Dollar-index
Dollar Index Daily ChartThe dollar index on the daily chart you can see that we are now in a key area where it is testing resistance from February and November 2015, due to recent results from the US raising interest rates this has caused concern for investors and we have seen a big sell off, I believe we may see a big sell off again after the pullback to 99.26 0.382 fib or even gain strength and break back through the 0.236 fib at 101.00 and then break resistance as shown in the chart.
Forecast dollar-index (DXY) for this weekDXY is in a bearish channel since dec 20.
Expect a breakout of the channel this week (move up).
After move up expect a quick surge down to take out the stops at 99.40
Or vise versa: take stops, then surge up. Update tomorrow.
Moves most probably on Wed (Fed Interest Rate Decision) and on Fri (NFP)
DXY - The rocket launch of DOLLAR.I think we are seeing a real shift on geoeconomy. Follow the evidences:
- FED promises THREE rate hikes this year
- The change of the geopolitics towards a USA-Russia simbionse
- "Economic emancipation" of China. (The nationalization of the world's mass industry).
- The End of BRICS (as we know it).
- The maturation of Euroland and Asian Tigers.
- Rejection of globalism in East Europe.
- Rising rejection of globalism in South America (which was the sino-russian reign for decades).
- At last but not the least: Donald Trump.
Place your bets!
US Dollar IndexUS Dollar getting ready for the next big move to the upside. It has been in a uptrend since May of this year, last big move happened after election day retesting the 50EMA, breaking the resistance trend line and 100.25 resistance that has also been resistance since March of 2015.
Then found resistance on 102.00 for a pullback since election day. It already broke out of the 1H downtrend resistance and now retesting it. My goal is not to tell you the entry points, since every single individual is different and entries varies. But pay close attention to the market (Especially EURUSD) to start 2017 in the best way possible :)
Any idea, constructive criticism, addition or disagreement are welcome.
Dollar index (DXY) 2016-2017 Analysis: Wave 4 correction is due.Talking Points:
DXY Technical Strategy: Keeping bullish outlook but temporary correction due
Elliottwave Count: Nested impulsive count, wave 4 correction is due
Analysis
DXY (Dollar Index) is trading impulsive in post election session and able to break channel resistance. We were calling reversal from 19-Aug-2016 and looking for 100 levels during August month. Current count is suggesting more upside towards 103 and above. However, we are expecting small set back of this impulsive rally as part of wave 4, we were seeing small correction in shorter time frame but that is still too shallow.
Action
As We are expecting small set back to re-test channel support, we are looking to re-initiate our long position on dollar basket, i.e. we are looking to sell EUR/USD (Euro / US dollar), NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar), Crude Oil, etc.
-- By HoagTrading.com (@Hoagtrading)