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USD - FULL ANALYSIS [ICT Concepts]In the video I go through the timeframes in a top-down analysis, starting all the way from the yearly timeframe, down to the hourly timeframes. I share my thoughts on what I am looking for in order to build a bias for taking new trades. The key indicator for me is the creation of new Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and the disrespect of previous Fair Value Gaps. Occasionally, I add the confluence of Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks. Hope this is insightful. - R2F
TVC:DXY
by Road_2_Funded
Non-farm payrolls surpriseThe US reported a gain of 353K jobs in January, nearly double the expectations of 180K. On top of upward revisions worth 126K. Wages rose by 0.6%, double the expectations, and YoY they are up 4.5%, smashing estimates of 4.1%. Excellent data meant a straightforward reaction, with minimal reversals and an ongoing extension. The US Dollar is up, Gold is down, and stocks are also down, on fears of higher rates, while ignoring the good news for the economy. I expect the Dollar to remain on the rise for the remainder of the day. Any corrections will have to wait for Monday. Nevertheless, the odds of a rate cut in March are down, and only a dive in inflation could change that notion. In the meantime, the trend is clear.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by dc_analytics
FED Press Conference SummaryThe FED left rates unchanged as expected and removed language talking about potentially raising rates – also fully expected. The hawkish twist came from a comment on waiting to be more confident about falling inflation. That sent the USD up, risk assets down. Then came Powell with a dovish comment – he signaled the Fed only needs a continuation of data, not another big fall in inflation. That sent the US Dollar down. He then made a blunt hawkish twist – saying a March rate cut is unlikely, and not the base case. That triggered a wild reaction in favor of the Greenback and against everything else. He then calmed down by saying it all depends on the economy – data-dependent. All in all, the USD ends the day higher, stocks lower, Gold lower. But, it's not over. I still expect markets to look at the data, and if it shows a continuation of slowing inflation a cooling labor market – Nonfarm Payrolls are coming on Friday – everything will change.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by dc_analytics
The DXY Anomaly: Interpreting the Incoming CorrectionThis week's focus is on the potential for a minor retracement in the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), highlighted by a noticeable bearish divergence when compared with the 10-year Treasury yield and the 10-year T-Note futures. This divergence is particularly significant as it suggests a weakening momentum in the dollar's recent uptrend. While both the 10-year Treasury yield and the 10-year T-Note futures have succeeded in setting new highs, the DXY has not followed suit, failing to create a higher high. This disparity indicates that the upward movement in the 10-year Treasury yield and the 10-year T-Note futures could be attributed more to a liquidity-driven event rather than a fundamental change in market sentiment towards the dollar. As a result, we can anticipate possible bearish movements in forex pairs where the dollar is the base currency in the coming week. Conversely, in pairs where the dollar is the quote currency, there could be bullish movements. However, it is important to note that these expectations are also contingent on the performance and dynamics of the counterpart currencies in these pairs. Traders should monitor the DXY for early signs of a reversal and adjust their positions accordingly, keeping in mind the broader implications of a weakening dollar on various currency pairs. As always, a comprehensive approach that considers global economic news and geopolitical developments will be essential in navigating the forex market during this period of potential dollar retracement.
TVC:DXYShort
by Wiiso
Is the DXY in a long term downtrend? DXY Downtrend The 6 month candle chart suggests we could be in for at least two red quarters which would suggesting positive markets..... which seems contradictory to the current sentiment BUT not the current charts (S&P, NASDAQ,etc). The weekly chart currently shows the critical resistance at $1.00 and we appear to be heading straight for it. I genuinely think that given the 10 month SMA turning to the downside will act as resistance and the three tests of the underside support may puncture the resistance and lead to further downside., As always there are no guarantee's but the DXY chart in my opinion currently looks bearish long term. I am currently looking at a time based analyses at the which will follow Time will tell PUKA OUT
TVC:DXYShort
by PukaCharts
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 103.400 back down!As the dollar has been consolidating in the past week, opportunities near the current price are limited. However, my nearest Point of Interest (POI) is a supply zone on the 14-hour chart. I am looking to capitalize on this by selling to continue the bearish trend observed in the dollar index. I'll be patiently waiting for a breakout from this range, aiming to fill the imbalances above and eventually reach our identified supply zone. On the flip side, if price breaks below the consolidation, it could tap into a demand zone, sweeping liquidity beneath the range. In this scenario, I anticipate a bullish reaction, possibly a temporary move to the upside before eventually targeting our supply zone. Confluences for Dollar sells are as follows: - Overall temporary trend for this pair is bearish so this idea aligns with that bias. - Bullish pressure is now getting exhausted as you can see from the ranging price action - Price has left imbalances just below the supply that needs to get filled, validating our POI. - There is lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to be taken. - Price is due for a pullback to enter a level of supply if price wants to keep dropping lower. P.S. If price unfolds in a manner similar to how EURUSD is behaving, I will patiently await a breakout from this area. Subsequently, I will assess its behaviour and adapt my approach based on the information the market presents. Have a great week ahead traders!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
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