How Far Dollar Yen can go Go this Time ?Plan A:
Once Reaching Around 155.20,
Observed the reversal pattern,
such as 4H bearish harami, 4H bearish engulfing,
Long shooting star to enter the short trade.
At least 1-3 profit target that can be set separately
as T1, T2 , T3.
Plan B:
What happen if no reversal pattern found :
very simple continue to Long.
Dollaryenshort
usdjpy is throwing bearish reversal signalsThe dollar has been very strong versus the Yen lately. Price has reached yet another high and i believe its like to retrace bearish. The sellers have stepped in a provided some indecision and buy exhaustion. The blue 8 exponential moving average crossed to the dowside below the 21 simple moving average and price began a minor downtrend. This usually occurs before a breakout and upon a retest of that bearish candle that initiated the downward movement.
I'm awaiting a re-test of $13.868- $144.155 so signal if price would like to continue bullish intraday or retrace bearish and sell for lower lows now.
USDJPY in a bearish divergence pattern: eyes on 134.5 supportThe USD/JPY daily chart shows a bearish divergence pattern as prices surged to new 20-year highs this week, while the relative strength index (14-day RSI) declined significantly from overbought levels.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is nearing a bearish crossover, as the MACD line (blue line) is sloping lower and may intersect the signal line (orange line) from above. The focus is now on the 134.5 support level, which if violated might result in further USD/JPY drops.
The dollar-yen exchange rate fell below 135 levels at 14:15 UTC, down by 0.9% on the day. Year to date, the yen has lost 17% of its relative value to the dollar.
In the fundamental picture, the need to control inflation through aggressive hikes in interest rates is the main factor causing concerns about an impending recession in the U.S..
Fed futures are now pricing rates at 3.5 percent by the end of the year, while the yield on the US 2-year Treasury note has dropped below 3%, down from 3.5 percent last week. It is a sign that the market has not lifted its expectations for interest rates following Powell's speech yesterday, and instead perceives the possibility of a Fed that will halt rate hikes in the case of a recession.
There is no surprise from the Bank of Japan, and in the short term, we shouldn't expect a big shift toward more restrictive policies. But some former policymakers, like Takehiko Nakao, a former head of foreign exchange policy at the Finance Ministry, flagged that an extremely weak yen is negative for the Japanese economy.
Traders are now waiting for the publication of the June US PMIs. The manufacturing PMI is predicted to fall to 56.5 from 57 in May, while the survey for the service sector is expected to rise to 53.5 from 53.4 in May.
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Possible Reversal for USD/JPY ???Hello Folks,
The Dollar-Yen pair has been rallying quite strongly since the last couple of months due to tension between Russia and Ukraine & now with the Interest rates cranked up to 75 basis points, the Dollar would gather more strength for the Bulls.
But with Technical Analysis, we can see that 3 peaks or 5 waves have been completed and there can a strong possibility for at least a retracement (a-b-c formation) or even a reversal.
Keep an eye on the pair and trade wisely. Make sure you risk appropriately.
Cheers..!!!
USDJPY Trade IdeaA fakeout (false breakout) signalled by a bearish harami candlestick pattern just above the 125.402 horizontal resistance level has just provided a selling opportunity for the USDJPY currency pair. A reward-to-risk ratio of above 4.00 is possible with stop loss at 126.005 and target at 123.531.
USDJPY continues unfolding triangle (part 2)USDJPY (long-term)
$ vs ¥
The market has been moving sideways since a bullish impulse in wave ((A)) finished.
It seems like a wave ((B)) is taking the form of a triangle .
So wave C of (D) is finished. If correct, the market should continue to decrease towards the pattern’s lower side to a wave (E) , in the coming months.
USDJPY AFTER PEAK IT'S TIME TO DIPTraders confidence has fallen since the Federal Reserve surprised markets last week by being unexpectedly hawkish.
And that has boosted the US Dollar all round and, while it is now off its highs, it continues to look firm against the Japanese Yen.
The price is in a parallel channel and has reach the peak and found resistance.
There is a warning signal though from retail trader positioning data, which are sending out a contrarian bearish signal on USD/JPY .
The Bearish target is to 110.00 and EMA200 can confirm this.
USDJPY - What is the monthly chart telling us? 2021 outlookUSDJPY - Monthly chart - All trading is a game of supply and demand. When demand exceeds supply, price will rise and when supply exceeds demand, price will fall. Usdjpy is in a monthly downtrend but currently it is trading in a monthly demand zone so shorts are not allowed, we are expecting a pullback upto 107-108 on this pair to take shorts from 108-109 down to 103 again.
USDJPY Selli Hi Traders,
Dollar-Yen is on a strong resistance and it has bounced off the resistance, its good indicator that the market is going to sell from the current level, you preferably you may wait to retest again the respected level of structure and watch a price action there if the market again respects that level its great chance to shorten this pair next week:
Here is my setup:
USDJPY Sell at 109.65
Stop Level at 110.15
Target Level at 108.50
Good Luck guys ;)
USDJPY - DAILY - SELL SETUP FROM A SWING LOWERUsdjpy - Daily - This pair has been very hard to forecast due to the bullish yet range bounce price movement recently but given the stength in jpy this week.. with a break of a daily ascending trend line and a head and shoulder pattern broken on H4 chart.. I can see price heading down towards 107.. lets how this plays out..
Looking for a rally and then??Looking at the bigger picture on USDJPY, I am expecting to see a rally over the coming months which should see price reach 118 comfortably and possibly as high as 120. From that point I will be waiting for a reversal to confirm where there will be a significant move to the downside being the second impulse after the correction is complete.