(DXY) Dollar - Break out pending from its consolidationThe DXY is currently in a consolidation phase, and I expect it to break out soon. Regardless of the direction, we have marked points of interest (POIs) that will help us capitalize on trading opportunities.
- Scenario 1: Price Breaks Upwards
If the price breaks above the consolidation, I anticipate it will fill the imbalance and tap into the supply zones marked on the 30-minute and 8-hour charts.
- Scenario 2: Price Breaks Downwards
If the price moves down, I expect it to mitigate the 16-hour demand zone. This zone appears to be a strong buy setup, likely pushing the dollar back up. There’s also an imbalance above this demand zone that needs to be filled.
Overall, I am favoring an upward move, as this aligns with my bearish outlook on GOLD, EUR/USD, and GBP/USD.
Dollar
DXY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring DXY for a selling opportunity around 104.900 zone, DXY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 104.900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY: Support & Resistance Analysis 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY keeps falling like crazy.
Here is the updated structure analysis and important key levels to focus on.
Support 1: 151.70 - 151.90 area
Support 2: 150.26 - 151.30 area
Support 3: 146.50 - 146.85 area
Resistance 1: 153.55 - 154.90 area
Resistance 2: 155.38 - 156.18
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Now is the right time to buy again! past bull market beginningHello Billionaires !!!
They support from fibo golden zone..
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DXY:Will Fed Cut Rates in September?Hey Traders,
In today's session, we're eyeing a potential selling opportunity in the DXY around the 104.600 zone. Currently, DXY is in a downtrend and is undergoing a correction phase, approaching the key support and resistance area at 104.600.
From a fundamental perspective, the downtrend in inflation and easing economic conditions in the US suggest that a rate cut might be on the horizon in September. This dovish environment could weaken the dollar further.
Stay cautious and trade safe,
Joe
GBPUSD Medium cycle GBPUSD was in the bullish channel and now its broken that and its on a supportive level.
According to my last idea,
i said if its hunt the channel sooner that we expected its show the bearish trend power.
Then the bullish channel broke.
but now the price on a supportive level and i think the trend can reversal.
also the DXY confirm that because its in a resistance level.
its show dollar will be weak.
Its just my personal comment please don't trade whit this.
I have no responsibility for your money.
DXY - 4H bullish soonDXY is currently consolidating under a support zone, but from my perspective, this is just a stop-hunting trap. The bottom of the channel is likely to provide strong support for the index. Historically, such setups often lead to a reversal, and the current price action suggests a similar outcome.
Additionally, with the US government likely to support their currency before the upcoming election, this could be a critical time to watch for a bounce. It's essential to consider the broader economic and political context, which may drive the dollar index higher, especially if the support holds and the consolidation phase concludes.
DXY - Bearish SignsThe DXY has shown several bullish pushes but has consistently failed to make significant higher highs, all forming beneath a strong resistance zone.
This behavior indicates a weakening of buyer momentum and suggests potential bearish sentiment. With the index’s current inability to breach this resistance, a downward move could be anticipated as sellers might step in, taking advantage of the weak bullish attempts.
DXY H4 - Long Signal DXY H4
Again, nothing too significant to report at the moment, whilst we are hugging 104.00 we remain bullish bias, it's as simple as that. DXY correlates primarily and fundamentally with FX rather than XAUUSD commodities. But we can still use for comparisons and indications.
Hopefully this 104 level holds as anticipated support to warrant GBPUSD rejections as previously shared.
GBPUSD H4 - Short SignalGBPUSD H4
We are trading very close to out 1.30 handle, this is our key area of resistance. Similarly we have DXY back down on our 104.00 support price. Our final element of support before a potential break and trend change.
On the basis of the above, I would like to see a rejection of 1.30 as indicated and annotated. With targets of around 1.28500 initially.
Will the Disinflation Trend Reinforce DXY Downward Momentum?Macro theme:
- The highlight of the past week was inflation data. US Jun headline CPI slowed to 3% YoY (vs. 3.1% expected, 3.3% previous), and core
CPI was 3.3% YoY (vs. 3.4% expected and previous).
- The core service component has been declining, and rental prices may continue to fall due to delayed contract renewals.
With this inflation trend, markets expect the Fed to make its first rate cut in Sep and another this year.
- The dollar is likely to weaken, depending on the pace of monetary easing by other countries. If all major economies cut rates simultaneously, currency pairs may remain stable.
Technical:
- From a technical perspective, DXY broke its ascending channel and closed below both EMAs, shifting to bearish momentum. The index is right above its key support at 104.00.
- If DXY extends its decline below 104.00, it may aim for a nearby support area around 102.75-103.00.
- On the contrary, if 104.00 can hold the index above for a while, DXY may correct up to 104.90 before resuming its downward movement.
DXY at Critical Support! Massive Move Ahead! Technical Analysis Overview of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on 4-Hour Time Frame:
Crucial Structure Point:
The DXY is currently at a significant structural level, which could determine its next major move.
Key Levels:
Weekly LQZ: 108.007
Daily LQZ: 106.524
Daily LQZ: 101.908
Missed LQZ: 100.552
Current Price Action:
The price is hovering around 104.283, a critical support zone. The market's reaction at this level will likely dictate the next direction.
Potential Scenarios:
Yellow Path (Primary Bias): Indicates a potential bearish scenario where the price might break below the current support level and head towards the Daily LQZ at 101.908 or even the Missed LQZ at 100.552. This path suggests a significant downward movement.
Green Path: Represents a bullish scenario where the price could bounce off the current support and rise towards the Daily LQZ at 106.524 or even the Weekly LQZ at 108.007. This path suggests a recovery and continuation of the upward trend.
Orange Path: Another bearish possibility where the price might initially fake out upwards but eventually break downwards, aligning with the yellow path.
Market Sentiment:
The annotations indicate that while the yellow path is favored, it is essential to remain adaptable as "anything can happen" in the market. This emphasizes the importance of not reacting impulsively but rather anticipating and preparing for different scenarios.
Summary:
Current Trend: The DXY is at a critical juncture, and its next move could be pivotal.
Bearish Bias: The yellow path suggests a potential for further downside, targeting lower key levels.
Bullish Recovery: The green path offers a possible recovery scenario, aiming for higher resistance levels.
Strategy: Traders should monitor the price action closely around the current support level at 104.283. Look for confirmation before entering trades, and be prepared for both bullish and bearish outcomes.
CABLE #GBPUSD Can push into 1.40 zone on Risk off moveExpect continued #DXY weakness and corresponding risk on moves across the board
The Pound is a good example that has already triggered a Bullish upside move.
Yet still has decent room to move on up.
#GOLD #BTC #STOCKS can continue ripping with the tailwinds of #Dollar softness.
EURUSD - DailySimple trading - Consolidation
Let's take advantage of a potential Weekly swing!
Below is the weekly chart showing a potential zone for the price to bounce back and forth between the monthly highs and lows.
EURUSD has already poked above the previous week's high. wait for the price to pull back and test the PWH and we can sell confidently with strong bearish price rejection.
*These are my thoughts, not financial advice.
GOLD XAUUSD DETAILED VIDEO ANALYSISyesterday after the cpi xauusd breached major resistance zones and touched our bullish target of 2421 extending up to 2425.
TODAY we have explained the possibilities of our market in video section. And we will bisect the major support resistance point along with pivot.
⬛PIVOT POINT
2395
🟩SUPPORT
2403
2404
2395
2385
2377
2362
🟥RESISTANCE
2414
2424
2433
2438
2442
2450
2465
❇️BOTH THESE SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE CAN BE USED AND BULLISH AND BEARISH ZONES RESPECTIVELY
on us market section there is a major news of ppi which will decide more direction and momentum in todays market.
we willl do more detailed analysis on ppi.
PLEASE FOLLOW SUPPORT AND BOOST US
SHARE OUR IDEA
DXY D1 - Long from 104.000 DXY D1
This really wasn't the expectation of the market open we were anticipating. Given the Trump assassination attempt, I was expecting some more market uproar, for US stocks to fall and XAUUSD to climb. As you would expect from typical risk off markets.
The reason for this, is market uncertainty and follow up headlines. That being said, we are very early on in the trading day/week. Lots to come out this week, expecting a week full of volume and excitement. 104.000 has been the play for some time now. We simply continue this until this zone break and other trading ranges are formed.