Dollar_index
Strong rally from MA line drive Dollar Index to 100DXY experienced an amazing week so far and it is charging the 100$ resistance zone again.
The rally started from the 50 weeks MA line.
Near 100$ DXY will meet the psychological structure zone and the Fast MA line as resistance. Will this zone kill the Dollar's comback?
Still ahead this week - Dragi, Fed members and G7
USDJPY - WELCOME BEARS!!USDJPY has finally reached the top of the trend line. we now have consolidation happening. If price comes below the consolidation box 111.900 this will be a great area for shorting. We can expect to see 105 area if this happens. as of now we are currently waiting to see if the trend holds. RSI is making lower highs. Patience is key, so if we see price jump about 40 pips above the consolidation box this will be invalid.
Break of lower trendline, more downside momentum on DXY likelyThe US dollar index is at a turning point. For close to 6 months, this index has been in a converging symmetrical triangle that was playing out on the daily chart. During that time, many tests of both the upper and the lower bounds of the triangle have happened, but there was never an actual breakout. This has now changed.
On Friday, the DXY broke and closed below the lower trendline for the first time. It also broke the 5-month lows and it closed relatively strong to the downside. We need to see what happens next week, but my initial bet is that we might see more downside momentum. This would be in line with multiple setups I have added to my weekly watch list, where I also expect to see the dollar lose some strength. For more potential setups, have a look at my outlook for next week .
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Stuck between 200 days MA line and a daily uptrend lineThe Dollar Index gapped down last week following the French Elections.
The price couldn't close above its 200 days MA line despite multiple attempts.
What stands between DXY and the next support zone (harmonic support zone shown at the chart) is the uptrend line that still holds as support.
Key Price Zone this week - 99$
A close above the 200 days MA line can send DXY back towards 100$ and the downtrend line.
A close below 99$ can send DXY to test the harmonic support zone (2 AB=CD patterns) near 97.5$
Read more about this analysis and other trading scenarios in my weekly newsletter - #WeeklyMarketsAnalysis on Twitter
DX to resume uptrend next weekAlthough I am a long term dollar bear, I think next week we see some upside. Maybe even new highs later this year. Daily divergence at a major support is what interests me in a long
Dollar Index Preparing Next BreakdownThe past days the Dollar Index has been touching the lower range, it lackek bullish momentum to bounce back up cancelin the 5th wave. ADX shows that the bearish trend is still strong while the Stoch Rsi still indicates strong sell pressure. Because of this we can assume that the Dollar Index will break-out of the lower range next week.
Possible targets 98 and 97. Please note that on allot of Dollar pairs you see setups against the dollar, so this alligns with the bearish setup on the Dollar index.
This is what you need to know before the elections results EURUSD is trading inside a yearly trading range.
There's a daily uptrend line that EURUSD is currently still above.. and from above it has a daily downtrend line and the middle of the range - 1.1 (Resistance Zone).
In case of a bullish move, focus on 1.1.
A breakout above this price zone could send EURUSD towards 1.14-1.115 again to re-test the top of the range
In case of a bearish move, a breakdown of the 1.04 support zone can lead EURUSD towards parity and even lower.
As long as it stays inside the range, you can try and trade the range
Dollar Index Bullish SetupThe dollar index made a nice bounce back up from the lower green range. The Stoch Rsi indicator shows a possible bullish crossover and the Adx indicator shows a very weak bearish trend meaning that its more then likely the bulls will take over.
Because of this I see the dollar gaining some strenght this week and the dollar index attacking and breaking 100. It's most likely that this will be fueled alot by the Usd gaininst most of its strenght against the Cad and Jpy (see my Jpy chart).
If you're less bullish than I am on the Dollar then you should wait till the lower range breaks (around 99.40) and then sell the Usd
The Kiwi Bulls AwakeWe have finally reached the golden zone for a buy. I mentioned reaching this area in my previous post. As the week went by we saw the Dollar Index decline and this pair was doing the exact opposite of what it was supposed to do. The bulls allowed the bears to slowly bring price down to the .69300 area. That is the perfect place for a long term buy. for now i expect the pair to show signs of a retracement, followed by a strong push up.
Place your buys in now cause we wont see the .70 zone for a while.
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