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Dollar Winning Streak Extends Into Fifth Week! Time to Go LongI wanted to share some exciting news from the forex world: the dollar has extended its winning streak into the fifth week! 🎉 A key gauge of the dollar's strength continues to rise, driven by the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the timing of the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut. With the yen showing signs of weakness, the USD is shining brightly on the global stage. This is a golden opportunity for us traders to capitalize on the dollar's momentum. If you haven't already, now might be the perfect time to consider going long on the US dollar. 🌟 Why should you consider this move? 1. **Strong Performance**: The dollar's consistent growth over the past five weeks clearly indicates its robust performance. 2. **Market Uncertainty**: With the Fed's interest-rate cut timeline still unclear, the dollar is likely to remain strong in the near term. 3. **Yen Weakness**: The yen's current weakness further bolsters the USD's position, making it an attractive option for traders. Don't miss out on this opportunity to ride the wave of the dollar's success! Dive into the market and make the most of this winning streak. 💪 Happy trading, and here's to continued success in all your endeavors!
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
DXY H4 - Long SignalDXY H4 Support price of 105.100 held nicely. We seemed to bounce as we look to continue the bullish trend up towards that next target price of 106.500. Certainly possible, even maybe today if we gear up for more dollar bulls moving into the US session. We need to first sustain this break above the previous high, we have drawn the resistance (black line) marking previous H4 resistance. Possible retest (could offer entries for ***USD or USD*** pairs if they align).
TVC:DXYLong
by Trade_Simple_FX
Strong Dollar: Geopolitics , US Economy & Tech Drive Currency UpThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is experiencing a surge, reaching unprecedented highs. This brief explores the key drivers behind this trend, including geopolitical dynamics, contrasting macroeconomic conditions, and the US's dominance in the technology sector. * Geopolitical Uncertainty: Heightened tensions in the Middle East, particularly the potential escalation between Israel and Hezbollah, raise concerns of regional instability. Historically, such events trigger a "flight-to-safety" phenomenon, where investors seek refuge in stable currencies like the US Dollar. Additionally, the potential for increased terrorist activity and political unrest in Europe as a consequence of these tensions could further propel capital flight towards the US, bolstering the Dollar's value. * Favorable US Macroeconomic Fundamentals: The US economy exhibits robust performance compared to Europe, characterized by strong GDP growth, low unemployment rates, and relatively stable inflation. This economic strength is further amplified by the Federal Reserve's stance on maintaining higher interest rates to combat inflation. These factors make US assets more attractive to investors, driving up demand for the Dollar. * US Technological Preeminence: The US is a global leader in technology, housing some of the world's most influential companies like Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google. This concentration of tech giants fosters significant economic growth and innovation. Moreover, it attracts substantial global investment into the US, further strengthening the Dollar. Conversely, Europe lags in the technology sector, limiting its ability to attract similar investment flows. This technological disparity incentivizes investors to favor US markets, contributing to the Dollar's appreciation. In conclusion, the rising Dollar Index is a result of a confluence of factors. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, are prompting investors to seek safe havens. The robust US economy and its dominance in the technology sector offer further advantages compared to Europe. As these dynamics unfold, the trend of a rising Dollar Index is likely to continue, presenting both challenges and opportunities for investors globally.
INDEX:DXYLong
by signalmastermind
Dollar's Rally Wins Over Traders as Fed Decision LoomsThe U.S. dollar capped its strongest weekly run since February, buoyed by a shift in sentiment among traders as they awaited the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision. After weeks of anticipation of potential interest rate cuts, the market witnessed a reversal as the greenback regained its allure. This recent surge comes from a five-day winning streak for the Bloomberg Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback's performance against a basket of major currencies. The index rose by over 1% during this period, marking its most significant weekly advance since early 2024. This bullish sentiment towards the dollar is a reversal from earlier market expectations. Previously, many traders had positioned themselves for a dovish turn from the Fed, anticipating potential interest rate cuts in the latter half of the year. This anticipation has contributed to a weakening of the dollar in recent months. However, recent economic data and comments from Fed officials have cast doubt on the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. Upticks in inflation figures and a robust labor market have fueled speculation that the central bank might maintain its current hawkish stance for longer. "The recent economic data has painted a somewhat different picture than what the market had initially expected," noted Sarah Lopez, a foreign exchange strategist at a leading investment bank. "Stronger inflation readings and a resilient job market suggest the Fed might need to stay the course on its tightening policy for a while longer." This shift in expectations has prompted traders to reassess their positions. Many who had previously bet on a weaker dollar are now scrambling to cover their short positions, leading to a surge in demand for the greenback. "We've seen a significant unwinding of short dollar positions in recent days," commented Michael Jones, a currency trader at a major financial institution. "The market is starting to price in the possibility that the Fed might hold off on rate cuts, and that's giving the dollar a much-needed boost." "The Fed's language will be critical in determining the dollar's next move," said Lopez. "If the statement suggests a continued commitment to fighting inflation, the dollar could extend its gains. However, any dovish hints could trigger a renewed selloff." Beyond the immediate impact of the Fed decision, the dollar's long-term prospects will depend on several factors, including the relative path of interest rates in the U.S. compared to other major economies. "The dollar's strength will likely hinge on the divergence between U.S. monetary policy and that of other central banks," explained Jones. "If the Fed remains hawkish while other central banks stay accommodative, the dollar could continue to appreciate." The recent resurgence of the dollar has implications for various asset classes. A stronger greenback can make U.S. exports more expensive and less competitive, potentially weighing on corporate profits. Conversely, it can make dollar-denominated assets, such as U.S. Treasuries, more attractive to foreign investors. In conclusion, the dollar's recent rally underscores the dynamic nature of currency markets. As economic data and central bank pronouncements evolve, so too do investor expectations. The upcoming Fed decision is poised to be a pivotal moment for the dollar, with its outcome likely to shape the currency's trajectory in the coming months.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
R2F Weekly Analysis - 15th June 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it! I feel like the Dollar Index is primed to move higher. It has so far been acting how I have anticipated, respecting institutional order flow. Let's breakdown what has happening, and my thought process around it. In May, price retraced after a consolidation, engineering equal highs. This bodes well for my bullish outlook. Price bottomed it's retracement on the 7th June 2024. If you check the Dollar futures chart took out buyside liquidity and created an SMT divergence on the DXY chart. Because of this, I am more confident in price not coming down to take out the relative equal lows below. Price expanded from there, and retraced into a weekly wick CE coupled with a daily bullish Orderblock, halting in its tracks and expanding higher again. The sudden drop and equally sudden recover adds additional confluence to my bullish outlook, not because of the "strength" but because of the manipulation of sentiment. Now we are re-entering a previously used weekly SIBI for the potential of using it as an iFVG. We did not close the weekly conventionally higher than the actual iFVG, as I would usually like, but the bullishness of the previous week's candle leaves the idea open of us expanding higher in the coming week with little retracement below it's open, therefore creating a BISI that may or may not be used later. As for targets, first is the previous month's high that is coupled with equal highs. The two other targets are a weekly swing high that goes way back, and a New Week Opening Gap which is deeper into the general liquidity void residing above. If you enjoyed this analysis, leave a like or a comment. If you want to learn how to analyze like this, check out my profile for more videos and information. Happy Trading!
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
DXY - Long Trade Idea (ICT)Hi guys! I feel like the Dollar Index is primed to move higher. It has so far been acting how I have anticipated, respecting institutional order flow. Let's breakdown what has happening, and my thought process around it. In May, price retraced after a consolidation, engineering equal highs. This bodes well for my bullish outlook. Price bottomed it's retracement on the 7th June 2024. If you check the Dollar futures chart took out buyside liquidity and created an SMT divergence on the DXY chart. Because of this, I am more confident in price not coming down to take out the relative equal lows below. Price expanded from there, and retraced into a weekly wick CE coupled with a daily bullish Orderblock, halting in its tracks and expanding higher again. The sudden drop and equally sudden recover adds additional confluence to my bullish outlook, not because of the "strength" but because of the manipulation of sentiment. Now we are re-entering a previously used weekly SIBI for the potential of using it as an iFVG. We did not close the weekly conventionally higher than the actual iFVG, as I would usually like, but the bullishness of the previous week's candle leaves the idea open of us expanding higher in the coming week with little retracement below it's open, therefore creating a BISI that may or may not be used later. As for targets, first is the previous month's high that is coupled with equal highs. The two other targets are a weekly swing high that goes way back, and a New Week Opening Gap which is deeper into the general liquidity void residing above. If you enjoyed this analysis, leave a like or a comment. If you want to learn how to analyze like this, check out my profile for more videos and information. Happy Trading! - R2F
TVC:DXYLong
by Road_2_Funded
DXY The Fake Dance- One of the most important barometers for global currencies and markets in the world. - Most of the time DXY is a well used machine to supress markets (forex, stocks, cryptos, etc..) - When they don't start the printing machine, DXY keeps is strength. - When they start to print DXY starts to dip and markets boom up. - it's really basic and based on "BRRR Machine". - i had a hard time to decrypt this fake peace of resilience. - actually there's none visible divergences on the 1M or 3M Timeframes. - So i decided to push my analysis to 6M Timeframe and noticed few things : - You can notice that from 2008 ( Post crises ), DXY was in a perma bullish trend. - So now check MACD and will notice this fake move on January 2021 ( in graph the red ? ) - MACD was about to cross down, columns smaller and smaller, then a Pump from nowhere lol. - i rarely saw that in my trading life on a 6M Timeframe. - So to understand more this trend, i used ADX (Average Directional Index) - ADX is used to determine when the price is trending strongly. - In many cases, it is the ultimate trend indicator. - So if you look well ADX columns, you will notice that a strong divergence is on the way. - First check the Yellow Doted Line in July 2022 when DXY reached 115ish and look the size of the green columns. - Now check today (red doted Line), and look again the ADX green columns is higher, but DXY diped to 105ish. - So like always, i can be wrong, but i bet on a fast DXY dip soon or later. - it's possible to fake pumps, but it's harder to fake traders. Happy Tr4Ding !
ICEUS:DX1!Short
by thecryer
5
Dollar Index to Reach and Break its Sept 2022 HighDollar index weekly chart still looks incredibly bullish long-term. First, we have a basic falling wedge pattern with targets at 1x and 1.5x measured moves up from the breakout of its wedge. As confluence, I've drawn an trend-based fib extension from the Sept 2022 High -> July 2023 low -> October 2023's high from the wedge break (inverted). Items of Note: Very strong Wedge break back in August - October of 2023 Very weak re-test attempt in December of 2023, making a higher low than the July 2023 low that led into the breakout, only wicked down to top of a long-term support level; failing to close at or below. Falling Wedge's measured targets TP 1 and 2 line up precisely with its 0.382 and 0.786 fibs from its trend-based fib. For TP 1 Present resistance to a move up is the ~106-108 area around the last two sets of weekly highs from Oct 23' and those made last month, or the 0% fib on the chart at 107.348. Once we get above that we should see it head towards TP 1 and the Sept-Oct 2022 highs. For TP 2 The final test will be breaking above TP 1 and the 50% fib (September 2022 high) before making a new high around TP 2. Beyond TP 1 and 2 I expect it will continue above both targets once they've been reached, even with a decent possibility of seeing 1980s ATHs. Links to earlier / related ideas below.
TVC:DXYLong
by dudebruhwhoa
Bearish on DXYThis week we have CPI and US Fed funds rate announcements. Most probably we don't get a rate cut for now (as the market expects). However, I think this week the announcements are coming out with a more dovish tone. Let's see what happens . . . If the CPI number come out lower or equal to the expectations and the Fed Chair Powell signals 1 or 2 rate cuts for this year. I believe we can expect the yellow scenario. Otherwise, we can expect the red scenario happens in short term.
TVC:US10YShort
by SamanFx0
GOLD / XAUUSD UPDATE !!!!www.tradingview.com The gold market is currently in a holding pattern, with traders reluctant to make premature decisions due to upcoming significant news. A consolidation below the level of 2315 is observed. A false break of support has led the price to retest the 2310-2315 range, after which traders are pausing before the news release. All attention is focused on the forthcoming major events, namely the CPI and the Fed meeting. The key US CPI data will influence the Fed's stance on interest rates, which will, in turn, significantly affect the value of the US dollar and gold prices in the short term. The market anticipates neutral data (no change), which would likely maintain the same fundamental backdrop. However, the actual data is highly anticipated, especially after last Friday's unexpectedly high NFP. Any initial reaction to the US CPI data might be short-lived as gold traders will soon turn their attention to the FOMC & Fed meeting. Resistance levels are identified at 2315, 2325, and 2354, while support levels are found at 2305, 2291, and 2267. From both a technical and fundamental perspective, gold appears weak at the moment. Amidst high volatility, the price may attempt to breach 2325 and test the liquidity zone of 2335-2345, then transition to a decline phase if the fundamental backdrop is conducive. The risk of further decline remains substantial, but the upcoming news could either exacerbate this decline or disrupt the market structure.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Goldxking
EurUsd Breaks structure.. to 1.057 Monthly Level?Hello Traders. EurUsd has been ranging for the last 3 weeks ever since May CPI data. We attempted to break to the upside last monday but this resulted in a failed breakout and better than forecasted US Jobs data pulled USD down with strong momentum. Price retreated all the way to the bottom of the daily range on friday at 1.08 Daily support level. It appears this momentum has sustained itself as price gapped down over the weekend and we observed a further selloff during the first trading session of the week , moving another 25 pips. I do see some buying pressure off 1.07478 moving into London trading and to begin the week. Looking at the June Monthly candle, we are just pulling straight down thus far. Can we extend to the bottom of the Monthly range at 1.057? It seems likely the dollar will remain strong for some time given the strong labor market data and the Higher for Longer Interest rates concept. Safe trading.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
US DOLLAR INDEX The us dollar index opened with a gap. today the us dollar index which was closed at 104.94 opened at 105.5 with 11 point gap. this gap may be an indication that us dollar is going to resume its upward momentum this week which it has started on last Friday. if this momentum continues it will be a fall for xauusd. more clear cut analysis will be posted soon . but please post your comments which will be helpful to understand what the crowd thinks and thus understand market sentiments. LIKE BOOST FOLLOW US
ICEUS:DXYLong
by realmillionairefx