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XAUUSD WEEKLY WRAP UP This week, Gold (XAU/USD) continued its upward trajectory, achieving a sixth consecutive weekly gain. The metal reached a new record high above $2,880, reflecting sustained bullish momentum. Key Influencing Factors: Federal Reserve Commentary: Remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell contributed to market optimism, supporting the rally in gold prices. Technical Levels: Gold approached the significant psychological level of $3,000 per ounce, with analysts suggesting that surpassing this threshold could be a potential game-changer for the metal. Outlook: The market's focus is now on upcoming U.S. economic data, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which could serve as a catalyst for further price movements. A higher-than-expected CPI reading may bolster expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve, potentially exerting downward pressure on gold. Conversely, a softer CPI could support continued gains in gold prices. Traders are advised to monitor these developments closely, as they will play a crucial role in shaping gold's trajectory in the near term. FOLLOW US BOOST US FOR MORE MARKET RELATED NEWS ANALYSIS AND UPDATES
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
NFP LESS THAN EXPECTED. KEY LEVELS TO WATCHThe U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Changed By 143,000 In January, Compared With Expectations Of 175,000 And A Previous Value Of 256,000 KEY LEVELS. We expect a rise in xauusd value to 2894 . 2869 2874 2883 2889 2894 2910 Alternative scenario if 2860 is broken it may fall to 2855 and 2840 can act as a strong support. the ultimate support for current scenario is 2833. follow us for further updates boost us so that we can reach more people
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
3
"Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup with 2,888–2,900 Target"This chart shows a bullish structure in gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a rounding bottom pattern forming. Multiple break-of-structure (BOS) and change-of-character (ChoCH) points indicate a continuation of the uptrend. The price is currently consolidating near resistance, with a potential breakout targeting the 2,888–2,900 zone. If the weak high is broken, momentum could push higher. Support zones are visible around 2,840 and lower in case of a pullback. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Surging Dollar Spurs Jump in Corporate FX HedgingThe relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is sending ripples of concern through the global economy, and businesses are taking notice. Faced with a strengthening greenback, corporations are increasingly turning to foreign exchange (FX) hedging strategies to mitigate the impact of currency fluctuations on their bottom lines. This surge in hedging activity reflects a growing awareness of the risks associated with currency volatility and a proactive approach to protecting profits in an increasingly uncertain global landscape. The Dollar's Dominance The U.S. dollar has been on a tear, appreciating significantly against a basket of other major currencies. This surge is driven by a confluence of factors, including the Federal Reserve's hawkish monetary policy, safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, and the relative strength of the U.S. economy. While a strong dollar can have some benefits, such as lower import costs, it also poses significant challenges for multinational corporations.1 Impact on Corporate Earnings For companies that generate revenue in foreign currencies but report earnings in U.S. dollars, a strong dollar can create a significant headwind. When foreign revenues are converted back into dollars, they are worth less than they were before the dollar's appreciation. This can lead to lower reported earnings, even if the company's underlying business performance remains strong. Conversely, companies that import goods priced in dollars but sell them in other currencies see their profit margins squeezed as their input costs rise. The Hedging Imperative In this environment of heightened currency risk, FX hedging has become a crucial tool for corporations.2 Hedging involves using financial instruments, such as forward contracts, options, or swaps, to lock in exchange rates for future transactions.3 This allows companies to insulate themselves from adverse currency movements and provides greater certainty about their future cash flows and earnings.4 Surge in Hedging Activity Market data suggests a significant uptick in corporate FX hedging activity. Treasurers and finance departments are increasingly prioritizing currency risk management, recognizing that even small fluctuations in exchange rates can have a material impact on their financial results. This increased focus on hedging is driven by several factors: • Heightened Volatility: The dollar's rapid appreciation has created significant volatility in currency markets, making it more difficult for companies to predict future exchange rates. This uncertainty underscores the need for hedging strategies to protect against unexpected currency swings. • Earnings Protection: As mentioned earlier, a strong dollar can erode corporate earnings. Hedging allows companies to mitigate this risk and ensure that their financial performance is not unduly impacted by currency fluctuations.5 • Strategic Planning: Hedging provides greater predictability in cash flows, which is essential for strategic planning and investment decisions.6 By locking in exchange rates, companies can make more informed decisions about future investments and expansion plans.7 • Shareholder Expectations: Investors are increasingly scrutinizing companies' currency risk management practices. Companies that proactively hedge against currency risks are often seen as more prudent and better managed, which can be a positive factor for investor confidence. Types of Hedging Strategies Companies employ a variety of hedging strategies depending on their specific needs and risk tolerance.8 Some common approaches include: • Forward Contracts: These contracts obligate a company to buy or sell a specific amount of currency at a predetermined exchange rate on a future date.9 This is a straightforward way to lock in exchange rates for future transactions. • Options: Currency options give a company the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell currency at a specific price on or before a certain date.10 Options provide flexibility and allow companies to benefit from favorable currency movements while limiting their downside risk.11 • Currency Swaps: These agreements involve exchanging principal and/or interest payments in one currency for those in another currency.12 Swaps can be used to manage currency risk associated with long-term debt or investments.13 Challenges and Considerations While hedging can be an effective way to manage currency risk, it's not without its challenges. Hedging strategies can be complex and require specialized expertise. Furthermore, hedging involves costs, such as premiums paid for options or fees for forward contracts.14 Companies need to carefully weigh the costs and benefits of hedging and choose strategies that are appropriate for their specific circumstances. Looking Ahead The strong dollar is likely to remain a significant factor in the global economy for the foreseeable future. As such, corporate FX hedging is expected to remain a priority for multinational companies. Companies that proactively manage their currency risk are better positioned to navigate the challenges of a strong dollar environment and protect their earnings from adverse currency movements.15 The current surge in hedging activity reflects a growing recognition of this reality and a proactive approach to mitigating currency risk in an increasingly interconnected world. As global economic conditions evolve, companies will need to remain vigilant and adapt their hedging strategies accordingly to ensure they are adequately protected from currency volatility.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
"Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Key Support – short term targetsThe 1-hour chart for XAU/USD shows a potential bearish setup with a recent breakout below a key support level. The price is currently hovering around 2,857, with a strong downward move anticipated if the breakdown sustains. The marked "Breakout Below" indicates a possible continuation toward the first target around 2,850, and if further selling pressure persists, the second target near 2,835 may be reached. The previous bullish structure saw multiple breakouts and changes in character (ChoCh), but the current price action suggests a shift in momentum. If price fails to reclaim previous levels, a deeper correction could be in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2
DXY - Looking to Big PictureWhen we look back, when Trump first came, Dxy showed a 5.5% increase, Dxy goes to 103.5. And Trump Dxy is too expensive, the dollar is too expensive, it should fall, the statements started. Then Dxy's 14% decrease went to 88.5. Now Dxy is around 102. I bought it directly as a fractal from August 15, 2016. If Dxy comes to around 104 until the election, the rapid increase with Trump's arrival corresponds to 110s. It has been an expected area for a long time and when Trump Dxy is at 110s, similarly, if the decrease starts with him saying the dollar is too expensive, it goes to 94s, fractal. Here, my hopes begin and I say that it is still expensive at those levels, we will go down to 86s. This means a 4-year never-ending mega bull. I applied the same fractal to the euro, and the much-anticipated 1.02s are here again. If I can get a fund, I will look for swing shorts at 1.12s. The fractal and events looked pretty good to me. It also fit the channel nicely. FX:EURUSD
TVC:DXY
by mooniron
1
$GBPUSD DOLLAR EDGES UP, STERLING DIPS & YEN STEADIESDOLLAR EDGES UP, STERLING DIPS & YEN STEADIES 1/7 Dollar’s on a slight uptick today but still near recent lows. 💵🔎 All eyes are on upcoming U.S. economic data—could it shake the greenback out of its range? 2/7 Sterling falls as traders brace for a possible Bank of England rate cut. 💷❓ Recent economic signals point toward a policy adjustment—markets are watching closely! 3/7 The yen hit an 8-week high overnight after a BoJ board member hinted at further rate increases. ⬆️🇯🇵 But it pulled back in European trade, settling into a steady groove. 4/7 Why the mild dollar strength? 1️⃣ Easing trade war fears 2️⃣ Anticipation of Friday’s big U.S. data drop Investors remain cautious, but a surprise on the data front could shift sentiment fast. 5/7 Sterling’s dip reflects the BoE’s potential pivot. 👀💼 A rate cut could lower borrowing costs, but also typically pressures a currency downward. 6/7 Which currency do you think will see the biggest move after the BoE decision? 1️⃣ Dollar 2️⃣ Sterling 3️⃣ Yen 4️⃣ Something else? Vote below! 🗳️👇 7/7 Uncertain times call for tight risk management! ⚠️💹 Currency markets hinge on central bank signals—stay vigilant and nimble with your trades.
Long
by DCAChampion
1
Silver Rallies on Trade War Concerns and Strong Industrial DemanSilver rose above $32 per ounce on Wednesday, a three-month high, as trade and economic uncertainties fueled safe-haven demand. A weaker US dollar also supported prices. The US delayed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada but enforced a 10% levy on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to impose its own tariffs and consider sanctions on US firms. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive year of market deficits in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, offsetting weaker jewelry and silverware consumption. Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.80 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Pound Hits Three-Week High as Markets Await BoE CutThe British pound rose above $1.25, its highest since January 7, as the US dollar weakened and the focus shifted to the Bank of England’s Thursday decision. Policymakers are expected to cut rates by 25bps to 4.5%, reflecting slowing growth and easing services inflation. Market sentiment remained cautious over US tariffs, with concerns about a US-China trade conflict impacting global stability. Meanwhile, UK input price inflation hit an 18-month high in January, according to the latest PMI report. The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2500. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2600 and 1.2650. On the downside 1.2340 will be the first support level. 1.2265 and 1.2100 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
by ChartMage
Yen Strengthens Past 152 as BOJ Signals Possible 2025 Rate HikeThe yen strengthened past 152 per dollar, an eight-week high after BOJ board member Naoki Tamura suggested raising rates to 1% in late 2025. Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato warned of rising inflation, while strong wage data reinforced expectations of continued BOJ tightening. Real wages rose for a second month in December, with nominal wage growth hitting a 30-year high due to winter bonuses. The BOJ, which raised rates in January, remains open to further hikes. A weaker US dollar and lower Treasury yields, driven by mixed US data and easing trade war fears, also supported the yen. The key resistance level appears to be 153.85, with a break above it potentially targeting 154.90 and 156.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the price moves lower. 
by ChartMage
DXY Rejection at Key Resistance – Potential Drop AheadThis chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 4-hour timeframe shows a strong rejection from the highlighted resistance zone around 109.800–110.000. Key Observations: - Rejection at Resistance: Price attempted to break above but faced strong selling pressure, leading to a rejection. - Possible Downtrend Formation:** The price could now move lower, targeting the 1st target zone (~109.100–109.136) and potentially the **2nd target zone (~107.500–107.480)** if the bearish momentum continues. - Break of Structure (BoS) & Change of Character (ChoCh): The previous market structure shifts indicate potential reversals, supporting the idea of a bearish move. Conclusion: A pullback from resistance suggests a possible downside move. If price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, a sell-off towards the marked targets seems likely. Watch for confirmation near the 1st target to assess continuation or reversal.
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
The Stablecoin Revolution: Is the Dollar's Reign Over? The Future of the Global Cryptocurrency Market: Navigating the Rise of Stablecoins and the Shifting Sands of Global Finance The cryptocurrency market has exploded in popularity over the past decade, evolving from a niche interest to a global phenomenon. While Bitcoin remains the dominant player, the landscape is rapidly diversifying, with stablecoins like USDC and Tether playing an increasingly crucial role. This article explores the future of the global cryptocurrency market, examining the growing influence of stablecoins and their potential impact on the traditional financial system, particularly in relation to the US dollar and the DXY index. The Rise of Stablecoins: Bridging the Gap Between Crypto and Fiat Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, typically pegged to a fiat currency like the US dollar. This stability makes them attractive for everyday transactions and as a safe haven within the volatile crypto market. USDC and Tether are the two largest stablecoins, with market capitalizations in the tens of billions of dollars. The appeal of stablecoins lies in their ability to combine the benefits of cryptocurrencies – such as speed, low transaction costs, and 24/7 availability – with the stability of traditional currencies. This makes them ideal for a variety of use cases, including: • Remittances: Sending money across borders using stablecoins can be faster and cheaper than traditional methods. • Payments: Stablecoins can be used for everyday purchases, both online and in physical stores. • Trading: Stablecoins provide a stable asset for traders to use when navigating the volatile cryptocurrency market. • Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Stablecoins are a key component of DeFi protocols, where they are used for lending, borrowing, and trading. The Impact on the US Dollar and the DXY Index The growing adoption of stablecoins has raised questions about their potential impact on the US dollar and the DXY index, which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of other major currencies. Some analysts believe that the widespread use of stablecoins could weaken the dollar's dominance in global trade and finance. However, it's important to note that most stablecoins are currently pegged to the US dollar. This means that their value is directly tied to the dollar's performance. As a result, the rise of stablecoins could actually strengthen the dollar's position in the short term. In the long run, the impact of stablecoins on the dollar will depend on several factors, including: • Regulation: Governments around the world are beginning to pay close attention to stablecoins. The regulatory frameworks that are developed will play a significant role in shaping the future of these digital assets. • Adoption: The widespread adoption of stablecoins will be a key factor in determining their impact on the dollar. If stablecoins become a major force in global finance, they could challenge the dollar's dominance. • Competition: The emergence of other stablecoins pegged to different currencies, or even central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), could reduce the reliance on dollar-pegged stablecoins. Opportunities and Challenges in the Cryptocurrency Market The future of the cryptocurrency market is full of opportunities and challenges. The continued growth of stablecoins is likely to play a significant role in shaping this future. Other key trends to watch include: • Institutional adoption: More and more institutional investors are entering the cryptocurrency market. This is bringing increased legitimacy and liquidity to the market. • Technological innovation: The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, with new technologies and applications being developed all the time. This innovation is driving the growth of the market. • Regulatory clarity: As governments around the world develop clearer regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies, this will help to reduce uncertainty and encourage further adoption. However, there are also challenges that the cryptocurrency market must overcome, including: • Volatility: The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, which can make it risky for investors. • Security: There have been a number of high-profile hacks and scams in the cryptocurrency market, which have raised concerns about security. • Environmental concerns: The energy consumption of some cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, has raised concerns about their environmental impact. Conclusion The future of the global cryptocurrency market is bright, with stablecoins playing an increasingly important role. While the impact on the US dollar and the DXY index remains to be seen, it's clear that stablecoins are changing the landscape of global finance. As the market continues to evolve, it will be important to keep an eye on the latest developments and to be aware of the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
EURUSD - gap is filled, what’s next? Buys? Sells?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . Now the main focus everyone has is the “ GAP ”. Yes the gap has been filled but sellers who tried to take advantage of it, have experienced drawdown today. EURUSD still has a chance to dig deeper into that gap potentially giving us better entries OR breaking to the upside. So here are the possible scenarios on EURUSD we have pre-planned for the following days . Scenario 1: BUYS at the break of 1.04334 - We broke above 1.04334. With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside. Even though we are extremely bearish on EURUSD for quite some time, short-term TVC:DXY weakness can cause the pair to see possible higher levels. Scenario 2: SELLS - We dug deeper into the “gap price” or we stayed below roughly 1.03462. With sells we have several possible entries. We can expect a deeper dig to the upside potentially giving us better entries. On the other hand, if we don’t experience that, and stay below 1.03462 we can expect more sells to come. KEY NOTES - EURUSD is overall still bearish. - DXY (USD) experiencing short-term bears. - Breaking above 1.04334 would result in more upside. - Staying below the gap fill, would result in sells. - Possible deeper digs to the upside before the sell off. Happy trading! FxPocket
by FxPocket
1
DXY Bullish Breakout – USD Strengthening Towards 120+?📊 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Monthly Chart Analysis 🚀 📈 Breakout in Progress: The chart shows a breakout from a horizontal resistance zone (previous highs). This signals bullish momentum. 📊 Trend & Structure: Higher Lows & Higher Highs indicate an uptrend. Price has been moving within an ascending channel for years. 📉 EMA 200 Support: The 200-month EMA (95.63) is well below the current price, acting as a strong long-term support level. 🔮 Future Projection: A potential pullback to confirm support, followed by a strong bullish move toward 120-125 levels. Chart Projection Suggests: 🚀 Upside continuation if support holds. 🔥 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support: 104-108 (Breakout retest zone) 🎯 Target: 116-124 (Upper trendline) 💡 Conclusion: Bullish bias remains strong. If DXY holds above 108, the dollar could gain more strength in 2025. 🚀📊
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight