Very important EURUSD analysis (Bitcoin is at the beginning)It is worth noting that the euro has been in a major downward trend for over 14 years (5200 days). And it's time to end it.
In 2024-2025, the euro will rise. Possibly also in 2026
Proof of the great rise of Bitcoin, and that something we haven't seen before, something much better, is coming.
For crypto, a weakening dollar is very important.
Dollar
Here's What You Can Expect On Wall Street & In The Crypto SpaceThere are no surprises with the U.S. dollar, vix, gold, precious metals, commodities, and stocks. Everything is right on track. We are nearing our SPY blow-off top target of 570-600, but we have some time to hit that before the U.S. election charades and the future recession. We'll review these things and then focus on what price action will look like in the coming weeks for the crypto space. Plus, I have added an extra video for my members in which I'll review the current altcoin entries we are in. I'll let you know clearly what my sentiment and strategy is for trading these coins, a few of which have 3-4x targets! Quickly, I believe our local low in the altcoin space is in and we are going to pop soon. Some coins will fare much better than others. I want you in those coins. Let's go!
EURUSD - Bullish and Bearish at the Same TimeOn the 1 hour, we see price in a current Bullish bias. This is the same bias on the 4 hour chart. But there is a strong likelihood that this Bullishness might not hold for much longer.
On the Daily chart, we see the price as being in a bearish swing. Prices had no doubt gone above the protected high last week, but unfortunately did not close above the protected high. The price went above and came back to close the daily candles below the protected high. We will therefore treat such price movement as a spike while holding on to the current bearish perspective on the daily chart.
What is my Trade Perspective...?
Because i trade the lower timeframes from off the 1 hour setup, i will still hold on the bullish perspective off of the 1 hour chart. I will look to monitor price movement and follow through as it meets each of every condntion of my Bullish trade setup.
It is only when the bullishness of the 1 hour chart is invalidated and I see a trend shift on the 1 hour from Bullish to Bearish, that I will begin to consider the Bearish perspective. And if that happens, we will be looking to trade bearish, all the way to the Daily liquidity target.
EURUSD - 4H Sell opportunityThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a clear pattern of bullish movements, marked by three distinct legs of upward momentum.
Each leg is followed by a pullback, indicating a consistent pattern of price corrections after bullish advances.
Given this recurring behavior, it is likely that EUR/USD will experience another pullback similar to the previous movements.
For the target of this anticipated pullback, we can consider the base of the latest rise, which is highlighted around the 1.0820 level.
This area marks the starting point of the most recent upward leg, and it is a logical support level where the index might find stability after the expected retracement.
Traders should watch for bearish signals confirming the pullback and prepare to take advantage of potential buying opportunities at the support zone.
DXY is weakening after soft CPI dataHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring DXY for a selling opportunity around 105.100 zone, DXY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it approaching the trend at 105.100 support and resistance area.
Fundamentally the recent CPI data was quiet soft and didn't exceed 0.3.
Trade safe, Joe.
The dollar will capitulate and then soar!Updating my TVC:DXY predictions:
1. Everything hinges on carry trade with Japan
2. Japan is raising rates until they resubmit to negative interest rates this summer
3. The USDJPY will plummet until summer, this will cause the dollar to go down which increases inflation in the USA and deflation everywhere else due to the dollar being a reserve currency.
4. I believe the FED will cause inflation to go higher kicking the can down the street
5. After this summer the dollar will explode to over 140+ killing all other currencies as they print to escape deflationary depression.
6. The dollar will finally explode making way for CBDC's
7. Gold, Bitcoin, Rupee will be my final three picks for the end of 2030 for best assets and currencies. Of course you'll want a farm and freeze dried food for the coming collapse.
DXY Channel Up bottom. Strong buy opportunity.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) hit both Targets that we set on our January 24 analysis (see chart below):
Yet again, a new buy opportunity is emerging as the price not only hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Support Zone but also the bottom of the (dotted) Channel Up, which is essentially the Bullish Leg of the 1-year Channel Up.
With the 1D MACD about to form a Bullish Cross, that will be the bullish confirmation we need to buy and target 108.000 (near the top of the dotted Channel Up and almost +4% from yesterday's Low, which is a standard rise % within the pattern).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EURUSD: Confirm after reviewing ECB Financial Stability ReviewThere's a bullish sentiment in both the short-term and mid-term outlooks for the pair.
Two critical zones to watch are approximately 1.08356 and 1.08585.
Consider ECB Financial Stability Review and then enter regarding your personal setup.
Precious metals have been just that, precious Gold SilverThe US #Dollar is trading in the middle of its range since Late 2022.
It is also holding the recent uptrend well.
TVC:VIX is a tad lower today.
#Gold & #Silver still look good, Daily & Weekly.
Loading up on AMEX:SLV when we stated the inverse head & shoulder was a good move.
(took some off recently but still have large position)
AMEX:CEF AMEX:GLD
Will the Dollar continue its Downtrend or change its Direction?The dollar index #DX1! respected its previous downtrend and the News about CPI (Consumer Prices) today helped with this movement to the downside.
Will the Dollar continue its Downtrend or will change its Direction to the Upside?
CPI m/m
Actual: 0.3%
Forecast: 0.4%
Previous: 0.4%
Empire State Manufacturing Index
Actual: -15.6
Forecast: -9.9
Previous: -14.3
"The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies including the yen and the euro, fell to a one-month low at 104.41, but later pared losses to trade 0.25% lower at 104.77".
References:
-https://www.forexfactory.com/index.php
-https://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/dollar-droops-ahead-crucial-cpi-test-yen-under-pressure-2024-05-15/
CPI Index Rises over 43% per decade on Average - Don't be Fooledby the Politicians, Talking heads and Bankers.
Governments can only Tax, Borrow & Spend
Central Banks can only Print & Lend.
If this index were to rise by the average of 43%
You are looking at the CPI Index hitting 372 by Jan 2030
There is every likelihood this decade, will be a higher than average inflation rise.
You must save in scarce Assets #Gold & #Bitcoin
You must continue to in invest in #Technology #ETH & #LINK come to mind.
DXY likely go up by rise in inflationwe believe The DXY TVC:DXY will rise after inflation data.
in the technical term we can see a 5-wave impulse pattern and an ABC correction
after that we may see another 5-wave upward momentum.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
DXY is approaching the main trend prior to CPI releaseHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring DXY for a buying opportunity around 104.200 zone, DXY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 104.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD: Technical Impact of Core Inflation DataThe release of core inflation rate data in the United States can impact the AUD/USD exchange rate, especially on a weekly timeframe, due to its influence on market sentiment and monetary policy expectations.
Firstly, let's break down the core inflation rate. Core inflation measures the change in the price of goods and services, excluding volatile items like food and energy. It's a crucial indicator for central banks, like the Federal Reserve in the U.S., as it provides insight into the underlying inflationary pressures in the economy.
When the core inflation rate in the U.S. rises, it typically signals increasing demand for goods and services, which can lead to expectations of tighter monetary policy. Central banks may respond to rising inflation by raising interest rates to cool down the economy and prevent overheating. Higher interest rates make the U.S. dollar more attractive to investors, leading to an increase in its value relative to other currencies like the Australian dollar (AUD).
Conversely, if the core inflation rate in the U.S. falls below expectations or remains subdued, it may indicate weak consumer demand or excess capacity in the economy. In such cases, the Federal Reserve might consider maintaining or even lowering interest rates to stimulate economic activity. Lower interest rates can decrease the attractiveness of the U.S. dollar to investors, causing it to weaken against other currencies like the AUD.
Now, let's apply this to the AUD/USD exchange rate on a weekly timeframe. When the U.S. core inflation rate exceeds expectations, it could lead to a strengthening of the USD against the AUD. Traders and investors may anticipate tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, leading them to buy USD in anticipation of higher interest rates. This increased demand for USD relative to AUD can cause the AUD/USD exchange rate to depreciate over the weekly observation period.
On the other hand, if the U.S. core inflation rate disappoints or falls short of expectations, it could weaken the USD against the AUD on a weekly basis. Traders and investors may interpret this as a sign that the Federal Reserve might maintain or even cut interest rates to support economic growth. Consequently, there could be increased demand for AUD relative to USD, leading to an appreciation of the AUD/USD exchange rate over the weekly timeframe.
In addition to the fundamental factors discussed, the impact of the release of U.S. core inflation rate data on the AUD/USD exchange rate can align with technical analysis considerations. Technical analysis involves studying historical price movements and patterns to forecast future price movements.
When considering technical factors, if the current price of the AUD/USD pair is approaching a significant resistance level on the weekly timeframe, traders may anticipate a potential reversal or pullback. This resistance level could be identified through various technical tools such as trendlines, chart patterns, or Fibonacci retracement levels.
Given this technical setup, there are two possible scenarios to consider:
Immediate Pullback: If the AUD/USD exchange rate is nearing a resistance level at the time of the release of U.S. core inflation data, traders may expect a direct pullback in price during the same week. This pullback could occur as traders take profits or adjust their positions in response to the resistance level, coupled with the fundamental influence of the inflation data.
Bullish Momentum Followed by Pullback: Alternatively, if the AUD/USD exchange rate has bullish momentum and continues to rise after the release of U.S. core inflation data, it may temporarily break above the current resistance level. Traders might anticipate the pair reaching the next resistance level before experiencing a pullback. This scenario could occur if market participants interpret the inflation data as less hawkish than expected or if other factors, such as risk sentiment or economic indicators, support bullish AUD/USD movement.
DXY(Dollar Index):🟢Possible scenarios🟢(Details on caption)Well hello, traders.
Here is my view on the DXY daily chart.
As you can see the price left the buy-side liquidity which formed as an equal high, and then respected to the 50% of bullish FVG which is internal range liquidity. In this condition usually, the price seeks to the external range liquidity.
So the first scenario is bullish and I follow this scenario (High probability scenario)
The second scenario is bearish, if the price respects the bearish order block or mean threshold of this order block we will see the price move down.
All in all, if the bearish order block can not hold the price we will see a bullish week, and if the price respects the bearish order block the weekly candle will be bearish.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️01/05/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌