Led by $MAGA Election Fever Drives $2.2B Surge in Politfi TokensAs the United States pivotal election holds today, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing intense political energy. A total of $2.2 billion in crypto has been sparked by election fever, with key players like the AMEX:MAGA Memecoin and the President Memecoin Index leading this surge. Investors are increasingly eyeing politically themed tokens, anticipating intense volatility ahead.
MAGA: A Politically Charged Memecoin with Potential
MAGA ( AMEX:MAGA ), inspired by the iconic red “Make America Great Again” hat from Donald Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign, has been a standout. Since its launch in May 2024, AMEX:MAGA has skyrocketed by an astonishing 1812%. This meteoric rise is closely linked to Donald Trump’s growing chances of returning to the White House. Currently, MAGA has 25,470 holders, a figure that continues to grow as election excitement builds. However, the token's distribution is moderately concentrated, with the top 100 holders controlling 68% of the total supply. This could imply increased volatility as these large holders may significantly impact price movements.
What Drives MAGA’s Price Movements?
Fundamentally, MAGA's price is heavily influenced by the political landscape. With the U.S. presidential race heating up, the token’s fate appears intertwined with Trump’s poll numbers and prediction markets. Over the last week, MAGA’s price has shown substantial volatility. At one point, Trump’s odds of winning had improved to 66-34, only to decline to 55-45. Interestingly, poll analysis reveals Trump is currently performing 1% better compared to his 2020 campaign results—an edge that could be enough to secure a victory. Should Trump win, analysts believe MAGA’s market cap could double to $150 million, driven by renewed enthusiasm among his supporters.
Technical Analysis of MAGA
MAGA’s price movements have been dynamic, marked by multiple support and resistance levels. On November 5th, AMEX:MAGA experienced a pullback after a brief recovery. Key support has been identified at $0.00015, while resistance lies at $0.00020. The overall market sentiment remains neutral, with traders cautiously observing upcoming election results.
On November 4th, AMEX:MAGA rallied as Polymarket data showed Trump’s odds climbing from 53-47 to 55-45. The belief that 53 was the bottom added to bullish momentum. The immediate support level is at $0.0001819, with resistance at $0.0002038 and $0.0002257. However, market participants are bracing for the outcome of the U.S. presidential election, which will likely dictate MAGA’s next big move.
MAGA’s Strategic Growth and Community Involvement
Beyond price speculation, AMEX:MAGA differentiates itself with its zero-tax and fully community-driven structure. The token has gained traction among Trump supporters, who actively engage in MAGA-themed rallies, debates, and other events. This grassroots enthusiasm has solidified MAGA's place within the meme token space, setting it apart as a culturally significant asset.
Further bolstering its credibility, Bitrue, a top centralized exchange (CEX), has announced the launch of a new MAGA perpetual futures pair. This development indicates that MAGA is not just a fleeting hype-driven project but could have long-term viability. The availability of futures trading showcases increased institutional interest and adds a layer of sophistication to MAGA’s trading ecosystem.
Where to Trade MAGA
AMEX:MAGA Hat tokens are primarily traded on centralized exchanges, with Gate.io being the most active platform. The trading pair MAGA/USDT has reported a 24-hour volume of $13.6 million, underscoring robust market activity. Other notable exchanges include MEXC and HTX. Over the last 24 hours, MAGA's trading volume reached $39.6 million, although this figure represents a 7.10% decline from the previous day, hinting at a slight cooldown in market enthusiasm.
Market Performance and Comparative Analysis
Despite its initial success, AMEX:MAGA has faced challenges, with a recent 41.60% decline in price over the past week. This underperformance stands in contrast to the broader crypto market, which fell by 6.20%, and the Ethereum Ecosystem tokens, which saw a 12.70% increase. MAGA’s all-time high of $0.0007379, recorded in May 2024, remains 76.29% higher than its current level. On the flip side, its all-time low from August 2024 is 398.75% lower, highlighting MAGA’s potential for both substantial gains and risk.
MAGA’s Future Outlook: High Risk, High Reward
The fully diluted valuation (FDV) of MAGA stands at $71.4 million, reflective of the token's long-term potential assuming all 420 billion tokens circulate. Given its community-driven nature and high concentration among top holders, MAGA is a classic high-risk, high-reward investment. The Crowdwisdom360 PolitiFi index, up 90% since August, underscores the broader interest in political tokens, suggesting MAGA could be poised for more action.
As the U.S. election draws near, the market anticipates even more volatility. A Trump victory could send MAGA soaring, while a loss may trigger a steep sell-off. Investors are watching closely, prepared for either outcome in what promises to be a politically charged crypto market.
Donald
$DWAC big move on the way?On a astrological level we are crossing a portal right now we will see if the move happens today or next week, obviously we would want the move sooner sympathy names on watch as well
$CFVI,PHUN etc
$DWACWe believe that DWAC a stock which is related to trump has a possibility of gapping up $5/$10.
On the technical side the 4h chart , the MacD crossing to the upside of 51.73 holds 54.97 is the next target than 57.30
The contract that was purchased was a $55 call for $53 the stop loss would be 38 since the bid and ask was wide the stop loss would be around $30. If the price of the contract goes to $30 we will close this trade.
Bitcoin ABCDE WaveThere are 2 scenarios in this chart:
1. The Elliot Wave completes with 5 being the longest and most powerful, in which case I'd expect the price to hit a new low, but not much lower. ~2800
2. We are in an ABCDE pattern and will finish the b leg of the B (Orange) wave, then start the lower descent to a new target of ~3225. The overthrow from wave E (Orange) will push us into a new low. ~2600
crude oil price have new opportunities in this year OPEC's historic agreement to reduce production of oil and new US president Donald Trump policies for the return of economic sanctions on Iran, and his quest to return the quantitative easing program, all these factors will support oil prices to rise.
DXY : SHORT : LONG TERM <3Only confirmation for this position is because every time a republican has been inaugurated into the US presidency, the USD has dropped significantly. On top of that, lets face it people.. This is Donald Trump we're dealing with, lol. But hey! Let's see what happens.. Red = Republican (Ronald Reagan/George Bush SR./George W. Bush) Blue = Democrat (Bill Clinton/Barack Obama)
The #Trump TradeThe Mexican peso has remained volatile due to numerous factors, including the price of crude oil, prospects of the Brexit and, more interestingly, the potential of a Donald Trump presidency in the U.S.
The USDMXN had been on a steady bullish trend, and the peso's dramatic nine percent decline going into the first U.S. debate on September 26 was largely in part to the "Trump effect" as he was within two points of Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. However, after a series of miscues from Trump and sporadic polling performance, the Mexican peso began to strengthen considerably.
A closer look at Donald Trump's immigration policy :
Trump aims to protect the jobs, thus wages, through tougher immigration by hindering the flow of undocumented foreign workers and immigrants. The keystone of the immigration plan is to build a physical border-wall, which is not particularly unheard of.
For instance, due to the constant flow of political and economic refugees from the Middle East into Europe, many European countries have greatly increased their immigration policies to help monitor refugee movement. Nations, such as Serbia, Bulgaria and Hungary, are clamping down due to the potential safety concerns to its citizens, as well as controlling the financial strain due to the unfettered flow of migrants. Larger, developed nations, like the United Kingdom, is aiming to build a wall to prevent migrants crossing from the "Calais Jungle," which is a French migrant camp of 10,000 looking to cross into Britain.
What is concerning for Mexico is that Trump is almost unwilling to alter his plan for a border well while making Mexico pay for it. Trump has proposed that Mexico will pay the U.S. government between $5 and $10 billion as a one time payment or face the consequence freezing all incoming money wires into Mexico.
Trump's outline says the Mexican economy benefits from $24 billion from Mexican nationals that work within the U.S. and calls it "de facto welfare." It is true that the Mexican economy greatly benefits, and the blockage of incoming dollars would have a net-negative effect on their economy; it would also have a net-negative affect on the U.S.-Mexican relationship.
We expect the peso to remain elevated as long as Hillary Clinton remains ahead in the polls, but, considering the overwhelming evidence of potential collusion between the "mainstream" media and the Clinton campaign, there is a potential for an upset which would undoubtedly send ripples throughout risk assets, including the peso.
For the meantime, we can see the USDMXN trending lower to 18.52 with a secondary level near the 200-day EMA.
Another interesting "Trump trade" is the RUBMXN. With tensions between the current Obama administration and Russia, as well as elevated rhetoric from Clinton, the ruble could see a great deal of volatility heading into the U.S. election. Trump, who has no obvious ties to Russia, has stated that he would aim to develop a partnership between the two nations.
Following the debate, to which a CNN poll containing a meager sample of less than 550 likely voters show Clinton won the debate, the RUBMXN dropped over 1.55 percent. As rhetoric from the Democrats pick up, we expect the ruble to weaken against both the dollar and Mexican peso.
Hillary Clinton Presidential Race bet on Game TheoryAccording to game theory the following is the only option available to Hillary Clinton should she still wish to pursue White House bid. Currently as it stands Trump is projected to win. Clinton has all but one option:
Step aside as VEEP and let Tim Kaine run as the president on a united front message. You welcome Hilary, that is your only option short of Donald Trump falling into a volcano.
Market will go sideways, Trump will be great for stocks, bad for bonds.
Looking for more game theory? PM me.
-- never stop learning --