Get started

Dollarindex

Meet in the Middle Again?Could the US Dollar Index revisit its all time high, as the Euro again sees its all time low? TVC:DXY broke a long-term falling wedge, re-tested its top and then moved up. FX:EURUSD broke a long-term rising wedge, re-tested its bottom and then moved down. The Euro has risen slightly above the middle of its "M" or double-top pattern. This could be a pullback, or we might see yet another weaker attempt at a re-test of the long-term rising wedge. Meanwhile, DXY is still maintaining above the middle of its "W" or double-bottom and has yet to have shown a pullback below it. The Euro could be an indicator of near-term direction for DXY. Should it continue up for another re-test of its wedge, we may see DXY move further down and do the same with its wedge. On the other hand, if the Euro moves back below the middle of its "M" pattern, DXY may continue on up towards the proposed meet in the middle above.
by dudebruhwhoa
DXY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, As we enter the upcoming week, our attention is focused on DXY, as it presents a potential buying opportunity within the 102.150 zone. Previously, DXY had been trading in a downtrend, but it successfully broke out of this pattern. Currently, DXY appears to be approaching the retrace area, signaling a potential second retracement from the 102.150 support and resistance zone. I strongly recommend regularly monitoring DXY, not only before each trading week but ideally on a daily basis. This practice will enable you to trade with greater professionalism when dealing with USD pairs, allowing you to identify their direction and potentially uncover correlations between USD, equities, cryptocurrencies, and indices. Trade safe, Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
16
Dollar indexDollar index: As you know DXY determines pairs related to USD (which means all markets). 2 days ago, I had an analysis regarding dollar index. I don't know I published it or not (I guess not). But so far it exactly followed my analysis. I expected a high in dollar index (external liquidity sweep) and then a huge low to sweep internal liquidity which happened today. There is a nice order block (demand zone) which I have marked. I expect a reaction from this zone. if it breaks this zone I have marked another zone below this zone which I expect a reaction too. As you know, positive reaction in dollar index means negatvve reaction on EURUSD. So for the next move, I expect a positive reaction to the order block in dollar index, and negative reaction to the order block in EURUSD which will be my next analysis.
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalsForAll
Eurusd Pulls up to end the week 📺The Weekly candle has flipped bullish with NFP data as I outlined as a possible scenario in yesterday's publishing and appears to be now headed towards 1.096 Daily resistance zone( Also the other side of the daily range). We are currently above 1.091 daily resistance zone and closed at this level with the 4hr candle. The 4hr candle closed quite strongly bullish. We have done a retest at our previous 4h resistance zone(1.09) which has just acted as a support level 40 minutes ago. We are seeing a bullish push to end off the week here and I think it may continue towards 1.0936 and 1.096 Daily resistance zone. We are consistently holing above 1.091 daily resistance zone and the 4hr close has given us confirmation that we may continue up. We have now gotten 2 1hr candles and 1 4hr candle close above 1.091 daily resistance zone. It may act as a support now after we have recieved candle closure confirmation on the 1hr/4hr timeframes. I was originally looking for sell positions on Eurusd with NFP. Instead we saw that —> 1) I Identified that NFP data was expected to decrease overall from the prior period ( Not a positive for USD) 2) The data was worse than what was forecasted by analysts' ( Not good for USD) 3) Price printed a strong daily candle closure back inside our daily timeframe range with yesterday's daily candle. Our daily timeframe range being between 1.085-6 Daily Support and 1.096 Daily Resistance 1 Trade today. Buy Stops with NFP Explanation : So price created a Daily resistance zone on Monday. On Tuesday it respected the daily resistance zone and moved down accordingly. I placed my buy stop position above this high of Tuesday's price. One position closed for +8 Pips, Other position closed for +9.3 Pips 💰. My target was the next 1hr resistance zone as we noted in yesterday's publishing at 1.0936. I secured partial positions and extend my Take Profit to 8-10 Pips during news trading and Lowered my position size accordingly. Data
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
BluetonaFX - DXY Triangle OpportunityHi Traders! We are nearing a bullish breakout on the US Dollar Index (DXY) 1D chart. This, however, will be heavily dependent on today's and tomorrow's very important fundamental data releases, which will indicate where the US economy is heading. Looking at the technical price action on the chart, we have marked a few key things to focus on. Firstly, there is a symmetrical triangle formation that has developed on the chart, which is a pattern that is neither bullish nor bearish; however, we have a bullish bias on the basis that there was a recent strong bullish momentum swing to test the upside trendline for a possible break above. If there is a break above, we have the psychological 104.000 as a target; the market has not been above the 104.000 level in 4 weeks. Further to the upside, there is the longer-term resistance level at 104.699. This is May 2023's high, so if there is strong bullish momentum, especially if there is positive data for the US in the next couple of days, this level will be a target. On the downside, if we do not get a break and close above the trendline, the market will go back into the range, and we have possible long-term support at 101.921. Please do not forget to like, comment, and follow. Thank you for your support. BluetonaFX 
TVC:DXY
by BluetonaFX
2
Dollar starts busy week on front-footThe US dollar will be tested this week with the release of some top-tier data in the coming days. We will have the closely-followed ISM services PMI on Thursday, followed by the June nonfarm payrolls report, while the latest CPI report will be published next week. Together, these data releases should be the deciding factor behind a hike or hold in US interest rates later this month. For now, the USD remains on the front-foot and barring any big downside surprises in US data, the greenback might be able to gains further ground in the short-term outlook. All eyes on US data It has been a quiet week in FX markets so far, but thankfully US markets will reopen today, and volatility should pick up as a result. The focus will be on FOMC meeting minutes, although they are unlikely to tell us anything different to what we have already heard from several Fed officials that have spoken since their meeting in June. More important for the dollar will be incoming data. Unfortunately, there are not many macro pointers scheduled for release today, with factory orders being the exception. We will have ISM services PMI and ADP employment data on Thursday to look forward to, before the focus turns to the nonfarm jobs report on Friday. FOMC June meeting minutes Wednesday, July 5 19:00 BST We will have the minutes from the June FOMC meeting to potentially provide some spark later on. But if you are looking for any hints of dovishness from the Fed, you probably won’t find that in the minutes. With the Fed being pretty much data-dependant, any major weakness for the greenback would have to come from incoming data. On that front, we have lots to look forward to in the second half of the week… ISM services PMI Thursday, July 6 15:00 BST On Monday, we saw the ISM manufacturing PMI come in well below expectations again (41.8 vs. 44.0) as activity contracted at a faster pace in June compared to May. It dropped to its lowest level since May 2020, at the height of the pandemic. While the manufacturing sector activity has been weakening, the services PMI has remained above the expansion level of 50.0 for the past three months – albeit, just above. If we start to see renewed strength come into the services sector despite high interest rates, then this should keep the doves at the FOMC quiet for another couple of months at least. However, if the services PMI also turns lower, then this will raise recession alarm bells, and potentially weigh on the dollar. US non-farm payrolls report Friday, July 7 13:30 BST Last week’s data releases were mostly positive, pointing to an economy that is continuing to defy expectations – until the manufacturing PMI indicated otherwise. The jobs market has been particularly strong with nonfarm payrolls data beating expectations in the last 14 months in a row! Will that trend continue? If it does, it will mean interest rates will likely remain higher for longer. This could benefit the US dollar in the short-term, even if high rates for longer might be something that could ultimately hurt the economy at some later point in time.
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
1
[ PMI ] Red Folder News Scenario's 🔥/ Eurusd For PMI data I'm favoring a continued push up throughout NY Session. If this does not happen then i anticipate the volatility to create the High of the day then slowly faded off the highs back to support at 1.08743. It is Monday and the market is setting up for the rest of the week so beware of that. On My last publishing I detail a potential fakeout on the Daily timeframe after the Friday candle Closed back inside the range last week above 1.0892 which is now our weekly support level. I'm looking for price to return to 1.096 daily resistance this week with the fakeout market structure. The Daily candle was bearish all day today and has only just recently flipped back bullish as we coincide with PMI data in 7 minutes. I took a buy and just TP with majoirty of my position., holding on to some during news with SL at B.E. Update : Price shot into profit and my runner position I took Profit at +25 Pips
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Fake-Breakout coming out of last week ↗️ 🌞PCE news last Friday took price back inside the range between 1.08919 Weekly Support level and 1.09859 Daily Resistance Level. The Friday daily candle retraced nearly the whole Thursday candle that contained GDP and unemployment claims data. I'm looking for this price behavior to continue into the early trading of this new week. The Idea is that we should have continued down last friday towards 1.07821 Daily S/R Zone. We didn't and instead we Eurusd has spring itself back in the range. A Fake breakout or Fakeout. I can see us returning to the top of the range basically. The Monthly candle closed Bullish for June. Looking for the same during July with the first target for July being 1.11. The second target being 1.11853. Price has been consolidating so far this year on eurusd. However, the market structure is consolidating upwards. The 3 month candle jsut closed a 3rd consecutive bullish candle. Why not more bullish?
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
MarketBreakdown | Dollar Index, USDCHF, S&P500 Index, AUDJPY Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watchlist. 1️⃣ Dollar Index (DXY) daily time frame 💲 The Index broke and closed above a resistance line of a falling expanding wedge pattern. It was retested on Friday. Probabilities are high, that a bullish movement will initiate from a broken trend line soon. 2️⃣USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭 The pair keeps consolidating. The market is stuck within a horizontal range. For now, the plan is to wait for a breakout of one of its boundaries. A bearish breakout of the support of the range will trigger a strong selloff, while a bullish breakout will be an important bullish signal. 3️⃣ S&P500 Index (SPY) daily time frame 💲 The market is currently testing a local daily high. If the price violates and closes above that, it will be a strong bullish signal. A bullish continuation will be expected then. 4️⃣ AUDJPY daily time frame 🇦🇺🇯🇵 The pair is trading in a long-term bullish trend. After the price set the last high, a correctional movement started. The pair formed a falling wedge pattern. Its resistance was broken last week. I believe that a trend-following movement will initiate soon. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:DXYLong
by VasilyTrader
10
DXY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, In the upcoming week, we are closely monitoring the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) for a potential buying opportunity around the 102.600 zone. The DXY has been trading in a downtrend, but it recently broke out of this trend. However, it is currently in a correction phase, attempting to retrace for the second time before potentially continuing its upward movement. From a fundamental perspective, there are signals indicating a potential upcoming couple of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve in their next monetary policy decisions. This information can have a significant impact on the DXY and related currency pairs. I would recommend keeping a close eye on the DXY, not just prior to the new trading week, but also on a daily basis. This will help you trade USD pairs more professionally by identifying their direction. Additionally, monitoring the correlation between the DXY and the crypto market, as well as equities and indices, can provide valuable insights for trading decisions. By staying informed about the DXY's movements, you can enhance your trading strategy and make more informed decisions regarding USD pairs and related markets. Trade safe, Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
11
Eurusd ; more downside squeeze? 💀The Monthly candle has been pulling back from monthly resistance at 1.10255 since intitially tapping into it last Thursday. The Weekly candle is bearish and is rejecting weekly resistance zone 1.094. The Daily timeframe has confirmed a bearish breakout to the downside since it recently closed below Daily support level 1.0891. This Daily support level has now tunred into a Daily S/R Zone and may act as a resistance area for more downside potential. As stated on Tuesday's publishing " Momentum from Last week , Eurusd whats cooking? " I mentioned this statement --> "Downside target for week is 1.081 4Hr Support zone" . This would be 51 pip drop from the current daily candle and similar to the 49 pips drop that we saw today with GDP and unemployment claims data. Tomorrow we have Core PCE data. Now A few things could happen. 1) We move up prior to news then drop with news 2) We move down to our weekly target 1.081 before news and then shoot up with news 3) We consolidate, then increase back into the Daily range between 1.0891 Support and 1.096 Resistance with bad USD PCE data tomorrow. ** Also we must be aware that the monhtly candle is coming to a close. This could cause some very irrational volatility. It's the end of the week as well. It could be a freaky friday. I'm lowering size and wider SL. I may not even trade we'll see.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Momentum from last week ↘️ // Eurusd what's cooking? 👨‍🍳We have a fair share of news events this week to shake things up. These news events will be a catlayst for a coniuation of momentum or the cause for a reversal in the short term here. Now the Monthly candle is closing at the end of this week and we must keep in mind that it is closing bullish. I don't anticipate this weekly candle to drop 222 pips but it's not impossible. The Weekly candle from last week closed bearish rejecting Daily Resistance Zone 1.098 and Weekly resistance zone 1.1024. The top wick rejection was larger than the body of the candle denoting a good amount of sell pressure on Eurusd. The Friday daily candle closed bearish taking out all the lows from earlier in the week. Ideally for this week we would like to see the previous weekly candle's bottom wick (Approximately 48 pips ) be filled with momentum carried over from the prior week. 1.09160 is a Daily and 4hr S/R Level and may act as an area for price to distribute and take us to lower prices. If price gets a close above there we have clean traffic back up to 1.09564 4hr resistance zone. Otherwise if price can get a solid candle close below 1.08845 4hr Support zone then we have a nice 30 pip clean traffic range to decrease back to the low of last week at 1.0848 4hr Zone. Downside target for week is 1.081 4Hr Support zone If wrong, then expecting a range and possible eventual increase back to highs at 1.09875 Daily Resistance Zone.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Momentum Points South 🐻 We can observe the 4hr candle jsut closed below 1.0882 4Hr support Zone. Price also doesn't seem to care too much about our Daily support level 1.08915. Price retraced during London Session and gathered some liquidity while touching into weekly level 1.094 before coinciding with a drop with better than expected USD news. Also upon the 4hr candle close, it printed an engulfing candle and a siginficant top wick. All signs are screaming more downside to come. It may be after a deeper retrace to around 1.0882 and 1.08915 area but probabilities suggest lower prices to 1.0847 4hr support zone. This zone also happens to be the previous weekly candle bottom wick that we are now going to fill with momentum leftover from last week? we'll see if we get the push and fill the 33 pip range with clean traffic to the left down to 1.0847.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx