GOLD|Important supply and demand areasHello friends, I hope you are doing well.
We have the gold chart in 1 hour.Currently, gold is fluctuating in a trending range area and we have the top and bottom of the trending range to enter trading positions.
CPI data will be released today, if we have data that is in favor of gold, that is, the US inflation has decreased, this means that it will harm the dollar index and gold can move upwards.
We should know that apart from the top of the trending range, which is a resistance, we have the next resistance in the area of (2046-2044) and after the resistance that is the base of the falling movement, it is around (2066-2064).
On the other hand, if inflation is published more than expected, it will benefit the dollar index and can create selling pressure on gold.
The area that currently maintains the price is the area (2016-2019). If this area is broken, the next support is the price range (2004-2008) and then the price range (1990-1995).
If the price reaches these areas, we can enter trading positions with confirmation
Dollarindex
Post CPI Review - DXYAs you can see price has not broken out of this range on DXY. We have taken out equal highs, which means I am favoring lower prices if we can see a strong close below sell side. Otherwise if price does not break below I anticipate it staying in this range until next week. Trade safe traders!!
DXY: Potential Bearish Gartley PatternThere is potential for a Bearish Gartley pattern. DXY Up, BTC Down.
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Dollar Index - Two Paths For Q1 Based On Elliott Wave Dollar has shown a great volatility in terms of sharp and strong movements in the last few years, this instrument defiantly have a lot to prove to us before we change our long term view from Bearish to Bullish.
Primary Count : Tracking the move from Jul 23 as an incomplete correction, missing one more leg higher towards the 108.28-110.36 area before the next drop occurs.
Alternate Count : Consider the correction as already completed and anticipate a further decline of the US Dollar until the elections later this year.
For next few weeks, we want to be more bullish in any case and see how market will react from 105.00 but let's see...
DXY BEARISH MOVE IS STILL NOT FINISHED !!!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see DXY has done a retrace after a drop and now its a new entry for more sells as we had predicted in our previous analsysis incoming Friday NFP.... its just an trade idea share ur thoughts with us it will help all of us traders community
💹 U.S. DOLLAR INDEX next week prevision 💹In the dollar we can see that it has to continue its downward trend at least until it reaches areas between 99,700 and 98,490 minimum to end with the 5 of the Elliot wave since it has not reached 100% of the fibonachi extension of the last reverse wave. It is making a brief correction before going down again to break SL's and go down again as we observe a strong accumulation in the area where it closed last week. As soon as it has touched the 100%-127% zone, the bullish trend will continue since it has to go to areas of 108,200 minimum. In summary go short options in the short term and when you have touched the 100 level great opportunities to go long.
A Deep Dive into DXY's Fundamental LandscapeGreetings Traders,
Our focus pivots to the US Dollar Index (DXY), where we are actively evaluating a potential selling opportunity around the 102.900 zone. As DXY charts its course within a downtrend, the ongoing correction phase places it in proximity to the trend at the critical 102.900 resistance area. This comprehensive analysis delves into the fundamental landscape, incorporating key indicators such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions, highlighting the significance of monitoring DXY for a broader market perspective.
Commencing with the FOMC decisions, the most recent meeting on December 13, 2023, maintained the interest rate at 2.00%. The accompanying dovish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve underscores a commitment to supporting economic growth amidst inflationary pressures. This dovish stance has implications for DXY, as it sets the stage for potential weakness in the US Dollar.
Turning our attention to the CPI data, the latest figures reveal a year-over-year inflation rate of 1.2% for October 25, 2023. While this marks a slight increase from the previous 0.8%, it remains below the FOMC's target. The easing inflation provides the Federal Reserve with flexibility in its approach to interest rates, contributing to the overall dovish sentiment.
The interest rate differentials between the United States and other major economies further shape the DXY landscape. As of December 13, 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate stands at 2.00%, while other central banks, such as the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan, maintain lower rates. This divergence amplifies the potential for DXY weakness, as traders seek higher yields in alternative currencies.
Considering the broader market context, monitoring DXY is paramount before making trading decisions across USD pairs, gold, cryptocurrencies, and indices. The inverse correlation between DXY and these assets underscores the interconnected nature of global financial markets. A weakening DXY tends to boost the appeal of alternative assets, impacting trading dynamics across various instruments.
In conclusion, as we assess a potential selling opportunity around the 102.900 zone in DXY, the confluence of CPI and FOMC dynamics paints a nuanced picture of USD weakness. Traders are urged to keep a vigilant eye on DXY for insights into the broader market sentiment, influencing trading decisions across a spectrum of financial instruments.
Best of luck in your trades,
Joe
$DXY -Ballads of the Dollar *W (11 Consecutive Green Weeks) Its time for a Dollar Story !
(previous lin echart idea 100-105 Range; before & after to the current spot)
The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has managed to print 11 Consecutive Green Weekly Candlesticks,
rallying up as much as 8 % from its July/2023 99.580 Low.
A low violating all Technical aspects, which got us into a Short Idea but not
for long before changing bias
(idea's live chart)
TVC:DXY tried to close in Green its 12 Consecutive Candlestick Print, but failed to do so.
However,
during this up-rally time of Dirty Mighty TVC:DXY for the past 11 Weeks,
heavy negatively correlated assets like $EUR/USD and other major FX pair got
slapped on the face mercilessly,
as well so did the US Major Financial Markets and other Indexes and Equities,
but when comparing them with the Fiat Currencies market,
their blood shed was less.
Is about time for The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) to cool down for a while and correct ?
Fundamentally no,
as fear and troubles looms for a US Recession being just around the corner.
Technically (TA) speaking yes,
it is time for a brief correction,
would be totally fine for someone looking in to longing the Financial Markets or
exchanging their Fiat Dollars for other Major Fiat Currencies.
We can see TVC:DXY on line chart having broken the Range's Ceiling of 100-105,
as well retesting it (so far).
Holding it as Support or finding itself below again facing it as Resistance
shall be proven on upcoming week(s)
AUDUSD H4 / Looking for LONG ENTRY 📈 Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to AUDUSD H4. I expect a retracement from the resistance level, where we have also an OB. It's a good opportunity to entry long if the strategi is confirmed.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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DXY SELL ON RATE HIKES !!!HELLO TRADERS,
As i can see DXY DOLLAR had done a retrace after a long drop but still the downtrend is not finish yet ... so i can see a rejection here at this resistance zone so we are re enter on sell as we can yesterday FOMC MEETING show us a rate hike which is not good for Dollar & you can see geopolitical issue also around the world BRICK 70% country are supporting to Dump Dollar and trade in yuan also we can see wars escalating around the world which is not good for Dollar Fundamentally its a sell on DXY now lets see Technically whats going on charts its is showing us a clear view that after a drop its done on retrace and now its moving to daily Horizontal Support zone you can see our previous analysis we are selling DXY from 106.400 levels and now looking for more drop on DXY
Friends its just an trade idea Kindly share your thoughts and views on DXY with us in Comment session we appreciate your love and support it help all of our trader community
DXY - The Leading Index For 2024Hello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Dollar Index.
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Explanation of my chart analysis:
DXY (Dollar Index) has been forming a triple bottom all the way back in 2008 and has been rising ever since. With the recent break above the psychological $100 level, the DXY is once again confirming the bullish strength. If DXY doesn't break below this area, I am targeting new swing highs.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
EURUSD (A huge Earthquake is Coming)
Hello my friends, how are you doing?
I hope you will fulfil your ambitions ❤️❤️❤️
Today, I want to talk about EURUSD.
What a chart! wow.
Before that, I want to remember It's not financial advice. so, just see and think about it.
I'm just sharing my view and opinion of the chart. Please do your own research.
Don't waste time and Let's go into details 🌺🌺🌺
Based on the Elliot wave, we can count waves. each wave includes 5 microwaves and today I want to count the waves at EURUSD.
That's all we do. there is a very very important point in this chart and I want to tell you that.
Based on Elliot's theory, the second wave can retrace the first wave to a maximum of 0.618 Fibonacci. and if this retracement takes longer, we would expect to see an extended third wave.
Exactly, in EURUSD we see this situation.
Please check the first photo 👆👆👆
The second wave retraced the first one till 0.886 Fibonacci and it's so dangerous. so we expect to see an extended third wave.
in this case, we see the third wave moved to 4.618 Fibonacci. and it sounds strange. it's happened. exactly such as I said.
Please check all these photos.
And the Fourth wave can retrace to a maximum of 0.618 Fibonacci of the 3rd wave and the last wave (the fifth wave) will begin.
Now, it's time to calculate the last PRZ for the end of the fifth wave.
I did it for you guys.
And I expect the fifth wave to drop to 0.85-0.88.
it means that the worth of EURUSD drops to a zone between 0.85-0.88 and if this happens, all markets will drop soon.
please, for God's sake, watch the market. the situation is so complicated. don't forget to save your profit.
SP500, BTC, NDX and so on will drop soon more than you think.
✔️ ✔️ it was my duty to warn you about this earthquake.
I'm sure you are confused right now. But it's ok and there is no problem. Time Proves Everything.
If you have any questions, or if you need to know more details please don't hesitate to contact me.
🙏🙏 Please don’t forget to like 👍, follow ✌️, and share 👌 this analysis with your friends. Thank you so much for your attention and participation 🙏🙏
Wish you the best 🧞♀️
Sincerely Yours 🙏🙏
Ho3ein.mnD
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 101.800 down to 100.800The outlook for the Dollar this week is a continuation of its bearish trajectory. With a recent downside break in structure, I anticipate a correction, expecting the price to retrace into the 14-hour supply zone.
Upon entering my Point of Interest (POI), I'll wait for price distribution and a change in character as a signal that the dollar is prepared for a decline. Additionally, I acknowledge the presence of imbalances above the supply, suggesting the potential for a break beyond this supply into a more premium area.
Confluences for Dollar Sells are as follows:
- This bias aligns with the current bearish trend that has been perpetuated.
- Lots of major trend lines, equal lows and asian lows below on the higher time frame.
- There's a14hr supply zone that has broken structure to the downside causing BOS.
- For price to maintain its bearish trend it must react off a supply to trigger another sell off.
P.S. While the dollar maintains an overall bullish stance on the higher time frame, it's only a matter of time before price sweeps liquidity and reacts strongly to a major supply. However, given the current bearish movement, It's advisable to follow the existing trend instead of opposing it for the time being.
If you guys have any interesting perspectives on this market, feel free to share down below!
Dollar Index PivotBetting against the dollar is growing in popularity after the Federal Reserve upended markets by signaling the end of its monetary tightening campaign.
Non-commercial traders — a group that includes hedge funds, asset managers and other speculative market players — boosted their bearish bets on the greenback in the week ended Tuesday. More than 39,000 contracts are now tied to expectations the US currency will fall, up more than 10,000 from a week ago when the Fed was preparing to meet, the data show. The currency has suffered a pronounced slump in the wake of that confab, when the Fed released updated economic projections forecasting additional monetary easing next year. Indeed, while there are now more contracts betting on dollar weakness, the dollar value of those contracts has actually slipped to $5.5 billion, slightly lower than last week.
The dollar extended its drop on Friday after the Fed’s preferred gauge of underlying inflation showed muted price gains, affirming the central bank’s pivot toward interest-rate cuts next year.
What is your opinion on Dollar in 2024?
Trade with care
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🗺️DXY Index Roadmap🗺️🏃♂️The DXY index has been moving in the Descending Channel for over two months .
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , the DXY Index is near the end of the main wave 5 .
🌊If we want to look at the microwaves of the main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame , we will find that the DXY index is on the way to completing the microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
🔔I expect the DXY Index to start rising after touching the 🟢 Support zone($101.30-$100.80) 🟢, Support lines , and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and complete the main wave 5. The increase of the DXY index can fill the upper 🔵 GAP 🔵 and attack the upper line of the descending channel.
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TH KOG REPORTKOG REPORT:
There was no KOG Report on Sunday, so we’ll go straight into the week ahead.
For the next few weeks, into early January we can expect there to be a lot of ranging and choppy price action due to it being the end of the year. Just like trading is not recommended the last days and first days of a month, it’s also the same for the last weeks of the year and the first couple of weeks in the New Year. So, if you are going to trade, please take it easy, reduce your lot sizes and make sure you have a risk model in place.
Now, for this week we’re going to keep it simple, we’re looking for a couple of scenarios on Gold and we’re going to take it really easy as we’re nearing the holiday period. We have a couple of levels in mind as key level support regions, which we feel price must stay above in order to go higher. The first intraday region of 2015-18 which is where price close on Friday is important, any stop hunt below this with extension into the 2010 level and no break, we feel will represent an opportunity to long back up into the 2030-35 region first, based on price action there we’ll decide whether to continue upside or not into 2050-55 and higher! Breaking said level and turning it into resistance, will flip the order region and based on that we could see price fall lower into the 1950’s before any reaction in price.
The ideal scenario for us here is for price to hold that 2030-35 region as resistance, and if we get a good set up there we feel an opportunity to short the market back down into the 2002-5 level initially is on the horizon and below that we’ll take it level to level with the target level shown on the illustration on the chart.
We feel the ideal long opportunity may come from lower down, unless they decide to take it straight up early part of the week, in which case we’ll trade it level to level upside following Excalibur. To be totally honest, not really worth taking any swing trades at this time of the year anyway..
KOG's bias for the week:
Bullish above 2010 with targets above 2055 and above that 2068
Bearish on break of 2010 with targets below 1995 and below that 1976
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Dollar Index (DXY): Your Trading Plan 💵
After a massive selloff, Dollar Index retraced to a key horizontal resistance.
We can see that the market is currently consolidating within the underlined blue area.
To short the market with a confirmation, let the price break the support of the range.
4H candle close below 102.37 will confirm the violation.
A bearish continuation will be anticipated at least to 102.0 level then.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the resistance of the range will
extend the correctional movement at least to 102.86
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
US Dollar Drops Amidst Fed Rate Pivot and Inflation DeclineIn recent weeks, we have witnessed a significant drop in the value of the US dollar, primarily driven by the Federal Reserve's unexpected pivot towards lower interest rates and the simultaneous decline in inflation levels. This alarming trend has raised concerns among market participants and calls for a proactive response.
The Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates indicates their growing concerns about the state of the US economy. While this move aims to stimulate economic growth, it inadvertently weakens the US dollar's position in the global market. As traders, it is crucial to stay informed and adapt our strategies accordingly to protect our portfolios and seize potential opportunities.
Given the current scenario, I strongly urge you to consider shorting the US dollar. By taking a short position, you can potentially profit from the dollar's decline against other major currencies. However, it is crucial to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before implementing any trading strategy. Market dynamics can be unpredictable, and it is wise to consult with your financial advisor or analyst to ensure your decisions align with your risk appetite and investment objectives.
Here are a few key factors to keep in mind while navigating this situation:
1. Stay updated: Continuously monitor news and economic indicators that impact the US dollar's value, such as Federal Reserve announcements, inflation reports, and global economic trends. This will help you make well-informed trading decisions.
2. Diversify your portfolio: Consider allocating a portion of your portfolio to currencies that are likely to strengthen against the US dollar. Diversification can help mitigate risks and optimize potential returns.
3. Risk management: As with any trading strategy, it is essential to implement appropriate risk management measures. Set stop-loss orders and determine your risk tolerance to protect your capital and minimize potential losses.
4. Seek professional advice: Engage with experienced financial advisors or analysts who can provide expert insights and guidance tailored to your specific needs and goals.
Please note that the information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. The decision to short the US dollar should be based on your individual analysis and risk assessment.
In conclusion, the recent drop in the US dollar's value, combined with the Federal Reserve's shift towards lower interest rates and declining inflation, demands our utmost attention. By staying informed, diversifying our portfolios, managing risks effectively, and seeking professional advice, we can navigate these uncertain times with confidence.
Remember, the key to success in trading lies in adaptability and seizing opportunities when they arise. Let us remain vigilant and proactive in our approach to safeguard our investments and capitalize on potential gains.