DOGE → First Sell-off Complete! Another Push to the Downside?Dogecoin, along with the rest of the crypto market, had a severe bear response to Bitcoins completion of its measured move. Are we in for another leg down?
How do we trade this? 🤔
I don't think it's reasonable to short here, not yet at least. We need a little more recovery from the first sell-off toward the Resistance Zone at $0.0865. If we get a sell signal from that area, it's reasonable to short Doge on the Daily chart toward the initial support of $0.0675. Until then, it's best to wait on the sidelines for the RSI to come up, and the bears to recharge.
It may be a while before Doge recovers and heads to a new high in this trend. The macro-trend is bullish in the crypto market, so we should be cautious when capturing these bearish movements on altcoins.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $0.0835
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.0890
✅ Take Profit: $0.0725
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Channel Concluded with a Double Top Reversal.
2. Trend Changed to Trading Range then 1st Push Down.
3. Bounced off of 200EMA Support, wait for new Sell Signal.
4. RSI at 36.00 and below Moving Average. Bias to Short.
5. Wait for Sell Signal After Test of Resistance Area.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Channels are often concluded not with a strong reversal, but first a stall of the trend with a trading range. A reversal is likely if the trading range comes at the end of a three-leg trend.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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Dogeprice
DOGE → Hinting at a Drop! Are we going back to $0.05?Dogecoin is starting to show signs of converting to a trading range after a strong bull run. We have a potential double top reversal pattern playing out after three good pushes to the upside. Does that mean we're heading down?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Three pushes up, potential double top reversal pattern, RSI at 62.00 and below the Moving Average, these are the key data points that should bring us caution when the thought to long crosses our mind. What we're missing right now is a confirmation candle and a lower low to give us enough probability to enter a short scalp and maybe a partial swing.
A final sell signal at the Previous High of $0.10750 would be ideal, giving us enough range for a 1:3 Risk/Reward Ratio. Using my favorite approach, take half profits at $0.10 (1:1 Risk/Reward), move your stop loss up to your entry price, then swing the remainder to 1:3 Risk/Reward at $0.09.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $0.10500
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.11000
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.10000
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.09000
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
2. Three Pushes Up, Potential Double Top Reversal.
3. Could convert to Trading Range between $0.0875 and $0.10750.
4. RSI at 62.00 and below Moving Average. Bias to Short.
5. Bitcoin is running hot to the upside, risk of trend change.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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DOGE → Updated Double Top Analysis! Our First Target is $0.07?Doge is failing to retest the $0.1075 level and has instead meandered sideways in the $0.9500 range. Are we in a position to short here? Long? Or simply wait on the sidelines?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We need to wait. We are still in a bull channel which means our bias ought to be long, but we have several datapoints that counter that bias.
1. Three pushes up, a typical number of legs in a channel before the probability of trend change exceeds the probability that the trend will continue.
2. Double Top reversal signal. These can fail, but coupled with the three pushes, increases the probability of a trend change.
3. Bitcoin showing signs of trend change and as a leading market indicator may drag Doge down with it.
We need to wait for a break below the Weak Support line and the Support Zone. The break is the bear signal, then we need a retest of the Support Zone as resistance with a strong bear candle closing on or near its low to confirm the price can't make it back up. At this time, its reasonable to short a 1:3 Risk/Reward placing a protective stop just above the previous Support Zone. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward ($0.082 area), and final profits at 1:3 ($0.69 area). It's also reasonable to swing the latter half of your position beyond 1:3 R/R, until a proper buy signal appears.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: $0.84
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.89
✅ Take Profit: $0.69
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
2. Three Pushes Up, Double Top Reversal Intact.
3. Need to Break Weak Support and Support Zone to Short.
4. RSI at 46.00 and below Moving Average. Bias to Short.
5. Watch Bitcoin for trend change, may drag the market down.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trading against the trend carries a low probability of success, but a much higher reward with a low risk.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
DOGE → A Rip to $0.10! Will We Continue to $0.15 and Beyond?Dogecoin ripped through the $0.88 Resistance, found support on it, then blasted through the next resistance of $0.10! My previous analysis projected this outcome and successfully closed the proposed trade. Where does the Doge price go from here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We're now zooming out to the Weekly candles to see where the next Resistance Zone is and it appears to be in the $0.15 to $0.16 range. That's a 50% increase in price from where we are now! To take advantage of that range, we need to take a breath after those last few Daily bull candles and wait for a pullback.
This Weekly candle needs to close bull followed by a bar or two of sideways price action. It's reasonable to zoom into the Daily chart for more detail and I'll provide updates on that chart here as the days pass. Once a pullback is completed and we have the proper signs of continuation, it's reasonable to long again for another 1:3 Risk/Reward trade!
Look for strong bull channel support or the 30EMA once it catches up to the price. RSI is also at 74.00 which supports at least a pullback. Be very careful here as it wouldn't surprise me if we get a rapid sell-off in response to the rapid buy. Markets are about balance and right now, we're a bit out of balance.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.0990
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.08435
✅ Take Profit: $0.14300
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout of Bear Channel, Bias to Long!
2. Wait for Weekly Candle to Close Before Entering.
3. Test Bear Channel Support Means Higher Probability of Profit.
4. RSI at 74.00, Bias to Short.
5. Best to wait for pull back before entering.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
DOGE to $0.10!? A Long Setup for Maximum Profit!DOGE continues to march upwards in its month-long bull run and has its eye on $0.10! If you're not long yet, prepare yourself for a long entry that could return up to 50% profit. To get there, we need to assess our current risk/reward ratio and probability of profit.
How do we trade this?
In a bull channel, our bias should be toward the upside since the probability of profit is greater. That doesn't mean we long right now at $0.08, our Risk/Reward would be about 1:1. The better long entry is at the bottom of the bull channel around $0.75, which allows for a 1:3 Risk/Reward ratio if we target just shy of $0.09.
Not only does the price need to fall to $0.075, but we also need a strong bull signal and confirmation bar for a long entry. The signal bar will have a tail 1/3 to 1/2 the total bar size with the price closing on or near its high. The confirmation bar should be a strong bull bar closing on or near its high. This would be the safest long entry because it secures a higher probability that the price will continue to respect the bull channel.
Key Points
1. Bull Channel, Probability of Profit is greater to the upside. Always in Long.
2. Price in Center of Channel, wait for a pullback to enter long.
3. Bitcoin Leading Indicator, Risk of Pullback.
4. RSI around 50.00, wait for it to fall between 35 and 40 to long.
5. Wait for a Strong Buy Signal at $0.075
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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#Dogecoin Consolidates above Q3 lows, DOGE's Ceiling at $0.066Past Performance of Dogecoin
DOGE prices are trending above Q3 2022 highs at around $0.056. Amid an uneventful price action and hesitant traders waiting for a clear trend definition, bears remain firmly in contention despite slowing down the optimistic bulls. Thus far, the primary resistance, capping buyers' progress, is at $0.066, marking September and October 2022 highs.
#Dogecoin Technical Analysis
Overall, DOGE is under pressure. The rejection of lower lows and Dogecoin bulls soaking in the strong wave of bear pressure and keeping prices above $0.056 is a net positive. Nonetheless, until there is a sharp reversal from spot levels, ideally above $0.066, with expanding participation levels, traders can begin committing, fading the current trend. Conservative traders can wait for a clean break above $0.066 in a welcomed reversal or below $0.056. A rally may lift DOGE to August highs at $0.088, while sharp losses below September lows may twist buyers' hands, forcing the coin towards Q2 2022 lows at $0.050 in a bear trend continuation formation.
What to Expect from #DOGE?
DOGE has utility, and Elon Musk's support primarily shores its reputation. Also, the fact that it was one of the first meme coins and a favorite of most new investors is a massive boost. In the short term, how prices react at $0.056 and $0.066 will determine the coin's valuation.
Resistance level to watch out for: $0.066
Support level to watch out for: $0.056
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.