xauusd first buy and sell targets for monday marketthe last week our prediction of xauusd become 100% true, for monday we are posting a simple buy and sell target. more detailed analysis will be followed.
buystop ;
entry 2322
tp2332
sl better to hedge
sell stop
entry 2320
tp 2312
sl better to hedge
The US Dollar emerged as the clear winner on Friday, buoyed by a robust performance in the latest S&P Global PMI data. In contrast, Gold prices tumbled after the data signaled continued resilience in the US economy, dampening expectations for aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The Markit PMI data, a key gauge of business activity, surprised analysts across the board. The composite PMI for June clocked in at a healthy 54.6, exceeding expectations of 53.5 and remaining steady compared to the previous month's reading of 54.5. This broad-based strength suggests the US economy is likely on track for a solid second-quarter performance.
Manufacturing Resilience: The manufacturing PMI also impressed, rising to a three-month high of 51.7. This figure surpassed forecasts of 51.0 and the prior reading of 51.3, indicating continued expansion in the sector despite ongoing global supply chain challenges.
Booming Services: The services sector, which accounts for a larger share of the US economy, delivered an even stronger performance. The S&P Global Services PMI for June surged to a 26-month high of 55.1, exceeding expectations of 53.7 and the previous month's reading of 54.8. This robust expansion reflects healthy consumer spending and business investment, underpinning optimism for continued economic growth.
Gold Feels the Heat: The robust PMI data sent shockwaves through the Gold market. Investors, anticipating a dovish pivot from the Fed due to potential economic slowdown, had flocked to the safe-haven asset in recent months. However, the PMI results suggest that the Fed may hold off on aggressive rate cuts, dampening the appeal of Gold. Spot Gold prices plunged after the data release, falling by over 1% in a single day and slipping below the crucial $2,330 mark.
Dollar
Dollar Winning Streak Extends Into Fifth Week! Time to Go LongI wanted to share some exciting news from the forex world: the dollar has extended its winning streak into the fifth week! 🎉 A key gauge of the dollar's strength continues to rise, driven by the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the timing of the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut. With the yen showing signs of weakness, the USD is shining brightly on the global stage.
This is a golden opportunity for us traders to capitalize on the dollar's momentum. If you haven't already, now might be the perfect time to consider going long on the US dollar. 🌟
Why should you consider this move?
1. **Strong Performance**: The dollar's consistent growth over the past five weeks clearly indicates its robust performance.
2. **Market Uncertainty**: With the Fed's interest-rate cut timeline still unclear, the dollar is likely to remain strong in the near term.
3. **Yen Weakness**: The yen's current weakness further bolsters the USD's position, making it an attractive option for traders.
Don't miss out on this opportunity to ride the wave of the dollar's success! Dive into the market and make the most of this winning streak. 💪
Happy trading, and here's to continued success in all your endeavors!
BTCUSDThe cryptocurrency market capitalization has increased by 1.2% to $2.56 trillion. Bitcoin's gain contrasts sharply with the declines seen in altcoins. Ethereum rose by 1.3%.
The main upward momentum occurred during the Asian morning session. As of this writing, Bitcoin's price appears to have moved away from extremes. Nonetheless, the latest momentum indicates that bears still dominate the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin earlier fell to $64,041, the lowest level since May 15. Bitcoin has been on a downward trend for the past 12 days, significantly breaking below the 50-day SMA and the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the January to March gains.
Due to a shift in market sentiment, the crypto market has suffered significant losses over the past two weeks; however, it has not relinquished key support levels, showing signs of being undervalued. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator over a 30-day period indicates bullish signs for these assets.
on technical side Bitcoin's price has dropped from around $67,300 to the support level of $64,041, forming a bullish "inverse head-and-shoulders" pattern.
The observed uptrend today has broken through the channel's midline and the "neckline" of the aforementioned pattern. Therefore, from a technical analysis perspective, it can be reasonably argued that bulls are taking control by leveraging support levels.
The RSI and oscillators support the rebound. The lower low formed on June 18 was not reflected in higher highs during the same period. This development, known as bullish divergence, typically leads to a trend reversal or short-term rebound.
If the bulls are active and the overall outlook for the cryptocurrency market is optimistic, Bitcoin's price could increase by 6% to the previous resistance level of $71,280.
In a negative scenario, a decline from current levels below the previous point of $64,041 poses further downside risks.
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EURUSDEuro zone had made many financial plans to strengthen the economy.
And our last analysis for eurusd was perfect with hitting target and earning good returns.
the next week week expect a major upward movement for eurusd as dollar index is also expecting a downfall retracement from its upward movement which will inturn boost euro zone and weaken dollar.
bullish target 1.0760
we will do more detailed analysis of eurusd once the market is open
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Eurusd analysis: rising wedge pattern Eurusd now trading at 1.0744 is now showcasing a rising wedge bearish pattern, the major resistance point of 1.0755-1.0765 can become a potential reversal point.
the current economical crisis happening in Europe along with major financial scenario of petrodollar issue can make euro crumble a bit comparing to us dollar.
we expect a bearish fall till 1.0720 and further down can go till 1.0680 area.
Alternative scenario.
a break above resistance point of 1.0770 can further enhance the upward correction of eurusd.
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Dollar Index (DXY): The Market May Go Higher!
Friday's fundamentals were very bullish for Dollar Index.
The market formed a strong bullish candle on a daily and reached a key horizontal resistance.
Next week, wait for a bullish breakout of 105.56 resistance and a daily candle close above that.
It will be an important sign of strength of the buyers.
The market will most likely keep growing then to 106.0 level.
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USDCAD: Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD nicely bounced from a key intraday structure support yesterday.
The price reached a resistance line of a falling parallel channel.
I believe that the pair has a nice growth potential.
To confirm that, I will be waiting for a bullish breakout
of a resistance line of the channel.
4H candle close above that will confirm a violation.
A bullish movement will be expected then at least to 1.373
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the underlined support may push the prices lower.
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XAUUSD major support and resistance for the daysupport:
2348
2337
2327
2322
2312
2306
Resistance:
2365
2374
2388
2395
2404
2412
2421
The bottoming sign in the 1D timeframe is clear, but the upward momentum still falls short of expectations. If a strong uptrend forms today, we could see a high of 2,370 in the 1D timeframe, after completing this uptrend, we will then assess whether there will be a correction or if the bullish trend will continue. In the 4H timeframe, it is just lacking a bit of momentum for an uptrend. With another rise on Thursday to break through 2,342 and the Bollinger upper band widening, it will form a strong uptrend. This could lead to a significant surge, and combined with the target in the 1D timeframe, we could see a rise of about US$30 this week.
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When Will This Sideways Price Action From February End?Traders,
Since February, Bitcoin has basically been in a sideways accumulation price phase. I have a hunch we are very close to an end of this. But how much longer will traders be forced to be patient? And when this phase does end, will we move up or will we move down? Let's revisit the charts to see if you can find more clues.
USDJPY: Bullish Trend Continues 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The breakout of a key daily resistance opens
more growth potential on USDJPY on a daily.
After quite an extended bullish accumulation
within an ascending triangle formation,
the price bounced yesterday and closed above its neckline.
I think that the market may reach 160.0 level soon.
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DXY H4 - Long SignalDXY H4
Support price of 105.100 held nicely. We seemed to bounce as we look to continue the bullish trend up towards that next target price of 106.500. Certainly possible, even maybe today if we gear up for more dollar bulls moving into the US session.
We need to first sustain this break above the previous high, we have drawn the resistance (black line) marking previous H4 resistance. Possible retest (could offer entries for ***USD or USD*** pairs if they align).
XAUUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSISBoth Monday and Tuesday the market witnessed a ranging market between 2309 and 2332 area. today 19th June 2024 the us market is having a holiday so the market may lave low liquidity and may be high volatility.
resistance zone: 2332- 2336 area.
support zone : 2312-2306 area
pivot 2322 as it is an area of high volume trades and also the 100 day moving average passes through this area.
bullish targets:
2332
2336
2342
2348
2355
bearish targets:
2322
2318
2312
2306
2296
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xauusd analysisin the past fee days we can find that xauusd is accumulating in a particular zone of 2325-2332 area. where 2322 is showing a great resistance to the bull and a big zone for bearish reversal.
SO WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF THIS ZONE IS BEEN BROKEN?
See if this zone is broken xauusd will be tested at 2336 and if this is broken xauusd will go through resistance zones at various point including,
2348
2355
2366
2376
2388
2396.
2421.
so eventually this zone can now considered as a pivotal point for the upcoming market movement.
In the alternative scenario what will happen if xauusd again retraces from 2332 area?
it will be falling to the support area as follows<
2312
2306
2295
2282
2282
2267
2240
Both the bearish and bullish speculations have 50:50 chance.
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EURUSD: 2 Bearish Confirmations 🇪🇺🇺🇸
I see 2 strong bearish signals on EURUSD.
After a formation of a strong bearish impulse,
the pair started to steadily recover within a bearish flag pattern on a 4H.
The price also formed the inside bar formation within the boundaries of the flag.
Today, both the support of the flag and the range of the mother's bar were broken.
It is a very strong technical confirmations.
I think that the market may drop to 1.069
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USDCHF BULLISH STRUCTURE 100 pipsThe USD/CHF pair recently formed a bearish channel, hitting the horizontal support trendline before showing a clear reversal pattern on the H4 chart, which is even more apparent on the H1 chart. The price has already broken out of the double bottom and is currently attempting to retest the neckline.
I'm anticipating a retest within a continuation pattern, specifically a bullish flag. Within this bullish flag, I'm also expecting a reversal formation, either an inverse head and shoulders or a double bottom on the 15-minute timeframe, before entering a buy position. My target is to capture a 100-pip move.
US30 Sell Setup Incoming!Based on the daily structure, there is a strong rejection and respect of the Fibonacci levels. The volume also supports this view, showing a clear accumulation of liquidity. I confidently anticipate a liquidity injection during the New York session!
Must was Heavy new on Dollar ( 30 yr bond auction rate)
Use proper risk management!!
Bitcoin is about to make a large move!BTC has lost some key technical support levels.
The weakness displayed in crypto has come while the stock markets have been incredibly strong
Its never a good sign when you see BTC getting rejected at double top.
The previous ATH at 69k seems to be really keeping price action in check.
BTC has 2 channels converging around 57k - 59K.
Don't be surprised if we see more sellers in the next couple weeks.
Util we break the bullish neckline, the 94K price is only a dream.
XAUUSD H2 - Long SignalXAUUSD H2
Here is XAUUSD update on the H2, we were previously targeting 2325/oz and then 2335/oz. With further targets pushing towards that 2350/oz price. We are looking at pulling towards the previous area of resistance, which we now anticipate to act as support, priced 2320/oz.
Targets remain at around 2350/oz and then 2360/oz subsequently. Not much in the way of economic data today, so lets see what unfolds. Might be a slow burner of a day
Economic Indicators and DXY: Navigating CPI and FOMCHello Traders,
In today's trading session, we are closely monitoring the DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 105.700 zone. The DXY had been trading in an uptrend but recently managed to break out of this trend. Currently, it is in a correction phase, approaching the key retrace area at the 105.700 support and resistance zone. This level is crucial as it has historically acted as a pivot point for price action.
However, it is essential to consider the broader economic context, particularly with two major events on the horizon: the release of the US CPI (Consumer Price Index) data and the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting, both scheduled for tomorrow.
The CPI data will be a critical indicator of inflationary pressures within the US economy. A higher-than-expected CPI reading (a hot CPI) would indicate rising inflation, which could prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance. This would likely involve tightening monetary policy further, potentially leading to a stronger US dollar. In this scenario, we would reconsider and likely cancel our short position on the DXY, as a stronger dollar would work against the trade setup.
On the other hand, if the CPI data comes in softer than expected, indicating lower inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve may lean towards a more dovish stance. This dovish outlook could involve maintaining or even easing current monetary policies, which would likely weaken the US dollar. A weaker dollar would support our bearish view on the DXY, making the 105.700 zone a favorable entry point for short positions.
Additionally, last week's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report also showed robust employment numbers, adding another layer of complexity to the Fed's decision-making process. The interplay between strong employment data and CPI readings will be crucial in shaping market expectations and the Fed's policy trajectory.
In summary, while we are looking at the 105.700 zone as a potential selling point for the DXY, it is imperative to stay alert to the upcoming CPI and FOMC announcements. These events will provide significant insights into the US economic outlook and the Fed's policy direction, both of which are pivotal for our trading strategy.
Trade safely,
Joe