs for Litecoin are really gaining steam. Charlie Lee did an interview back in I believe it was December with The Litecoin Forecast YouTube channel and Charlie was saying that if anyone had large amounts of Litecoin and wanted to help seed the Canary ETF to contact him directly. The ETF is coming 100% there is no question about that. Once these ETFs get approved Litecoin has such an illiquid supply the price of Litecoin will skyrocket so fast and so high it'll leave everyone in disbelief and with their mouths dropped. Miner reserves are at an all time low, so no serious dumping or resistance levels along the way like previous runs. People and institutional buyers are realizing that Litecoin is the second Bitcoin. they realize that Litecoin is THE Altcoin and the rest are just clones, copies and junk. The fact that Litecoin is te most used crypto worldwide and has been for a long time shows that the PEOPLE chose Litecoin over all those other chains to transact in, even over Bitcoin. People are realizing that Litecoin is the better Bitcoin and was made to be that way. There is no denying that Litecoin is the chosen crypto, its provable with on-chain metrics! No hype, no advertising, nothing just pure organic adoption. Thats what make a winner in this space. We dont need a tweet from Elon or constant promises and upgrades to keep Litecoin relevant. Litecoin will move to the #2 spot under Bitcoin.
Once this move starts and Litecoin starts going parabolic you will see the pump chasers and fomo rotating out of the already extremely overvalued trash they bought the top in to get into Litecoin. All the non believers, all the haters, all the wounded who sold angrily, everyone will pile into Litecoin. You will hear a lot of language especially from the haters saying that its just a pump and dump along the way. Eventually they will all change their tune when Litecoin continues to rise and rise and rise and wont stop. Dont be fooled and dont sell early, Litecoin is going to shock the entire world and thats not being dramatic. It will be on every news channel. Big institutions will be talking about it. Blackrock will get in along with all his buddies. Its coming I promise that. I had made my previous predictions not really knowing what the catalyst would be other than the charts and some on-chain data. Now I know why Litecoin will make that move I was predicting. The ETFs are going to bring in a flood of money like no one has see before and the world will realize that Litecoin is Bitcoin #2. The ones who missed Bitcoin at $1000 are going to flood into Litecoin for their chance to get the second faster Bitcoin.
I know I was wrong on the timing of the last predictions I made thinking that maybe it could have happened in 2024. I didnt expect the market to be this drawn out, I dont think anyone did. It is different this time despite what everyone else says. The cycles are getting longer and longer as more and more people enter the space. There isnt a huge rotation from Bitcoin into Alts anymore because now the ETFs are locking it up. No more Alt seasons like we were used to . I believe that my chart showing 13K for Litecoin is just the beginning. Litecoin will be worth 1/4 of Bitcoin in the future. I dont want to say that Litecoin could overtake Bitcoin but it might you never know this market is wild. Litecoin in these next few years and over the course of a couple cycles within this larger cycle we could see Litecoin at $50k each. Once all the money drains out of the overhyped and overacalued trash thats currently out there, they will eventually move into Bitcoin, and Litecoin. Maybe a couple others that are competing for the smart contract side of things but as far as Cryptocurrencies go Litecoin and Bitcoin are the only two that will remain relevant. The rest are just projects and platforms and wanna be Cryptocurrencies all the way down the line. Litecoin is about to create so many millionaires in such a short period of time its going blow everyone's mind.
Eventually Litecoin network will be so busy because of real world use, it'll have to stop mining Doge which is just a leech off the network. Miners wont waste energy on that. Doge will eventually move back down to where it came from. XRP holders will eventually realize that they have been duped into keeping the rich lifestyles of the Ripple team going for so many years on just hype. The meme coins are losing interest. All those holders are going to lose everything, literally. I cant believe how many have their entire investment in these silly Fartcoin, Titcoin and all the other ridiculous coins with zero value. They were fun to make quick money on but they are no longer as profitable and the risk is way higher than the reward now. Frogs, Dogs, Cats, Squirrels all are going to die and go to zero. The crypto market will be wrangled and only the strong will survive. All that capital will flood out of the trash and there will be a mad dash for actually utility. In the Dot com boom there were so many internet companies it was crazy but at the end of it only a few strong ones survived and thrived and became the powerhouses that we see today. Thats exactly what I see for the cryptospace.
Litecoin holders will soon be vindicated!
None of this is financial advice, this is just my opinion.
XRP Why A Serious Revaluation Is Imminent And CloseQUESTION: If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for banks then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion?
The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down:
Market Cap Misconceptions
XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone.
Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings.
Bank Adoption and Utility Argument
If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation.
However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth.
Speculative vs. Real Utility
Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases.
In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes.
Liquidity and Scarcity Factors
Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases.
However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure.
Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty
XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions.
True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market.
Bottom Line
XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements.
QUESTION: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future?
XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors:
1. Utility vs. Speculation
A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption.
If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility.
2. Market Cycles & Sentiment
Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value.
If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage.
3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics
XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released.
If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down.
However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme.
4. Institutional Adoption
If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation.
But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand.
5. Competitive Landscape
XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction.
If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand.
Realistic Price Outlook?
If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels).
However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated.
Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels.
QUESTION: Is the value of XRP currently way higher than it should be compared to its usage
Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies.
Why?
Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap
XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long.
Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure.
If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low.
Speculative Premium
A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand.
Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized.
Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in.
Supply & Sell Pressure
Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market.
This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure.
Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs
Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP.
Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers.
Conclusion
Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run.
QUESTION: The current price is 2.75 is that overvalued?
Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions.
Why is XRP Overvalued?
Speculation Dominates
The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today.
Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized.
Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower
As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50.
At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand.
Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure
Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market.
If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time.
Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs
Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP.
Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements.
What Could Happen Next?
If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen.
XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price.
Conclusion
At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today.
None of this is financial advice, just satire!
Dogecoin - The Final Break And Retest!Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) is confirming the final retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the textbook retest of the previous all time high about three months ago on Dogecoin, so far we also saw the expected correction of about -50%. However Dogecoin is about to confirm the bullish break and retest, which eventually leads to a parabolic rally and new highs.
Levels to watch: $0.2, $0.5, $5.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
DOGEUSD Fibonacci Channel 'guarantees' rally to at least $1.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has held perfectly its 1W MA50 two weeks ago, rebounded and is now consolidating. This consolidation shouldn't last for too long as based on the previous Cycles, this 1W MA50 test was the new bottom the should lead to the final year (2025) rally.
As you can see, DOGE's historic pattern since its first trading day has been a Channel Up, which with the added element of the Fibonacci lines, only broke during the 2021 Top formation on its 1.5 Fib extension.
A key characteristic of the final year of each Bull Cycle is that after a 1W Golden Cross is formed, the price has always first hit the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) 2SD above (thin orange trend-line) and shortly after the MMB 3SD above (thin red trend-line).
So far the current Cycle had hit the MMB 2SD on its December High and based on the pace with which this Cycle is unfolding (the higher the cap the slower the pace), it is unlikely to see a MMB 3SD test shortly.
However the Fibonacci Channel along with the MMB gives in our opinion two Target levels for this final year of the Cycle, a fair one and an optimistic. The fair one is at $1.00, which would make a perfect test of both the MMB 3SD and the 1.0 Fib ext at the top of the Channel Up. The optimistic is at $3.5 (potentially even higher), which would be exactly on the 1.618 horizontal Fibonacci extension (still below the 1.5 Channel Fib), which was the January 2018 Cycle Top and of course was greatly exceeded during the May 2021 Cycle Top.
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XRP Even Chat GPT Knows XRP Is About To Get Revalued .10 CentsMAKE SURE YOU READ TO THE END THE END IS THE BEST!
If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for bank then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion?
ChatGPT said:
Great question! The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down:
Market Cap Misconceptions
XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone.
Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings.
Bank Adoption and Utility Argument
If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation.
However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth.
Speculative vs. Real Utility
Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases.
In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes.
Liquidity and Scarcity Factors
Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases.
However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure.
Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty
XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions.
True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market.
Bottom Line
XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements.
You said:
So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future?
ChatGPT said:
That’s a solid perspective. XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors:
1. Utility vs. Speculation
A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption.
If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility.
2. Market Cycles & Sentiment
Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value.
If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage.
3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics
XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released.
If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down.
However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme.
4. Institutional Adoption
If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation.
But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand.
5. Competitive Landscape
XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction.
If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand.
Realistic Price Outlook?
If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels).
However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated.
Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels.
You said:
So in your opinion the value of XRP currently is way higher than it should be compared to its usage
ChatGPT said:
Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies.
Why?
Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap
XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long.
Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure.
If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low.
Speculative Premium
A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand.
Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized.
Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in.
Supply & Sell Pressure
Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market.
This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure.
Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs
Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP.
Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers.
Conclusion
Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run.
You said:
What is a reasonable valuation for XRP removing all the speculation and only considering the current usage of it?
ChatGPT said:
A reasonable valuation for XRP, based purely on current real-world usage and removing speculation, would likely be significantly lower than its current market cap. Here's how we can approach estimating a fair value based on utility alone:
1. On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) & Settlement Usage
XRP's primary use case is cross-border payments through RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL).
While Ripple claims growing adoption, the actual daily transactional volume from banks and institutions using XRP is small compared to its total market cap.
A large portion of XRP trading volume still comes from speculation on exchanges, not institutional settlement use.
Estimating Utility-Based Price
Let’s assume banks & financial institutions only need a fraction of XRP's supply at any given time for real transactions.
For context, SWIFT (the dominant global payment network) settles $5 trillion per day, but that doesn’t mean XRP will replace it or capture all of that volume.
Even if XRP were used for 1% of SWIFT’s volume, that would be around $50 billion in daily transactions.
Given that XRP is designed for rapid settlement (held for seconds, not days), the actual liquidity needed in the system would be far smaller—likely a few billion dollars at most.
2. Supply & Circulating Coins
Current circulating supply: ~55 billion XRP
If XRP’s real usage demand is only a few billion dollars at any given time, then its price per coin would be much lower than today’s level.
A conservative model: If XRP needed a total market cap of $5 billion to serve its actual transactional volume, the price per XRP would be:
$5,000,000,00055,000,000,000=$0.09
55,000,000,000$5,000,000,000=$0.09
If XRP needed a $10 billion market cap, the price per XRP would be $0.18.
These numbers assume zero speculation and only reflect practical usage.
3. Competitive Alternatives
Banks may prefer stablecoins (USDC, USDT) or CBDCs for settlements instead of XRP.
If that happens, XRP’s utility-based value could drop even further.
Final Thought
Pure utility price range (removing speculation): $0.05 - $0.50 per XRP (depending on actual adoption).
Current price (~$0.60 - $0.70 as of early 2024) is mostly speculation rather than true demand from banks.
If XRP’s adoption expands beyond just settlements (e.g., DeFi, smart contracts), its valuation could be higher, but based on current use, a fair price is likely far lower than today's market cap suggests.
You said:
The current price is 2.75 though so that means that its extremely overvalued?
ChatGPT said:
Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions.
Why is XRP Overvalued?
Speculation Dominates
The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today.
Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized.
Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower
As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50.
At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand.
Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure
Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market.
If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time.
Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs
Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP.
Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements.
What Could Happen Next?
If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen.
XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price.
Conclusion
At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today.
Good luck, this is going to destroy so many people, its so sad. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
Bull Meme: Golden BreakthroughThe first meme coin draws a bull flag! You know, it's like finding an undervalued stock in a pile of garbage - rare, but it happens. In the medium term, I expect the growth to 1.618 Fibonacci levels - the golden ratio, friends, nature is not wrong. Plus, a small bullish divergence is coming.
Horban Brothers.
DogeCoin Breakdown Below Pivot Line with Targeting Demand ZoneDogecoin Price Analysis: Potential Breakdown Below Pivot Line with Targeting Demand Zone
Given the lower highs and recent price action, the price seems to be following a descending channel with a potential for further downward movement.
The price will try to touch the Demand Zone (0.2130) if can close 4h candle below the pivot line which is 0.2654
Short-term correction might occur, potentially bouncing off the support zones, but a breakout below the pivot line could confirm further downside.
Next Movement:
If the price holds below the pivot line (0.2654), it could reach 0.2130. A break of that level could send the price toward the demand zone at 0.1774.
It’s important to keep an eye on any reversals or retracements that might occur at these pivot levels.
Key levels
Pivot Line: 0.2713
Resistance Lines: 0.3093, 0.3505, 0.4150
Support Lines: 0.2130, 0.1774, 0.1465
WIF Is Going To Come Down Hard Be CarefulWIF is way overextended and overvalued. There is bearish divergence on many indicators on almost all higher timeframes. I think WIF comes down to tap the trendline at $1.40 and a small bounce then it falls swiftly into the wedge again. Where is goes from there I dont know but I will update the chart at that time.
This is not finainclal advice this is just my opinion.
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LITECOIN LTC USD Is About To Blow Your Mind PART 2!Hello again everyone, This is a continuation of my previous Litecoin analysis, the other one was getting really congested. If you want to see that one I will link it below as well.
Here is what I think, this correction is almost over. Unless something catastrophic happens like a black swan then this should be pretty close to done. I thought that MAYBE the Israel Iran crap was going to get way out of hand but it seems to have fizzled out. Litecoin may come down and touch the trend line one more time before the rocket ship, thats not out of the cards. So we could see $65-66 dollars again. RSI on the weekly is Still bullish. Litecoin is actually holding its gains better than A LOOOOT of the other alts in this correction. Many Alts went back to the same lows they were at when Bitcoin was at 30-40k and some even lower lows. It looks like we are right where I marked on the chart. Moving averages are in same positions RSI is in a similar but more bullish position than the previous time. MACD is in the same spot. We're about to go straight up, I keep saying that I know but I mean it, its happening. Timing is obviously hard to predict but its going to happen.
Also this is another theory of mine. Bitcoin has recently had a surge in people building BRC20 tokens, runes and ordinals are still going on its blockchain congesting the chain and raising fees real high. While at the same time the US government is going after Lighting networks and wallets. What happens when Bitcoin blockchain becomes so congested that getting a transaction through costs more than the transaction and it takes days to get there? A lot of Bitcoin maxis thought that Litecoin was junk because they had the hope that Lighting would be used on the Bitcoin blockchain. Well that looks like its probably not going to happen anymore. So what happens?
Here is what is going to happen. People are going to get sick of the fees and the time it takes to send on Bitcoin. Humans being humans we will look for an alternative. The only other crypto that has been deemed a commodity and not a security CLEARLY without a doubt is Litecoin. Period. Litecoin will come in and save the day and more and more people will see the value in it as is already happening. Three or four months ago you wouldnt see crap on youtube videos for litecoin now they are all over the place and many BIG youtubers are beginning to get into Litecoin and are talking about it again. Litecoin adoption will skyrocket when the Bitcoin chain becomes just too congested. There is no other really good viable option for big money. ETH is in a lawsuit, XRP is a risk as well cause the lawsuit isnt completely over and then theres BCH which was 51% attacked so its too risky, and DOGE which no big money will touch because its extremely inflationary with no cap on supply. Big money wants security and stability and it has to have the blessings of the USA govt. so Litecoin will be the pick.
The euphoric stage of the market hasn't even happened yet, just wait. My prediction for Litecoin hitting $10k-$15k is still on track. This next run I also predict that Litecoin miners will sell Doge and buy Litecoin similar to what they did before in the previous run selling Litecoin and buying DOGE. Im beginning to think that DOGE will not have much of a higher high this run, I think it may do something similar to what Litecoin did and have a slightly higher high this run while Litecoin blasts off and pulls a move similar to what DOGE did last run, which is coincidentally similar to what Litecoin did in 2017. All cycles my friends, they arent exactly the same but they are usually similar. I think in the future its going to be Bitcoin, Litecoin and everything else. Litecoin will be as popular as Bitcoin in the future mark my words people.
Good luck out there my friends, I will update this as frequently as I can. Once my move is complete and office setup I can get back to more consistent updates. If you like my content then please Like this idea and follow me and this idea for more updates.
NONE OF THIS IS FINANCIAL ADVICE THIS IS JUST MY OPINION.
DOGE Long Swing Trade Opportunity Market Context:
DOGE is trading in a major support zone, signaling a potential opportunity for a swing trade if the level holds and bullish momentum returns.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Around $0.25
Take Profit Targets:
$0.28 - $0.31
$0.34 - $0.37
Stop Loss: Just below $0.235
This setup aims to capitalize on the support zone for a potential upside move. 📈
DOGECOINhello friends
Considering the drop we are having, we have obtained resistance ranges for you, and you can see that after hitting each range, there are more buyers, so it can be imagined that buyers will raise the price in this area or specified support areas...
So we can buy step by step and move with it until the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
Bitcoin Irregular Expanded Flat Fractal Straight Up 90kJust an idea, I noticed Bitcoin played out a fractal similar to the previous bull run top. If Bitcoin plays out this fractal then a straight shot to $90k could very well be in the cards. Obviously on the higher time frame it will be a little slower action that on the daily we just had but none the less it would go up pretty fast. I believe the current rally we are having is the first wave of a massive, massive bull run coming for Bitcoin. I think this run is going to go up so fast it will literally leave everyone behind that is waiting for new lows or even on the sidelines. When this thing goes it could make 50% moves up in a single day. Most people arent prepared for that and with all these exchanges ceasing operations in USA, almost one a day now, most people wont even be able to get in or get out at the top. Oh you got Coinbase App? Good luck, look at the history of Coinbase, their site goes down when things get crazy almost every single time, so by the time you get in Bitcoin on Coinbase Bitocoin may well be at 100K or more. Coinbase also cancels orders if it goes up to fast and refunds your money. If you are waiting on the sidelines make sure you have more than one avenue to get and get out so you're not left behind.
I dont know guys I see a giant bond collapse coming, and hyperinflation to try and prop up this giant house of cards, which wont work this time. Keep an eye on the Euro. When the Euro starts to tank the USA is maybe a week behind. Also watch silver, when silver starts going up $5 a day just know that shit has hit the fan and the collapse of the USA dollar and all the western republics is very near. Make sure you have some silver if you dont already just as money so you can buy what you need because no one will accept the US Fed Note Dollar. Good Luck out there. This is not financial advice this is just my opinion.
LITECOIN LTC/USD Is About To Blow Your Mind!Litecoin is repeating a much larger version of the run back in its earlier days as I show in the charts. This next move up in Litecoin is going to shock the entire cryptosphere. This is just looking at the chart and if the move repeats on a larger scale then Litecoin will probably be in $10000 dollar range. This might sound absolutely insane I know, it sounds crazy to me to but thats what the chart is telling me. Im not going to get into the reasons why fundamentally this is likely, if you want to go back into my other LTC posts I get into detail.
Dont listen to the haters, they will be the ones to give us our blow off top while we dump on their chin.
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"DOGE/USDT 1H: Bearish Consolidation – Short Setup Targeting DOGE/USDT 1H: Bearish Consolidation – Short Setup Targeting $0.24000?
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Current Market Structure:
Price at $0.25157 in a bearish trend with clear lower highs and lower lows. Currently consolidating in a tight range.
Market Maker Activity:
Distribution pattern is evident with multiple bearish blocks. Volume profile suggests accumulation at lower levels.
Technical Indicators:
No clear divergences present, supporting the prevailing downtrend.
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Entry: Look for a short entry in the $0.25300-$0.25500 range upon retest.
Targets:
T1: $0.24500
T2: $0.24000
Stop Loss: Place above resistance at $0.26100.
Risk Score:
7/10 – Medium-high risk with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if key levels hold.
Recommendation:
Short positions are recommended once a retest of $0.25500 is confirmed, as market makers appear to be distributing at higher levels, suggesting continued downside.
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EURUSD - PoVThe EUR/USD exchange rate is influenced by several economic and political factors, suggesting that the euro may continue to weaken in the coming weeks. On one side, the United States is implementing expansive fiscal policies that could strengthen the dollar, such as economic stimulus and increased public spending. These factors, along with potential protectionist measures like tariffs on Europe, could further weaken the euro by reducing the competitiveness of European exports. Additionally, the **Federal Reserve's** monetary policy, which has raised interest rates to combat inflation, makes the dollar more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the U.S. currency. The United States' energy independence, due to increased domestic production of gas and oil, has also reduced its reliance on imports, which further strengthens the dollar compared to the euro.
On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing a series of economic and political challenges that are putting pressure on the single currency. High inflation is eroding purchasing power across the Eurozone, and despite the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates to combat it, economic growth remains slow. This divergence from the United States, where growth has been more dynamic, amplifies the euro's weakness. Moreover, the ongoing energy crisis in Europe, worsened by the war in Ukraine and reduced gas supplies from Russia, has increased costs and slowed the competitiveness of European businesses. In this context, political uncertainties in some Eurozone countries and the ECB’s less aggressive economic management compared to the Fed further contribute to the euro's weakness.
Therefore, the strengthening of the dollar, driven by U.S. policies and growing energy independence, and the structural weakness of the Eurozone, are likely to continue pushing the EUR/USD lower in the coming weeks.
Be careful with DOGE !!!The price has formed a Triangle on the 4h time frame, and if it breaks out, it can drive the price up to around $0.31.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Dogecoin (DOGE) Analysis: Double Top Signals Bearish Movehello guys!
Double Top Formation:
The chart clearly shows a double-top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal signal.
The break below the neckline confirms the downtrend continuation.
Bearish Divergence on RSI:
The RSI showed divergence, meaning the price made a higher high, but the RSI made a lower high.
This signals weakening momentum and a likely correction.
Support Levels (S1 & S2):
S1 (around $0.22) might provide temporary relief, but the main target is lower.
S2 ($0.176 - $0.18) aligns with the double top target, making it a critical support zone.
Potential Price Scenarios:
If DOGE fails to hold at S1, the price may drop to S2, completing the pattern.
A strong rebound from S2 could trigger a bullish recovery.
Conclusion:
The double top breakdown suggests further downside toward $0.176 - $0.18, which could act as a strong support level. Until a clear reversal signal appears, the bearish trend remains dominant. Traders should watch these levels closely! 🚨📉
Best Level to BUY/HOLD BTC TP 105 000 USD Swing Trade Setup🔸Hello traders, today let's review 3hour price chart for BTCUSD . we are still
stuck in range since December, range highs at/near 108k, range lows at 90k.
however currently expecting fake breakdown of defined range before reversal.
🔸Bulls/Bears fight in the range is about to come to an end with a fake breakdown
of the recent/defined range, and prompt reversal and re-test of range highs.
🔸Bitcoin is stuck in unproductive range since December 2024, right now
drifting lower on autopilot, currently no viable trade since we are stuck.
Tech overshoot levels: 87 500, 85 000, 82 500. That's the levels we the probability
of reversal / throwback inside range is the highest.
🔸Recommended strategy: BUY LOW near tech overshoot levels 2/3 and exit/TP
near recent range highs, TP BULLS 105 000 USD. Best entry near 82500/85000 USD.
good luck traders!
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DOGE → 𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞 !!!The price is currently supported well, which can increase the price. I expect the price to rise to around 30 cents.
previous analysis
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!