When will be next bubble?Before dot.com bubble MACD didn't crossed below signal line for 67 Months. Today we are at 26 Months. What do you think can we go further? P.S. This is logarithmic chart.
Dot-com
VIX may not mean-revert down for years, just like 1996-2003My guess is that VIX won't come down meaningfully for a few years, just like it didn't from 1996-2003.
- Retail speculative fever only seen before in the late 1920's and the late 1990's.
- New SPAC's every week.
- A small EV manufacturer worth more than all other automakers combined.
- Far more options traded than ever before.
- Yields remaining near all time lows.
- Valuations at all time highs.
- Fed balance sheet at all time highs.
- Fiscal spending like never before.
We've had situations somewhat like this before - the 1920's, the Nifty Fifty, the dot-com bubble.
But we've never had situations like this with such a weak underlying economy, or with so much economic uncertainty. We're in uncharted waters.
Nevertheless, this is the closest analog I can come up with to the current volatility regime.
My investment historyListen to my super boring investment life history, if you like. From the dot com bubble and financial crisis, to the everything bubble crash we are in right now. Where I made huge mistakes, and where I dodged a bullet or two.
GBPUSD DAY Trade Sell Day Trade !!!. We can open sell till a break of the daily trendline & Retest 1.28883 Tp 1 . Moving Sl above entry / Above trendline.
If we have a bounce from TP1 we have to monitor the price action back to retest the trendline a rejection would give us our TP2 1.27677.
Many Thanks.
