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Opportunities Arise from Dollar WeaknessSince the dollar peaked in 2022, it has declined by 24%. Such a decline may not seem significant for a stock, it’s a different story when it comes to currencies, especially a reserve currency for USD. US purchasing power has dropped by a quarter, meaning they will now have to pay 24% more for imports from EU. However, the decline in the USD also presents opportunities in other markets. Mirco EUR/USD Futures Ticker: M6E Minimum fluctuation: 0.0001 per euro = $1.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
CME:6E1!Long
by konhow
1
DXY strengthens but can it break THIS key level?The US dollar has gained ground this week, with the Dollar Index rising to retest the previously broken April low near the 97.92 level—an important technical zone. The short-term bias would flip to being bullish if this area breaks. The greenback’s strength has been underpinned in part by unexpectedly strong economic data. For instance, Thursday’s weekly jobless claims came in at 227,000, below the forecast of 235,000. This marks the fourth consecutive weekly decline and the lowest reading in seven weeks, reinforcing the view that the US labour market remains tighter than anticipated. Adding to this backdrop are President Trump’s threats of higher tariffs and expansive fiscal plans—described as “big, beautiful” spending and tax initiatives. These factors increase the risk of more persistent inflation. While the Federal Reserve is still widely expected to initiate rate cuts in September, the rising inflationary pressures could slow the pace of easing thereafter. This shift would likely provide support for the dollar so long as investors don't lose trust in US monetary policy. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
TVC:DXYLong
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY Possible Bear Scenario🔍 Analysis Summary: USDJPY has failed to close above 146.1 on the weekly for the past 13 candles, showing clear signs of price exhaustion at this level. Price has also tapped into a marked 8HR bearish order block and printed a Daily Pin Bar — a strong reversal signal indicating potential downside. 📍Key Technicals:     •    Resistance Holding: 146.1–146.6 zone     •    Bearish Rejection: Pin Bar off resistance + order block     •    Risk Area (Stop Zone): Above 147.16     •    Target Zones: 144.2 (interim) → 142.4 (swing level) 🛠 Confluence:     •    Order block rejection     •    Multi-week resistance     •    Clean structure with defined R:R     •    Bearish candlestick confirmation 📊 Timeframe: 8HR 📉 Bias: Short 🔐 Risk Management: Proper stop loss in place above structure. Use personal risk limits. ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Always conduct your own analysis and use risk management based on your personal trading plan.
by SlattYSL
"DXY Bullish Setup – High Probability Trade!"🚨 "DXY DOLLAR BANK HEIST" – THIEF TRADING STYLE MASTER PLAN (HIGH-IMPACT TRADE ALERT!) 🔥 "Steal the Market Like a Pro – This DXY Heist Could Print Serious Cash!" 🔥 🌍 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌍 🤑 "Money isn’t made… it’s TAKEN!" 💰💸 Based on the 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥 (a lethal mix of technical + fundamental + psychological warfare), we're executing a DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist—a high-stakes robbery where YOU get to keep the loot! 📜 THE HEIST BLUEPRINT (TRADE PLAN) 🎯 ENTRY ZONE – "BREAK THE VAULT DOOR!" 📍Key Trigger: Wait for price to SMASH through the Moving Average Wall (97.700) – then STRIKE! 🔪 Thief’s Entry Trick: Buy Stop Orders above MA (aggressive) Buy Limit Orders near recent swing low (smart pullback play) DCA/Layering Strategy for max profit extraction (real robbers scale in!) 🚨 ALERT SETUP: "Don’t miss the breakout – set an ALARM!" ⏰ 🛑 STOP LOSS – "DON’T GET CAUGHT!" "Yo, rookie! If you’re entering on a breakout, WAIT for confirmation before placing SL!" 📍Thief’s SL Zone: 97.400 (30min swing low – adjust based on your risk appetite!) ⚠️ WARNING: "Place it wrong, and the cops (market) will lock YOU up!" 🚔 🎯 TARGET – "ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT!" 🏆 Primary Target: 98.350 (Take profits before the resistance police show up!) 🔄 Scalper’s Bonus: "Trail your SL, squeeze every pip!" 💡 Pro Tip: "If you’re underfunded, ride with the swing traders – teamwork makes the dream work!" 💣 WHY THIS HEIST WILL WORK (MARKET DYNAMICS) ✅ Bullish Momentum Building (DXY showing strength!) ✅ Overbought? Maybe… but thieves don’t wait for permission! ✅ Trend Reversal Potential (Big money shifting!) ✅ Police (Resistance) Trap Ahead (Escape before they catch you!) 📡 NEWS & RISK MANAGEMENT (DON’T GET BUSTED!) 🚨 High-Impact News? AVOID new trades! (Use trailing stops to lock profits!) 📊 Check COT Reports, Macro Data, Geopolitics (Smart thieves do their homework!) 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST – LET’S GET RICH TOGETHER! 👊 "Hit the LIKE & BOOST button to fuel our next heist!" 💖 "More boosts = More robberies = More FREE money for YOU!" 🚀 ⚠️ DISCLAIMER (LEGAL SPEAK) "This ain’t financial advice – just a damn good robbery plan. Trade at your own risk, and don’t cry if you ignore the SL!" 😎 🔔 Stay tuned for the next heist… The market’s our playground! 🏴‍☠️💰 🚀 "See you at the next breakout, thief!" 🚀 🔥 #DXY #Forex #Trading #BankHeist #ThiefTrading #ProfitPirates #MakeMoney #TradingView #SmartMoney 🔥
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by Thief_Trader
AUDUSD 4H: Sell Zone Confirmed📉 AUDUSD Analysis – Current Trend & Trade Opportunity Hello Traders, I’ve prepared an updated analysis for the AUDUSD pair. At the moment, AUDUSD has shifted out of its previous bullish structure and has now entered a bearish trend. Based on this shift, I’m planning to enter a limit sell trade at the level shared below: 🔹 Limit Sell Entry: 0.65232 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.65576 🔹 Targets: • TP1: 0.64591 • TP2: 0.64591 • TP3: 0.63738 🔸 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.27 Considering the trend reversal, I’m looking to open a position from these levels. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Short
by TraderTilki
6
Dollar Index Analysis – Trump, Hegemony & a Dangerous Disconnect🇺🇸💣 Dollar Index Analysis – Trump, Hegemony & a Dangerous Disconnect 📉⚠️ Hey Traders, FXPROFESSOR here with a deep-dive update on the Dollar Index (DXY) – and this one hits both technicals and macro geopolitics. 🧠 Macro Context: For decades, the U.S. strategically outsourced much of its basic manufacturing capacity to China—everything from screws, cables, plastics, and circuit boards. This freed America to focus on high-margin sectors like technology, finance, and defense innovation. But this efficiency came at a cost: dependency. You can't be the military and economic hegemon of the world if you don’t manufacture your own basic components. That’s the foundation of hard power—and Trump understands this well. 🔁 Now Trump is trying to reverse that. He knows America can’t win long-term without reclaiming production and export competitiveness – and a strong dollar kills that dream. So what’s the play? ✅ Trump brings the volatility ✅ Fed stays cautious ✅ Dollar weakens... but without actual rate cuts That’s the scary part 👇 📉 💵 Dollar Strength vs. Treasury Stress This is also why the U.S. Treasury market is under stress. If the U.S. wants to rebuild domestic production, reduce trade deficits, and support massive fiscal spending, it needs to weaken the dollar and attract internal capital—not depend on foreign buyers of debt. A strong dollar = trade imbalance, hollowed industry, and rising debt service costs. A normalized dollar = controlled exports, internal manufacturing, and a potential realignment of global capital flows. 📉 The Chart: "The Year of the Normalized Dollar" 🟡 This is a continuation of the same chart I published over a year ago. Key Rejection Zone: 100.965 (former support, now resistance) Current Trajectory: Approaching my long-held target at 94.677 Macro Message: The dollar is dropping without a Fed pivot Worrying Signal: If we hit major support while the Fed stays tight... the entire market may need to reprice expectations. That could shake equities and crypto alike. 🧊 This is not a clean-cut dollar short anymore . It’s already priced in, and that’s why I’m spooked. 🧭 What I’m Watching: Will Trump’s trade war accelerate this move? Will Powell finally cut in September—or double down? Will the support at 94.5 hold, or break and open a much larger macro shift? This chart is no longer just technical. It’s political. It’s strategic. It’s a chessboard for hegemony. 🎥 FULL 20-min video breakdown is now live! I cover DXY, Bitcoin, tech stocks, gold, silver, DAX, BTC.D and much more Watch it if you want the full map of what I’m thinking this week. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TVC:DXY
by FX_Professor
2
BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL - Markets are Ready to PUMP Again! At the 4th of July, the Independence Day, the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" was signed into law by President Trump. In this idea I want to take a closer look at some points of this law and explain why I consider it VERY bullish for most of financial markets, and especially for crypto. Here are some key points of the law: Raises the U.S. debt ceiling by $5 trillion, the largest single increase in U.S. history Makes many Trump-era 2017 tax cuts permanent: keeps lower individual tax rates, preserves expanded standard deduction, retains corporate tax rate at 21% Introduces new tax breaks: increases Child Tax Credit, exempts tips, overtime, and Social Security from federal income tax (with limitations) Adds ~$150 billion to defense and another $150 billion toward border enforcement, including massive ICE budget increase Trims SNAP food aid by ~$186–200 billion, tightening eligibility (e.g. raising work‑requirement age) What changes can happen in the economy? Big tax breaks combined with increased expenses cause the growth of financial deficit, the projected by CBO deficit can reach $3 trillion. In this situation the only solution is increasing the national debt which makes Interest Rates climb higher (Yale’s Budget Lab forecasts a 1.2 pp increase in the 10‑year yield). Why do I think this is bullish for most of stocks and mainly for crypto? The increase of debt ceiling has always had a positive impact on the crypto and namely on $BTC. The best example is Fiscal Responsibility Act that was signed back in June 5, 2023. This act increased the debt ceiling for +$4.7 billion, after that Bitcoin surged upwards from $25,000 to $75,000 in ~half a year. Similar outcome can be expected now too. Market perceives U.S. fiscal loosening as inflationary and dollar-weakening, making Bitcoin (as a decentralized and limited-supply asset) more attractive. TVC:DXY has already shown signs of weakness. Large deficits often force future monetary easing or Fed bond buying to absorb debt. Lower interest rates and more liquidity are historically bullish for risk assets, including crypto. Rising yields and bond sell-offs spook traditional markets. In this situation, Bitcoin becomes an attractive uncorrelated hedge for portfolios amid volatility in traditional assets. To sum up , I believe the Big Beautiful Law is, to put it mildly, not good for US economy. However, local effects on stock & crypto markets can be considered positive for investors & traders. With this said, I believe we can expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC to reach $150,000 goal this year and mark this milestone as an ATH for the current bull cycle.
BNC:BLXLong
by RobertMercer
Gold Weekly Recap – Week 27 (30 Jun – 04 Jul)🟡 XAUUSD | MJTrading Overview Gold (XAUUSD) staged a significant recovery this week after retesting a critical support zone. Price action reflected strong buying interest at lower levels, followed by consolidation near mid-range resistance. 🔹 Key Levels: Strong Support Zone: 3,246 – 3,250 Weekly Low: 3,246.35 (30 June) Weekly High: 3,365.77 (3 July) Closing Price: ~3,343 🔹 Price Action Summary: ✅ Early Week Retest & Reversal After the prior week’s decline, gold opened the week near the major support area around 3,246. This zone acted as a strong demand pocket, triggering a swift rejection and initiating a bullish reversal. ✅ Sustained Rally to Resistance Price climbed steadily, riding the 15-period EMA to reach the weekly high of 3,365.77 on 3 July. This move represented a nearly 4% recovery off the lows, fueled by renewed safe-haven flows and short covering. ✅ Midweek Consolidation Following the rally, gold entered a sideways consolidation phase between 3,340 and 3,365. EMA flattening reflected a pause in momentum as traders assessed the next directional catalyst. ✅ Late-Week Pullback Toward the end of the week, price tested the 3,310–3,320 area before modestly bouncing into the Friday close. Overall, the market maintained a cautiously bullish tone while holding above the prior support. 🔹 Technical Perspective: 🔸 Bias: Cautiously Bullish Price defended the strong support and printed a higher low structure. Sustained closes above 3,300 maintain the bullish outlook. 🔸 Near-Term Resistance: 3,365–3,390 remains the immediate supply zone to monitor for breakout attempts. 🔸 Key Support: The 3,246–3,250 area continues to be the primary downside line in the sand. 🔹 Special Note – 4th July US Bank Holiday Trading volumes were notably lighter on Thursday, 4th July, due to the US Independence Day holiday. This contributed to reduced liquidity and muted volatility, with many traders and institutions off desks. The thinner market conditions likely influenced the late-week pullback and consolidation, as participation was limited heading into the weekend. 🔹 Sentiment & Outlook The decisive rebound from support suggests that buyers are defending value zones aggressively. However, failure to close the week above 3,365 leaves gold vulnerable to another retest of mid-range levels if fresh catalysts don’t emerge. Traders should watch for: A clean breakout above 3,365 to confirm continuation higher. Any sustained weakness below 3,300 as a signal of fading bullish momentum. 🧭 Next Week’s Focus: Monitoring whether the consolidation evolves into accumulation or distribution. Watching for a breakout or deeper pullback Reactions to upcoming economic data EMA alignment: If the 15 EMA continues to track above the 60 EMA, it supports a bullish bias. Chart Notes: The main chart highlights this week’s action, while the inset provides a fortnight overview of the broader decline and recovery for context. Thank you for your time and your support... 🚀🚀Boost it if you like it (Thanks)🚀🚀 #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #Forex #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingRecap #MJTrading #GoldForecast #MarketReview #WeeklyRecap #TradingView
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
2
DXY (Dollar Index) longs to shortsThe dollar has been bearish for several weeks, but we’re now starting to see signs of a potential retracement due to price being in oversold territory. Last week, DXY reacted from a key weekly demand level, suggesting that we could see some short-term bullish movement before any continuation to the downside. I’ll be watching closely for price to either push higher into liquidity or retrace slightly deeper into more discounted demand zones for a cleaner long setup. This would also align with my short setups across other major pairs, making DXY strength a key narrative this week. Confluences for DXY Longs: DXY has been bearish for an extended period — now showing signs of accumulation on higher timeframes Price may retrace upwards to collect liquidity before continuing its macro downtrend Recently reacted from a major weekly demand zone Imbalances and liquidity above, including Asia highs, remain untapped P.S. If price fails to react from any of my current POIs, I’ll patiently wait for new zones to develop and adjust accordingly — always staying aligned with what price tells us. Let’s stay sharp and crush the week ahead!
TVC:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
BTC vs DXY – Macro Setup at a Crossroads Looking at BTC and DXY on the weekly, we’ve seen 3 key periods so far. In the first two, the pattern was clear: BTC went up, DXY went down. Now we’re in the third period: what’s next? 👉 Has the move already played out? 👉 Is it happening now? 👉 Has DXY bottomed and BTC topped, or will DXY go lower while BTC climbs? Macro conditions may help guide us. BTC looks strong — supported by ETF inflows, on-chain strength, and institutional demand. DXY looks weak — with softer economic data and rising expectations for rate cuts. In my view, tariffs are likely to weigh heavier on DXY than BTC, favoring more upside for BTC. The recent Big Beautiful Bill could also add fuel to BTC while adding pressure on DXY. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
Long
by vagada
Get Ready! Hot Air Rises. Fartcoin About To Break Wind.Trading Fam, Our national debt is a meme. The buying power of our dollar is a meme. Our monetary system is a meme. The Fed is a ponzi scheme and a meme. Everything related to geopolitical economics has become a meme. We can't take any of this stuff seriously anymore. So, why not make a profit on the best memes of the day? Enter pungeant FARTCOIN. AI-created and managed, FARTCOIN is cutting loose with no reservations. And it looks like it is about to break wind again. They say hot air rises. Let's see how far this stink can go. Let her rip! Stew
Long
by stewdamus
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 3, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Rate 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services PMI The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded with a slight positive bias against the bearish US Dollar (USD) during the Asian session on Thursday and remains near the near one-month peak reached earlier this week. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hesitation to hike rates, investors seem convinced that the central bank will remain on the path of normalizing monetary policy amid rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the stance of other major central banks (including the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)), which are leaning towards a softer approach, and is favorable for lower JPY yields. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump hinted at a possible end to trade talks with Japan, and also threatened new tariffs against Japan over its perceived reluctance to buy American-grown rice. This, along with the overall positive tone towards risk, is a headwind for the safe-haven yen. In addition, traders seem reluctant and prefer to take a wait-and-see approach ahead of today's release of the closely watched US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. The crucial data will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar (USD) and will give a significant boost to the USD/JPY pair. Trade recommendation: BUY 144.00, SL 143.00, TP 145.40
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004