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The Dollar(DXY): Charting the Path to Bullish MomentumGreetings Traders, I'm observing a sustained bullish institutional order flow in the Dollar, targeting the weekly and monthly buy stops as my buy-side objectives. Currently, we're operating within discount prices, having rebalanced the daily discount Fair Value Gap (FVG) and tapped into the mitigation block, a zone of institutional support. Additionally, price has respected the rejection block and provided a market structure shift, signaling a potential continuation to the upside. Watch the DXY & GBPUSD Weekly Outlook Video: Feel free to leave any questions you may have. Best Regards, The_Architect
TVC:DXYLong
by The_Archi-tect
2
DOLLAR INDEX DXY Bearish Side Heist PlanHola Ola Hello Traders, This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of DXY market. kindly please follow the plan i have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry, Our target is Green Zone it is High risk Dangerous area Consolidation will happen Bull Trend will continue to go Upside.. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Loot and escape near the target 🎯 support our robbery plan we can make money take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
TVC:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
Shorting DXY: A Calculated Gamble on a Weaker DollarShorting DXY: A Calculated Gamble on a Weaker Dollar, But Beware the Dragons The DXY, or US Dollar Index, measures the greenback's strength against a basket of major currencies. With rising global tensions and a potential shift in global power dynamics, the question lingers: is it time to short the DXY, betting on a weakening dollar? Let's explore the arguments for and against this strategy. The Case for Shorting DXY: A Multi-Pronged Approach • America's Shrinking Lead: The US, while still a dominant economic force, faces challenges. Its manufacturing base has shrunk, its national debt is ballooning, and infrastructure crumbles. These factors could erode confidence in the dollar's long-term stability. • The Rise of the Rest: China's economic power is undeniable. The yuan's internationalization efforts are gaining traction, potentially chipping away at the dollar's dominance as the world's reserve currency. Other economies like the Eurozone are also maturing, offering alternatives. • A Concerted Effort: Imagine a scenario where the US's major allies, concerned about American dominance, decide to weaken the dollar. This could involve measures like central banks diversifying reserves away from the US or pegging their currencies to a basket that excludes the dollar. While a hypothetical scenario, it can't be entirely dismissed. China: The Dragon in the Room China's displeasure with a weakening dollar is a significant risk factor. A weaker dollar makes Chinese exports more expensive, hindering their economic growth. China holds a significant amount of US Treasuries, and a devalued dollar would erode the value of those holdings. This could lead to China dumping US Treasuries, further weakening the dollar in a vicious cycle. Beyond China: Other Considerations • US Response: The US Federal Reserve has tools at its disposal to counter a weakening dollar. Raising interest rates, for instance, could entice investors back to the dollar for higher yields. • Global Instability: A devalued dollar could create global economic turmoil as countries scramble to adjust exchange rates and inflation spikes. This could be particularly damaging for developing economies. • Unpredictable Markets: Shorting any asset is inherently risky, and the currency market is especially volatile. Unforeseen events can drastically alter currency valuations. So, Should You Short DXY? The decision to short DXY depends on your risk tolerance and investment goals. Here's a breakdown: • For Aggressive Investors: If you believe in a long-term decline of the US dollar and have a high tolerance for risk, shorting DXY could be a potential strategy. However, careful risk management is crucial. • For Cautious Investors: The potential consequences of a weakening dollar, particularly China's reaction, are significant. It might be wiser to stick with less volatile investments or consider options strategies that limit your downside risk. Alternative Strategies Instead of shorting DXY directly, consider these alternatives: • Invest in a Diversified Currency Basket: Spread your risk by investing in a basket of major currencies, potentially benefiting from a weakening dollar while mitigating some of the risk. • Look to Emerging Markets: If you believe in the rise of other economic powers, consider investing in their currencies or stocks poised to benefit from a weaker dollar. The Final Bite The future of the US dollar is uncertain. A combination of factors could lead to its decline. However, the potential consequences, particularly China's response, are significant risks to consider. Carefully weigh the arguments before taking a short position on DXY. Remember, diversification and a measured approach are key in navigating the ever-fluctuating currency markets.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
US dollar Index Analyse for long termBearish Scenario: Increased Geopolitical Tensions: Escalation of the conflict leads to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, sparking concerns about regional stability and security. Risk Aversion: Investors flee from riskier assets, including the U.S. dollar, as uncertainty rises. Instead, they seek refuge in safe-haven assets like gold, driving up gold prices. Dollar Weakens: The U.S. dollar weakens against major currencies due to risk aversion and concerns about the potential economic impact of the conflict on global markets. This weakens the Dollar Index. Bullish Scenario: Resolution of Conflict: Diplomatic efforts or a ceasefire agreement lead to a resolution of the conflict between Israel and Gaza, easing geopolitical tensions in the region. Market Confidence: Investor confidence improves as the risk of broader regional instability diminishes. This encourages investors to move away from safe-haven assets like gold and back into riskier assets, including the U.S. dollar. Dollar Strengthens: The U.S. dollar strengthens against other currencies as investors return to dollar-denominated assets, leading to an increase in the Dollar Index. These scenarios highlight how the resolution or escalation of the conflict can influence investor sentiment, market dynamics, and the direction of both the U.S. dollar and gold prices.
TVC:DXY
by TraderFa9ir
6
DXY mini wave upward(5/7/2024)After the NFP and unemployment data, The DXY TVC:DXY faced a big correction. In this week, we believe this week is going to be calm because USD has no game-changing data. there is a possibility that the DXY is going to make some retracements in an upward direction. Our technical view has been shown in the chart. If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
ICEUS:DXYLong
by fortunamarkets
DXY (dollar index) weekly ideaCurrently, the dollar trend indicates a bearish direction, suggesting that pairs I typically trade, such as GU, EU, and gold, may rise. Presently, I anticipate a retracement to occur towards an 8-hour supply zone I've identified, facilitating the continuation of the bearish trajectory. This ideally aligns with my strategy until the price drops to around the 104 level, potentially sparking a bullish rally upwards. At that point, I'll need to seek selling opportunities for my other pairs. The dollar's price action appears clear, and there are still imbalances below that require fulfilment. Have a great trading week guys!
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
Yen Wobbles, Gold Gleams: A Stirring in Global Currency MarketsThe foreign exchange market witnessed a tug-of-war this week, with the Japanese yen (JPY) taking center stage. Speculation surrounding potential intervention by Japanese authorities to prop up the weakening yen against the US dollar (USD) sent ripples through the currency landscape. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a broad measure of the greenback's strength, dipped, impacting the price of gold, which became more attractive to some buyers. The Yen's Woes: Intervention or Market Forces? The Japanese yen has been on a depreciating streak recently, driven by a widening gap between Japanese and US interest rates. Japan's central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), maintains an ultra-loose monetary policy with near-zero interest rates, while the US Federal Reserve is signaling a more hawkish stance with potential interest rate hikes on the horizon. This disparity makes yen-denominated assets less appealing to investors seeking higher returns, pushing the yen's value down. The recent rumors of intervention suggest that Japanese authorities are concerned about the rapid depreciation of the yen. A weaker yen can be a double-edged sword. While it makes Japanese exports more competitive in the global marketplace, it also pushes up the cost of imported goods, leading to potential inflationary pressures within Japan. Intervention's Effectiveness: A Double-Edged Sword Currency intervention involves a central bank buying or selling its own currency to influence its exchange rate. In this case, buying yen would aim to strengthen it against the dollar. However, the effectiveness of such interventions depends on various factors. • Market Sentiment: If the market heavily anticipates further depreciation, a one-time intervention might have a limited impact. The BOJ would need to signal a sustained commitment to supporting the yen for a more significant effect. • Ammunition: Intervention requires significant financial resources. The BOJ's foreign exchange reserves would play a crucial role in its ability to sustain intervention efforts. The Greenback's Sway: DXY Dips, Gold Gleams The US Dollar Index (DXY) gauges the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of major currencies, including the euro (EUR), the Japanese yen (JPY), the British pound (GBP), and others. This week's dip in the DXY indicates a weakening of the US dollar against this basket of currencies. This can be attributed to several factors, including: • Profit-taking: After a period of strength, some investors might be taking profits from their dollar-denominated holdings. • Global Risk Aversion: Increased global uncertainty due to geopolitical tensions or economic concerns can lead investors to seek haven currencies, potentially weakening the dollar. Gold's Allure: A Beneficiary of a Weaker Dollar Gold is often perceived as a safe-haven asset during times of market volatility or economic uncertainty. When the US dollar weakens, gold becomes cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. This week's dip in the DXY could be contributing to some increased interest in gold. However, gold's price is influenced by various factors beyond the dollar's strength. Interest rates, inflation, and investor sentiment all play a role. Looking Ahead: A Dynamic Landscape The global currency market remains a dynamic environment, and the events of this week highlight how various factors can interact and influence exchange rates. The future direction of the yen and the DXY will depend on a combination of economic data releases, central bank actions, and broader market sentiment. Here are some key factors to watch in the coming days: • BOJ Policy Statements: Any signals from the BOJ regarding potential adjustments to its monetary policy could impact the yen's valuation. • US Economic Data: Upcoming US jobs reports and inflation data can influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, potentially impacting the DXY. • Geopolitical Developments: Global events with significant economic implications can trigger market volatility and impact currency valuations. By staying informed about these developments, market participants can make informed decisions about their currency positions and potentially take advantage of market opportunities.
Long
by bryandowningqln
DXY Index is Ready to Fill GAP🚀🏃‍♂️The DXY index is moving in the Ascending Channel and seems to have broken the 🔴 Heavy Resistance zone($105.88-$104.65) 🔴, and is currently moving in a small Descending Channel and making a pullback to this zone. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the DXY index has succeeded in completing the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) inside the descending channel . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys . 🔔I expect the DXY index to Gp UP to at least the 🔵 GAP($106.613-$106.504) 🔵after breaking the upper line of the descending channel . ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If the DXY index can break the lower line of the descending channel, we can expect the DXY index to drop more. U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYLong
by pejman_zwin
1
Mighty Dollar Roars Back: A Wake-Up Call for Global MarkeThe financial markets of 2024 have witnessed a surprising resurgence: the unwavering strength of the US dollar. After predictions of a decline at the year's outset, the greenback has defied expectations, surging over 4% according to the Bloomberg dollar index. This unexpected power play by the dollar serves as a stark wake-up call for investors around the globe, forcing a reassessment of global economic dynamics. Several factors are fueling the dollar's dominance: • Resilient US Economy: Contrary to forecasts of a slowdown, the US economy has displayed remarkable strength. Robust economic data, coupled with persistent inflation, has prompted the Federal Reserve to take a more hawkish stance. Rising interest rates in the US make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the currency. • US Exceptionalism Narrative: The perception of the US as a safe haven in a world riddled with geopolitical uncertainties is bolstering the dollar's appeal. Geopolitical tensions, exemplified by the ongoing war in Ukraine, are driving investors towards reliable and stable economies. The relative stability of the US, compared to global turmoil, strengthens the dollar's position as a go-to currency during times of crisis. • Sticky Inflation: The Federal Reserve's fight against inflation is another key driver of dollar strength. The Fed's commitment to raising interest rates, while potentially slowing economic growth, is seen as a necessary step to curb inflation. This hawkish stance stands in stark contrast to the dovish policies of central banks in other major economies, like the Bank of Japan (BOJ), which continues to maintain ultra-low interest rates. This divergence in monetary policy further strengthens the dollar's relative appeal. The Ripple Effects The resurgent dollar has significant ramifications for global markets: • Currency Devaluation: A stronger dollar puts downward pressure on other currencies. This can make imports into the US cheaper but exports from the US more expensive, potentially impacting global trade dynamics. Emerging market economies, particularly those heavily reliant on foreign capital, could face currency depreciation and capital outflows. • Equity Market Volatility: The rising dollar can create headwinds for equity markets outside the US. As the dollar strengthens, foreign investments become less attractive, potentially leading to capital repatriation and reduced liquidity in other markets. This could lead to increased volatility in global stock markets. • Commodities Market Impact: A strong dollar generally translates to lower commodity prices. This is because most commodities are priced in US dollars, so a stronger dollar makes them relatively more expensive for holders of other currencies. This could impact countries heavily reliant on commodity exports. The Road Ahead The future trajectory of the dollar remains uncertain. The path of US interest rates, the evolution of global economic conditions, and the persistence of geopolitical tensions will all be crucial factors shaping the dollar's strength. The current scenario presents both challenges and opportunities for investors. A strong dollar can create opportunities in US assets but necessitates careful portfolio diversification to mitigate currency risks. The evolving global landscape demands close monitoring and a nimble investment strategy to navigate the volatility. The resurgent dollar serves as a potent reminder of the US economy's enduring strength and its role as a global anchor currency. As the world grapples with geopolitical and economic uncertainties, the dollar's reign is likely to continue for the foreseeable future, demanding a recalibration of global investment strategies.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
DXY Next move!(4/22/2024)In our last analysis, the DXY TVC:DXY continued its upward movement. actually due to geopolitical crisis, the market was betting on stronger dollar. We believe that this week is going to be calm and slow market. we are still bullish on US dollar. Our technical view has been shown in the chart. If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
ICEUS:DXYLong
by fortunamarkets