DXY correction playing outThe correction on USD index is playing out - we're headed for the bottom of this ascending wedge - Breaking it will be bullish for stocks and crypto - We need to see what will happen there.
If we break it - likely target is marked on the chart.
I remain neutral and will keep monitoring it.
Dollar-index
DXY's Fall will be brutal
Lets take a look at the USD Index DXY
Its been forming a hell of a bear flag all the way since 2008 and we're now in the final moments of reaching its top.
Right now the 5th wave of C looks like an ending diagonal (yellow) count where the 5th wave gets extended forming a broadening wedge top formation.
Once that breaks the game is on for lower.
DXY should turn before 112.943 (so that orange w3 is not the shortest within the parent wave)
In order to keep this idea valid DXY may not exceep 2.618 of AB @ 117.56 / local 1.886 @ 117.70 confluence
DXY - USD DOLLAR LOOKING BEARISHThe Dollar Index has been on a run lately. Today we are looking at the Dollar Index (DXY) on the 10day (!) chart.
There are a few signs occuring that seem bearish to me and a indication of downside price action. How low? Nobody knows.
When the dollar will drop all other assets like risk assets and currency's will go up. This should result in a short lived (few months) relief rally.
After that, the most probably outcome, will be the money going back to the world reserve currency: the dollar and it can continue it upwards move.
For now, it seems like it needs to catch a break and get some air.
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(US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX) A DETERMINANT OF THE DOLLAR VALUEA thesis on the potential value of the dollar for this coming two weeks.
Price may have some more room to push down meaning a further fall in the value of the dollar.
Eventually after the target zone is hit, price may the trendline indicating the major bullish run or
price could respect it structural zone 104.00 area before any significant push upward.
Either way, there's room for a push up on XXX-USD pair and push down on USD-XXX pairs before the
major continuation
DXY D1 - Long term DXY Bull trend. DXY D1
Still working from these higher timeframes, the trends are very evident, we can't help but notice the higher structure HL's/HH's.
We have a sequence of earnings figures for US stocks and this has a knock on effect with the DXY and XAU. Fuelled by FED rate and FOMC comments... We have seen dollar pullback.
However, things data points and risk headlines are still in the backing of a USD dollar, and even with these corrections seen not directly correlating with data release... We are still holding structure. If 105.000 breaks, this could be the pivot.
Dollar Index Bull ContinuationsDXY H4
As long as we are still trading north of this last area of H4 demand, we can look to catch dollar bid, GBPUSD shorts from 1.20 specifically is on the horizon.
Weekend volume causing that bit of chop we see, but hopefully this double bottom structure we see may see dollar reverse and continue it's bullish trend.
The dollar taking a Dip(Breather)?Technical : Firstly we saw the dollar rally at the beginning of the current weeek, reaching resistance, later it dipped(Trend Continuation to the downside). NY OPen saw price at the buttom of structure, then followed by a consolidation(Price pause into Equilibrium).
At 50% EQ , a multi session resistance gets hit. following that we saw price gets to multi session lows and trades below those levels.
There!!, Price seems to be targeting liquidity. further beneath that zone as price.
Dollar Index Corrections Almost Finished?DXY H4
We have been pretty spot on with the dollar performance, marrying up correlation fundamentally and technically. Refer to the FX technical rundown for more information.
This has really helped identify handles to trade from amongst other USD related pairs, especially cable.
DXY 1D FORCASTThe price should approach its trend line; It has come a long way. And you also see rsi divergence. If this trend line breaks with a steep slope, it can return to its original trend line. So maybe this week the Fed will give up its policies a little and the dollar index will calm down a little. But this peace is temporary. In the next weeks, it can reach 117-120.
Good luck ;)
Bitcoin: Crypto Crisis ComingGreetings to all.
I post my first idea on TradingView.
At this point in time, the price of bitcoin continues to disappoint its investors, down more than seventy-five percent from its high it was in 2021. On the other hand, this decline begins to increase investment interest in this asset from the financial world.
On the weekly chart, we are approaching the beginning of a death cross, which is a pattern that indicates the possibility of a significant drop in the price of an asset. This assumption is confirmed by the continuation of the formation of corrective wave C, which began in November 2021.
I believe that in the short term there will be a bounce to the region of $25,000, and then we will continue to move in a downtrend to $14,000 per 1 bitcoin. In this area, I plan to start buying shares of crypto mining companies for the long term.
Disclosure: This article may not take into account all the risks and catalysts of the assets described in it. Any part of this analytical article is provided for informational purposes only, does not constitute an individual investment recommendation, investment idea, advice, offer to buy or sell securities, or other financial instruments. The completeness and accuracy of the information in the analytical article are not guaranteed. If any fundamental/technical criteria or events change in the future, I do not assume any obligation to update this article.
DOLLAR INDEX [DXY] ANALYSIS We have a very strong uptrend on the Dollar Index. And for now, price is yet to be clear. We will be patient to see what the market offers us. W can see price close above a level of resistance and we see a pullback which might lead price upwards more or we see a push downwards. Overall, we keep an open mind and digest market information,
TIP: Listen to the Market.