DOGEUSD entering its Parabolic Rally phase. Can it hit $2.00?More than a year ago (July 24 2023, see chart below), we published our long-term expectations and pattern for Dogecoin's (DOGEUSD) Bull Cycle:
As you can see, it filled our projection quite effectively as it extended the Accumulation Phase (blue). That was a phase which, as you can see, was present during both of its previous Cycles and after a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross and a subsequent hold of the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), it came out of a (dotted) Channel Down/ Bull Flag and entered its Parabolic Rally phase (green).
As far as timing of the Cycle Top is concerned, we have a very consistent pattern which suggests that it is priced just after the 3.0 Fibonacci Time extension from the bottom of the Bear Cycle. That was accurate for both of the January 01 2018 and April 26 2021 Cycle Tops. As a result, the Top of the current Cycle should be expected a little after August 04 2025, assuming the true bottom of the last Bear Cycle was on the week of October 03 2022 (just before the FTX crash).
But what about the actual Top in price terms, you might be wondering? Well the first two Cycle Highs (January 20 2014 and January 01 2018) were priced just below the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level. The next one (April 26 2021) was priced higher on the 1.0 Fib on a technical overextension as it was the Cycle where Dogecoin experienced its strongest adoption and awareness.
It would be difficult to repeat this feat this time, unless some news/ fundamentals introduce new uses/ adoption for Doge and the market reacts with very aggressive capital inflows. In this new overextension case, we may see $6.00.
But our proper Target for this Cycle always was and remains $2.00, which falls marginally below the 0.786 Fib, just like the Tops of the first two Cycles.
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Dogesignals
Doge- Near an important breakSince hitting a high of 0.22 in April, Doge has been in a downtrend.
However, the chart shows that dips below 0.1 have consistently been bought, leading to strong reversals each time. The final phase of the downtrend is forming a falling wedge, which often signals a potential reversal.
For confirmation of an upward reversal, we need a clear breakout above resistance. If that happens, we can expect targets at 0.128 and 0.15 in extension.
DOGEUSD No time left! If you want to BUY do it NOW!Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been filling out our July 24 2023 call (see chart below) with impressive precision so far as after 6 months of sideways trading within the Cycle's Accumulation Phase, it posted the Bull Flag that typically precedes the parabolic rally:
Technically this implies that there is little (if any) time left before DOGE starts its aggressive rally phase where traditionally it doesn't offer many opportunities to catch it. The Sine Waves that accurately grasp the Cycle's Top, show that the coin will be entering its Peak Phase at the start of next year and may last until May 2025.
In any event, back to today, with the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) holding this month, the Bull Flag is about to break upwards and our Target remains the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the Fib Channel at 2.000. An overextension Target for those who wish to leave some coins running, can be 6.000, right at the top of the pattern.
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DOGEUSD The time to buy aggressively is NOW!!Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has so far fulfilled our July 24 2023 call (see chart below) for 6 months of sideways trading and is about to get out of this Cycle's Accumulation Phase:
As you can see on this chart, the price action respected our Accumulation Phase boundaries strictly and is about to form a 1W MA50/MA100 Bullish Cross. When this Cross was formed on each of the previous 2 Cycles, Doge started a rally. In the case of 2020 it was almost instant. We are less than 3 weeks before completing 1050 days from the All Time High (ATH), which during the past 2 Cycles was a benchmark for the start of the Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle).
As a result, we are turning aggressively bullish on Doge, aiming at the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up at $2.000. That is a fair Target price but we believe that if the market makes an overextension, we can even see it reach as high as $6.000.
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DOGE 1HR → A Drop Before the Pop! Here's a Setup for Max Profit.Doge is currently marching forward in a bull channel showing the bears who's boss. Both the Daily and Hourly timeframes are bullish, but don't long yet! Within the 1HR bull channel is an ascending wedge pattern, a bearish signal. Does that mean we short?
How do we trade this?
Shorting in a bull channel is not ideal, there are more bull candles than bear, making the probability of profit greater for the bulls. We should let the ascending wedge pattern play out, and let the price fall near the bull channel support and bounce. If Doge gives us a strong bull signal and confirmation bars closing on or near their highs, it's reasonable to long. Place a protective stop below the bull channel support or 200EMA and set a take profit target near the previous high of $0.083.
Trade Idea
Long Entry : $0.0795
Stop Loss: $0.0775
Take Profit: $0.0835
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Key Takeaways
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
2. Ascending Wedge Within Bull Channel, Bearish Short-Term.
3. Wait for Bull Signal and Confirmation to Long off of Bull Channel Support.
4. Bitcoin Struggling to Break Weekly Resistance, a Market Leading Indicator.
5. RSI at 50.00 and below Moving Average, wait for a sign of support to Long.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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DOGE → To the Moon or Doom!? This Chart Makes It Clear.Dogecoin is currently sitting on Bull Channel Support, a moment we need to pay close attention to if we want to enter a trade and maximize our profits. If the price falls through, we should be looking to get short and a bounce means we ought to long.
How do we trade this?
If you're not in a trade right now, wait. We need to see not only a bull signal bar but a bull confirmation bar as well for optimal justification to enter a long. That means a bull bar closing on or near its high above the bull channel support. Long take profit targets could be the previous high of around $0.087 and the top of the bull channel of around $0.09. Stop loss should be just below the 200EMA.
To justify a short, we need to see a bear bar closing on or near its low below the bull channel support, preferably below the 200EMA. That would be our signal bar, the confirmation would be a follow-through bar closing on or near its low below the 200EMA. Reasonable take profits would be the previous support areas around $0.068 and $0.06. Stop loss just above the 200EMA.
Key Takeaways
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
2. Currently Testing Bull Channel Support.
3. Wait for Bull Signal and Confirmation to Long.
4. Bitcoin Struggling to Break Weekly Resistance, a Market Leading Indicator.
5. RSI at 42.00 and below Moving Average, wait for a sign of support to Long.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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Dogeusdt (doge)A good position to buy Dogecoin is the weekly triangle time frame. In the monthly period when the flag is formed. And we have reached the ultimate limit of Dogecoin compression. The probability of a very strong jump that is 70% likely to be an upward jump. This upward jump could take Dogecoin to one dollar. If the price closes below $0.05, this scenario will be incomplete and the same strength will be reversed. I give 30% chance that it will be bearish.
Dogecoin (DOGE.BTC) Dogecoin finally hit 0.1$ today after breaking 0.95$ with a 24 hour trading volume of 1.5 billion dollar. DOGE price is up 8% in the last 24 hours
0.0000045 was very important support level and 0.000007 is the next important resistance for doge bulls and good time to take profit as well
Dogecoin’s development activity, however, witnessed a massive spike over the last few days. This spike would suggest that the development team at Dogecoin made a lot of contributions to its GitHub repository. High development activity could suggest the possibility of new upgrades on Dogecoin’s ecosystem in the future
DOGEUSDT hit our target and broke above the 1D MA200! What next?*** ***
For this particular analysis on Dogecoin we are using the DOGEUSDT symbol on the OKX exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D time-frame where DOGE finally hit our 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) medium-term target which we set after spotting the RSI Bullish Divergence as outlined on our October 04 idea below:
As you see the massive pump, fueled by the Musk-Twitter news, broke rapidly above Resistance 1 and hit the 1D MA200 for the first time since November 09 2021! The final Resistance (2) is at 0.0900 on the August 16 (Lower) High. This happens to be now exactly on the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term Channel Down pattern that dictates the Bear Cycle since mid May 2021.
With the 1D RIS vastly overbought above the 80.000 mark, though not necessary when fundamentals and news dominate the price action, it is reasonable to see profit taking and a relief pull-back. Could be as low as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) itself, which if DOGEUSD is starting a new Bull Cycle, will be the Support line.
In our view, we should wait for the price to break and close above the 1D MA300 (red trend-line), which was previously the Support of the Bull Cycle, up until November 18 2021, and hasn't been touched every since. This is basically the last barrier before the price technically seeks the upper Fibonacci extensions of the Channel at 1.382, 1.5, 1.618 and finally 2.0.
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DOGEUSDT Broke above the 1D MA50. Is the MA200 next?*** ***
For this particular analysis on Dogecoin we are using the DOGEUSDT symbol on the OKX exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D time-frame where DOGE broke today above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since September 24. The Twitter - Musk news certainly weigh on the price but as always the important developments lie in the technicals. We have decided that for a better understanding, it is best to show the longer term picture of Dogecoin which as you see since its May 2021 market top, it has been within a Channel Down pattern.
Right now the price is above its middle (0.5 Fibonacci) but it is critical to note that since late August, while the price was on Lower Lows, the 1D RSI has been on Higher Lows, i.e. there has been a Bullish Divergence. As you see, this worked in favor of the price that broke out today. It is best to view this rise a step at a time and target the upper Resistance levels involved, with the ultimate medium-term target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
As you see this could replicate the rise to the April 05 High that was rejected on the 1D MA200 and the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, so we can't yet call for a long-term trade until we get a closing outside that pattern.
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DOGEUSD Critical 1D MA50 test*** ***
For this particular analysis on DOGEwe are using the DOGEUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange.
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The idea is on the 1D time-frame where Doge has been trading within a Channel Down since mid-May 2021. The median of the Channel plays a key role on this pattern as it distinguishes the formation into a Buy and a Sell Band, with the former being the bottom part where buying is a more optimal choice and the latter being the top part where selling is advised. Remarkably, the price has been mostly trading in the Sell Band but since May 11 it dropped aggressively and stayed in the Buy Band.
The recent 1 week rally though has brought the price just below the Channel's median and right on a critical 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test. The 1D MA50 is important because every time the price broke above it, Doge reached as high as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The 1D MA200 is currently just below the Channel's top (Lower Highs trend-line) so keep an eye for a candle closing above it, which will be a break-out buy signal near the 1D MA200. The 1D MACD is printing a similar sequence and the June-July 2021 pattern which was the previous Lower Low of the Channel and after breaking the 1D MA50, it almost hit its top.
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DOGEUSD The 1W RSI hit the cyclical Buy Zone!!Dogecoin has been correcting on Lower Highs and Lower Lows ever since the May 2021 All Time High (ATH). Trading below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for 3.5 months, it is obvious that this was its new Bear Cycle. The first indicator though that this may be coming to an end has just flashed.
That is the 1W RSI which entered its Support Zone of 38.000 - 33.000 for the first time since the COVID fueled March 2020 market crash. As this chart shows, every time the RSI hit that Zone, DOGE rebounded and in April 2015 and January 2019 in particular, that was the bottom of those Bear Cycles.
The last Bear Cycle bottom though was made almost on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and marginally below the 1.0 Fibonacci level. Right now the 1W MA200 is at 0.06387 and rising, but the 2.0 is below that already (0.05530). If the current Cycle bottoms upon completing a -90% correction as in 2019, then the bottom should be around 0.0700. Unless Doge drops that much in the next 2-3 months, it is likely that the 1W MA200 will be higher than that, so it will invalidate this cyclical pattern. As a result, since the 1W RSI flashed the first long-term buy signal, investors could start accumulating Doge now and depending on one's risk tolerance add again upon contact with the 1W MA200.
As for the next High, if the plus one .618 Fibonacci extension sequence continues, then the Top of the next Bull Cycle should be above the 3.618 Fib extension i.e. above $9.50. It is obvious that the risk/ reward ratio from the current levels is great and the buy signal that the 1W RSI just flushed, more than good enough to take.
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dogeusdtHI friends.
Everything on the chart.
maybe the Double Bottom pattern is taking shape
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DOGEPERP 1HOURLY NEAR FUTURE PREDICIONSTechnical Analysis Summary
DOGE /USDT
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 2 trends (1 upward (green) and another downward (red) ) creating a triangle formation)
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
Techicals analysis can only predict move ahead
First Scenario
We can either continue going up and break the down trend and hit our first resistanse level 0.284572 (In Red) and start the reversal downward.
Second Scinario
We start moving downward and break the up trend to reach the support levels (0.203440) or greedier level (0.19685) and start reversal upward.
I use the momentum indicator only as a additive to my trading but i dont base my trades on it.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
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Exercise Proper Risk Management
DOGEUSDT Technical Analysis⏳ Spot
💎 DOGEUSDT has broken above the descending channel and the symmetrical triangle. After the rejection from the resistance and the retest it is expected that it continues to go higher.
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🎳 Entry at Market or at 0.2480 - 0.2590
☕️ TP1 0.2800
🍺 TP2 0.3110
🍻 TP3 0.3430
🍾 TP4 0.3815
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🚫 SL 0.2230
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DOGEUSDT Has Formed a Bullish Flag, Wait for the Breakout
Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
Hi Traders, DOGEUSDT on H4 has made a Bullish Flag which after breakout is the sign of Bullish trend. If we get a breakout above the resistance on the lower TF we can look for entrt.
⬆️Buy at Resistance Breakout or Buy at 0.185
⭕️SL @ 0.147
✅TP1 @ 0.255
✅TP2 @ 0.318
✅TP3 @ 0.399
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If the price breaks this wedge, the doge could fly away!🤑🚀After a recent attempt to update its local high, the Dogecoin has corrected by 13%, now Dogecoin locally formed a wedge pattern. If the price continues to trade in it and presses to the upper boundary, the wedge may be broken and the price will go up. The best entry point into the position may be in the event of a squeeze, a breakout, and a test as support for the upper boundary of the wedge.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade