DXY Bullish Bias: Price Action & Data AlignmentWhile U.S. economic data hasn't been stellar, it's still holding up well enough to support the dollar. Intra-week price action (8/26/24 - 9-6-24) reflects this, with strong upward movement indicating a continuation of the bullish trend.
Keep an eye on key support levels and potential pullbacks, as this bias could persist heading into the coming weeks.
Blue ATR is monthly
Purple ATR IS weekly
Dollarindex
US DOLLAR - Boxed RangeUS DOLLAR is trading SUPPORT and RESISTANCE zones within a boxed RANGE.
It is respecting a range of 100.53 - 101.93, with respective bounces on either end, keeping it within its BOXED RANGE.
When I'm speaking about a BOXED RANGE, what I mean is that the RANGE ISN'T TIGHT like a normal range, where its looking for volume before a big move, these types of ranges have volume and are easier to read as they respect KEY ZONES, for example right now they are respecting 100.53 - 101.93.
We should wait for the US DOLLAR to enter either SUPPORT or RESISTANCE to enter a trade, we can wait for a rejection + bounce or wait for a breakout.
If the US DOLLAR breaks to the downside (BEARISH) I would expect for the overall US markets to continue it's BULLISH movements, as usually the US MARKET IS INVERSELY PROPORTIONAL TO THE US DOLLAR INDEX...
Conversely if it shows BULLISH signs and begins to move towards the SUPPORT ZONE, I will be looking for the US MARKET to move BEARISH.
High Timeframe Analysis of the Dollar Index DXY - Short IdeaDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only, showing how I intend to participate in this market. Trading involves significant risk. Do your own due diligence.
Utilizing my Multi Timeframe strategy, I have identified that I would like to look for SHORTS on DXY. To clarify, I'm not saying I'm blindly shorting this market. If I see price action that checks the boxes for this strategy, I will take the short. Until then, I do NOTHING.
SETUP - > TRIGGER - > FOLLOW THROUGH.
Feel free to shoot me a message with any questions.
Have a great week!
A retest before heading lower...DXY is around 101.17, potentially about to retest previous support as resistance around 101.2… Reclaiming this zone and closing above 101.5 could be short term bullish. A continuation of bullish momentum could lead to a retest of 102.4 around 18 Sep, tying in with Fed’s rates decision.
DXY (Dollar) Shorts from 101.600 back downMy outlook for the dollar is focused on scouting a bearish continuation. A 7-hour supply zone has emerged, and I'm looking for the price to enter this zone to trigger a bearish reaction, potentially creating a new leg to the downside.
If the supply zone is broken, I would then anticipate the price rallying higher into a more premium supply area. However, if the price heads down first, I expect the 9-hour demand zone to be violated, allowing for a better buying opportunity from the lower demand zone.
P.S.: Be cautious and trade with care, as PPI and CPI data are due this week. Keep an eye on Forex Factory for updates.
DXY / US DOLLAR INDEX🔍 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis: 4-Hour Timeframe 📉
The DXY chart on a 4-hour timeframe highlights significant upcoming times where price movements may present trading opportunities. It’s essential to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a comprehensive market view.
• BUY DATE - September 12, 2024, 04:00 - Green Line: This time indicates a potential local low, offering favorable conditions for accumulating DXY or entering long positions.
• BUY DATE - September 19, 2024, 00:00 - Green Line: Another potential local low, suggesting favorable conditions for buying.
• BUY DATE - October 7, 2024, 06:00 - Green Line: This time marks another potential local low, indicating favorable conditions to enter long positions.
When working with this 4-hour timeframe, remember to evaluate these movements within the context of the broader market trend, considering higher timeframes for a more global perspective.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
Could price bounce from here?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could reverse to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 101.52
1st Support: 101.04
1st Resistance: 102.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring DXY for a buying opportunity around 101.500 zone, DXY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 101.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF out lookUs dollar vs swiss franc out look
Today it has made a beautiful move upwards now it seems like it will retouch its previous support level and then fly over to its Resistance level also the pair is having resistance over its 50 SMA over 1 Hourly TF
So we are bullish over USDCHF after getting support it will continue its bullish move
$ RATE CUT IN THE AIR, WILL IT BOUNCE BEFORE THE DESCENT?The recent decline in the U.S. dollar can be attributed to several economic factors. Firstly, recent inflation data indicates that inflation in the United States is slowing down. The annual inflation rate for June 2024 was 3.0%, down from previous months. This slowdown has strengthened expectations of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. Investors now anticipate a rate cut in September, possibly followed by another cut in November or December, which tends to weaken a country's currency.
Despite positive data from the Producer Price Index (PPI) for June 2024, the dollar continued to fall. The PPI showed a 0.1% year-over-year increase, with a 0.1% rise in goods and a 0.2% rise in services, both better than analysts' expectations.
The critical question now is whether the dollar will rebound before further declines. We are in a crucial zone, and a short-term rise might occur before any further drop, but much depends on Powell's speech scheduled for Monday. If the Federal Reserve Chair hints at a rate cut in September, the dollar could take another hit. Conversely, if Powell does not confirm this expectation, the dollar might benefit from the positive PPI data and rise temporarily.
Be careful!
Will the dollar bounce back from its current decline?
The US July PCE was in line with market consensus. Headline PCE prices rose 0.2% from a month ago and 2.5% from a year ago, which aligns with market expectations. Core PCE, the Fed's price benchmark, rose only 0.16%, slower than the previous month's 0.18%. This is the lowest level this year and has catalyzed the market sentiment of the Fed’s rate cut.
It is worth noting that despite a 0.3% increase in personal income, surpassing the previous month's 0.2%, the savings rate remains alarmingly low. This is because personal consumption expenditures are growing at a faster rate than personal income.
The current savings rate has dropped to 2.9%, marking only the second instance in the past 16 years, since the global financial crisis, the savings rate has fallen to the 2% range.
This implies that consumption in the United States could decline quickly, serving as a cautionary signal that if employment falters, there may be insufficient buffers to sustain consumption.
DXY sustained its uptrend after breaking out of the descending channel and advanced to 101.60. The price consolidates around the 101.50-101.70 range, waiting for an additional price trigger.
If the price breaches the resistance at 101.80 while holding above the EMA, the price may gain upward momentum toward 102.60. Conversely, if DXY fails to stay above both EMAs and retreats to the support at 100.50, the price could fall further to the 100.00 threshold.
Still Bearish on DXYDXY can see some correction to the upside and reach 102.5 or even climb up to 103.5 before September 18, 2024, which, most probably we'll see the first rate cut after a long time.
So be patient and wait for this week's NFP.
Check out my post on June 11 to see how DXY followed our yellow scenario. 😉
King' s ($DXY) return?In #dollarindex chart, #dxy intends to reclaim the support zone that was already broken. If TVC:DXY succesfully reclaims the zone, then i expect this bullish diamond pattern to play out greatly!. If plays out, all markets - #nasdaq #stocks #crypto will have blood bath in mid term. Not financial advice.
Why The Rise Of The $ Is Here-3 Points To DigestDid you hear about the infamous carry trade?
this trade took a storm over the financial media.
Honestly, i was shocked that people in the
financial news networks know about
this trade.
-
Did you know this always happens?
In currency carry trades a common thing
In fact that is why we have currency pairs
-
These currency pairs represent carry trades
Basically, a carry trade is when BANKS
borrow each other money using the Government
-
Bonds as collateral
Why?
-
Because Government bonds produce cash flow.
The problem comes when the value of this
asset drops.
-
Imagine defaulting on a loan
and taking back an asset that has no value
This is what causes a market crash!
-
Remember:
-Always use the dollar index
-Dollar is the most powerful currency
-The dollar is the one number #1 indicator in forex trading
-
My names are Lubosi Forex
thank you for reading.
-
To learn more Rocket Boost this content
So that i make a follow up lesson on the
indicators above.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky, please
learn risk management and
and profit-taking strategies.
DXY "Dollar Index" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideMy Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Newbies,
This is our master plan to Heist DXY "Dollar Index" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 30 mins timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
DXY Local Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY was falling sharply
And was locally oversold
So now that it is already
Making a bullish rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 100.520 a further
Bullish correction is
To be expected
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
$DXY - Bottom Range Bound BreachedThe Dollar Index TVC:DXY has breached a pretty serious
level ;
the bottom range bound which has previously acted as
strong support for TVC:DXY to bounce.
Will this time be the same and this will result in a fake-out?
Or will TVC:DXY headed lower, re-visiting pre-pandemic levels?
Check out the previous released ideas linked below
for more in depth information regarding our journey
'Decisive Move Around the Corner' (line chart)
(candlesticks chart)
TRADE SAFE
NOTE that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research before partaking upon
any trading activity based solely on this idea.
DXY Hits Yearly Low: Is a Major Support Test at 100 Coming Next?By reviewing the US Dollar Index chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that last week, the price reached its lowest level in a year, closing at 100.677. Given that the price has dipped below a liquidity pool, we might see an initial positive reaction at the beginning of the week, but I still expect further declines in the Dollar Index overall. Keep in mind that there is a very strong support level ahead for the dollar, which is the psychological level of 100, and we will likely see a significant reaction to this level. We will be providing weekly analyses of the Dollar Index from now on, so be sure to support and follow!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
((2+4+7+13+15+18+26+36+38+69+87+101+183+209+1000+1002+1000000000+1000000001+ 1000000853)^♾️*69) + 1 !