U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
DXY is sitting at an important KL (Key Level) at around 100.600 . On a bigger timeframe we are still bullish on dollar.
Several factors support Dollar strength:
The Dollar is expected to maintain its strength for some time.
Still, some risks could lead to further appreciation, including Euro area concerns, changes in Chinese currency policy, and how markets interpret US growth prospects.
Interest rates:
With yesterday’s interest rate decisions (50BPS) we saw DXY spike down . We do have to keep in mind if interest rate cuts continue, we might turn bearish on DXY, resulting in less demand in U.S. Dollar and more demand in stocks and gold .
If however, we continue to the upside with DXY, it will confirm our XAUUSD sells that we have given the analysis for.
Keep in mind:
The aim of raising of the Fed's rates is to adjust the inflation level to a target value. Interest rate hike may have a positive effect on dollar quotes, while lowering can be seen as negative for the US dollar.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Dollar
DXY: Some more downside is expected. Is it a buy after?The U.S. Dollar Index is on strong bearish levels on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.538, MACD = -0.480, ADX = 39.006) as it is extending the Channel Down with a rejection today exactly on its top. The very same Channel Down was seen last October-December (2023) and declined by -6.25% before recovering. The buy signal was a DB (double bottom) on the 1D RSI.
Consequently we will remain bearish on DXY (TP = 99.550) and only buy after we get a clear rebound (around -6.25%) and a DB on the RSI.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Gold Price Analysis on 30-Minute TimeframeI'm currently watching the gold price closely on the 30-minute chart. If the price pulls back to the resistance and successfully breaks out, the next target could be the next resistance level.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance Level 1
Next Target (Resistance Level 2)
If the price consolidates and breaks above the current resistance, this could signal strong bullish momentum and a potential move to the next resistance level.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision!This Wednesday is the next Interest Rate decision by the Federal Reserve. This time last September the rate got raised to 5.5% & since then rates have not been lowered at all. Markets have been pricing in a rate cut down to 5.25% this week, for the first time in the past 1 year. If the Federal Reserve don't lower rates as expected, expect some serious market volatility!
What do you think the Fed will do? Cut rates or hold steady?
EUR/USD Bullish Setup: Anticipating a Bounce from Key SupportHello traders! Today, I’m analyzing the EUR/USD pair on the 1-hour time frame.
We’ve seen some strong movement recently, but right now, the price is approaching a critical support level. This level has held strong in the past, and based on my analysis, I believe we could see a bullish bounce from this zone.
Here’s what I’m looking at:
Support Level: The price is nearing support level, a key area where it has previously bounced. If the price retests this level and holds, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
Price Action Patterns: I’ll be watching closely for bullish reversal candlestick patterns, like a hammer or bullish engulfing pattern, to confirm the strength of the support. This would suggest buyers are stepping in, and the price could start to rise.
Momentum Check: I’ll keep an eye on the overall market momentum by observing the price movement around the support zone. A slowing down of the sell-off or a shift in momentum could further support the idea of a bounce.
Risk Management Strategy: To manage my risk, I’ll set a stop loss slightly below the support level to safeguard against any potential breakdown. For profit targets, I’m eyeing as the first goal, with room for more gains if the bullish momentum continues.
Lower rates means Silver to 40?The US dollar is trending lower.
Rates are expected to be lowered.
Unemployment number rising.
Presidential election has candidates talking about give aways.
War is still happening.
China is in deflation.
Banks are seeing credit card delinquency's rise.
There are 2 "technical" patterns implying a 40 ish silver price if we continue to break out. And remember all times highs are at 50 ish.
The recent weeks price action is encouraging and is implying breakout higher.
twitter/x is full of "silver squeeze" chatter again. good to see the buzz start up again.
Be safe.
US DOLLAR - Boxed RangeUS DOLLAR is trading SUPPORT and RESISTANCE zones within a boxed RANGE.
It is respecting a range of 100.53 - 101.93, with respective bounces on either end, keeping it within its BOXED RANGE.
When I'm speaking about a BOXED RANGE, what I mean is that the RANGE ISN'T TIGHT like a normal range, where its looking for volume before a big move, these types of ranges have volume and are easier to read as they respect KEY ZONES, for example right now they are respecting 100.53 - 101.93.
We should wait for the US DOLLAR to enter either SUPPORT or RESISTANCE to enter a trade, we can wait for a rejection + bounce or wait for a breakout.
If the US DOLLAR breaks to the downside (BEARISH) I would expect for the overall US markets to continue it's BULLISH movements, as usually the US MARKET IS INVERSELY PROPORTIONAL TO THE US DOLLAR INDEX...
Conversely if it shows BULLISH signs and begins to move towards the SUPPORT ZONE, I will be looking for the US MARKET to move BEARISH.
Market Forecast for Gold into $3,000Gold's consolidation phase within a rising wedge pattern illustrated market uncertainty ahead of the U.S. presidential election and broader economic factors. The price action indicated a retracement towards key support levels at 2,470 and 2,367 USD, aligning with typical market cycles that precede significant rebounds.
This phase suggested a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend, a natural part of the market cycle where consolidation and profit-taking occurred before the next rally. The pullback towards the 2,367 USD level acted as a springboard for a renewed uptrend. Seasonal trends and unforeseen geopolitical events increased gold’s safe-haven appeal, contributing to price acceleration towards the long-term target to 3,000 USD.
With the U.S. presidential election on the horizon, unclear economic policies from potential candidates contributed to market hesitation. This uncertainty often drove investors toward safe-haven assets like gold. Central banks' responses, particularly from the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank, were critical. Interest rate adjustments, inflation controls, and currency interventions all played a role in shaping gold's trajectory. When central banks signaled that inflation was persisting, it accelerated gold’s ascent. Conversely, when inflation moderated and interest rates rose significantly, it created temporary pressure on gold prices. The retracement towards 2,470 and 2,367 USD levels offered a strategic entry point for investors looking to position themselves.
Those who took that trade made money, and I thank you for believing in this chart.
EUR/USD Long – Targeting Rebound from 1.1000EUR/USD is currently trading near the 1.1000 support area, a key psychological level that has historically acted as a strong support. This setup presents an opportunity to go long, aiming for a rebound from this level.
Technical Analysis:
• Support Zone: The 1.1000 area has acted as a significant support level, with previous price action showing strong buyer interest around this zone.
• Risk Management: Place a stop-loss slightly below the 1.1000 level to protect against a potential breakdown. A reasonable stop could be around 1.0980, just below the recent lows.
Trade Setup:
• Entry: Enter long around the current price, near the 1.1000 support level.
• Target: The initial target for this long setup is around 1.1050, where the next resistance level is likely to be tested. A more aggressive target could be around 1.1100, depending on market conditions.
• Stop-Loss: Set the stop-loss at 1.0980 to manage risk effectively.
Market Sentiment:
• Bullish Potential: The market may see a rebound from this key level, especially if USD weakness continues or if there is a shift in broader market sentiment.
• Key Levels to Watch: Monitor the 1.1020 level for early signs of bullish momentum. A break above this level could signal the continuation of the upward move.
This trade focuses on capitalizing on the potential rebound from a key psychological level, with clear entry, target, and risk management strategies. Stay alert to market conditions and adjust as necessary.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
GBPJPY | Trade ideaOn Tuesday, the yen gained support as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda maintained a hawkish stance, indicating the central bank might raise rates further if the economy meets expectations. Ueda’s comments were part of a document presented to a government panel led by outgoing Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, where he detailed the BOJ’s July policy decision. His remarks emphasized that despite global market volatility, partly triggered by the BOJ's July rate hike, Ueda remains committed to raising borrowing costs if the bank’s projections are realized.
DXY: Key Levels to Watch Ahead of CPI Data ReleaseWith the CPI data release on the horizon, the DXY is hovering near critical levels. Traders should keep a close eye on the price action as volatility could spike. The red and green lines on the chart mark important zones that may influence the market’s next move—whether it's a breakout or a reversal.
Curious how these levels might react to the news? Drop a comment below, and follow for more insights as the data approaches!
*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly!*
USDJPYThe Yen strength coupled with the Dollar consolidation has finally played out into the larger wave-C of 2 and the first target.
December-March likely provides the primary turn back up, and as such will provide the backdrop to whether price can reach the extension target or not over the next couple of months.
Overall, the USDJPY is targeting the 300-400 range by 2027-2029 and an important trend for recalibrating assets.
GBP/USD : Possible Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has reached a demand zone and has also created a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near its current level, which I expect to be filled in the short term. After that, I anticipate further decline in GBP/USD. The potential targets for this drop are 1.31060, 1.30870, and 1.30330.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
A retest before heading lower...DXY is around 101.17, potentially about to retest previous support as resistance around 101.2… Reclaiming this zone and closing above 101.5 could be short term bullish. A continuation of bullish momentum could lead to a retest of 102.4 around 18 Sep, tying in with Fed’s rates decision.
DXY 4hr AnalysisThe market dropped back to the strong support zone (100.742) on Friday, then immediately bounced back up. The price is heading back to the minor resistance zone (101.842) before we may see another rejection and a potential retracement down.
However, if the level is broken, the price may likely reach the 102.420 key zone area before we see another pullback.
With CPI and inflation rate data coming out within the week,
what is your projection for DXY? Please share below
DXY (Dollar) Shorts from 101.600 back downMy outlook for the dollar is focused on scouting a bearish continuation. A 7-hour supply zone has emerged, and I'm looking for the price to enter this zone to trigger a bearish reaction, potentially creating a new leg to the downside.
If the supply zone is broken, I would then anticipate the price rallying higher into a more premium supply area. However, if the price heads down first, I expect the 9-hour demand zone to be violated, allowing for a better buying opportunity from the lower demand zone.
P.S.: Be cautious and trade with care, as PPI and CPI data are due this week. Keep an eye on Forex Factory for updates.
Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Grow?!
Dollar Index has a nice potential to keep growing next week.
The market nicely respected a daily horizontal structure support,
bounced and violated a resistance line of a falling parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
The market may reach at least 101.44 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
DXY Levels to Watch Ahead of NFPLooking at the chart of the US Dollar Index (DXY), the world’s reserve currency remains in a well-defined downtrend despite last week’s bounce. The near-term reaction in the US dollar will likely follow the likelihood of a 25bps rate cut from the Fed (bullish) vs. 50bps rate cut (bearish) as outlined in the chart above, but ultimately, the dominant downtrend and potential for consistent interest rate reductions from the Federal Reserve in the coming year could keep the greenback under pressure as we move through the fall regardless.
-MW