Dollarindex
Dollar Index (DXY): Waiting For Important Decision💵
Dollar Index is approaching an important zone of confluence on a daily
that is based on a falling trend line and a horizontal structure resistance.
If the price breaks and closes above them both on a daily, I will expect a bullish continuation at least to 102.7.
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New opportunity to add in my dollar positionAfter breaking through the support zone, a retest occurred, accompanied by a 61% Fibonacci retracement.
Thursday's GDP data will be the deciding factor for market movement,
We can anticipate two potential outcomes:
1. If the GDP exceeds expectations, investors may feel more secure, and as a result, dollar prices may not increase significantly.
2. A worse-than-expected GDP could trigger fears of a potential recession, leading to a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold. This increase in demand could drive up the price of gold and weaken the dollar significantly.
Got it - EURUSD - Unlike me to hold overnightOANDA:EURUSD
Snagged this at 20 pips short from yesterdays end of NY entry.
Never broke my 15m structure to the upside, so just held in the chop.
News broke, and still held as price action stayed in the bearish choch trend.
Close out at 20 pips, near 1H OB
Wanted about 45pips at lower trend line of wedge pattern.
But heck, greed kills, right?
DOLLAR INDEX Correct to support & levels to watch. DXY💲Hello my friend, Everything is marked on the chart like always. We can consider it and entering safe in the Gold , Euro , Pound and etc. key point is 103.
Good luck.
If its useful please like it as a support and follow me to next analysis :)
Salam doostan aziz, hame chiz rooye chart baraye shoma moshakhas shode. mitoonim in ro dar nazar begirim va vorood haaye behtari dar Gold va euro va pond va ... dashte bashim. noghte kelidi 103 hastesh.
moafagh bashid.
like va follow faramoosh nashe :)
DXY PREDICTION analysis *I posted MY EURUSD idea and trade, I SHOWED MY VIEW ON DXY if im right eurusd trade will be succesfull. NEWS in 10 minutes i believe positive dxy hit its 1 year low and found support now . Please LIKE AND COMMENT if you really want to see me do real in depth analysis and predict prices accuretly. because i havent been posting recently. Also what you think will happen .
DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH*
CAPITALCOM:DXY INDEX:DXY TVC:DXY
DXY: Big bullish move to (105.0) supply area- Price respected the last low at 100.800 and started going bullish in an impulsive move.
- After forming a retest at 101.200 demand zone again price started move upside with an impulsive bullish move.
- Price may move upside to 102.500 supply zone (swing high)
- If price broke 102.500 it will be our change of character and expected price to reach 105.0 major supply.
DXY may have reversed!!Currency Pair : DXY
Possible direction : Bullish
Technical Analysis : Price just has opened with gap and slowly turning into a bullish market after forming a middle man in the previous session. From monthly price has just bounced from the monthly support zone.
Fundamental : Positive ADP Non-Farm Employment change data has given a strong boost on USD
Possible trade recommendation : Bearish as per chart sketch
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EU Slides 🛝 and Dollar ReignitesPrice is currently In a Range between 1.0952 and 1.0988 on the 4Hr. We have extreme short term prices at 1.10. We have multiple wicks here and we can bet probably that there will be a downside reaction for
bears after we hit this area. It is also a psychological area for everyone on all TF's. Hawkish remarks by Fed recently don't necessarily appear to have drastic short term consequences but we may quickly have that answered as we begin the new week. We have price funneling up on the line chart on our intradday charts. We have alot of free liquidity waiting to be realeased if we can close and hold above 1.10 extreme prices//psychological area. 1.0871 is weekly target frr bears, the next daily zone below prev strucutre
DOLLAR INDEX Correct to support & levels to watch. DXY💲updateHello my friend, Everything is marked on the chart like always. The market on the way from last week and now on the minor support base which we can consider it and entering safe in the Gold , Euro , Pound and etc. key point is 103.
Good luck.
If its useful please like it as a support and follow me to next analysis :)
Salam doostan aziz, hame chiz rooye chart baraye shoma moshakhas shode. market dar masir morede entezare ma az hafte gozashte dar haal harkat hast va dar haale hazer rooye yek base hemayati minor hast ke mitoonim in ro dar nazar begirim va vorood haaye behtari dar Gold va euro va pond va ... dashte bashim. noghte kelidi 103 hastesh.
moafagh bashid.
like va follow faramoosh nashe :)
EURUSD: "...It's not over yet!!"The title of this analysis reproduces with a clear synthesis the key concept about the FED's monetary policy. The inflation data released in recent weeks should not mislead us, the core data still remains high. My view at the moment is that Fed will still be hawkish through late 2023, so I expect more rate hikes at upcoming meetings.
The banking sector is holding up well after Yellen reassured the markets several times about a potential banking crisis, and I also think the sector will not lack liquidity, at least for 2023. The US currency may have found a short-term bottom, but we need 1-2 sessions to confirm it. FX:EURUSD pair is still trading below its previous top, but should remain structurally well supported in medium-term.
With this in mind, in next update we will try to follow the pair also from a technical point of view on intraday chart (setup).
Trade with care!
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Dollar trades sidewaysThe United States Dollar Index trades sideways throughout the week, looking for the next impactful factor to determine the next short term trend.
Bearish bias remains as price trades below the descending trend line. Bullish bias can only be considered when price breaks out of the 102.75 region.
Dollar seem to await for the upcoming FOMC, before beginning of the new short term trend.
Expecting US Yield strength this week, and therefor USD strengthI think we're possibly seeing signs of a DXY reversal in the making.
USD performing better against some crosses this week (NZD / JPY), others failing to make new highs (GBP / EUR). CHF is smashing all at the moment, so interesting to see how this does against the USD this week (if it falls then this gives me even more confirmation).
I've seen RSI divergence on both GBP and EUR crosses highs in the last few weeks, another reason to look for more signs that they'll reverse.
We've broken the descending dynamic trendline (not for the first time mind, let's see if it holds), a retest comes straight into the order block, which if I'm right, will trigger some momentum.
We could have a double bottom on DXY (HTF) which could indicate a trend change (or start of more serious retracement at least). We could currently be creating an inverse H&S (LTF's).
Looking at the US 10 Year futures, we have signs of a reversal (MACD & RSI Divergence with broken neckline), this could indicate that the US10Y and other yields will go up.
We've had 5 weeks of falls, even though this doesn't mean anything, it just adds to my feeling that we're about to see a bounce.
I think the market is starting to expect continuation of the FED hawkish stance, pricing in hikes or no change, rather than cuts this year.
DOLLAR INDEX - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSThe Pound and Euro could reach fresh multi-month highs against the U.S. Dollar this spring, although a lull in price action over the northern hemisphere's summer months would then be expected.
This is according to the analysis of W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC, which also warns of the potential for a more notable turn lower in the Dollar by year-end.
Bechtel has been watching the Dollar index - a measure of overall USD performance against a basket of major currencies - and finds the rise witnessed over recent days can continue, even if it is somewhat unconvincing.
"I am still of the view that we are likely to see some weakness in the USD in the medium term, but in the very short term DXY might get pulled just a bit higher first," says W. Brad Bechtel, Global Head of FX at Jefferies LLC.
Bechtel is watching U.S. interest rate markets as an explainer of the Dollar's performance as inflation narratives become "a thing again" .
"DXY made a double bottom around 100.80 for now but has not really participated in the rally as U.S. rates grind higher," says Bechtel.
U.S. two-year bond yields have been rising since the week of March 20, a development that would typically be expected to offer the U.S. Dollar support.
But, "in percentage retracement terms the USD is nowhere close to the 50% seen in the 2yr which tells me that there is some structural weakness in the USD out there still" .
"If this move in U.S. yields fizzles and starts to reverse lower again, then the USD will take out 100.80 pretty quick and EUR/USD will rise through 1.1100," predicts Bechtel.
The Dollar is expected to be the prime driver of where the Pound to Dollar exchange rate and other pairs trade over the coming weeks.
"In the end, EUR/USD will trade to 1.1250, GBP/USD 1.2700, AUD/USD through 0.7000, maybe up to 0.7200 eventually," says the Jefferies analyst.
The Dollar index is meanwhile expected to trade through 100.00 floor, but Jefferies' FX strategy team is not looking for "a huge break lower" .
"A move through 100.00 and then some range-bound activity as we push through the Summer," says Bechtel.
This suggests another leg higher in GBP/USD, EUR/USD, AUD/USD et al. is possible during spring, ahead of rangebound trade during the summer months (through to end-August).
"By end of Summer, we'll have a better view on where things stand with the US economy. Will the US economy roll over hard or will the Fed pull the rabbit out of its hat and have a soft landing," says Bechtel.
If the Dollar slides sharply into year-end and into next year "then we could enter a bigger down cycle in the USD, but I am reticent to make that call just yet," says Bechtel.