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$DXY - Middle Range Warzone (100-105) - TVC:DXY has had a vertical rally from its fake-out breakdown of Range, finding Support at 200EMA and got back to the Middle Zone Range S/R of 103 level. The last idea published when TVC:DXY broke the range to the downside ( TVC:DXY -Headed South 97) played out in the opposite way of forecast expectation. Eerie similar bars pattern move but on North direction, not South. (press play for bars) With TVC:DXY currently closing the week at 103.4 level, looking for short-term weakness next week to correct a bit from the Rally starting from 99.6 to 103. Next Resistances to look out for ; - previous Macro LH @104.7 - Range's Ceiling 105.9 - Strong Resistance level at Macro Fibbonacci taken from 114 High to 100.8 Range Low (0.618 Golden Zone @ 106.1) Clearing these upcoming Resistances, would put TVC:DXY clear bullish territory for the rest of 2023 and 2024. Trouble times ahead for Financial Markets in this case scenario, especially when combined with the Chinese Real-Estate Panic that just started on Friday with Evergrande declaring bankruptcy TRADE SAFE ! *** Note that this is not Financial Advice . Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor before partaking on any Trading Activity based solely on this Idea !
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
$DXY - Headed South (97) - The Dollar Index TVC:DXY is trading below many resistances (broken big range of 100.8-105 ; trendline resistance from 114 High; 20-50EMA) In the short term TVC:DXY seems to be gravitating towards downside, with a completion of macro correction ABC Waves, with C wave probably ending at 97 macro S/R resistance area. This critical macro S/R is quite likely the next stop for TVC:DXY to find some floor of Support to bounce greatly. With TVC:DXY headed South at 97, other Financial Markets Sectors will perform great in gains, so would Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies TRADE SAFE ! *** Note that this is not Financial Advice. Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor before partaking on any trading activity based solely on this Idea.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mr_J__fx
4
US Dollar Index (Yearly Chart)- $DXYUS Dollar Index (Yearly Chart)- TVC:DXY The chart reveals a clear historic time pattern of c.6 years of bear price action followed by 10 to 12 years of bullish price action for the Dollar. The Chart o Each bear cycle ends with a double bottom which forms over a 4 to 6 month period. The double bottoms are marked 1 and 2 in blue on the chart. o If we assume the top is in for 2022, each top has taken 10 – 14 years to reach and need to hit or exceed the upper resistance line. o Price can oscillate near or above the upper boundary of the resistance line for a period of 3 years. At present we hit this resistance line in 2022 and thus arguably could remain elevated here for a further 1.5 years. Whilst this is a potential outcome, I do not see it as likely for reasons outlined below. Why I’m Bearish on the dollar: o We are presently in year 14 of positive price action. Based on historic price action this is an over extended bullish time period thus leading me to believe it is near its end or at its end. o Price hit the upper resistance line and was definitively rejected from it in 2022. o The price candle in 2023 is showing a spinning Doji candle which typically means indecision or a turning point (unlike the candle post the “oval area” marked in 2000 which was followed by a large green candle). This could change by the end of the year though and keeping an eye on this would help us confirm if the dollar is into a long term down trend. o If we open 2024 and the 3 year moving average(Blue Line) has started to turn down I think this would be the nail in the coffin that the dollar has at least 3 years of continued downward price action thereafter. o As you can see from the last two bearish periods the DXY declined 52% between 1985 – 1992 and then declined 42% between 2002 – 2008. Based on this reductive pattern I have in an continued the pattern projecting a 32% decline for the 2022 – 2028 period of which we have already declined 10% with a potential 22% to go down to $78.25. Whilst I have included a projection here and in the chart, it is not a prediction. I am just using past price action as a guide and we only have two data windows as reference points so this is more guess than anything. At any stage the chart can either confirm or cancel this perspective. That’s the beauty of charting, we lean on what is more probable based on what the chart has done in the past and what it currently doing, continually challenging and updating our thesis, and letting price (or the market no matter how irrational) be the dictator of our trades. It’s vital to recognise that we can revisit the top resistance line. It is possible, however the 6 month chart and the weekly chart seem to lean more bearish now and thus on a shorter timeframe I believe we will likely head lower. This can all change though as we are still 1.5 years into the 3 year topping window period. Technically, we could have a recession and the DXY could spike and then still head down and form a its 6 year low after. As more time passes everything will become more clear. I will be following up this post with Monthly and Weekly charts so that we can monitor price and time action more closely. I have already completed a basic version of these which I will add in the comments below. PUKA
TVC:DXY
by PukaCharts
BluetonaFX - DYX Focus now on US Dollar with FOMCHi Traders! With the FOMC Minutes Meeting later today, traders will be eagerly awaiting their latest stance on the inflation issues in the US. The dollar index is near its 6-week resistance level of 103.572, and looking at the price action on the chart, it looks bullish; however, there are signs of a possible reversal. The market is currently in an ascending price channel with higher highs and higher lows, and to continue this, the 103.572 resistance level must be broken. If there is a break above 103.572, then we have another resistance level at 104.714, which is the May 2023 high. If 103.572 does not hold, the chart pattern will turn into a double top pattern, which is a reversal, and there is support at 101.921. Further down, there is another support level at 99.578. Please remember to like, comment, and follow, as your support greatly helps. Thank you for your support. BluetonaFX
TVC:DXY
by BluetonaFX
2
DXY Dollar Index The Dollar Index (DXY) is presently situated at the upper boundary of a trading channel, accompanied by several concurring factors that suggest potential selling opportunities. These include the possibility of encountering resistance near the range of 103.380 to 103.450, aligning with a notable rejection point. Furthermore, there is the presence of the -0.618 bullish Fibonacci target, potential rejection candlestick formations on the hourly chart, contact with the 200-day moving average, interaction with a descending trend line stemming from November 2022, and the impending trading session tomorrow, which adds another layer of convergence to the analysis.
TVC:DXYShort
by ChartStrategist
Looking 2 weeks out / EurusdThe Weekly candle last friday closed below 1.1024. After today July 31st, we can also observe the monthly candle just closed below 1.1024. The monthly candle left a very large top wick but ultimately closed below 1.1024. 1.1024 is our May Monthly resistance zone as well as our weekly resistance zone. The market has now confirmed a fakeout on the Daily timefrmae and has created a resistance with the most recent Daily bearish candle. The Bearish candle retested and rejected the top of the range being 1.1024. I'm anticpating that Eurusd will now head towards the bottom of the range around 1.09 weekly support level and 1.085 daily support level.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
5
DOLLAR (DXY) ____ ANOTHER BULLISH RALLY Hello Guys, This week might end the dollar bullishness as I speculate that Friday 'could' be the last bull run before the bearish move starts... If you look at the daily chart of the dollar index, you would notice how price was manipulated to get people to sell the dollar only for it to reverse and rally. This rally, however, should continue. It would be nice to see price retrace into the order block and see if price will change from bearish to bullish before continuing the rally. However, due to the manipulation that happened yesterday, there is a chance that price would not retrace to the order block before continuing to rally. Since the dollar is bullish, it simply means that pairs such as AUDUSD, GBPUSD, and NZDUSD would print a bearish candle by the end of Friday while USDCAD & USDCHF would print bullish candles. Follow for more updates like this. Cheers, Jabari
FX:USDOLLARLong
by jabariofafrica
DXY Analysis - Weekly Timeframe (ICT)On the weekly timeframe it is more convincing that the last spike down was a sellside liquidity grab in order to start reaching towards the buyside liquidity, starting with the descending trendline. I will be anticipating further movement higher over the weeks/months to reach for the weekly Bearish Breaker Block. I also expect a measure of using a previous FVG/iFVG as support before heading higher. If price pushes higher into a weekly Orderblock residing above, then I would consider that the last line of defense before the DXY potentially making new highs. I am excited about the possible setups based on DXY in the near future.
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
2
DXY AnalysisBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
TVC:DXYShort
by ShahedZare
$DXY Dollar Index Can Go ParabolicTraders and Investors, No matter what the media and general consensus say, simply look at the charts and trade what you see. The dollar made a huge sharp move down recently which made the majority think and post about the "Dollar Crash". I saw 1000s of posts on social media including some from institutional analysts. But almost immediately the dollar has recovered and is back at the same level of 102.5. 🙂 This effect has been witnessed in commodities and equity markets. As I write this on Aug 12, 2023, the dollar is showing great strength in the chart pattern formation. The pattern is kind of 75% complete so this analysis post is kind of an early warning. This early warning was sent to private clients a little while ago. This pattern if finds momentum generally ends up in parabolic movement. Having said that there are a few things that we must consider: 1. This is a higher time frame analysis (daily/weekly chart) and picture so it may take its own time. Keep things in perspective. 2. There are 200 sma (daily time frame) along the way (yellow line) that can act as resistance. That is a good barrier to this pattern. 3. There are several levels and zones along the path to the ultimate target around 109-110. Over time DXY may go up and down on the relatively smaller time frames around these zones as a market never goes up in a straight line. Not DXY anyway 🙂 4. There are several gaps that were left unfilled to the upside. DXY usually does not leave any gaps open. There are a few gaps to the downside as well. 5. Watch USDJPY and USDCHF with it. Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂 Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade setups, and updates on this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions, and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by vikinsa
2
Dollar Index (DXY): Consolidation Continues 💸 Dollar Index in consolidating within a horizontal trading range on a daily. Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries, I see 2 potential scenarios. Bullish Scenario If the price breaks and closes above 102.85 resistance on a daily, I will expect a bullish continuation to 103.3 area. Bearish Scenarios If the price breaks and closes below 101.35 support, a bearish movement will be expected to 100.6 level. As always, the best strategy to follow is to wait for a breakout. For now, it feels like the market will keep staying within the range though. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:DXYShort
by VasilyTrader
11
DXY possible upside moveTVC:DXY Hey, gettin back after long time but with different strategy I trust more So DXY, when we look into XAUUSD we see bearish trend so thats this idea of DXY upside move one thing goin against is last high is not higher then previous When is entry valid: Fisrt at all I wanna see some 1H low to be formed, low cant go lower than 102.138. If yes trade is invalid. Then i want to see break of highs at 102.400 with candle close above this price. 1H candle would be best but we can go even with 30min If everything go well we enter, SL we can set under 1H low or more risky one, under last 15 min low before break of 102.400 zone. TP is set at last high 102.743. There i would close 80% of positions and if we break that high then we looking for TP2 at 103.482 I will keep u updated about this trade. Have a great week.
TVC:DXYLong
by DaVojto