Retest 1.083 prior to more Downside -> EurUsd 🐺Based off fundamentals and apparent momentum in the market, my bias remains as bearish for the EurUsd currency pair. The Monthly candle has reteaced nearly all of it's gains as we come to a close in 2 days. The the top wick signals rejection from the high of the Monthly resistance to me (1.103). This coincided with Jobs data and Increasing inflation data and the last few weeks we have observed bearish momentum in the market. Yes this week so far we have recieved some buying pressure off the 1.0805 daily support level. Although with GDP data forecasted to remain unchanged tomorrow and Housing data expected to grow for the U.S. economy, I can observe more potnetial USD strength to end the March Monthly candle. First target is 1.0805 retest of the Daily support level, then 1.08 4hr zone and ultimately 1.0768 weekly level
Dollar
EURUSD: Important Key Levels to Watch 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important key levels to watch on EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.0840 - 1.0865 area
Resistance 2: 1.0922 - 1.0943 area
Resistance 3: 1.0964 - 1.1000 area
Support 1: 1.0785 - 1.0805 area
Support 2: 1.0695 - 1.0709 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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March 24' Rejection of 1.09485 --EurUsd-- Fundamental Outlook🎬Since the March 8th touch into 1.09485 Weekly level, we have depreciated 146 Pips on Eur/Usd. In Today's analysis we break down the most important News events of March 24'. These include NFP, CPI, and Interest rates. All of these news events have played a significant role in the downside movement we can observe on EurUsd across the past 2-3 weeks. Leave a rocket and share for more similar analysis in the future. Safe Trading
What's next? Risk-off USD strength or ++ Sentiment? Eur/Usd 📉Hello Traders.. This analysis is more brief but I get to the point with my bias and analysis. The Price level's are there.. We do have news super late in the NY session today as we have a Fed Speech so beware when holding your trades through to the next Daily candle. See you all in the next video
Gold has retest the resistance and reject now it can go down ?I hope this analyse finds you well. I wanted to bring your attention to the latest developments in the gold market.
Despite facing headwinds from a strengthening US dollar, gold prices are poised for their fourth weekly rise in five weeks. This resilience can be attributed in part to the supportive stance of the US Federal Reserve, which has maintained its commitment to interest rate reductions throughout the current year.
The recent surge in the US dollar, now on track for its second consecutive week of broad gains, has exerted downward pressure on gold prices. This trend follows noteworthy events such as Japan's unsuccessful interest rate hike and Switzerland's surprise interest rate cut, highlighting the contrasting monetary policies between the US Federal Reserve and its global counterparts.
In light of these developments, it's essential to stay informed and agile in our investment strategies.
Should you have any questions or require further clarification, please feel free to reach out.
DXY Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in an uptrend
And made a pullback and
Retest of the new support
Level of 104.078 from
Where we are seeing a
Bullish rebound so
I think that we will see
A further move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Rates not acting as if a cut is coming...Let's look at rates for a bit.
Short term #yield is slowly climbing the trend line.
1 & 2 Year.
Longer term #interestrates look similar to the short term.
10 & 30 Year.
US #Dollar not as strong as bond yields but it is trading similar to them.
TVC:TNX TVC:DXY
The Great Wall of 1.0805 Daily Level 🐼Enough to Stop the Risk-Off Sentiment? Daily Level 1.0805 may act as a temporary support level and we may observe a bounce and retracement early in the week here. During the first session of the week, Asian has observed some nice volatility off this Daily support level created on March 1st of this Month. 18 pips bounce already and I anticpate that by the end of New York session we will observe some sort of dead cat bounce after the freefall drop from the prior week. Target for a retracemnet is 1.08279 4hr zone. Retracements are a healthy part of a trending market but we don't have to bounce necessarily. We may very well just cntinue to drop towards our next siginifcant level and clear a 40 pips range down to Weekly Support level 1.0768.
Intro and monthly timeframe 0:0
Weekly timeframe 2:13
3:52 daily timframe
6:29 4hr timeframe
7:49 1hr timeframe
TECHNICAL TUESDAY 3/26/24Today may or may not pan out as far as triggering an entry.
As of right now we are hitting 2 out 5 on the checklist which means, NO ENTRY.
Will revisit at 0845.
what will I be looking for?
US Core Durable Goods Orders
US Durable Goods Orders
Why? Because 'actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for precious metals. If this happens at 0830, Ill feel better about entering the buy stop.
Why will I not be selling even if given a signal? Welp Jimothy, because its above water and thats a no-no.
And for the love of sweet baby Jesus, please dont over leverage.
********Disclaimer********
The trade ideas and insights provided on this channel are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for everyone. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content shared here is based on personal opinions, analysis, and interpretation of market trends, and it may not always be accurate or up to date. By participating in these trade ideas and insights, you acknowledge that you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions and any outcomes that may result. The moderators and administrators of this channel shall not be held liable for any losses incurred from trading activities. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before engaging in any trading activities.
UJWe are still holding and waiting before actually placing this order. We need more confirmation, especially that of high volatility and high impulsive energy before we are certain.
Wait for the break of the current channel.
Waiting for retest
Enter
- Those are the rules for this idea before we even enter.
It looks tempting and a break of 151.200 looks like the magic price but its just a level to watch not to trade on.
Always remember these forecasts / ideas / predictions are all mine not ours, not for you. This is my way of journaling and keeping record for myself and own trades, anyone that follows this advice, idea or sentiment is by your own risk and own decision.
DXY is rising, target 106.5 (3/25/2024)Hello Traders
After the FED interest rate decision, USD markets faced some volatility, now it seems the DXY market has decided its direction.
DYX had an upward momentum from "28 Dec 2023" until mid of "Feb 2024", we faced some correction after that until 8 March when NFP and Unemployment news were released.
Since then DXY has been rising slowly but surely,
We expect this bullish momentum to stay alive until mid of "April 2024" with a 106-106.7 target.
DXY has made an AB=CD pattern. The AB leg and the BC leg have been made, so we believe that the market right now is going to build the CD leg.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
USDZAR to 13 rands per dollarBased on the chart, Im seeing nothing else but a sell from here. Weekly has a crazy divergence between the price and the RSI.
A Top was created in February 2016.
Range 19 to 20 rands is a liquidity area. from here if price does not break above 20 rands, then expect more price drops from here.
Based on my TA, from November 2023 till 22 January 2024 we were in a correction cycle to complete wave cycle 2, so from here im expecting a further drop for wave cycle 3 an Impulse down which always comes after correction, then once wave cycle 3 is complete then i will come with an update because we need to also have wave cycle 4 and 5.
So basically this year is gonna be changing for Rands against dollar. Im just here wondering on whats gonna happen with the S.A politics which is gonna lead to rand gaining strength against the dollar, but lets watch and we gonn see. Im just excited for this year man.
EURUSD - Short Trade IdeaBearish trade idea on EURUSD.
The next DOL/Target from my point of view is the REQLs below 1.0795 at the first objective.
My POI to look for a short is within the 12h Sibi residing not too far away which is also a Unicorn setup. There is news on Tuesday, either to initiate the manipulation and reversal, or continuation of the reversal that will happen today (Monday, 25th March 2024). This is what I am anticipating and will wait for price to show evidence of a reversal before initiating a short.
- R2F
UJHad a beautiful setup with this last week, added entries along the way. Had a buy limit which wasn't triggered but the forecast was correct. Our aim is to be the best meteorologists out there.
Current price is consolidated, which indicates that we are about to have an impulse (demand order). This will help us determine which direction we set our orders. Opening will also help give us perspective on where and what we need to look out for.
But we did get a double top, so we should expect a bear run but it is not certain or guaranteed yet. If we close below 150.500 then we can start looking for entries.
TRADE IDEA : wait for price first Sell Stop
SL - 151.25
Entry - 150.45
TP -146.5
Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Imbalance & Bullish Outlook 💵
Dollar Index broke and closed above a key daily horizontal resistance,
forming a strong bullish imbalance.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone.
I anticipate more growth.
Next resistance - 104.85
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DXY : A bull run?Before anything ,
I have spent 8 years navigating the financial markets, with Level 3 CFA and a Master's in Finance under my belt, I've seen my fair share of trends.
The value of the US Dollar Index is influenced by several factors, including decisions by the Federal Reserve (Fed), US government actions, and the overall health of the US economy. The Fed's monetary policy, statements by the US administration, and US economic data all play a role in how strong the US dollar is compared to other currencies.
and you can check this link and take a look on the technical bias: www.investing.com
As we can see a Resistance level at 104.42-104.45 and a Support level powered by a fair value gap on daily time frame at 103.2-103.8.
Is DXY about to pump to 105.??Based on the daily chart, I'm expecting a correction to 105 before bearish continuation. If 105 does not hold then we like will see dollar getting strong, so that leaves a question of whats gonna happen to pairs trading against the dollar?? but I am expecting 105 to hold, then from then bearish continuation to complete wave 5 since if 105 holds then our wave 4 will be around that price.
In summary:
Pump to 105 is expected.
105 breaks then expect 108.
105 holds then expect further drop on DXY till new Lows below 100.