Dollar_index
DXY UpdateOn the Last DXY post we followed the wedge and shorted this. we have now arrived at the bottom and I suspect that we will start climbing our way back to about 101 level or until we hit the falling trend line.
Long term it seems that this will be DXY last rise to the upside. failure to break above the wedge will result in a large decline.
POST ANY THOUGHTS.
USDCAD Daily Level Short (Mar 28, 2017)Dollar bears have been appearing to hold the 1.34000 level on USDCAD with a big volume selloff on Mar 15th. I shorted a 50% retracement around 1.34200 and looking to target 1.30200 though we do have first support at 1.33000. Will look to cut risk around that level.
Reached a potential Sell ZoneI've mentioned this price zone in this week's newsletter and, as expected, EURUSD is already testing it on Monday morning.
1.085-1.1 is a weekly resistance zone that include:
1) 200 days MA line
2) Daily downtrend line
3) Weekly Structure
4) AB=CD pattern
Although it is a wide price zone, I think you should pay attention to it and look for intra-day bearish reversal patterns that will allow you to better time a bearish entry.
the 1.085 is this week's focus zone with the 200 days MA line that should act as resistance.
CrudeOil Elliottwave View: Buy the dipStrategy: Buy the dip
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CrudeOil is in correction phase and looking for W-X-Y correction on weekly chart where target for Y is above 55. On Short term, we are waiting for good opportunity to go long. After breakout of bullish inner channel, we are on sideline and looking to see support on outer bullish channel.
1.24 is being tested as resistance 1.24 is the nearest resistance zone for GBPUSD and it is being tested as May announced triggering of Article 50.
1.24 stands in the way of GBPUSD and prevents it from continue towards 1.26 - The major weekly resistance zone I mentioned in this week's newsletter (check my website)
GBPUSD is still inside a trading range and can be traded on both sides from the current levels:
1) Bullish - A close above 1.245
2) Bearish - As long as it stays below 1.24 (or in case it'll reach 1.255-1.26)
Dollar Index rally coming after completion of abc correction.Hello folks, Looking at dollar index I'm expecting rally to upside though that will not be as big by looking at divergence in monthly chart, but up move is coming so i'm looking for current move to break previous low confirming an abc pattern then we will see. happy trading:)
DXY SHORTDollar Index falling down, last FED decision pushing it the same way. USA need money, Dollar became weaker, this will support Export in long term and bring more money to US economy.
Dollar index make corrections moves around 2,5%-3,5%. And long trends around 4,5% - 5,5%.
I expecting to go down 4,5% or even maybe to next support level around 96.72
Another attempt to break 102$DXY is up this morning following Trump's speech.
The Dollar is making another attempt to break above 102$ and continue towards 105$ to complete the bearish Crab pattern.
102$ is still a level that you can try and short DXY (or go long Majors) but notice that the Dollar bounced from the trend line and the Fast MA line - This is a sign of strength... not weakness.
Next high impact event for USD will be Yellen's speech on Friday.
(EURUSD & DXY) HOW INSTITUTIONAL TRADERS COMPARE THE MARKETS!MARKET ANALYSIS: As you can see from the charts both Eurusd and dollar index or showing opposite trade setups. So in Eurusd once the market breaks the flag pattern and closes above the zone we can go for a long. At the same time once dollar index closes below the rising wedge we can short the market below the zone for the given target.
Now this is how a institutional traders compares a trade setup with dollar index, Hope this helps. Cheers!
Dollar Index About to Drop With a sharp impulse to the down, the price of Dollar Index broke below the median line of the pitchfork which acted several times as support. It has now retraced into a correction and tested the median line now acting as resistance. Any sell setup completion at the median line will signal a drop of price affecting all the USD pairs.
violently been pull back out of the 1220 ish battle zone Trump speach before congress had a nice effect on the usd and gold react accordingly , went strait back into the 1220 battle zone the got vilently faught back out of it . I mean this kind of candle just mean reaction and the next support to the up side would be the 1240 1245 zone for completion of an nice head and shoulder pattern . If those price manage to contend price action then we can start talking about a reversal in the dollar . but it to soon for that on the other side a breach on the other side of the 1250 mark would mean a continuation of the up trend on the gold , so new target on the up side and down target on usd
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DXY Short (March 1, 2017)Today we ran a clean level of stops around 101.70 with a nice reaction and 4H pinbar. There has been some divergence in the recent up move though we could see more bullishness to 102-102.50 levels before turning. There is a liquidity void where orders were not filled around 99.00 which I believe we will need to fill before further upside.
U.S. Dollar Index Weekly Outlook + BIG Long Move Possible?The US-Dollar Index is in an intact impulsive long trend. After the weekly break of the sideways range a pull back towards the break out level or in other words around 100-100.5 zone was initiated.The possible upside breakout of the 1 ½ - year sideways range also underlines the current situation within the US-Dollar. After the Federal Reserve stopped QE 3 in October 2014 and started to think about rising rates the currency moved in a sideways range of uncertainty about a next potential rate hike. As the FED said that economic data should be waited to recover. For one and a half year the market moved in a range between 92-100. This is also shown in all USD-crosses such as the EUR/USD, that the USD made choppy moves on weekly time frames.
After the market indicated an upside move and a potential fundamental driver of the US election, the market finally broke out of the sideways range and closed above 100 on a weekly basis which confirmed the breakout. After the FED rose rates in December 2016 for another 25 basis points, market reacted with further upside movement. This fundamental driver gave technicals a sustainable kick to the upside. For the near term, fundamental drivers play with the question of the next rate hike by the FED and tax policy by President Trump, which will affect the US-Dollar heavily as well. We definitely keep an eye when evaluating new mid-longterm bullish US-Dollar trades.
However, currently market flirts again with the break out zone and seems to start its bullish move to the upside. BUT for an clear confirmation of a new start of an impulsive move the local highs ofaround 103 should be broken with a weekly close price, then we could easily see next weekly resistance of 107.75-110 with a potential pullback before. 107.75-110 is the price target of the projection from the sideways range. Bullish candle formation in weekly chart confirms that this breakout might not be a fake one. This indication told us that the uptrend might give a little pullback to the downside before continue due to an overbought market. This scenario is currently for some weeks of flirting with the resistance. We currently await for two scenarios for the DXY. Two scenarios:
- Market finds support and initiates further bullish movement and breaks the resistance zone of local highs at 103.8 (break out highs). This would be a continuation move that the next impulsive the long side has been confirmed.
- Market corrects a little further to the downside and holds support around drawn trend line after initiating further bullish momentum
We remain bullish on long-term.
As we look at our intermarket indications we could get confirmed with our statement, as they currently cooling down from capital outflow.
We always mention the importance of intermarket flows, as we believe that investors only repark their money due to sentiment and global macroeconomic conditions. Therefore, we always keep in mind the in-and outflows with the help of our intermarket indications that lead us towards better timing when making a trading decision. As you might know that timing is one of the most important things when it comes to trading.
As seen in the chart, our two of our intermarket indications showing a cool down of capital outflows and currently moving in buying territory which might indicate a soon inflow of capital towards other asset classes. We take into account always the BIG 4: Currencies, Bonds, Stocks and Commodities.
As always, trading is a probability game nobody is 100% and always use a stop-loss when trading. Trade with care.