How To Prepare For Rising PricesA blog article discussing how inflation is impacting family budgets, what it means for household budgets in the US, and some basic strategies people can use to help manage by RobinhoodFX
Robinhoodfx.
Intro
In recent months, we've seen inflationary pressures building in the U.S. economy. Prices for key commodities like crude oil and agricultural products are rising, and wages are starting to creep up as well. All of this points to one thing: higher prices for consumers in the months ahead.
How can you prepare for rising prices? Here are a few tips:
Know where your money is going. Track your spending for a month or two so you have a good understanding of where your money goes each month. This will help you identify areas where you can cut back if necessary.
Make a budget and stick to it. Once you know where your money is going, it's time to create a budget that ensures you're spending wisely. Be realistic in your assumptions about inflation and make sure your budget can withstand a bit of financial volatility.
Invest in yourself. Inflation erodes the value of assets like cash and bonds, so it's important to invest in assets that hold their value or even increase in value over time. One great way to do this is to invest in yourself through education or job training that will make you more valuable in the workforce.
Stay disciplined with your spending. When prices start rising, it's tempting to spend more freely since "everything is going up." But if you want to stay ahead of inflation, it's important to keep your spending under control and focus on essential purchases only
What is Inflation?
Inflation is the rate of increase in the price of goods and services over time. It is measured as the percentage change in the consumer price index (CPI) or producer price index (PPI).
Inflation can be caused by a variety of factors, including excess money supply, government spending, and global factors such as commodity prices.
Excess money supply is when there is more money in circulation than there are goods and services to purchase. This can happen when the Federal Reserve prints more money or banks lend out more money than they have on deposit.
Government spending can also cause inflation if it exceeds tax revenue. When the government spends more than it takes in through taxes, it has to print more money to cover the deficit. This increases the money supply and can lead to inflation.
Global factors such as commodity prices can also affect inflation. For example, if the price of oil rises, this will likely lead to higher prices for gas and other products that use oil as an input.
How Do Inflation Rates Affect Prices?
Inflation rates can have a significant effect on prices, particularly over the long term. When inflation is high, prices tend to rise, and when inflation is low, prices tend to fall. In general, higher inflation rates mean that consumers will pay more for goods and services, while lower inflation rates mean that they will pay less.
How Does Inflation Affect Prices?
Inflation is the rate at which the prices of goods and services in an economy increase over time. The main drivers of inflation are changes in the demand for goods and services, and changes in the supply of money. When there is more money chasing after fewer goods and services, prices go up. The opposite happens when there is less money chasing after more goods and services; prices go down.
What Does This Mean for Consumers?
For consumers, inflation can have both positive and negative effects. On the one hand, rising prices can erode the purchasing power of their incomes, making it difficult to afford basic necessities or maintain their standard of living. On the other hand, inflation can be beneficial if it leads to higher wages and salaries; as long as wages grow at a faster rate than prices, consumers will be better off.
What Does This Mean for Investors?
Investors need to be aware of how changes in inflation might affect their portfolios. For example, investments in Treasury bonds become less attractive when inflation is high because the fixed payments on these bonds lose value relative to other investments that offer higher
Rising Costs: Why are They Happening Now?
There are a number of factors that are causing prices to rise in the United States. The most significant factor is the increasing cost of labor. Wages have been rising steadily for the past few years, and this is putting pressure on businesses to raise prices in order to cover their increased costs.
Other factors that are contributing to rising prices include the increasing cost of raw materials, such as oil and gas, as well as transportation costs. These costs are being passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices for goods and services.
inflation is also playing a role in driving up prices. The Federal Reserve has been keeping interest rates low in an effort to stimulate economic growth, but this has led to higher inflationary pressures. As prices start to increase, Americans will have less purchasing power and will be forced to cut back on spending.
The rising costs of health care are also putting upward pressure on prices. The Affordable Care Act has led to increased demand for health care services, which has driven up prices. In addition, the aging population is requiring more medical care, which is also contributing to higher costs.
All of these factors are leading to rising prices across the economy. American consumers will need to brace themselves for higher prices for goods and services in the months and years ahead.
How Everyday Consumers Can Best Prepare for the Potential Impact
There are a few things that everyday consumers can do to best prepare for the potential impact of rising prices in the U.S. First, it’s important to be aware of what’s happening in the economy and how it might affect your finances. Second, make sure you have an emergency fund in place in case prices go up unexpectedly or you lose your job. Third, consider ways to cut costs so you can save money. Finally, invest in yourself and your career so you’re prepared for any changes that might come.
The Ramifications of Higher Unemployment and Lower Employment Rates
Unemployment and lower employment rates have a number of ramifications. Perhaps the most obvious is that fewer people are employed and earning an income. This can lead to less spending, which can in turn lead to less economic activity and slower growth. Additionally, when people are unemployed or underemployed, they may have difficulty meeting their basic needs, which can lead to increased stress and anxiety levels. This can also result in social problems such as crime. Additionally, unemployment can have a ripple effect on businesses, as they may have to lay off workers or cut back on hours/wages. Lastly, high unemployment rates can lead to political instability.
Solutions to Fighting Inflation
Inflation is a major concern for Americans and it is on the rise. Luckily, there are steps that you can take to prepare for rising prices and protect your finances.
One of the best ways to fight inflation is to invest in assets that will hold their value or appreciate over time. This includes investing in stocks, real estate, and precious metals. These investments will increase in value as the cost of living goes up, giving you a buffer against inflation.
Another solution to fighting inflation is to create a budget and stick to it. This will help you keep track of your spending and make sure that you are not overspending on items that are likely to increase in price. Additionally, saving money each month will give you a cushion to fall back on if prices do start to rise rapidly.
There are many other solutions to fighting inflation, but these are two of the most effective. If you are concerned about rising prices, take action now and start preparing for the future.
Conclusion
If you're worried about rising prices in the United States, there are a few things you can do to prepare. First, start by evaluating your spending and see where you can cut back. Then, make sure you have an emergency fund in place so that unexpected expenses don't throw off your budget. Finally, keep an eye on inflation rates and invest in assets that will hold their value over time. By following these steps, you can protect yourself from rising prices and maintain your financial stability.
Dollarstrength
4 bearish targets converge on DXYWe just recently reached the breakdown target for the ascending h&s pattern with the pink neckline when price fell to 109.2. Our next target is for the slightly bigger head and shoulders with the bluish green neckline at 106.9 which we are now very close to reaching. the next breakdown target after that is for both the largest h&s pattern with the yellow neckline at around 104.69. This also happens to be the exact breakdown target for the purple channel if it confirms its breakdown in this zone. We can see we just recently closed 1 daily candle below the purple channel, and our follow up candle has already so far as of now retested the bottom trendline of the purple channel as resistance..should this candle close below the purple channel as well that greatly increases the probability it will confirm the breakdown from the purple channel. The final breakdown target at 104.39 is for breaking down from the red descending channel. We can see that both the red breakdown target and the yellow/purple take us to a very crucial horizontal trendline which is currently being overlapped by the 200ma(in blue) If DXY cant get price action back above the purple trendline soon odds are good it will retest the 200ma and this horizontal line as well. *not financial advice*
DXY Parabolic Curve Pattern RetestThe parabolic curve pattern DXY has been forming for over 16 months was broken on October 21st.
DXY bounced at the 109.53 level and now appears to be retesting the curve.
I see the following support levels if DXY is rejected at the curve.
1) At the previous bounce level (109.53)
2) Near the 105 level.
3) Near the 101 level.
Thoughts:
1) The hawkish FED continues to fuel the dollar.
2) Next weeks CPI numbers will be very important. If there isn't a significant drop, that will strengthen the FED's resolve to remain hawkish.
3) A strong labor market also emboldens the FED's hawkish stance. Until there is a significant sign of labor market weakness, the FED will remain hawkish.
4) With every FED meeting and rate hike, the likelihood of the FED overshooting increases.
5) Everything here is just my opinion and may be flawed.
USDCAD: Can dollar strength continue?USDCAD
Intraday - We look to Buy at 1.3670 (stop at 1.3610)
Previous support located at 1.3700. Previous resistance located at 1.3750. Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 1.3750 will confirm the bullish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 1.3790 and 1.3800
Resistance: 1.3750 / 1.3790 / 1.3800
Support: 1.3700 / 1.3670 / 1.3625
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
DXY getting closer & closer to double bottom target from AprilWe can see this pattern’s breakout has definitely been triggered at this point and the price is heading closer and closer to the target that we called back in April. I will attach the chart idea from April near the bottom of this one. Only question now is do we reach 100% of the target. We still need to over come around 121 for it to confirm a higher high on the macro chart. I personally anticipate a lower high but either possibility is probable at this point. If we were to not hit 100% of our target before the next next downtrend then that would definitely clue us in. *not financial advice*
EURUSD: Gains should be limited!EURUSD
Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.9719 (stop at 0.9791)
The primary trend remains bearish. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. A firmer opening is expected to challenge bearish resolve. A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 0.9740. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 0.9553 and 0.9525
Resistance: 0.9750 / 1.0200 / 1.1100
Support: 0.9550 / 0.9500 / 0.9400
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Complete Dollar (DXY) Top Down Analysis =Where Is It Headed Now?Traders and Investors,
Dollar has been on a run again and it is moving towards our multi year target of 113 which we predicted nearly 2 years ago. Although it completed a W pattern and was inside an FCP zone, it did not have a substantial correction. On smaller time frames, it showed a little retaracement but that was not enough. The strength in dollar is taking it to our next multi year target of 113 zone. This zone again will have potential to push the price down or at least sow it a bit. After that we will have 116 as a new intermediate resistance followed by 127 zone.
In this DXY (Dollar) technical analysis we will study few scenarios which can help in understanding what is about to come next few days/weeks.
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-Vik
____________________________________________________
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The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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USDCAD:Dollar too strong!USDCAD
Intraday - We look to Buy at 1.3410 (stop at 1.3350)
Previous support located at 1.3500. Previous resistance located at 1.3530. Further upside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 1.3530 and 1.3550
Resistance: 1.3530 / 1.3550 / 1.3600
Support: 1.3500 / 1.3450 / 1.3410
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
USDCAD: Dollar prevails above all!USDCAD
Intraday - We look to Buy at 1.3100 (stop at 1.3040)
Previous resistance located at 1.3180. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 1.3100, resulting in improved risk/reward. A move through 1.3180 will confirm the bullish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 1.3220 and 1.3225
Resistance: 1.3180 / 1.3200 / 1.3225
Support: 1.3150 / 1.3100 / 1.3050
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
USDJPY: Dollar remains King!!USDJPY
Intraday - We look to Buy at 137.55 (stop at 136.67)
The primary trend remains bullish. We look for a temporary move lower. Support is located at 137.50 and should stem dips to this area. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 137.50, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 139.49 and 140.00
Resistance: 139.50 / 142.00 / 145.00 Support: 137.50 / 132.00 / 126.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a th ird-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
GBPUSD: Dollar will always triumph!GBPUSD
Intraday - We look to Sell at 1.1898 (stop at 1.1951)
The medium term bias remains bearish. Previous support level of 1.2003 broken. There is scope for mild upward pressure at the open but we look for selling interest to resist gains. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 1.1744 and 1.1700
Resistance: 1.1900 / 1.2003 / 1.2145
Support: 1.1700 / 1.1600 / 1.1500
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
GBPUSD SWING SHORTGBP
USD has been in a persistent downtrend for much of the year as the DXY has been strong.
On the weekly chart, the price in the past week did a "buy Pop" up crossing the EMA8 and EMA13
lines, The relative strength topped up and downturned while on the MACD, the lines
have been long below the histogram but in the mast week a K and D lines crossover
occurred.
I see these as reasons to add to GBPUSD swing short with little risk as compared
with intermediate-term profit reward expectation.
$DXY update, $UUP-RSI inverse H&S formation, looks to be gaining strength and passing test at 50 RSI
-Downward trend (orange trendlines) was broken. Now DXY is trading in a parallel channel (white borderlines, gray centerline) and has been bouncing off the bottom like a pinball and then hanging around the midway point of the channel consistently.
-MACD is curling up and crossing.
-US economy is stronger than ever. Tapering and rate hikes are typically bullish for the dollar and tend to make it more appealing, hence stronger
-Targeting 97 or so for a medium-term target, back towards a 100 in the long-run
-This of course could be a headwind for emerging markets if it plays out
One way to play this if you don't have a forex trading account is to use the ETF UUP. Full disclosure, I am in UUP calls but you can also just buy the ETF outright if you prefer that.
USDCHF:Battle of the safe-heavens?!!USDCHF
Intraday - We look to Buy at 0.9941 (stop at 0.9919)
Trading close to the psychological 1.000 level. 20 4hour EMA is at 0.9931. There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. A lower correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 0.9997 and 1.0007
Resistance: 1.0020 / 1.0040 / 1.0060
Support: 0.9990 / 0.9970 / 0.9940
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
USDJPY: Yen Decimation continues!!USDJPY
Intraday - We look to Buy at 133.29 (stop at 132.49)
The primary trend remains bullish. The continuation higher in prices through resistance has been impressive with strong momentum and shows no signs of slowing. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 133.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 134.99 and 135.50
Resistance: 135.00 / 137.00 / 140.00
Support: 133.00 / 130.00 / 126.80
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Thoughts on the USDThe DXY is approaching a ket level of resistance. The Fed is clearly a dove in a hawks disguise right now. They cannot crater the equity markets by rapidly increasing interest rates so they are choosing their words carefully. The Fed will likely increase rates 4 times this year, but they do it slow and steadily. I believe the DXY is overvalued and could be due for a crash when tapering takes place. The dollar is weak. Bitcoin is ready to replace.
- T-1 seems likely after CPI news tomorrow
- Expecting 7% or more
- T-2 seems if T-1 is hit
- Confidence will swoon in the dollar, triggering further sell-off
- T-3 is likely during March (if interest rates increase)
Good Luck,
- Mr. Bitcoin Baron
#USDCHF #long after #professionalbuying and a test #VSALite
USDCHF long after professional buying and a test VSALite
Trade strategy using the Tradeguider VSA Lite software. Papertrade on Tradingview, placing the trade with real money on Activtrades (FX Markets).
Checklist:
• Signal of professional buying at 09:30 19/11/2021
• Successful test at 20:30 19/11/2021
• Stop placed at 0.9240
• 4 consecutive short term indicator green bars
• Entry on a bar that closed on it’s high
• No previous price action at this level for a few days
• A background of strength
Management of the trade in accordance with my trading plan on 15 mins
DXY #Dollarindex Monthly ViewDXY (Dollar Index) on a monthly chart. We are at the long term line of S/R (Support and Resistance) and depending on which way it moves it will definitely show what will happen to the different market (stocks, crypto, housing, etc).
It's interesting to see the parallel channel formation and the trend line it is walking on since 2008.
What are your thoughts? Comment below and hit the like please. Thank you!
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk #bitcoin #altcoins
USD/CAD LongThis is a short term 4H long trade as we expect dollar to appreciate in value as the FOMC is expected to announce the tapering of the QE Program this week. The ISM manufacturing PMI at 4 PM GMT will be the key catalyst of this trade if it comes out POSITIVE and beat the market expectations. However is at 4 PM GMT the Manufacturing PMI comes out positive without the price reaching entry level, you are clear to take the trade.
DXY Double BottomMost traders and investors discussed and likes Double price check on bottom and top side, one advantage it reduce the risk while margin traders use SL. I also experienced and convinced double edge rewards better or we can react better instead to predict the price. We can see RSi divergence too or another confirmation in long run. Nothing can stay same and after pandemic we saw a lot changes but now we heading to per-pandemic situation.