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DXY Major reversal Good day traders and investors, Well, it looks like the dollar has had a major reversal just as expected and right on time. I have been expecting for a couple months now that something big is to be expected by mid September to the latest mid October as the cycle pertains too. The DXY hit the .5 on the fib which is generally a big reversal area, and boy did it reject. It looks like gravestone doji has formed as well. This is stock and crypto positive. What was the news at same time? Surprise!!! More war, now with Israel the "holy Land" In the seeks to follow look for the dollar to collapse as assets rise.
TVC:DXYShort
by WeAreSat0shi
Mighty Dollar Eyes Further GainsThe US Dollar Index (DXY) commenced the new year on a strong note, breaking out of its consolidation phase and surging toward the 109.50 level on January 2. ◉ Technical Observations ● The daily candle close on Friday formed an inside bar bearish candle, indicating a potential pullback in the week ahead. ● Immediate support levels are situated between 107.50 and 107.00. ◉ Market Outlook and Key Events The US jobs report comes out on Friday and will be the main focus for the market this week. A strong jobs report could strengthen the US dollar, affecting emerging markets and commodities.
TVC:DXYLong
by NaranjCapital
1
DXY Continues bullish momentum from 108.600For the DXY, I anticipate a corrective move, as the price has recently broken structure to the upside. This break has created new demand zones, which we can expect to act as strong support, allowing bullish momentum to continue. This week, my focus will be on the 8-hour demand zone around 108.600. If the price mitigates this zone, I’ll look for lower time-frame confirmation to enter a trade. My target will be the 8-hour supply zone above, where I anticipate some bearish pressure may emerge. However, if the price moves lower and breaches the 8-hour demand zone, I’ll shift my attention to the extreme 5-hour demand zone for a potential buying opportunity, aligning with the overall bullish trend. Let’s stay sharp and make the most of this week. Let’s crush Q1!
TVC:DXYLong
by Hassan_fx
1
DXY at 108.4: The Dollar’s Midlife Crisis—Breakout or Breakdown?Alright, traders, let’s not sugarcoat it. What you’re looking at here isn’t just another chart—it’s the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) standing at the gates of destiny. 💥 🔥 The Setup: Testing the almighty 108.4 resistance. Will it smash through like a battering ram or faceplant into oblivion? 🤔 Riding the top of the Bollinger Bands like it’s a rollercoaster at peak speed. Overbought much? 🎢 RSI? She’s chilling at 59 —neither here nor there but whispering “don’t count me out just yet.” 🧘‍♂️ 🚀 The Bullish Dream: Break 108.4, and this thing’s flying to the moon (or at least 112). Bulls will party like it’s 1985. 🐂💃 💀 The Bearish Nightmare: Rejected here? Say hello to a pullback at 104, and if things really hit the fan, we’re looking at 100.6. Bears will sip their coffee smugly. 🐻☕ But here’s the kicker: DXY isn’t just a chart—it’s the puppet master pulling the strings of everything from Bitcoin to gold to your morning cup of coffee. ☕ (Yes, inflation is still a thing.) ⚡ Final Word: Whether it breaks or bends, this is the make-or-break moment for the dollar. Get ready for fireworks. 🎇 George out. ✌️ #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex
TVC:DXYLong
by RoadToAMillionClub
DXY Dollar Index Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point after the Breakout. however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 110.500 Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the DXY (US Dollar Index) is: Bearish Reasons: Interest rate differential: The Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate (4.50%) is high compared to other major economies, but the rate hike cycle is expected to slow down, which could lead to a decline in the DXY. Economic growth: The US GDP growth (2.1%) is slowing down, and the economy is facing headwinds from trade tensions and global economic uncertainty, which could lead to a decline in the DXY. Trade balance: The US trade deficit (USD 50 billion) is large and growing, which could put downward pressure on the DXY. Fiscal policy: The US fiscal policy is becoming increasingly expansionary, which could lead to a decline in the DXY. However, it's essential to consider the following risks: Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China and Europe, could lead to a flight to safety and support the DXY. Geopolitical tensions: Escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East and North Korea, could lead to a flight to safety and support the DXY. Fed's monetary policy: The Fed's dovish stance and potential interest rate cuts could support the DXY. Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Thief_Trader
1
The Dollar Index Rises by 6.7% in 2024The Dollar Index Rises by 6.7% in 2024 Throughout 2024, the US dollar traded with mixed dynamics but showed consistent strengthening over the past three months. According to WSJ and Reuters, the following factors contributed to this growth: → Reports of a strong US economy and expectations that further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will be limited. → Projections of policies under President-elect Donald Trump, which are anticipated to focus on tax reductions, increased tariffs, and stricter immigration controls. During the low-volatility holiday trading period, the US Dollar Index—a tool measuring the dollar's strength against a basket of major currencies—hovered around a two-year high, where it may close a strong year. Meanwhile, the euro remains near two-year lows, but bulls hold onto hope. As technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart indicates today: → The price is near a support level formed by an ascending channel (marked in blue). → Simultaneously, price fluctuations are shaping a bullish “cup and handle” pattern below the 1.0444 level—signalling growing interest among buyers. A breakout above the red descending trendline could help bulls start 2025 confidently, potentially pushing the price higher from the lower boundary of the channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
by FXOpen
2
UP "Please provide a meaningful and detailed description of your prediction..." Says Tradingview Up. It go up. Why? Idono the same as you do or do not know. It's the simple things I think that makes dollars sound like soundness of mind. While lil Timmy has been working hard to get a few bucks to buy his favorite dog coin he heard about at lunch yesterday in middle school. Asking a fool like me what to buy with his allowance. Who isn't looking for a return nowadays I guess even at 11 we need to make 1000x gainz because "10 years!?" "That's forever!" he and any other like minded person may say to me. I think all they heard was the "10 Year" Part...😋 Ya know? One things for sure we are all counting dollars when this or whatever thing you think will make you money moves up or down. Hummmmmm Maybe there's something to that whole I need a dollar thought?🤑 I bet it would be carzy to see the Yield on the 10 year US GOV Bonds run up to 16%. What kind of future are we all living in when that happens??? Asking for this 11 year old thats asking me what the next best coin is from here.... YOLO Moonboyz 🌛 If you feel so inclined to do so. 🚽👄 Toilet Mouth: "Why do all your post say Short!?" or a bunch of "BUT, BUT, BUT" ⭐Not my job to tell you to buy or sell entries matter to most I only care about my exits. ⭐Let each person determine their cost to acquire and choice to play or not. No Advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 8 years in the world of "CRYPTO" Things 🤷‍♂️ #Fixed IDK! 🙏FOR JUST A HEALTHLY PULLBACK! ""KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK & BALANCE your Senses!"" I am The CoinSLayer 👨‍💻😈 You have been warned by The Coin SLayer! P.S. Now witha bag! P.S.S. well two or Ten
TVC:US10YShort
by BradySWilliams
The Relationship Between Dollar Dominance, Debt, and Deficits The US dollar's position as the world's reserve currency grants the United States a unique set of economic advantages and challenges. This "exorbitant privilege," as it's often called, significantly influences the nation's ability to manage its debt and deficits. Understanding this complex relationship is crucial for comprehending the dynamics of the global financial system and the US economy's position within it. Dollar Dominance: A Foundation of Economic Power The dollar's status as the primary reserve currency means that it is widely held by central banks, international institutions, and businesses worldwide. This widespread acceptance creates consistent demand for dollar-denominated assets, particularly US Treasury bonds. This demand is a key factor in allowing the US government to finance its debt at relatively low-interest rates. If the US were to borrow in another currency, or if global demand for its debt were significantly lower, the cost of borrowing would likely increase, making it more expensive to finance government spending. This dominance also simplifies international trade for US businesses. Because the dollar is the standard currency for many global transactions, US companies can conduct business with reduced exchange rate risks and transaction costs. This ease of trade strengthens the US position in the global economy and contributes to its overall economic power. Debt and Deficits: The Fiscal Realities Government debt represents the accumulation of past budget deficits. A budget deficit occurs when government spending exceeds its revenue in a given fiscal year. These deficits require the government to borrow money, primarily by issuing Treasury bonds, which then contribute to the overall national debt. While deficits can be used strategically to stimulate the economy during downturns or to fund essential public services, persistent and large deficits can lead to a growing national debt. A high debt level can have several potential consequences, including higher interest payments on the debt, reduced fiscal flexibility to respond to future economic crises, and potential inflationary pressures. The Interplay: Dollar Dominance and Fiscal Policy The relationship between dollar dominance, debt, and deficits is complex and multifaceted. The ability to borrow at lower costs due to the dollar's reserve currency status can, in some ways, lessen the immediate pressure to address budget imbalances. The lower interest rates make it less painful in the short term to finance deficits, potentially leading to a greater accumulation of debt over time. However, it's crucial to understand that dollar dominance does not directly cause deficits. Deficits are a result of fiscal policy decisions—specifically, decisions about government spending and taxation. Dollar dominance merely affects the cost of financing those decisions. A government could run deficits regardless of its currency's global status, but the financial implications would likely be significantly different. One could argue that the "exorbitant privilege" afforded by dollar dominance creates a moral hazard. Knowing that borrowing costs are relatively low could incentivize policymakers to engage in more expansive fiscal policies than they might otherwise pursue. This can lead to a situation where the long-term consequences of debt accumulation are downplayed in favor of short-term political or economic gains. Potential Challenges to Dollar Dominance While the dollar has maintained its dominant position for decades, several factors could potentially challenge its future status. The rise of other economic powers, the development of alternative reserve currencies, and shifts in global trade patterns are all potential threats. For example, the increasing economic influence of countries like China has led to discussions about the potential for the renminbi to become a more prominent player in the global financial system. However, for a currency to achieve reserve status, it requires deep and liquid financial markets, strong institutions, and widespread trust in the issuing country's economic and political stability. These are factors that have contributed to the dollar's strength and are not easily replicated. Furthermore, the emergence of new technologies, such as cryptocurrencies and digital payment systems, could potentially disrupt traditional financial flows and challenge the existing currency hierarchy. However, these technologies are still relatively new and face regulatory and adoption hurdles before they could pose a significant threat to the dollar's dominance. Maintaining the Dollar's Strength Maintaining the dollar's strength and its reserve currency status is a complex undertaking. It requires a combination of sound economic policies, strong institutions, and a commitment to maintaining open and transparent financial markets. Sustainable fiscal policies are essential. While dollar dominance provides some flexibility, persistently large deficits and a rapidly growing national debt could eventually erode confidence in the dollar and its long-term value. This could lead to a decrease in demand for dollar-denominated assets, potentially increasing borrowing costs and weakening the dollar's global position. In conclusion, the relationship between dollar dominance, debt, and deficits is a critical aspect of the US and global economies. While the dollar's reserve currency status provides significant advantages in financing government spending and facilitating international trade, it also presents challenges in managing fiscal policy. Maintaining the dollar's strength requires a balanced approach that prioritizes sound economic management and recognizes the complex interplay between these crucial economic factors.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
Gold: Navigating a Range-Bound Phase After the DropGold (XAU/USD): Consolidation in a Bearish Territory Amid Uncertainty The gold market has entered a consolidation phase, trading within a defined bearish range following a sharp sell-off on Wednesday. This pullback comes as the precious metal adjusts to a complex interplay of technical and fundamental factors, with current attention focused on the critical price levels of 2622 – 2581. A deeper look into the backdrop reveals that sentiment remains subdued due to broader market dynamics, and the technical setup underscores the vulnerability of gold prices as they test recent lows. Fundamental Overview: Fed’s Conservative Stance and Market Implications The Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting on Wednesday had ripple effects across global markets. Adopting a more cautious stance, the Fed announced plans for just two rate cuts in 2025. This decision disappointed investors hoping for a more dovish approach and weighed heavily on risk-sensitive assets, including gold. Meanwhile, the dollar emerged as the clear beneficiary, strengthening to new local highs as traders flocked to safe-haven assets tied to U.S. monetary policy. The dollar’s rally placed additional pressure on gold, which often moves inversely to the greenback. However, the broader implications extend beyond just this week. Gold's recent struggles highlight the ongoing challenge of balancing inflation expectations, geopolitical risks, and macroeconomic trends. Looking ahead, today’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index—widely regarded as the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation—could introduce another layer of volatility. A surprise deviation from expectations in the PCE data, whether upward or downward, could significantly impact gold prices. Furthermore, any unexpected escalation in political uncertainty, whether domestic or international, has the potential to act as a short-term catalyst for the metal, possibly leading to a recovery attempt toward resistance levels. Technical Analysis: Testing the Lows in a High-Volatility Environment From a technical perspective, gold remains entrenched within a consolidation zone after the steep decline earlier this week. Such a pattern is not uncommon at this time of year, characterized by thin liquidity and heightened volatility as institutional players wind down for the calendar year. Price action suggests that the market is trading in a relatively wide range, bounded by key resistance levels at 2616 – 2622 and notable support levels at 2589, 2581, and 2560. Currently, prices hover near the lower end of this range, testing the support levels repeatedly. If the support at 2581 holds, it may trigger a short-term recovery toward the upper boundary of the range. However, any failure to defend these levels could lead to a retest of deeper support at 2560, further cementing the bearish outlook. Conversely, on the upside, resistance around 2616 – 2622 remains critical. A breakout above this zone may entice bullish momentum, but such a move is likely to be capped or short-lived, given the overarching fundamental headwinds. In fact, a retest of this resistance could result in a false breakout scenario, where prices temporarily breach the level before reversing sharply back into the range, targeting local lows. Trading Strategy and Broader Market Context For traders navigating the current environment, the focus should remain on the boundaries of the consolidation range. Range-bound strategies, such as buying near support and selling near resistance, could be effective in the short term. However, caution is warranted given the heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic events, including today’s PCE data release and potential geopolitical developments. In the longer term, the bearish undertone suggests that gold may continue its descent unless a significant shift in fundamentals alters the market narrative. Any sustained rally would require a combination of favorable catalysts, such as a dovish pivot from the Fed, a weakening dollar, or heightened geopolitical tensions. Conclusion Gold’s journey through this consolidation phase is emblematic of the broader uncertainty gripping financial markets. While the precious metal has shown resilience in the past, the current setup underscores the challenges it faces in a bearish environment. Resistance at 2616 – 2622 and support at 2581 – 2560 serve as pivotal levels to monitor, with price action within this range offering opportunities for tactical trades. In the grander scheme, the coming weeks will likely determine whether gold can break free from its consolidation or succumb to further selling pressure. As we approach the end of the year, reduced liquidity and heightened volatility will remain defining features of the market, setting the stage for potentially significant price swings in early 2024. (The market decides how much profit you make. You decide how much you lose.)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
DXY (THE DOLLAR INDEX)1. If the Dollar Breaks Out Above Resistance This scenario indicates bullish momentum, meaning the dollar could strengthen further. Implications: Continuation of Uptrend: Breaking resistance often signals strong buying interest or positive sentiment. Next Target: The price may move toward the next resistance level or a new high. Market Sentiment: This could result from strong economic data, higher interest rate expectations, or geopolitical factors favoring the dollar. Traders’ Actions: Enter long (buy) positions after confirming the breakout. Set stop-loss orders just below the breakout level to manage risk. --- 2. If the Dollar Fails to Break Resistance This scenario indicates a potential reversal or consolidation below the resistance level. Implications: Reversal to Downtrend: Failure to break resistance often signals profit-taking or bearish sentiment. Support Retest: The price might fall to test lower support levels. Market Sentiment: This could occur due to weak economic data, dovish central bank policies, or stronger foreign currencies. Traders’ Actions: Consider short (sell) positions if rejection at resistance is confirmed. Monitor for bearish patterns (e.g., double top or bearish engulfing candles). --- Confirmation is Key Volume Analysis: A breakout with high volume is more reliable, while rejection with high selling volume confirms resistance. Economic Data Events: Major announcements like interest rate decisions or employment data can influence the direction. Would you like help with specific dollar pairs or technical analysis?
TVC:DXY
by TRADE_CENTER_1
USDX "Dollar Index" Bullish Heist PlanHello! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist USDX "Dollar Index" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback. Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe Target 🎯 : 107.500 Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. 💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by Thief_Trader
DXY Best level for a long-term short.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a 1.5 year Channel Up pattern (since July 14 2023) and just 2 weeks ago it formed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame. Having hit the pattern's top a week earlier, the current rebound seems to technically be part of the Lower Highs/ Lower Lows top formation, similar to October 03 - November 01 2023 peak. That was 1 year again, a peak formation that was also formed after a 1D Golden Cross. This indicates that the long-term pattern (Channel Up) is highly symmetrical and as the 1W RSI is also declining after a rejection on the 70.00 overbought barrier, we consider the current level the best possible short entry. The Bearish Leg that followed the 2023 High extended as low as the 0.786 Fibonacci level. As a result, we expect to see at least 102.000 (just above the 0.786 Fib) before any signs of a rebound. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYShort
by TradingShot
2
DXY - 4H Dollar Index more FallTechnical Perspective: TVC:DXY experienced two significant bullish legs in October and November on the daily time frame. However, the index started to fall sharply at the end of November, and this bearish momentum remains strong. On the 4H chart, DXY reached a key resistance zone and faced a significant rejection with notable bearish momentum, signaling the continuation of the downtrend. The current movement indicates a high likelihood of further declines, potentially to the bottom of the trading range. Many USD pairs are at critical support or resistance levels, and expected reactions from these zones could amplify downward pressure on the DXY, making it increasingly vulnerable to a substantial fall. Fundamental Perspective: In December 2024, the bearish sentiment surrounding the DXY is driven by key fundamental factors. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to implement another 25 basis point interest rate cut during its December 18 meeting, following earlier cuts in September and November. This dovish policy reflects the Fed’s commitment to supporting economic growth amidst a slightly cooling labor market and growing global uncertainties. Adding to the pressure, inflation data showed a 2.7% year-over-year increase in November, a slight uptick from 2.6% in October. Despite this, the Fed remains focused on easing monetary conditions to mitigate recession risks. Additionally, the recent U.S. presidential election has raised prospects of fiscal policy changes, including proposed tax cuts and potential tariff adjustments, which contribute to market uncertainty and weigh on the dollar. These fundamental shifts align with the bearish technical setup, suggesting that the DXY’s downtrend is likely to persist in the near term. Keep an eye on upcoming Fed announcements and inflation data for further confirmation of this trajectory.
TVC:DXYShort
by Sober_Trading