The Bullish and Bearish Arguments for DXYThe bullish and bearish trendlines as we currently stand. Bulls will tell you that we have broken the white resistance and are going sideways before a move up, citing higher lows since (90.0). Bears will tell you we are continually being rejected off the blue line, and are still in a strong downtrend on higher time-frames.
PERSONALLY I tend to agree with the bears in this case. Money printing and government stimulus are driving the economy in the current climate and i feel DXY will range for a bit, and then drop below (90.0) with a 4-5% drop. I say this because on high time frames, previous dips have lasted for over 32 days and drop at least 4.2% each time (planning on publishing a chart on this soon so look to my profile for more info)
If you enjoy my amateur insight and have anything to add please like and/or comment. Best of luck
Dollar_index
DXY : Is in a demand zone? Hello to all,
DXY came to a demand zone i think.
Thus we could wait a bullish impulse from this zone. The price is moving between 78.6 and 88.6 of fibonacci levels.
May be it want to test the 88.6 level at least but in every situation i'm waiting the bullish move to 92.50.
At the same time i see a bullish divergence on RSI. Price is making lower low bottoms but the oscillator is not.
After any candle close above the 90.80 the bullish move will be faster. We could follow this breakout with lower timeframes next week.
Have a good weekend all. If you find this analysis useful, please support this idea with LIKE and writing a COMMENT.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐The MOST IMPORTANT CHART of the year ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐1. Dollar is looking for direction (will it bounce off this level or will it drop/ and how much?)
2. NFP tomorrow is HUGE data coming out and will push Dollar over or off the current level (price is now on a crucial support level )
3. Next inflation data (Dec 10) and trade balances will be crucial data
4. Dollar price will affect most of your trades:
- metals (negative correlation- especially Gold , Silver , Copper )
- indices (positive coefficients, which means that as the value of the U.S. dollar increases, so do the stock indexes )
- stocks (which shares to choose / which to sell / how to diversify and hedge - 40% of shares follow the dollar)
- Bitcoin (the new safe haven to many may increase dramatically if the dollar crashes)
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐The MOST IMPORTANT CHART of the year ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐1. Dollar is looking for direction (will it bounce off this level or will it drop/ and how much?)
2. NFP tomorrow is HUGE data coming out and will push Dollar over or off the current level (price is now on a crucial support level )
3. Next inflation data (Dec 10) and trade balances will be crucial data
4. Dollar price will affect most of your trades:
- metals (negative correlation- especially Gold , Silver , Copper )
- indices (positive coefficients, which means that as the value of the U.S. dollar increases, so do the stock indexes )
- stocks (which shares to choose / which to sell / how to diversify and hedge - 40% of shares follow the dollar)
- Bitcoin (the new safe haven to many may increase dramatically if the dollar crashes)
DXY False Break or begin of a new Down trendMarket is at the bottom of a Bullish channel and is forming a bearish dark cloud cover on the weekly
Prior the market formed a bearish double top but failed to hold. Market found a strong level of support
at the top of the double top. I see the market forming a Bullish head and shoulders with the right tip at
the bottom of the channel.
I expect the market to have a false breakout and test the level of support one more time before the
continuation of the bull run. In doing so the market has formed a double bottom witch is a strong bullish singn.
DXY THE BIG PICTURELooking at 12 year Up-Trend on DXY we are now facing either way on coming near term months.
Rejection could keep the consolidation
A break and close below TL could test 88.2
This is a big picture for DXY and its situation and keep in mind 1 month chart has huge gap.
Thumbs and Thanks,
Dollar is in FreeFALLThe elections proved what we already knew. Trump’s re-election would be good for the dollar, at least in the short-term, whereas a Biden win is distinctively negative. Why? More stimulus is great for stocks, precious metals—everything except the dollar. Both Trump and Biden planned to massively increase spending, but Biden is expected to spend so much more than Trump on everything from clean energy, to free education, healthcare, infrastructure, welfare payments, and artificial intelligence. This means another massive increase in debt, which the IMF forecast two weeks ago. Who is going to pay for all of this new debt? The Fed, of course, by printing more dollars out of thin air. This is extremely negative for the dollar. The dollar remains near perfectly negatively correlated to Gold . What is bad for the dollar is good for Gold , Silver , and the miners.
It is clear that a Biden victory is therefore the best news for precious metals and miners. While I am cautiously optimistic that the lows have been seen in the precious metals space and the mega-rally has begun to new highs, there are several key issues to consider:
1. Trump has not conceded. Quite the opposite. He plans to challenge the legitimacy of critical Biden ballots all the way up to a Supreme Court dominated by Republican appointees.
2. The Democrats lost seats in the House, but more importantly, the Senate remains in Republican hands. Even if Biden is confirmed, the stalemate on stimulus could continue for quite some time. The recent euphoria could be reversed somewhat as that reality settles in.
The biggest risk, but a low probability, is that the markets get carried away with a Biden presidency and Trump ultimately wins out, courtesy of the Supreme Court. This would cause a massive reversal of all the market moves post election day, not to mention widespread social unrest.
On the technical front, the dollar was sent packing at the 50-day moving average and established a lower high. Support at 92.47 has broken now, the first sign of real trouble. We break thru the 91.75 support and strap in for the drop.
The Dollar Will Continue to Devalue. DXYDXY is USD Currency index. The chart is clearly bullish, therefore more USD will come from the same basket of currencies. Thus, USD value will continue to drop. I suppose this is not news to anyone who has been following the news and in light of all the money printing byt the fed reserve. Anyway, Fibgoals are where they are. Not financial advice.
A BEARISH DOLLARPRICE HAS BEEN ACCUMULATING FOR THE PAST 3 MONTHS, IN AN AREA WHERE ON THE HIGHER TIME FRAMES, LEFT AN IMBALANCE IN PRICE. BELOW THIS AREA OF IMBALANCE WE STILL HAVE MORE PRICE INEFFICIENCY IN THE 80'S PRICE RANGE. PRICE DID IT'S THING AND HAS TRAPPED BREAKOUT TRADERS AND NOW, THE EXPECTATION IS TO SEE PRICE MOVE LOWER TO FILL SOME OF THE INEFFICIENCY BELOW. PROJECTING PRICE TO GET TO AT LEAST 85.50
DXY - Dollar SellHi trades,
Watch your lower time frame for your sell setups. If the price will aggressively break to the upside this setup will become invalidated. So keep an eye on your lower time frame for sell setups. I do anticipate that the price will be keep falling until the 3rd of November - USA ELECTION. After the election we can anticipate a DXY Dollar index to rise.