We shall Continue with Bullish activity on GOLD?Looking for a bullish play as I seen the Dollar broke its weekly level. Looking for it to continue but need to see a pullback for entry first. We must wait for the killzones for sure.
Dollar
EurUsd ShortEUR/USD Short Idea
The EUR/USD pair is approaching the 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 resistance level, which aligns with a significant supply zone and a potential area for bearish reversal.
Key Analysis:
Resistance Zone:
The 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 levels marks a critical resistance where selling pressure has previously emerged.
Technical Indicators:
RSI is approaching overbought conditions, indicating limited upside potential.
Bearish divergence may form if momentum weakens near this level.
Fundamental Context:
A stronger USD due to hawkish Fed sentiment or economic data could pressure EUR/USD downward.
Eurozone economic uncertainties may add to bearish bias.
Entry: Short positions around 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204
This setup offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity in a high-probability reversal zone.
Trade Uncertainty and Fed Stance Keep Silver Prices ElevatedSilver held at $32.50 per ounce after a 4.4% weekly gain, as trade tensions and U.S. inflation data kept investors cautious. Uncertainty grew after Trump warned of new tariffs on Canadian dairy and lumber, following a U.S. delay on 25% tariffs for Canadian and Mexican goods. Canada upheld retaliatory measures, while China’s tariffs on U.S. agriculture took effect. Concerns deepened after Trump avoided recession and inflation questions in a Fox News interview. Fed Chair Powell signaled no rush for rate cuts despite rising economic risks.
If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
UK Budget Forecasts and GDP Data Set to Shape Pound’s Next MoveThe pound hovered around $1.29, staying near a four-month high as dollar weakness persisted amid U.S. economic concerns and tariff risks. Sterling remained supported by expectations that UK interest rates will stay high, with traders adjusting BoE rate cut forecasts to 52 bps for 2025. Investors now await January GDP data for economic insights, while the UK’s budget watchdog will release updated economic and borrowing forecasts on March 26, potentially influencing market sentiment.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
USDCHF BUY NOW!!Nice wyckoff distribution, we can see price now heading higher, structure indicate buying pressure is coming in the market!!!
Nice risk to reward!!! see you later
Waiting for GOLD to Act right!Looking for a bullish play but waiting for price to get the shakes out. It is stuck inside of rotational value on a much larger scale. Need to see it break outside of that Value.
Gold looks ready for a sell off toward 2860Currently, the price of gold is at the Point of Control (POC) level, which suggests that we may see some weakness in the market. Based on my analysis, I expect a pullback towards the 2860 level. This is supported by a Wyckoff distribution pattern that indicates sellers are gaining strength, especially since we've observed a lower high around the 2906 level.
Stay tuned for more updates!
SHORT ON GBPUSDGBPUSD has reached a key supply area and has given a change of character from up to down on the hour timeframe.
There is plenty imbalance/fvgs to the downside that I expect price to go and fill.
The Dollar Index is currently shifting to up from down, this should aid in this pair falling.
I will be selling GBPUSD to the next demand level for 300 pips.
Omnichart presents - NIFTY/(USDINR) long term trend Nifty's performance when compared to US dollar (vs its base currency i.e. Indian Rupee) broke above a long term since 2007 resistance through Dec 2020. As you can see it broke above the blue line in Dec 2020 and has been outperforming the dollar - to -rupee. What this means is that investing US dollars to buy Nifty started becoming more profitable in Dec 2020 vs just keeping the wealth in US Dollars (not converting to INR). This is in a long term uptrend - what this means is that investing US dollars in NIFTY long term is a profitable strategy.
DXY will be fine (95)The dollar index expects to fall into the 95 area. Regardless of who wins tomorrow, the dollar will fall until 2025. The new government's realization of how sad everything is now will delay the process of a sound market. Vote!
CLOSED MARKET Review on Upcoming Week for Gold!Taking the time to empty out my thoughts as we get ready for another week. NFP last week held up a lot of price action that could of happened. now that we are past it we should get some significant moves. just have to wait for the killzones.
The US Dollar Index is Decreasing - Positive for Cryptocurrency#DXY #Analysis
Description
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+ The Dollar Index has breached its support level and is now trading below it, moving toward the next support zone around $100.
+ This development is positive for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as the US Dollar Index typically declines during a bull run.
+ In the long term, I anticipate further declines, potentially reaching the $90 range.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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VectorAlgo
SHORT ON EUR/USDEUR/USD has Reached a Major Resistance Area/Zone and is highly over brought.
The Dollar (DXY) is inverted with the Eur/usd negatively. The dollar is highly oversold and should rise from its major Demand zone.
This should cause the Euro to Fall from its resistance zone.
Dollar has news at 8:30 for Unemployment claims. If the news is somehow good for the dollar and causes it to rise, the Euro will have the potential of reaching about 400 pips over the next few days.
I will be selling EUR/USD to the demand level shown.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pairing pressed the accelerator pedal and produced another strong session on Wednesday, rising a further 0.85% and marking a third consecutive session of solid gains.
Despite warnings that the UK economy as a whole is weakening, markets rose following Wednesday's Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy hearing. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said inflation is expected to rise moderately despite weaker growth figures, prompting markets to adjust expectations of a rate cut before the end of 2025. Rates markets now expect less than 50bp of overall interest rate cuts before the end of the year.
ADP's employment change for February showed just 77k new jobs, well below the forecast of 140k and March's 186k. Despite this, ADP results have not consistently correlated with Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) since the reporting change in 2022, so the low reading is of little significance.
There is little of note on the UK side of the economic data list this week, so the key data for traders remains US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), which will be released this Friday.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2900, SL 1.2820, TP 1.3050
DXY DXY has moved in the great downward channel since its inception. Locally, the index may rise to the resistance line. Eventually, I expect it will achieve its lows during the 20s.
Best regards EXCAVO
DXY will go first to 95 and then 86.Hi, another dollar index DXY chart today.
You can make many predictions about how the world will be in the future, I have all just cycles + structures and charts.
At this point, that opinion may not be in line with those policy statements by world leaders. But we're not here to discuss politics.
Best regards EXCAVO
Remaining Bullish on Goldyesterday was the Non Farm Payroll news. Price stalled till it was time for news then pulled back to fill in a H4 Gap. Now I'm looking for price to continue bullish. There is not Area that they did not fill in so I'm thinking they might just come out the gate running soon as we are inside of the killzone. waiting for the killzone is the key though.
USOIL reaching the vital decision-making point... Are you a Buyer or a Seller at this point?
Chart is clean and clear...
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000:
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025
🔹 Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
Immediate Support:
$2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally.
$2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA.
Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario):
$2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows.
$2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance:
$2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum.
$2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains.
Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario):
$2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel.
$3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target.
🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown:
Bullish Case (Breakout):
Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness.
Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum.
Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension).
Bearish Case (Reversal):
Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment.
Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift.
Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low).
Neutral/Range-Bound:
Range: $2,835–$2,950.
Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950).
🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week:
U.S. Jobs Data (March 7):
Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000.
Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800.
Fed Commentary (March 5):
Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835.
Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+.
Geopolitical Surprises:
Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000.
De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800.
🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor:
RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound.
MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias.
Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume.
📈 Summary:
Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline).
Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological).
Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
DXY Dollar Index OutlookThis is my current Elliott Wave count for the DXY Dollar index. I have a couple of variations which I will share but this one sees a decline starting with a leading diagonal in red wave 1 which is close to completion. May see a pull back in red 2 before a strong move lower in 3. The alternative is a nesting 1,2,1,2. If that's the case then a strong decline could continue from here.
Gold Confirms its Bullish for the week!The bullish play that I was looking for ended up playing out. Now I'm looking for it to continue but sitting on hands till it gives up a solid entry point. Waiting for the killzone is key.
DXY BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅DXY is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead of 105.400
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 106.200
LONG🚀
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LETS GOOOO!!! NEW WEEK ON GOLD!!!Looking for the moves an I think we will come out the gate moving bullish all week. Practicing patience and waiting for the killzone before getting active on anything. Expecting some good moves starting tonight.
