100-BTC.d Alts bleeding might end soonLooking at inverse of BTC.d (subtracting from 100% BTC market dominance), a rising widening wedge is observe on the weekly and the index nearing support of the wedge and a key horizontal support. A bounce at the wedge support will lead to a new Alts season. However if the wedge breaks down then Alts will drop significantly leaving mostly BTC dominant.
Practically BTC cannot be overtly dominant like it was in the past, Alts have matured and created a niche for themselves especially ethereum, link and difi.
Technically the monthly MACD on BTC.d has crossed down. Monthly MACD are very hard to turn around, even the recent rise in BTC dominance has hardly dented the monthly MACD. So it is very like that Alts dominance will bounce and a fresh Alts season starts. From the graph a new Alts season is estimated to start early November.
DOM
Weekly Bitcoin Dominance (Oct 27) Big Crash is coming ? Careful!#BTC $BTC #XBT $XBT #DOM $DOM #BEAR #BEARISH
Once again, we have a coincidence of timing in the price charts. It seems that we are really about to enter a really BIG BEARISH phase when :
- BTC is likely to drop to 6000$ in Jan-01 2020
- BTC Dominance is also analyzed to peak 77% on Jan-01 2020
My analysis will be broken if BTC rises above 12500$ and BTC Dominance falls to 66%. We will have a completely different analysis
However, when everything is about the same time, it's time for us to really worry
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80% DOM?Becoming more and more likely now that the daily closed the way that it did. Completely out of nowhere but at least now we can be sure to short ALTBTC pairs and rides the BTC bus until possibly December. Its gonna suck for Alt bulls. We need to wait and see how the weekly closes for a confirmation but for me this is evidence enough of conviction towards 80%.
Good Luck Out There,
Mr. Manbearpig