XAUUSD Technical Analysis 20th March 2024 1h chart– Tuesday Daily candle closed weak Bearish around 2157.600 as price rejects the previous Daily Low, I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2163.000 targeting 4h Resistance around 2169.500 and next 4h Resistance around 2175.000, I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2151.300 targeting 1h Strong Support around 2144.300 and 30min Previous Strong Resistance around 2135.000. High Impact News ahead of the New York session for the US Dollar for Bank Rate decision which may bring High Volume to the market.
Dollar
Trading with the Risk-Off Sentiment 🐻📉 Hello Traders! Welcome back to another Top-Down Analysis of EurUsd. I've found that only trading 1 Pair/Instrument is a great way to reduce your risk exposure in the markets. There are a few reasons for this --- 1) I only have to pay attention to the news announcments for the -EUR & -USD 2) The currency pair has it's own nuances and characteristics that I may not understand If i were to trade many pairs.
3) It's session-session behavior is easier to follow since I'm only following 1 pair
With that said, Eur/Usd did decrease over the previous session as I anticipated and called out in the Analysis. This was for a few reasons.. Market sentiment has shifted to risk-off slightly due to increasing inflation and better than expected NFP jobs data (also boosts inflation). We also have interest rates in 2 days and there is uncertainty about that.. (even more of a reason to buy the safe haven dollar)
Next target for shorts is 1.08510.. In the meantime it is possible that we may pullback to 1.089 Daily resistance level that was created today for a last minute retest before more downside to come. I have a strong Bearsh bias leading up to interest rates here
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1:41 weekly timeframe
3:02 daily timeframe
517 4hr tiemfame
8:01 1hr timeframe
DXY Index Can Go Up by Classical Technical Analysis Pattern🚀🏃♂️The DXY Index is moving in the 🟢 Support zone($102.87-$102.43) 🟢.
📈 Regarding Classical Technical Analysis , the dollar index has successfully formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , the dollar index has completed a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) in the 🟢 Support zone($102.87-$102.43) 🟢.
🔔I expect the DXY Index to rise to at least the 61.8% Fibonacci level and Resistance lines .
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰.
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DXY: Will the Fed hike rates and give the dollar a boost?Attention Traders,
In today's trading session, our focus is on DXY, where we see a potential buying opportunity around the 103.500 zone. DXY, after trading in a downtrend, appears to be gearing up for a breakout. Should we witness rallies surpassing the 103.500 resistance area, we'll be eyeing a retracement of this breakout towards higher levels.
Now, the big question on many traders' minds: Will the Fed hike rates and give the dollar a boost? Recent indications from the Federal Reserve suggest that rate cuts are off the table for the time being. Moreover, the United States is experiencing sustained inflationary pressure, as evidenced by both CPI and PPI figures consistently surpassing expectations. Additionally, the labor market remains robust. Considering all these factors collectively, the stage seems set for the US dollar to outperform its counterparts.
Stay sharp and trade wisely.
Best regards,
Joe
XAUUSD Technical Analysis 19th March 2024 1h chart– Monday Daily candle closed weak Bullish around 2160.400 forming weak Daily Support around 2156.000. I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2164.400 targeting 1h Resistance around 2172.000 and Weekly Resistance around 2179.200, I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2154.400 targeting recent 4h Support around 2147.300 and next Hourly Strong Support around 2140.500. As Daily formed weak Daily Support for Monday, If price break below 2146.100 during High Volume Time there will be a higher probability for price to continue bearish to at least 2030s.
Red Previous Weekly Candle Vs Weak Usd Data🛡️⚔️Hello Traders.. Another new week of trading ahead. No news announcements to kick off the week so expecting some smooth price action. Monday's can move nicely as volatility is typically lower. It's during the end of the week when we observe more aggressive trends and thats when you can really let your winning trades run. Coming out of the Weekly candle closure from last week, we may observe a continuation of bearish momentum towards 4hr zone 1.0873 or the next daily support level 1.08516. We also should consider the weak data that came out for the USD on Friday.. Consumer sentiment and Manufacturing data both missed expectations and the Daily candle for Friday closed Bullish.. In this case we may observe an increase towards extreme level 1.090 flat.
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1:14 Weekly timeframe
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XAUUSD Technical Analysis 18th March 2024 1h chart– Previous Weekly candle closed Bearish around 2156.000 forming Daily Resistance around 2179.500, Friday Daily candle closed Bearish breaking below recent Daily Support formed on Wednesday last week. I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2160.800 taregting 1h previous Support formed at 2166.800 and 1h Resistance around 2172.600. I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2152.800 targeting 4h Support around 2146.200 and 1h Strong Support around 2140.500. Despite the Friday closing Bearish breaking below recent Daily Support it would be ideal to wait for the new Daily candle to form a top wick first before breaking the lows to have a higher probability for price to continue bearish.
USDJPY: Your Trading Plan For Next Week 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is testing a key daily horizontal resistance.
The price formed a double top formation, approaching that.
To sell the market with a confirmation next week,
let the price break and close below 148.97.
It will be a strong bearish confirmation.
The price will drop then at least to 148.65 level.
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US Dollar Four Day OutlookIt's always important to look the US Dollar when determining the outlook for Bitcoin. Remember, when the US Dollar rises, Bitcoin does the opposite, which is why the price of BTC is experience in the red.
However, looking at the US Dollar Chart, the DXY is oversold on the Relative Strength Index. This is a bullish momentum for Bitcoin, as the US Dollar can experience a pullback for the next four days.
We need to wait confirmation on the MACD on the four hour timeframe.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH.
Dollar Index (DXY): Detailed Structure Analysis 💵
Here is my latest structure analysis and important key levels to watch on Dollar Index.
Resistance 1: 103.4 - 103.8 area
Resistance 2: 104.1 - 104.3 area
Resistance 3: 104.9 - 105.0 area
Resistance 4: 105.9 - 106.1 area
Support 1: 101.9 - 102.2 area
Support 2: 100.6 - 100.9 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURAUD,🔴It Bearish...?🔴(Details on Caption)
I like this chart 📊
Please pay attention to the details.
The price did the stop hunt and create the FVG, then could not continue to go higher and created the inversion. After that, by closing the candle's body below the last down-close candle, the price activated the breaker block, and also the market structure shifted.
Now, the price has moved higher and it is close to the premium, so we are looking for a sell position.
In that case, a bearish breaker block and buy-side liquidity formed inside the FVG are our confidence in a bearish move.
It is a high-probability setup, but this market is all about probability, so stick to your risk management. Do not forget we need LTF confirmation to execute the sell position.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️15/03/2024
🔎 DYOR
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XAUUSD Technical Analysis 14th March 2024 1h chart– Thursday Daily candle closed Bearish at 2162.200 closing above recent Daily Support formed on Wednesday 13th March 2024. I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2167.500 targeting Daily Resistance formed on 14th March 2024 around 2174.500 and next Daily Resistance formed on 12th March 2024 around 2182.500. I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2157.000 targeting 1h previous Resistance formed on 7th March 2024 around 2149.400 and next 1h Strong Support formed on 6th March 2024 around 2141.200. High Impact News ahead of the New York session for the US Dollar which may bring volatility to the market before the Weekly candle closing.
USDCHF: Bullish Move From Key Level 🇺🇸🇨🇭
I see a strong bullish confirmation on USDCHF after a test of a key support:
The price formed an ascending triangle formation on a 4H time frame
and violated its neckline.
I think that the price will reach 0.8855 level soon.
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XAUUSD Technical Analysis 14th March 2024 1h chart– Wednesday Daily candle closed Bullish forming Daily Support around 2158.400. I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2180.000 targeting 4h Strong Resistance formed around 2186.700 and 30min Resistance around 2193.300. I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2169.800 targeting 1h Support around 2163.300 and 4h Strong Support around 2156.800. High Impact News ahead of the New York session open for the US Dollar which will bring some volatility to the market.
DXY is turning bullish short term.The U.S. Dollar Index is coming off a three day rebound after the 1D RSI almost touched the oversold (30.000) level. Even though the 1D technical outlook is bearish (RSI = 35.930, MACD = -0.200, ADX = 51.582) this small reaction is most likely the start of a counter trend rebound like late June 2023, which reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently we are taking a short term long, targeting a little over the 0.5 Fib (TP = 103.800). For the past 14 months, DXY has been basically consolidating.
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