BTC-DOM- BTC dominance can't keep rising indefinitely.
-If we see a BTC dip, BTC dominance could climb to around 66% (71.8% Fibonacci), but in my opinion, that’s likely the maximum.
- If BTC surges too quickly and too high, altcoins will be suppressed, causing BTC dominance to potentially rise also to around 66%. However, once again, I believe that's would be the max.
- After any of both cases, altcoins will start to moon fly.
- 36-bar, 1096-day uptrend on the BTC dominance chart. That’s a significant duration from 2018 to 2021. The timespan from 2022 to 2025 could mirror the previous one.
- Take note also on the Bearish Divergence between the trend and the RSI. ( i will post weekly graphic also to show a more clear view ).
- An uptrend of this length indicates strong, sustained interest in BTC compared to altcoins. However, long-term trends like this are prone to exhaustion.
For now, just hold your alts and practice golden patience.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Dominancebtc
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Technical Analysis – March 12, 2025
Trend Overview:
- BTC dominance is currently at 62.18%, approaching a critical resistance level.
- BTC dominance has been in an uptrend since early 2024, indicating that Bitcoin has outperformed altcoins during this period.
Key Levels to Watch:👁👁
- Resistance: ~62.5% (horizontal resistance level)
- Support: ~60% (previous breakout zone)
-Major Breakdown Target: ~54.5% (potential altseason trigger)
Technical Indicators & Patterns:⚖️
1. A breakdown below 60% would confirm a bearish trend for BTC dominance and lead to an altcoin pump.
2. In late 2024, BTC dominance rejected at a similar level (~61%), followed by a sharp decline. The same pattern may repeat, leading to altcoins outperforming BTC.
3. If BTC dominance breaks above 62.5%, it could extend towards 64-65%, delaying an altseason.
If This Happens For BTC Dominance, Shakeout Is CancelledHello, Skyrexians!
As you remember we have the previous analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where we pointed out the target at 66% and the shakeout. But we were sure that it will happen in the upcoming week, but Dominance retraced again below 61% and current wave doesn't look like the wave 5. This move increased probability of more positive scenario for altcoins.
Let's take a look at 12h time frame. We can see that candles were able only to touch the 62.5% and then retested the recent low. It gives us an idea that the probability that this is wave 5 decreased. Here we have two scenarios. The first one is that we are in wave 4, which is more complicated that we supposed and candles will finally reach 66%.
But the second scenario now has even more than 50% probability. This pump could be already shortened wave 5. Unfortunately, Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator can't catch such waves, but Awesome Oscillator tells us that wave 4 has been finished and we can see the divergence, which could already happened if dominance touch 66%. Now AO is reversing and this is the sign that this impulse to the upside will not continue. The clear breakdown of 60% will confirm this idea.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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USDT Dominance Weekly Chart Analysis !!The chart shows USDTDominance in the Ukrainian market for several years, indicating distinct trends and patterns.
Trend Line Support:
A visible upward significant line has been established since 2021. This suggests a fundamental base level from which USDT dominance has historically bounced back.
Heads & Shoulders Pattern:
The chart item includes the Heads & Shoulders number, indicating a bearish reversal pattern. This means the upward momentum may slow down, and a downward shift may occur.
Current Dominance Level:
The current level of around 4.53% is significant. A break below this level and a decline may occur, possibly targeting the projected supported area around 2.00% in the long term.
Take a look at the support and resistance separation on the chart. The interaction between Trend Travelers and Heads & Shoulders Trend Travelers will be important in predicting the future of USDT dominance. Anticipating a downward movement may be prudent,
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
USDT.DOMINANCE CHART UPDATE !! USDT dominance chart on the 4H time frame is trading within a rising channel. Currently, it is approaching the upper resistance of this channel near 4.8%.
If USDT dominance continues to rise, it could signal an increase in risk-off sentiment in the crypto market, as traders may move funds into stablecoins. Rejection from the upper trendline could lead to a pullback towards the mid-range (around 4.2%) or even the lower trendline near 3.8%, which would be more bullish for altcoins and Bitcoin.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
USDT Dominance Chart AnalysisUSDT dominance broke out of a long-term descending channel.
However, it is showing signs of rejection at nearly 4.60% and could head back towards support.
21-day MA (black line): Previously acted as resistance, but now provides some support.
100-day MA (purple line): Was breached, but is now being retested as support.
A red candle after the recent breakout suggests a possible failed breakout scenario.
The green arrow indicates a potential decline towards 4.20% or even lower.
Support: 4.20% (previous resistance, now potential support).
Low Support: 4.00%
Resistance: 4.60%
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin Dominance | Leading Alt Season? Or Continuation Decline?| CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D | 🔎 Weekly Analysis
As you may know. alt seasons depend on a decline in BTC.D.
BTC.D is calculated as the ratio of Bitcoin’s market capitalization to the total market capitalization of the digital asset space. When BTC.D falls, it indicates that capital is flowing out of Bitcoin into altcoins or stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, RLUSD and others.
••• BTC Dominance (BTC.D) during past alt season.
⏪ Now that we understand what BTC.D is, let's examine its behavior during previous alt season. As marked in the chart, BTC.D has experienced an uptrend. After a breakout, it pushed to new high within the upward channel, and as expected, a reversal occurred! (Price Action Rules)
••• Current state of BTC.D.
▶️ After a significant spike, it is currently following an upward channel.
A spike followed by a channel pattern is a common price action occurrence.
As Marked in the chart, similar to previous alt seasons, BTC.D has experienced a breakout from the upward channel and has pushed to new high. Therefore, we can expect a potential reversal!
🔳 Final words
Is it time to buy some altcoins? If you ask me, it's not yet time to invest. We cannot predict whether a reversal is happening or not. Since we avoid taking unnecessary risks, we should wait for clear sign of reversal in the BTC.D
❤️🔥 Thanks for reading my idea!
The Exact Target When Altseason Will Be Started Revealed!Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we have already made analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where pointed out that this Bitcoin season finally is about to end. Today we share with you our precise analysis of last dominance growth to understand when there is going to be the final reversal.
Let's take a look at 12 hours time frame. Here we can see that Elliott waves structure. It has pumped to the wave 3 target at 1.61 Fibonacci and then retraced in the wave 4. We expect consolidation between 61% and 62% for some time before the final growth in the wave 5. This wave will be finished approximately at 65%. The red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator and the bearish divergence with Awesome Oscillator are going to be the reversal confirmation factors.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC & ALTCOINSIn this chart we can see Bitcoin historical Highs , lows , halving years (green->green) and halvings ... we can see some patterns here , not price patterns but sessionality patterns .. for example .. strong probabilty next btc HIGH will be in November/December this year , or we can also see on chart of BTC.D .. we are close to date when BTC.D breaks and fall as much as alts shine .. But all of this was history what about today ? What if , in this one cycle is something different , for example players ... Old good BTC and Crypto OG players now have less power as manipulators , we have some guys from wallstreet also here , Trump and much more .. Macroeconomic was totaly changed ... so what do you think guys ?
BTC dominance .... Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything!Crypto is More Than Just Bitcoin; Just Like Automobiles Are More Than One Brand!
In the world of digital currencies, many newcomers have only heard of "Bitcoin" and assume that the entire crypto market revolves around it. However, just as the automobile industry is not limited to a single brand, the crypto world is also filled with innovative projects and diverse digital assets, each with its own unique applications and features.
Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything!
Bitcoin is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. It is considered digital gold and serves as a store of value. But that's not the whole story! If we compare Bitcoin to brands like "Ferrari" or "Lamborghini," which are luxurious and powerful, other cryptocurrencies can be likened to different car brands, each with its own unique functionalities and purposes.
Altcoins: The Major Players in the Crypto World
Ethereum (ETH): If Bitcoin is Ferrari, Ethereum is like Tesla—a platform that has paved a new path in blockchain technology. Smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps) run on its network.
Polkadot (DOT): Polkadot is like a versatile car, such as the BMW X5, allowing interoperability between different blockchain networks and enhancing cross-chain communication.
Chainlink (LINK): Chainlink is akin to a secure and smart car like Volvo, acting as an oracle in the blockchain space, connecting real-world data to smart contracts.
Solana (SOL): This cryptocurrency is like a sports car, such as Porsche—fast, scalable, and with low fees, making it highly popular among developers.
Cardano (ADA): Cardano can be compared to Toyota or Honda—stable, secure, and equipped with innovative technologies aiming to solve blockchain scalability issues.
Is Altseason Coming?
Altseason is a term referring to a period in the crypto market where altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) experience significant growth. This typically happens after Bitcoin stabilizes or when investors feel that Bitcoin has reached a short-term price peak.
Some signs of an approaching altseason include:
Bitcoin dominance rising and then declining (indicating a shift of capital from Bitcoin to altcoins)
Explosive growth in certain altcoins, signaling increased investor interest in alternative projects
Improved macroeconomic conditions and increased liquidity in the market
Just as the automotive world is not dominated by a single brand, the crypto market extends beyond Bitcoin. Major projects like Ethereum, Cardano, Solana, Polkadot, Chainlink, and many others offer diverse use cases worth exploring and investing in. Given current market indicators, we may soon witness a powerful altseason where altcoins experience substantial growth. Therefore, it's essential to look beyond Bitcoin and view the market from a broader perspective!
good luck
DOMINANCE - the manipulation!The weekly chart clearly shows a confirmed breakdown of the rising wedge pattern.
Everyone was waiting for a retest to buy in, expecting dominance to drop and altcoins to rally—but that never happened.
Why?
Because when everyone expects a move, the market does the opposite.
What actually happened?
-The market shocked everyone with a parabolic dominance surge to 64%.
-Over $182 billion was drained from the market in just two days.
-Altcoins suffered a brutal crash, with some dropping over 50%.
-Most assets hit extreme lows, forcing mass panic selling at heavy losses—which we predicted a week in advance.
-A sharp altcoin rebound happened the same day, while dominance dropped from 64% to 61%, stabilizing at this level.
What’s next?
The rising wedge pattern is still in play, but its targets won’t be hit without manipulation.
I expect heavy market manipulation in the coming days, with dominance fluctuating between 60% and 63%, designed to drain traders’ portfolios—especially futures traders.
The expected price action is outlined in this chart. Take a look, and you'll clearly see how manipulation operates in this market.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Skyrexio | Historical Moment - Retail Altcoins Capitulation!Hello, Skyrexians!
Hope your deposits are alive. We warned you yesterday that Altcoins Dominance is weak and today it dropped significantly. Most of traders have average deposit drawdown -50-70% and this is capitulation dump. If price will bounce now they will definitely sell. This is psychology of weak hands, it's useless to argue with this. I (Ivan) personally bought all last 3 days altcoins with extra 40% of USDT which I have after last purchases in August 2024. Now I have 30% of stables. I am ready to be out of position for these money, but if I will be lucky the bottom is going to be catched.
Let's go to analysis. Weekly CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D time frame is showing that this week can be closed with the third red dow on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . If this will happen we will finally see altseason. I wanna show you beauty of Elliott Waves. You can see that wave 3 reached the 1.61 Fibonacci level. Then wave 4 reached 0.5 retracement. It gives us extra confidence.
Final target of wave 5 could be already reached inside the 63-67% green box. Here we need to see the lower time frame to get the precise target.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Altcoinseason is around the corner, get ready. Hi fellow traders, BTC.D will be ready to make a wave lower from the blue box after it completes the ABC correction. When the dominance of BTC starts to decline the Altcoins will rise. The BTC.D chart could potentially go up till the green fib line within the blue box. I think this will be a good time to position yourself. Target will be the previous bottom. Good luck and trade safe!
BTC DOMINANCE AND ALT SEASONIf we completed 5 waves up, structure ABC should be next. When price take liq above last high (A wave) we can see start of the drop and alt season. If not, btc price will go more to the upside and btc.d will rise again.
Everybody is expecting alt season so market makers can do opposite... lets see.
This is not a financial advice.
DOMINANCE - retesting almost done!The market is experiencing a terrifyingly bearish phase, and the start of the week is concerning. However, everything will be fine soon.
We can see this through the dominance chart.
On the weekly timeframe, the pattern has broken downward, and a retest is now in progress.
This current pressure on altcoins aligns with the dominance chart retesting its breakdown.
It’s expected that dominance could rise to a maximum of 61% before altcoins break free from this nightmare and finally deliver the long-awaited profits.
Personally, I’m still holding onto my altcoins and strongly advise against selling. Everything will improve in the coming weeks.
Altcoins are currently at bargain lows that are worth buying.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Will BTC Dominance do the same again?Comparison of BTC dominance in 2021 vs 2025.
2021 :
drop to the 23.6 level of the entire upward swing
rise to the 68.8 level of the local downward swing
drop to the 38.2 level of the entire upward swing
rise to the vicinity of the peak (or even reaching a local ATH)
drop to the 88.6 level of the entire upward swing
2025:
drop to the 23.6 level of the entire upward swing
rise to the 68.8 level of the local downward swing
Will the next moves follow the same pattern? We'll see in time:)
BTC Dominance AnalysisWe are currently observing a key resistance zone (labeled as "A") between 59% and 60% dominance. The price action shows a potential rejection from this area, suggesting that BTC dominance might struggle to break above this level in the short term.
If the rejection occurs as expected, we could see a downward move towards the highlighted support zone (labeled as "B") around 54.5% - 55%. This zone represents a significant area of buyer interest and could lead to a reversal or stabilization.
Key Levels:
Resistance (Zone A): 59% - 60%
Support (Zone B): 54.5% - 55%
Projection:
If rejection from Zone A occurs, a bearish movement towards Zone B is likely.
A potential bounce from Zone B could lead to a recovery in BTC dominance.
Ready for Altseason?? Hi fellow traders, BTC.D will be ready to make a wave lower from the blue box after it completes the ABC correction. When the dominance of BTC starts to decline the Altcoins will rise. The BTC.D chart could potentially go up till the green fib line within the blue box. I think this will be a good time to position yourself. Target will be the previous bottom. Good luck and trade safe!
BTC.D : Alt -season 2025Hi friends,
As you can see on the Bitcoin Dominance chart on the weekly time frame, I would like to remind you of the start of the 2025 Alt Season.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 19/Jan /25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
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BTC.D Death Cross Formation:
The “death cross” occurs when the short-term moving average (50-day MA) crosses below the long-term moving average (200-day MA).
This is considered a bearish signal, often indicating a potential decline in the market.
In your chart, the highlighted circle represents this potential crossover or the situation after it.
The narrow trendline indicates a symmetrical triangle or wedge formation, where the price consolidates before the breakout.
The breakout direction appears to be initially upward, breaking above resistance but eventually moving downward.
The blue horizontal line at around 59.21% dominance is a key resistance area.
Bitcoin dominance has broken above the triangle for some time but may struggle to remain above resistance.
After initial upward movement, the chart suggests a downward trajectory, possibly retesting lower dominance levels (towards the 55.50% and 54% areas).
This implies a potential altcoin resurgence or broader market uncertainty if BTC.D declines.
The red and green moving averages are important in defining the current trend.
A bearish cross between these moving averages aligns with the death cross narrative and signals caution.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA