Alikze »» SHIB | Upward wave 3 scenario🔍 Technical analysis: The scenario of the 3rd wave of the rising super cycle
- In the analysis presented in the previous post , after an upward wave up to the area of 2.618, the previous wave itself experienced significant growth.
- Currently, in the weekly time frame, after going through a downward trend in a channel, it managed to have a complex structural correction to the green box range, which led to an exit from the channel.
- Therefore, according to the current momentum, it will have the ability to reach the target of Fibo 1.618 range and then up to its previous ceiling.
- After that, if the previous ceiling is broken, the rising wave can extend to the specified supply area.
💎 In addition, if the previous floor or green box of stabilization occurs, the bullish scenario will be invalidated.
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BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
Doge
Dogecoin (DOGE): correction ahead?Dogecoin (DOGE) has recorded a spike in whale activities in the past 24 hours. Its large transactions surged by 63%, with whales moving 65.41 billion DOGE. This huge holding by the biggest players in the market represents 41% of Dogecoin’s total supply.
The aforementioned surging whale activity suggests that large investors are taking positions, which may be accompanied by increased market volatility.
A spike in whale transactions tends to precede potential significant price movements. When whales make such big moves on DOGE, the market usually follows through with their moves.
This could, therefore, be an indicator that a big price move might be on the cards.
Dogecoin social volume has been on an upward trajectory for the last three days. Social volume helps in the identification of some market sentiment.
Historically, higher volumes of conversations result in new investor interest that puts up demand.
Despite these encouraging signs, the stochastic RSI has just recorded a bearish crossover. This suggests that the market might face a small correction before any upward momentum could resume.
Although Dogecoin has been flirting with a bullish breakout, this crossover suggests pulling back slightly before making its next move.
Whale activity is high, and so is social interest. But the bearish stochastic RSI crossover is just a reminder that prior to any major price movement, short-term corrections are bound to occur.
For now, holding firm and waiting for better signals might be the best approach.
Can SHIBA have its 2020/21 DOGE moment??Shiba Inu (SHIBUSD) is making a strong bullish case this week as not only did it break above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since mid-August but is also testing the Top of its 7-month Channel Down, all while being supported by the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This Channel Down is, on the larger scale, nothing but a Bull Flag, the kind of pattern that precedes aggressive rallies and bullish extensions. In fact if we compare Shiba's Cycle since its October 2021 Top, we see strong similarities with Doge's (DOGEUSD) true expansion Cycle in 2018 - 2021, where it achieved its strongest recognition/ adoption. An (a) top led to a (b- f) Channel Down that priced the Cycle's bottom and after a 1W Golden Cross, it formed the Bull Flat that SHIB is in right now, which initiated its hyper aggressive parabolic rally to the Cycle Top.
As a result, being still below its 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, Shiba is massively undervalued in cyclical terms and technically if the Bull Flag breaks to the upside, the rally that will follow can target the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at 0.00035, just like Dogecoin did in January 2021.
Do you think it will replicate this pattern or the market cap would be unrealistic?
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DOGE - Very Exciting!Hello,
This orange trace nicely illustrates likely movements to complete some of the major support and resistance levels that were recently established, and have not been "tested" yet.
I believe that DOGE is unique… it insights the emotion of LOVE. Man’s best friend. Unconditional love.
The world is waking up and transitioning from the fear based 3D matrix world mentality and back to a 5D energy based world… emotional awareness and the force of LOVE reign supreme over the new world we are entering.
Do you feel it? Do you love DOGE?
Does bitcoin give you FOMO?
Or just straight-up FEAR, with all the dirty Black Rock war and genocide money linked direct to it now. The graph of fear and greed is very volatile. Huge Highs and lows... just like an addiction.
The graph of a building a tribe using the power of LOVE looks more like climbing a Pyramid… a step up and a lap around, repeat. Doge has done this Thrice, without a major retest. I believe our tribe is growing stronger as LOVE will prevail in all of the turmoil of the world. Love has already won in the Quantum... it is up to each of us to navigate our Golden Path (of the soul) through this Earth reality, ascending to the place of unconditional love... enlightenment. If that were we are going... I'll take the DOGE coin by my side.
Man's best Friend.
Unconditional love.
Go Doge Go!
BTCUSD 8H: Locked in range / Short TP 55 000 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review 8hour price chart for BTCUSD and potential reversal zones. So far price remains locked in tight trading range since March 2024, range highs set at 68 000 USD and range lows at 57 000 USD.
🔸Premium prices overhead at 71 500 / 74 000 USD and below at 55 000 / 53 000. Currently trading mid-range so no trades recommended in this zone.
🔸Ongoing compression in a tight range and low volatility ongoing since March 2024. This suggests that we are in accumulation/distribution stage right now and eventually range breakout will result in a high volatility move. Until then though makes sense to focus on trading range highs and range lows.
🔸Recommended strategy for position traders: Wait for price to max out near range highs and get ready to short from premium levels. Conservative TP on sell side at 55 000 USD.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
DOGE - RSI reset, or Bull run?Hello, and good evening from space ship earth.
looking at the indicators up top we have the MACD showing a recent bullish cross.
However this is contra indicated but eh RSI below, showing a likely reset is due.
We are however in increasingly strong bullish territory with these forecasts, and the bullish forecasts also align with the peak slopes of these indicators.
And here is what my forecast looks like on the long range for DOGE:
#DOGE/USDT#DOGE
The price is moving in a descending channel on a 1-day frame and is sticking to it very well and is about to break upwards
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the channel at a price of 12.86
We have an upward trend on the RSI indicator, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 14.45
First target 19.00
Second target 22.90
Third target 28.30
#DOGEUSD 1DAYDOGEUSD: Daily Downtrend Breakout - Buy Opportunity
The DOGEUSD pair is showing a significant breakout from its recent downtrend, signaling a potential reversal in momentum. After a sustained period of downward movement, price action has breached key resistance levels, suggesting increased buying interest.
Key Highlights:
Confirmation: The breakout above the resistance line indicates a shift in market sentiment, potentially attracting more buyers.
Volume Spike: A notable increase in trading volume during the breakout supports the validity of this move, suggesting strong momentum behind the price action.
-Technical Indicators: RSI and MACD are turning bullish, further reinforcing the idea of a possible upward trend.
Actionable Insight:
This presents a promising buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the potential recovery in DOGEUSD. Setting a stop-loss just below the breakout level can help manage risk while allowing for upside potential as the market seeks to establish a new support zone.
Stay vigilant for further confirmations and adjust your strategy accordingly!
DOGEUSD entering its Parabolic Rally phase. Can it hit $2.00?More than a year ago (July 24 2023, see chart below), we published our long-term expectations and pattern for Dogecoin's (DOGEUSD) Bull Cycle:
As you can see, it filled our projection quite effectively as it extended the Accumulation Phase (blue). That was a phase which, as you can see, was present during both of its previous Cycles and after a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross and a subsequent hold of the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), it came out of a (dotted) Channel Down/ Bull Flag and entered its Parabolic Rally phase (green).
As far as timing of the Cycle Top is concerned, we have a very consistent pattern which suggests that it is priced just after the 3.0 Fibonacci Time extension from the bottom of the Bear Cycle. That was accurate for both of the January 01 2018 and April 26 2021 Cycle Tops. As a result, the Top of the current Cycle should be expected a little after August 04 2025, assuming the true bottom of the last Bear Cycle was on the week of October 03 2022 (just before the FTX crash).
But what about the actual Top in price terms, you might be wondering? Well the first two Cycle Highs (January 20 2014 and January 01 2018) were priced just below the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level. The next one (April 26 2021) was priced higher on the 1.0 Fib on a technical overextension as it was the Cycle where Dogecoin experienced its strongest adoption and awareness.
It would be difficult to repeat this feat this time, unless some news/ fundamentals introduce new uses/ adoption for Doge and the market reacts with very aggressive capital inflows. In this new overextension case, we may see $6.00.
But our proper Target for this Cycle always was and remains $2.00, which falls marginally below the 0.786 Fib, just like the Tops of the first two Cycles.
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DOGECOIN 2024 — A Massive Breakout Coming?Hello, fellow traders! I'm excited to share an intriguing analysis with you today. Let's explore how Dogecoin DOGEUSD might be following in the footsteps of Stellar's XLMBTC remarkable 2017 bear market and 2018 bull run.
By comparing historical charts of Stellar with the current movements of Dogecoin, we could uncover patterns suggesting a significant breakout for DOGE this year and into the next. This insight might help you spot potential trading opportunities in the market.
Stellar's 2017 Journey
On the top chart, we have Stellar XLMBTC chart from 2017 and 2018:
All-Time High (ATH) of 2017: Stellar reached its ATH, followed by a period of declining lower highs during the summer months.
Accumulation Phase: Mid-autumn brought an accumulation zone, indicating consolidation before the next big move.
Wedge Pattern Formation: A wedge pattern emerged, leading to increased bullish momentum.
Breakout to New Highs: Post-wedge, Stellar entered a phase of higher highs, establishing a new ATH at the beginning of 2018.
Dogecoin's Current Path
Now, let's examine Dogecoin DOGEUSDT on the 3-day timeframe:
ATH in May 2021: DOGE hit its ATH and then began a decline into a lower highs zone.
Accumulation Zone Since Mid-2023: Like Stellar, DOGE was in an accumulation phase that lasted until 2024.
Wedge Pattern Development: In 2024, DOGE formed a wedge pattern, with the price currently residing within this formation.
Moving Averages Alignment: Interestingly, the moving averages on both charts behave almost identically, reinforcing the pattern similarity.
What This Could Mean
The parallels between DOGE and XLM suggest that Dogecoin might be bottoming out and could be on the verge of a significant breakout. While history doesn't always repeat itself, these patterns are worth paying attention to.
What are your thoughts on this comparison? Do you think Dogecoin is set to follow Stellar's past performance? Share your insights or any questions you have in the comments below — I’d love to hear your perspective!
Remember, the crypto market can be unpredictable. It's essential to protect your capital and manage risks appropriately. A fundamental risk management strategy is to use no more than 1% of your capital per trade.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like this post and follow me for more cryptocurrency insights. Stay tuned for more updates!
A Decade of DOGECOIN Brilliance. x100 Potential Hidden?!🎉 Happy 10th Anniversary, DOGECOIN! 🎉
December 6th, marks the 10th anniversary of DOGECOIN's genesis. Initially created as a light-hearted meme coin, it's become a significant player in the crypto space.
The BINANCE:DOGEUSDT price chart tells an intriguing story. Currently, it's showcasing a repeating pattern – Descending Triangles.
These patterns have historically been precursors to substantial upward movements. Dive into the clear chart representation here:
In the past, these triangles paved the way for remarkable gains, including an x66 surge in 2017 and an astonishing x238 leap in 2021, fueled by none other than Elon Musk.
On the weekly timeframe, this movement resembles a light breath, but in reality, holding onto this for the long term can be a challenging task.
It's crucial to approach it with a solid risk management strategy.
Strap in for the ride and ensure you're equipped for the DOGE rollercoaster!
DOGEUSD – Cup and Handle Breakout: Scalping to the 0.618 Fib
Well, it looks like DOGE has broken out of the cup and handle pattern we were watching. With this breakout, the next immediate target is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.116, which represents a potential 10% move from the breakout point. This level is crucial for traders looking to scalp quick profits before deciding on further direction.
Given the strength of the breakout, there’s a good chance we’ll see the price push up toward the 0.618 Fib level. If you’re looking to scalp, this move offers a solid short-term opportunity. However, watch closely for any signs of a reversal or hesitation around this resistance level – breaking through it could lead to further gains, while rejection might pull us back to test previous support levels.
In short, with DOGE pushing past the handle breakout, a scalp to $0.116 is looking like a good setup for a quick 10%. Keep an eye on momentum as we approach this key resistance level.
#DOGE/USDT#DOGE
The price is moving in a downtrend on the 4-hour frame and is about to break upwards
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise by breaking it upwards
We have a major support area in green at a price of 0.9300
The price bounced from it
Entry price 0.09750
First target 0.10270
Second target 0.1096
Third target 0.1170
Trading Idea: Dogecoin Support Level StrategyCurrent Support Level: Dogecoin (DOGE) has reached a key support level.
Bounce Scenario: If the price holds this support, we could see a bounce from here, offering a potential long entry opportunity.
Breakdown Scenario: However, if the price breaks below this support, it could signal further downside, with the next target being the next support level.
Confirmation: Wait for a clear bounce or breakdown confirmation before entering. A strong bounce would suggest upward momentum, while a close below the support with increased selling pressure would confirm the breakdown.
Risk Management: If entering on a bounce, place a stop-loss just below the support. If entering on a breakdown, place a stop-loss slightly above the broken support level to manage risk.
DOGE wait for breakThe Doge/USDT pair on the 1-hour chart has broken out from a symmetrical triangle, indicating a potential bullish trend 📈.
Analysis:
- Entry: Between 0.10558 and 0.10663 could be a good buy zone 🎯.
- Take Profit (TP): Target is set at 0.11238 to 0.11242, a key resistance level. Watch for potential reaction at this level 🏁.
- Stop Loss (SL): Placed around 0.10267. If this level breaks, it's best to exit to avoid further losses 🛑.
Key Points:
- Risk to Reward: The risk/reward ratio is favorable, offering a solid profit potential 💼.
- Continued Move: If the price breaks above 0.10798 and holds, the probability of reaching the target increases 📊.
Signal:
- Buy (Long) between 0.10558 with a target of 0.11238 and a stop loss at 0.10267 🚀.
Doge descends no more! Pattern breakout could see a 98% surge. The chart indicates that Dogecoin (DOGE/USDT) has already broken out of the Descending Triangle pattern, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. With this breakout, here’s a closer look at the critical elements and price projections moving forward:
1. Descending Triangle Breakout
• DOGE has broken out of the descending triangle to the upside, defying the usual bearish continuation pattern. This breakout suggests a bullish reversal or at least a short-term upward movement.
• This breakout could signal a shift in momentum, with DOGE moving toward key resistance levels.
2. Weekly Hidden RSI Divergence
• The hidden bullish divergence in the RSI further supports this breakout. Even as price made lower lows, the RSI’s higher lows indicated building momentum, which has now translated into an upward move.
• This divergence suggests that the current breakout could have legs, leading to further price gains.
3. Fibonacci Extensions & Price Targets
• $0.2067: This is the key Fibonacci target, representing the 96% retracement level. Given the breakout, this is the immediate price target and aligns with past support and resistance levels.
• $0.2812 and $0.3305: These are resistance levels within the broader resistance zone. Once DOGE breaks through $0.2067, this zone will be the next major test for bulls.
4. Price Projections
• Short-Term Outlook: With the breakout confirmed, DOGE’s immediate target is $0.2067, representing a significant gain from the current level.
• Medium-Term Outlook: If DOGE clears $0.2067, the next focus will be the resistance zone between $0.2812 and $0.3305. Overcoming this will be crucial for sustained bullish momentum.
• Long-Term Outlook: A successful push beyond the resistance zone could open up the possibility of a broader bullish cycle for DOGE, potentially leading to higher price targets contingent on market sentiment.
Conclusion
Dogecoin’s breakout from the descending triangle, supported by the weekly hidden RSI divergence, marks a bullish shift. With the immediate target at $0.2067 and further resistance at $0.2812 and $0.3305, DOGE could be set for a sustained upward move. Volume and market sentiment will be key to confirming the strength of this breakout.
DOGEUSDT in Accumulation PhaseDOGEUSDT recently dropped to a support level last tested in February, where the price saw a significant rally. Currently, the price has formed a false breakout below the 0.09500 support level and has since been moving sideways in an accumulation phase. Over the past week, the market has been forming a compression channel, which could lead to a breakout and a subsequent price move. Given the repeated rejections and bounces off the support level on the daily timeframe, there is a strong potential for an upward move. The price could break through the trendline and retest the resistance level, with the target set at 0.10700
Doge- Near an important breakSince hitting a high of 0.22 in April, Doge has been in a downtrend.
However, the chart shows that dips below 0.1 have consistently been bought, leading to strong reversals each time. The final phase of the downtrend is forming a falling wedge, which often signals a potential reversal.
For confirmation of an upward reversal, we need a clear breakout above resistance. If that happens, we can expect targets at 0.128 and 0.15 in extension.
DOGE Dogecoin Short Term Price TargetIf you haven`t bought DOGE before the previous major breakout:
nor sold the top:
Now looking at Dogecoin's chart, it appears to be attempting a breakout from a falling wedge pattern.
In my view, we’re likely to see an imminent breakout, or we may need to wait for the pattern to fully develop before the breakout occurs.
Either way, my price target remains $0.12.